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    How much is clean air worth?

    Can you charge somebody fordamaging your air?

    How much are you willing to pay for

    clean air? Should you have to pay for clean air?

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    Have you ever caught a fish off the sea?

    Is cutting down the rainforests efficient? What market incentives are there for

    research on the environment?

    How can the environment be priced and

    Does Indonesia have any mechanisms forvaluing its environment?

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    Lecture Objectives:

    Review Advantages and Limitations ofMarket Economics

    Understand how economics is creatingnew principles and guidelines for

    business activity.

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    Comparing:

    Neo-classical Economics

    Environmental Economics

    Ecolo ical Economics

    To reveal policy implications

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    "Environmental Economics" should not be confused with"Ecological Economics."

    The two fields are related, but are in some ways very different.Most environmental economists have been trained aseconomists. They apply the tools of economics to addressenvironmental problems, many of which are related to so-calledmarket failures--circumstances wherein the "invisible hand" ofeconomics is unreliable.

    ,but have expanded the scope of their work to consider theimpacts of humans and their economic activity on ecologicalsystems and services, and vice-versa. This field takes as itspremise that economics is a strict subfield of ecology. Ecological

    economics is sometimes described as taking a more pluralisticapproach to environmental problems and focuses more explicitlyon long-term environmental sustainability and issues of scale.

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    What is an economy supposed to

    do?

    What is the Neo-classical

    approach?

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    What is a market?

    A system of exchange

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    What is exchanged?

    Resources: land, labor, capital

    (ie. goods or services in some

    orm

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    How does the market work?

    Matchin of su l anddemand

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    Why is the market such a good system?

    Optimal use of resources: buyers force

    competition on suppliers; greatest return for theefforts of suppliers

    Pareto efficiency: a situation where it isimpossible to make one person better off without

    making anyone else worse off Meaning: allocation of resources to the uses

    that will bring the greatest overall increase inproduction and monetary value by matching

    producers with the highest bidders

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    What enables the

    market to work?

    Price or Value setting

    Profit motivePrivate property

    Government and otherregulating institutions

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    Does the market operate

    perfectly?

    1. General Market Failures:

    Monopoly;

    information as mmetr missing markets;

    transaction costs.

    k l

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    Market Failures What company did you buy your air from?

    How much did you pay for your air? How was thatprice set?

    How clean was the air you bought? How do youknow?

    How can a com an sto other com anies fromdirtying its air? What can you do if someonemakes your air dirty after you bought it?

    What rate of return should a company expect to

    get from investing in air quality?

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    2. Environmental Market Failures:

    Failure to value the environment:

    unpriced use values; option values; existencevalues; bequest values

    Lack of information

    Common Access Resources/Sinks

    Discounting the future

    Missing Markets

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    Externalities

    An unintended cost or benefit ofproduction or consumption that is not

    reflected in the price of the relatedransac ons. x erna es are o enborne by people who are not parties tothe transactions that create them.

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    Externalities

    Define the externalities of yourcompany: who are the parties to the

    monetary transaction and who or whatpays or e mpac s o e ransac on

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    Discounting the Future withNet Present Value (NPV)

    NPV = x/(1+.10)nyrs

    X + your present money value

    .

    nyrs = the power of how many years down the future

    you are looking at

    NPV of 100 dollars in five years with a discount rate

    of 10% is 100/(1+.10)5 or $62.09

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    Environmental Economics: From

    Market Failure to Government Failure

    Limited information of how to deal withspecific environmental problems (of area orindustry) and of firms capability to deal with

    or hide environmental impact Limited resources to regulate, monitor and

    enforce

    Command and Control regulations:

    uniform standards and technologies

    P li G id li f E i l E i

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    Policy Guidelines from Environmental Economics:

    I. Benefits of Using the Market (as

    opposed to Command and Control) 1. Cost effectiveness: example, emission

    trading credits

    2. Substitution and technolo ical advance:example, green taxes

    3. Other institution/market based schemes:

    deposit refund schemes, environmentalbonds, transferable quotas, transfer ofdevelopment rights.

    P li G id li f E i t l E i

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    Policy Guidelines from Environmental Economics

    II. Better Valuation of Non-

    market Valued Assets 1. Financial Costs

    2. Averting Behavior For: Better 3. Travel Cost Method

    4. Hedonic Pricing

    5. Contingent Evaluation

    Cost-Benefit

    Analysis,

    regulations,fines

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    Environmental Economics andEcological Economics

    Weak vs. Strong

    Sustainability

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    The Environmental Economics Trade off

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    The Environmental Economics Trade-off

    Neo-classical Environmental

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    Economy H

    M

    E E

    M

    S

    Recycle?

