01 environmental economics
TRANSCRIPT
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How much is clean air worth?
Can you charge somebody fordamaging your air?
How much are you willing to pay for
clean air? Should you have to pay for clean air?
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Have you ever caught a fish off the sea?
Is cutting down the rainforests efficient? What market incentives are there for
research on the environment?
How can the environment be priced and
Does Indonesia have any mechanisms forvaluing its environment?
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Lecture Objectives:
Review Advantages and Limitations ofMarket Economics
Understand how economics is creatingnew principles and guidelines for
business activity.
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Comparing:
Neo-classical Economics
Environmental Economics
Ecolo ical Economics
To reveal policy implications
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"Environmental Economics" should not be confused with"Ecological Economics."
The two fields are related, but are in some ways very different.Most environmental economists have been trained aseconomists. They apply the tools of economics to addressenvironmental problems, many of which are related to so-calledmarket failures--circumstances wherein the "invisible hand" ofeconomics is unreliable.
,but have expanded the scope of their work to consider theimpacts of humans and their economic activity on ecologicalsystems and services, and vice-versa. This field takes as itspremise that economics is a strict subfield of ecology. Ecological
economics is sometimes described as taking a more pluralisticapproach to environmental problems and focuses more explicitlyon long-term environmental sustainability and issues of scale.
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What is an economy supposed to
do?
What is the Neo-classical
approach?
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What is a market?
A system of exchange
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What is exchanged?
Resources: land, labor, capital
(ie. goods or services in some
orm
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How does the market work?
Matchin of su l anddemand
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Why is the market such a good system?
Optimal use of resources: buyers force
competition on suppliers; greatest return for theefforts of suppliers
Pareto efficiency: a situation where it isimpossible to make one person better off without
making anyone else worse off Meaning: allocation of resources to the uses
that will bring the greatest overall increase inproduction and monetary value by matching
producers with the highest bidders
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What enables the
market to work?
Price or Value setting
Profit motivePrivate property
Government and otherregulating institutions
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Does the market operate
perfectly?
1. General Market Failures:
Monopoly;
information as mmetr missing markets;
transaction costs.
k l
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Market Failures What company did you buy your air from?
How much did you pay for your air? How was thatprice set?
How clean was the air you bought? How do youknow?
How can a com an sto other com anies fromdirtying its air? What can you do if someonemakes your air dirty after you bought it?
What rate of return should a company expect to
get from investing in air quality?
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2. Environmental Market Failures:
Failure to value the environment:
unpriced use values; option values; existencevalues; bequest values
Lack of information
Common Access Resources/Sinks
Discounting the future
Missing Markets
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Externalities
An unintended cost or benefit ofproduction or consumption that is not
reflected in the price of the relatedransac ons. x erna es are o enborne by people who are not parties tothe transactions that create them.
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Externalities
Define the externalities of yourcompany: who are the parties to the
monetary transaction and who or whatpays or e mpac s o e ransac on
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Discounting the Future withNet Present Value (NPV)
NPV = x/(1+.10)nyrs
X + your present money value
.
nyrs = the power of how many years down the future
you are looking at
NPV of 100 dollars in five years with a discount rate
of 10% is 100/(1+.10)5 or $62.09
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Environmental Economics: From
Market Failure to Government Failure
Limited information of how to deal withspecific environmental problems (of area orindustry) and of firms capability to deal with
or hide environmental impact Limited resources to regulate, monitor and
enforce
Command and Control regulations:
uniform standards and technologies
P li G id li f E i l E i
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Policy Guidelines from Environmental Economics:
I. Benefits of Using the Market (as
opposed to Command and Control) 1. Cost effectiveness: example, emission
trading credits
2. Substitution and technolo ical advance:example, green taxes
3. Other institution/market based schemes:
deposit refund schemes, environmentalbonds, transferable quotas, transfer ofdevelopment rights.
P li G id li f E i t l E i
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Policy Guidelines from Environmental Economics
II. Better Valuation of Non-
market Valued Assets 1. Financial Costs
2. Averting Behavior For: Better 3. Travel Cost Method
4. Hedonic Pricing
5. Contingent Evaluation
Cost-Benefit
Analysis,
regulations,fines
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Environmental Economics andEcological Economics
Weak vs. Strong
Sustainability
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The Environmental Economics Trade off
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The Environmental Economics Trade-off
Neo-classical Environmental
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Economy H
M
E E
M
S
Recycle?