    Empty World

    Economy

    M

    E E

    M

    S

    Recycle

    Economics World

    Figure 1: The Economy as an Open Subsystem of the Ecosystem

    (Daly 1996:49).

    S = solar energy H = heat M = matter E = energy

    natural capital man-made capital

    Ecosystem

    Ecosystem H

    Ecosystem

    Environmental Ecological Economics

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    Economy

    M

    E E

    M

    S

    Recycle

    Economics World

    EconomyE

    M M

    E

    S

    Recycle

    Full World

    H H

    Figure 1: The Economy as an Open Subsystem of the Ecosystem

    (Daly 1996:49).

    S = solar energy H = heat M = matter E = energy

    natural capital man-made capital

    EcosystemEcosystem

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    Substitutability vs. Complementarity

    Manufactured andknowledge capital fornatural capital

    Land, labor and capital

    Manufactured capitaldepends on natural capital

    Uniqueness, uncertainty

    Same service bydifferent product

    Technological fixes Ecosystem resilience

    Ecosystem services

    Growth outpaces

    substitution Ecosystem fragility

    li fl f

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    Policy Influences from

    Ecological Economics

    Strict demands for environmental protection

    reflected in:

    Environmental impact assessmentNatural preservation areas (parks, reserves)

    Absolute limitations on chemicals

    P li G id li f

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    Policy Guidelines from

    Ecological Economics

    1. Daly Rule

    2. Index of Sustainable Economice are

    3. Ecological tariffs on free trade

    4. Community based sustainabilitythrough self-sufficiency anddiversification

    P li G id li f

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    Policy Guidelines from

    Ecological Economics

    1. Daly Rule: "Never reduce the stock

    of natural capital below a level that

    generates a susta ne y e un ess goo

    substitutes are available for the

    services generated."

    Index of Sustainable Economic Welfare

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    Index of Sustainable Economic Welfare

    ISEW=

    total output+ unpaid work

    - environmental destruction anddegradation

    - environmental improvementmeasures

    - depreciation of human-made

    capital+/- welfare distribution effect

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    Free Trade Limitations

    Regional specialization obscures viewof resource exploitation, depressesecological and social laws, weakens

    terms of trade and im overisheslandholders

    Externalities from the shipping of goods

    around the world Therefore, tariffs to compensate or

    reduce free trade

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    Community Based Development

    Community rather than corporations orgovernment creates social conditions(wants and needs) that limit impacts

    Greater self-sufficiency throughdecentralized control

    Local synergies for recycling andenergy reduction

    Ethical bonds amongst businesscommunity

    Summing up:

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    Summing up:

    Market success in exchange efficiency Market failures in: valuation, common access,

    externalities, and discount rate

    Environmental economics guidelines: cost

    effectiveness and market-based incentives Ecological economics guidelines: limiting

    growth to within global and local ecosystems

    *therefore reducing throughput of

    economy within ecological carrying capacity

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    l i l

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    Total Economic Value

    Total Economic Value

    Use Values Non-Use Values

    Direct Use Values Indirect Use Values

    Consumptive/Extractive Uses

    Non-Consumptive/Non-Extractive Uses

    Direct values

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    Outputs that can be consumed or processed

    directly, such as timber, fodder, fuel, non-timber

    forest products, meat, medicines, wild foods, etc.

    Indirect valuesEcological services, such as flood control,

    regulation of water flows and supplies, nutrient

    retention, climate regulation, etc.

    USE

    VALUES

    Existence valuesIntrinsic value of resources and landscapes,

    irrespective of its use such as cultural,

    aesthetic, bequest significance, etc.

    Option valuesPremium placed on maintaining resources and

    landscapes for future possible direct and indirect

    uses, some of which may not be known now.

    NON-USE

    VALUES

    Market PricesDirect values

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    Market PricesGoods and products

    Indirect values

    Ecosystem services

    Effect on Production

    Replacement Costs

    Productivity &

    cost-based approaches

    Option valuesExistence values

    Direct values

    Nature tourism

    Substitutes

    Cost of Avoided

    Damage

    Travel Costs

    Contingent Valuation

    Surrogate market & statedpreference approaches

    Selecting the appropriate valuation technique

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    Selecting the appropriate valuation technique

    Environmental Impact

    Measurable change

    in production

    Change in environmental

    quality

    Yes

    Nondistorted market

    Habitat

    Opportunity-

    Air and waterquality

    No

    Cost-

    Health effects

    Sickness Death

    Recreation

    Travel cost

    Aesthetic,Biodiversity,Cultural,Historicalassets

    Use change-in-

    productivityapproach

    Use surrogatemarket

    approaches,apply shadow

    prices tochanges in

    production

    Yes No Replacement

    cost approach

    Land valueapproaches

    Contingent

    Valuation

    effectivenessof prevention

    Preventive

    expenditure

    Replacement/relocation

    costs

    Medical

    costs

    Loss ofearnings

    Human

    capital

    CEA ofprevention

    Contingent

    valuationContingen

    Valuation

    ContingentValuation

    Hedonicwage

    approach

    ContingentValuation

    Cost-Revealed Stated

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    Surrogate

    Market

    Approaches

    Productivity

    Approach

    Market

    Price

    Method

    Based

    Methods

    Preference

    Methods

    Preference

    Methods

    Travel

    Costs

    Hedonic

    Pricing

    Effect on

    ProductionReplacemen

    t Costs

    Cost of

    providingsubstitute

    services

    Damage cost

    avoided

    Market

    Prices

    Contingent

    Valuation

    Conjoint

    Analysis

    Choice

    Experiments

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    Ecosystems products and services

    Products

    Food Fuel wood Non-timber forest products

    Functions/Services

    Hydrological services

    Purification of water Capture, storage and release of surface

    and groundwater

    Marine products Wetlands products Medicinal and biomedical products Forage and agricultural products Water

    Reeds Building material

    Biodiversity

    Maintenance of biodiversity (plants andanimals)

    Climate

    Partial stabilization of climate throughcarbon sequestration

    Moderation of temperature extremesand the force of winds and waves

    Market Prices/Production

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    /Function

    Also known as net benefits

    Values direct uses, e.g., fisheries, tourism/rec

    Uses market rices to determine value Should include both revenue and costs of providing the

    service

    Example:

    Used to estimate the economic value of the commercial reeffishery in Belize~US$1.9mill net return on investment in 1998

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    Market Prices

    Advantages

    Easy to use

    Little modelling or statistical analysis

    Disadvantages

    Many goods/services do not have markets orhave highly distorted markets

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    h d

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    Change in Production

    Advantages

    Applicable to a wide range of goods and services

    Difficult to collect data to accurately predict bio-physical response relationships

    May be other market impacts that need to beincluded, e.g., change productionpriceschangepeople switch to different good

    R l C

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    Replacement Cost

    Values indirect uses, e.g., shoreline protection

    Cost of infrastructure for coastal protection is aproxy for the protection provided by coral reefs

    Example:

    ~US$91,000 in coastal defenses had to be built onTarawa Atoll, Kiribati to replace coral reef protection

    R l C

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    Replacement Cost

    Advantages

    Simple to apply and analysis

    Useful when there is limited time/finances available Disadvantages

    Difficult to find perfect replacements that provide thesame quality as the coral reef.

    It is questionable as whether (total) expenditure wouldbe made if resource disappeared

    A id d D

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    Avoided Damages

    Also known as Stock at Risk

    Values indirect uses, e.g., shoreline protection

    Value based on the damage that is avoided by presence ofthe coral reef

    This is a proxy for the protection provided by coral reefs

    Example:

    Annual cost of erosion from coral mining in Sri Lanka ranged from~US$160-172,000/km2 of reef, depending on land prices andlanduses.

    A id d D

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    Avoided Damages

    Disadvantages

    Values are hypothetical

    Never sure whether the damages wouldever occur

    H d i P i i

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    Hedonic Pricing

    Values non-consumptive direct uses and indirect uses,e.g., shoreline protection, enjoyment of a clean beach andhealthy reef

    service (e.g., presence of a reef or clean beach)

    Typically uses property values or wage rates

    Example: Used to value the benefit of coral reefs on Kihei Coast, Hawaii

    65% of total annual reef economic benefitbased on propertyvalue

    H d i P i i

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    Hedonic Pricing

    Disadvantages

    Need large data sets and detailed informationon all aspects that affect prices, e.g., distancefrom beach, housing characteristics, nearbyamenities, crime rates, etc.

    Relies on assumption that prices are sensitive

    to reef quality

    T l C t

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    Travel Cost

    Values direct non-consumptive uses, e.g.,tourism/recreation related benefits

    The travel time and cost spent to reach the destination is

    construct a demand curve for the coral reef or its services

    estimate consumer surplus

    Examples:

    Total consumer surplus of visitors to Bonaire Marine Park was~US$19.2 million

    Value of Vessigny Beach in Trinidad, ~US$202,000

    Tra el Cost

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    Travel Cost

    Disadvantages

    Depends on large detailed data sets and

    Surveys are expensive and timeconsuming

    Reason for traveling to a place may bedifficult to isolatemay not be the reef

    Contingent Valuation

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    Contingent Valuation

    Estimates non-value uses

    Uses surveys to determine how much people are:

    willingness to pay for a benefit (e.g., improvement in reef condition)

    or

    willingness to accept to compensate for a loss (e.g., loss in incomefrom reef-related activities)