Empty World
Economy
M
E E
M
S
Recycle
Economics World
Figure 1: The Economy as an Open Subsystem of the Ecosystem
(Daly 1996:49).
S = solar energy H = heat M = matter E = energy
natural capital man-made capital
Ecosystem
Ecosystem H
Ecosystem
Environmental Ecological Economics
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Economy
M
E E
M
S
Recycle
Economics World
EconomyE
M M
E
S
Recycle
Full World
H H
Figure 1: The Economy as an Open Subsystem of the Ecosystem
(Daly 1996:49).
S = solar energy H = heat M = matter E = energy
natural capital man-made capital
EcosystemEcosystem
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Substitutability vs. Complementarity
Manufactured andknowledge capital fornatural capital
Land, labor and capital
Manufactured capitaldepends on natural capital
Uniqueness, uncertainty
Same service bydifferent product
Technological fixes Ecosystem resilience
Ecosystem services
Growth outpaces
substitution Ecosystem fragility
li fl f
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Policy Influences from
Ecological Economics
Strict demands for environmental protection
reflected in:
Environmental impact assessmentNatural preservation areas (parks, reserves)
Absolute limitations on chemicals
P li G id li f
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Policy Guidelines from
Ecological Economics
1. Daly Rule
2. Index of Sustainable Economice are
3. Ecological tariffs on free trade
4. Community based sustainabilitythrough self-sufficiency anddiversification
P li G id li f
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Policy Guidelines from
Ecological Economics
1. Daly Rule: "Never reduce the stock
of natural capital below a level that
generates a susta ne y e un ess goo
substitutes are available for the
services generated."
Index of Sustainable Economic Welfare
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Index of Sustainable Economic Welfare
ISEW=
total output+ unpaid work
- environmental destruction anddegradation
- environmental improvementmeasures
- depreciation of human-made
capital+/- welfare distribution effect
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Free Trade Limitations
Regional specialization obscures viewof resource exploitation, depressesecological and social laws, weakens
terms of trade and im overisheslandholders
Externalities from the shipping of goods
around the world Therefore, tariffs to compensate or
reduce free trade
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Community Based Development
Community rather than corporations orgovernment creates social conditions(wants and needs) that limit impacts
Greater self-sufficiency throughdecentralized control
Local synergies for recycling andenergy reduction
Ethical bonds amongst businesscommunity
Summing up:
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Summing up:
Market success in exchange efficiency Market failures in: valuation, common access,
externalities, and discount rate
Environmental economics guidelines: cost
effectiveness and market-based incentives Ecological economics guidelines: limiting
growth to within global and local ecosystems
*therefore reducing throughput of
economy within ecological carrying capacity
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l i l
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Total Economic Value
Total Economic Value
Use Values Non-Use Values
Direct Use Values Indirect Use Values
Consumptive/Extractive Uses
Non-Consumptive/Non-Extractive Uses
Direct values
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Outputs that can be consumed or processed
directly, such as timber, fodder, fuel, non-timber
forest products, meat, medicines, wild foods, etc.
Indirect valuesEcological services, such as flood control,
regulation of water flows and supplies, nutrient
retention, climate regulation, etc.
USE
VALUES
Existence valuesIntrinsic value of resources and landscapes,
irrespective of its use such as cultural,
aesthetic, bequest significance, etc.
Option valuesPremium placed on maintaining resources and
landscapes for future possible direct and indirect
uses, some of which may not be known now.