    Examples:

    Estimate value of increased coral cover in Montego Bay andCuracao

    Estimate consumer surplus for existing reef and reef improvementin Negril Marine Park, Hol Chan & Grand Anse

    Contingent Valuation

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    Contingent Valuation

    Advantages

    Doesnt rely on markets or observed behaviour

    Applied to any good or service

    Disadvantages

    Requires large and costly surveys

    Complex data sets and analytical techniques

    Relies on hypothetical scenarios that may not reflectreality

    Highly susceptible to bias as rely on people to state theirpreferences

    Gross Value vs Net Benefit

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    Gross Value vs Net Benefit

    Gross Valueuse revenue only

    Net benefitsuse revenue less costs

    Net benefits is more correct form ofanalysis

    Use net benefits for estimating marginalgains/losses associated with differentconditions of reef health

    Economic vs Financial

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    Analysis

    Economic analysis

    uses distortion-free prices to estimate gross revenue/netbenefits (e.g., price without govt subsidy)

    Often difficult to get all the required info

    Financial analysis

    uses observed prices for fuel, labour, etc. to estimate

    gross revenue/net benefits

    Helps explain how people react

    Often used as a first-best proxy for economic analysis

    Avoiding Pitfalls

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    Avoiding Pitfalls

    Use net benefits rather than gross benefits

    Include opportunity cost, where necessary

    n y use rep acemen cos s n r g c rcums ances

    Only use benefits transfer in right circumstances

    Dont use estimates of small changes for large

    changes

    Avoiding Pitfalls

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    Avoiding Pitfalls

    Be careful of double counting

    Only use national benefits when

    Adjust price distortions

    Do a reality check

    Watershed services: supply and demand

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    Supply of services:

    Upstream land uses affect the Quantity,Quality, and Timing of water flows

    Demand for services:

    Possible downstreambeneficiaries: Domestic water use Irrigated agriculture Hydroelectric power

    Fisheries Recreation Downstream ecosystems

    Source: World Bank 2003

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    In practice, not so simple

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    In practice not so simple

    Complex biophysical linkages (Brand 2003)

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    Complex biophysical linkages (Brand 2003)

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    Use-and non use- of economic valuation to design

    payments for ecosystem services

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    p y y

    Public payments

    Costa Rica: $20-44/ha/yr for forest conservation- based on oldsubsidy based on opportunity cost of land use change

    USA (Conservation Reserve Program): $50/ha/yr. Opportunity cost

    Ecuador: municipal water and electrical utility companies eachdonate 1% of total revenues for watershed protaction (oroginally 5%had been proposed by TNC)

    Brazil a water utility in the city of Sao Paulo pays 1% of totalrevenues ($2,500 per month) for the restoration and conservation ofthe Corumbatai watershed. Funds are used to establish tree nurseriesand for reforestation along riverbanks. Payment is outcoem ofpolitical negotiation.

    Use-and non use- of economic valuation to design

    payments for ecosystem services

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    p y y

    Private payments

    France: US$320/ha/year for 7 years, equivalent to 75% offarm income Opportunity cost and actual cost of switchingagricultural technology

    Costa Rica: a hydropower company pays US$10 per ha/year toa local conservation NGO for hydrological services in thePeas Blancas watershed

    Australia: Since 1999, farmers in the Murray Darling

    watershed pay $AUD 85/ha/yr for forest conservation for 10years or $AUD 17 per million liters of transpired water. Basedon increase in marginal benefits due to reduced soil salinityresulting of 100 ha of reforested area.

    Applicability and limitations of economicvaluation

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    Economic valuation highlights costs and benefits and cost

    bearers and beneficiaries that in the past have been ignored

    But for policy makers it may not, and probably will not be, themost important factor. Ecosystem valuation only provides aset of tools with which to make better and more informed

    .

    Valuation is out of necessity partial. Case studiesunderestimate ecosystem values at larger scale because thelarger scale the more difficult it is to replace the ecosystem

    goods and services and interactions are too complex tounderstand impacts of alternatives .

    Some ecosystems will never be measurable or quantifiablebecause we do not have the necessary scientific, technical or

    economic data

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    Key Messages

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    It is easy to spend tons of money on valuation.

    It is easy to value everything, yet the results of

    .

    Info on total benefit flows, even if correct, cannotprovide guidance on specific conservation decisionswhich are about making incremental changes inthese flows.

    More key messages

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    1st. step: ask yourself what is the purpose of theanalysis, who should take its results into account

    2nd. ste : what is our bud et can it be ad usted

    what capacity is available, which time frame?

    3rd. step: which process? Process may be as

    important as the result. Consider stakeholders,including policy makers, participation into the study.