NON-USE
VALUES
Market PricesDirect values
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Market PricesGoods and products
Indirect values
Ecosystem services
Effect on Production
Replacement Costs
Productivity &
cost-based approaches
Option valuesExistence values
Direct values
Nature tourism
Substitutes
Cost of Avoided
Damage
Travel Costs
Contingent Valuation
Surrogate market & statedpreference approaches
Selecting the appropriate valuation technique
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Selecting the appropriate valuation technique
Environmental Impact
Measurable change
in production
Change in environmental
quality
Yes
Nondistorted market
Habitat
Opportunity-
Air and waterquality
No
Cost-
Health effects
Sickness Death
Recreation
Travel cost
Aesthetic,Biodiversity,Cultural,Historicalassets
Use change-in-
productivityapproach
Use surrogatemarket
approaches,apply shadow
prices tochanges in
production
Yes No Replacement
cost approach
Land valueapproaches
Contingent
Valuation
effectivenessof prevention
Preventive
expenditure
Replacement/relocation
costs
Medical
costs
Loss ofearnings
Human
capital
CEA ofprevention
Contingent
valuationContingen
Valuation
ContingentValuation
Hedonicwage
approach
ContingentValuation
Cost-Revealed Stated
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Surrogate
Market
Approaches
Productivity
Approach
Market
Price
Method
Based
Methods
Preference
Methods
Preference
Methods
Travel
Costs
Hedonic
Pricing
Effect on
ProductionReplacemen
t Costs
Cost of
providingsubstitute
services
Damage cost
avoided
Market
Prices
Contingent
Valuation
Conjoint
Analysis
Choice
Experiments
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Ecosystems products and services
Products
Food Fuel wood Non-timber forest products
Functions/Services
Hydrological services
Purification of water Capture, storage and release of surface
and groundwater
Marine products Wetlands products Medicinal and biomedical products Forage and agricultural products Water
Reeds Building material
Biodiversity
Maintenance of biodiversity (plants andanimals)
Climate
Partial stabilization of climate throughcarbon sequestration
Moderation of temperature extremesand the force of winds and waves
Market Prices/Production
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/Function
Also known as net benefits
Values direct uses, e.g., fisheries, tourism/rec
Uses market rices to determine value Should include both revenue and costs of providing the
service
Example:
Used to estimate the economic value of the commercial reeffishery in Belize~US$1.9mill net return on investment in 1998
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Market Prices
Advantages
Easy to use
Little modelling or statistical analysis
Disadvantages
Many goods/services do not have markets orhave highly distorted markets
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h d
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Change in Production
Advantages
Applicable to a wide range of goods and services
Difficult to collect data to accurately predict bio-physical response relationships
May be other market impacts that need to beincluded, e.g., change productionpriceschangepeople switch to different good
R l C
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Replacement Cost
Values indirect uses, e.g., shoreline protection
Cost of infrastructure for coastal protection is aproxy for the protection provided by coral reefs
Example:
~US$91,000 in coastal defenses had to be built onTarawa Atoll, Kiribati to replace coral reef protection
R l C
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Replacement Cost
Advantages
Simple to apply and analysis
Useful when there is limited time/finances available Disadvantages
Difficult to find perfect replacements that provide thesame quality as the coral reef.
It is questionable as whether (total) expenditure wouldbe made if resource disappeared
A id d D
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Avoided Damages
Also known as Stock at Risk
Values indirect uses, e.g., shoreline protection
Value based on the damage that is avoided by presence ofthe coral reef
This is a proxy for the protection provided by coral reefs
Example:
Annual cost of erosion from coral mining in Sri Lanka ranged from~US$160-172,000/km2 of reef, depending on land prices andlanduses.
A id d D
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Avoided Damages
Disadvantages
Values are hypothetical
Never sure whether the damages wouldever occur
H d i P i i
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Hedonic Pricing
Values non-consumptive direct uses and indirect uses,e.g., shoreline protection, enjoyment of a clean beach andhealthy reef
service (e.g., presence of a reef or clean beach)
Typically uses property values or wage rates
Example: Used to value the benefit of coral reefs on Kihei Coast, Hawaii
65% of total annual reef economic benefitbased on propertyvalue
H d i P i i
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Hedonic Pricing
Disadvantages
Need large data sets and detailed informationon all aspects that affect prices, e.g., distancefrom beach, housing characteristics, nearbyamenities, crime rates, etc.
Relies on assumption that prices are sensitive
to reef quality
T l C t
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Travel Cost
Values direct non-consumptive uses, e.g.,tourism/recreation related benefits
The travel time and cost spent to reach the destination is
construct a demand curve for the coral reef or its services
estimate consumer surplus
Examples:
Total consumer surplus of visitors to Bonaire Marine Park was~US$19.2 million
Value of Vessigny Beach in Trinidad, ~US$202,000
Tra el Cost
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Travel Cost
Disadvantages
Depends on large detailed data sets and
Surveys are expensive and timeconsuming
Reason for traveling to a place may bedifficult to isolatemay not be the reef
Contingent Valuation
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Contingent Valuation
Estimates non-value uses
Uses surveys to determine how much people are:
willingness to pay for a benefit (e.g., improvement in reef condition)
or
willingness to accept to compensate for a loss (e.g., loss in incomefrom reef-related activities)
Examples:
Estimate value of increased coral cover in Montego Bay andCuracao
Estimate consumer surplus for existing reef and reef improvementin Negril Marine Park, Hol Chan & Grand Anse
Contingent Valuation
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Contingent Valuation
Advantages
Doesnt rely on markets or observed behaviour
Applied to any good or service
Disadvantages
Requires large and costly surveys
Complex data sets and analytical techniques
Relies on hypothetical scenarios that may not reflectreality
Highly susceptible to bias as rely on people to state theirpreferences
Gross Value vs Net Benefit
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Gross Value vs Net Benefit
Gross Valueuse revenue only
Net benefitsuse revenue less costs
Net benefits is more correct form ofanalysis
Use net benefits for estimating marginalgains/losses associated with differentconditions of reef health
Economic vs Financial
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Analysis
Economic analysis
uses distortion-free prices to estimate gross revenue/netbenefits (e.g., price without govt subsidy)
Often difficult to get all the required info
Financial analysis
uses observed prices for fuel, labour, etc. to estimate
gross revenue/net benefits
Helps explain how people react
Often used as a first-best proxy for economic analysis
Avoiding Pitfalls
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Avoiding Pitfalls
Use net benefits rather than gross benefits
Include opportunity cost, where necessary
n y use rep acemen cos s n r g c rcums ances
Only use benefits transfer in right circumstances
Dont use estimates of small changes for large
changes
Avoiding Pitfalls
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Avoiding Pitfalls
Be careful of double counting
Only use national benefits when
Adjust price distortions
Do a reality check
Watershed services: supply and demand
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Supply of services:
Upstream land uses affect the Quantity,Quality, and Timing of water flows
Demand for services:
Possible downstreambeneficiaries: Domestic water use Irrigated agriculture Hydroelectric power
Fisheries Recreation Downstream ecosystems
Source: World Bank 2003
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In practice, not so simple
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In practice not so simple
Complex biophysical linkages (Brand 2003)
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Complex biophysical linkages (Brand 2003)
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Use-and non use- of economic valuation to design
payments for ecosystem services
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p y y
Public payments
Costa Rica: $20-44/ha/yr for forest conservation- based on oldsubsidy based on opportunity cost of land use change
USA (Conservation Reserve Program): $50/ha/yr. Opportunity cost
Ecuador: municipal water and electrical utility companies eachdonate 1% of total revenues for watershed protaction (oroginally 5%had been proposed by TNC)
Brazil a water utility in the city of Sao Paulo pays 1% of totalrevenues ($2,500 per month) for the restoration and conservation ofthe Corumbatai watershed. Funds are used to establish tree nurseriesand for reforestation along riverbanks. Payment is outcoem ofpolitical negotiation.
Use-and non use- of economic valuation to design
payments for ecosystem services
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p y y
Private payments
France: US$320/ha/year for 7 years, equivalent to 75% offarm income Opportunity cost and actual cost of switchingagricultural technology
Costa Rica: a hydropower company pays US$10 per ha/year toa local conservation NGO for hydrological services in thePeas Blancas watershed
Australia: Since 1999, farmers in the Murray Darling
watershed pay $AUD 85/ha/yr for forest conservation for 10years or $AUD 17 per million liters of transpired water. Basedon increase in marginal benefits due to reduced soil salinityresulting of 100 ha of reforested area.
Applicability and limitations of economicvaluation
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Economic valuation highlights costs and benefits and cost
bearers and beneficiaries that in the past have been ignored
But for policy makers it may not, and probably will not be, themost important factor. Ecosystem valuation only provides aset of tools with which to make better and more informed
.
Valuation is out of necessity partial. Case studiesunderestimate ecosystem values at larger scale because thelarger scale the more difficult it is to replace the ecosystem
goods and services and interactions are too complex tounderstand impacts of alternatives .
Some ecosystems will never be measurable or quantifiablebecause we do not have the necessary scientific, technical or
economic data
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Key Messages
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It is easy to spend tons of money on valuation.
It is easy to value everything, yet the results of
.
Info on total benefit flows, even if correct, cannotprovide guidance on specific conservation decisionswhich are about making incremental changes inthese flows.
More key messages
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1st. step: ask yourself what is the purpose of theanalysis, who should take its results into account
2nd. ste : what is our bud et can it be ad usted
what capacity is available, which time frame?
3rd. step: which process? Process may be as
important as the result. Consider stakeholders,including policy makers, participation into the study.