Poor matching of prevention programs with risk factors for delinquency Poor targeting of serious, violent and chronic offenders Little use of risk and needs assessments Poor matching of offenders with the level of service Over-use of detention and incarceration Comprehensive Strategy for Juvenile Delinquency Problem Behavior > Noncriminal Misbehavior > Delinquency > Serious, Violent, and Chronic Offending Prevention Target Population: At-Risk Youth Preventing youth from becoming delinquent by focusing prevention programs on at-risk youth Graduated Sanctions Target Population: Delinquent Youth Improving the juvenile justice system response to delinquent offenders through a system of graduated sanctions and a continuum of treatment alternatives >>>>>> Programs for All Youth Programs for Youth at Greatest Risk Immediate Intervention Intermediate Sanctions Community Confinement Training Schools Aftercare Risk/protective factors in the individual, family, peer group, school, neighborhood Conduct Disorder Early Delinquency Serious and Violent Juvenile Offending Prevention Intervention Comprehensive Strategy Mantra Research- based Data- driven Outcome- focused Non-Serious Non-Violent Non-Chronic 64% Serious 34% Chronic 15% Violent 8% C,S & V 4% Source: Snyder (1998) Maricopa Co. Study (N=151,209) Juvenile Offender Court Careers Defiance/Disobedience Stubborn Behavior Authority Conflict Pathway (Before Age 12) Authority Avoidance (truancy, running away, staying out late) Minor Covert Behavior (shoplifting, frequent lying) Covert Pathway Minor Aggression (bullying, annoying others) Overt Pathway Physical Fighting (physical fighting, gang fighting) Property Damage (vandalism, firesetting) Violence (rape, attack, strongarm) Moderate to Serious Delinquency (fraud, burglary, serious theft) Age of Onset Late % Boys Few Pathways to Boys Chronic, Serious, Violent Delinquency EarlyMany Developed by the Jordan Institute for Families Risk factors, indicators, & data are accessible online: Individual Risk Factors Birth6711 1216 Constitutional Factors Behavior problems in school Academic failure Early conduct problems Gang membership Birth6711 1216 Constitutional Factors Behavior problems in school Academic failure Early conduct problems Gang membership Family Risk Factors Birth6711 1216 Prenatal factors Family management problems Parent problems Family conflict & disruption Birth6711 1216 Prenatal factors Family management problems Parent problems Family conflict & disruption Peer Group Risk Factors Birth6711 1216 Peer rejection Peer delinquent behavior Birth6711 1216 Peer rejection Peer delinquent behavior School-level Risk Factors Birth6711 1216 School & classroom size Disruptive school environment Birth6711 1216 School & classroom size Disruptive school environment Community Risk Factors Birth6711 1216 Impoverished neighborhood Community drug & alcohol use Community crime & violence Presence of gangs Availability of guns Birth6711 1216 Impoverished neighborhood Community drug & alcohol use Community crime & violence Presence of gangs Availability of guns Sample 31% Offenses 82% Rochester Sample 14% Offenses 79% Denver Sample 15% Offenses (Robberies Only) Offenses (Robberies Only) 85% Seattle Source: Thornberry, 1998 Source: Lynskey et al. (2000); NB: Ever or current members of a delinquent gang 12% 17% 28% 23% 20% Increasing SanctionsDecreasing Sanctions Diversion Youth Court Probation Intensive PS CB Resid. Residential Placement Intensive PS Probation Group Counseling Mentoring Day/Eve Report. Detention screening instruments Intake screening instruments Research-based risk risk assessments Objective assessments of youth and family strengths and needs A placement matrix for recommending court dispositions Standardized case plans Routine assessment of case plan progress DJJDP has a validated risk assessment instrument DJJDP has a needs/strengths assessment instrument The JJ Reform Act provided a Disposition Matrix The Disposition Matrix and risk assessment instrument are functioning well in guiding offender placements A disposition matrix organizes sanctions and programs by risk level and offense severity. It places offenders along a continuum of programs and sanctions Research shows that a reliable risk assessment instrument predicts different recidivism rates at various risk levels. Low risk offenders are placed in community programs with minimal supervision Medium risk offenders are typically placed in more structured community programs with intensive probation supervision High risk offenders may be placed in Youth Development Centers Offender Disposition Matrix Risk Level OffenseLowMediumHigh ViolentLevel 2 or 3Level 3 SeriousLevel 1 or 2Level 2Level 2 or 3 MinorLevel 1Level 1 or 2Level 2 Level 1 Community Level 2 Intermediate Level 3 Commitment to Youth Development Center Dispositional Levels Risk Level by Disposition Low MediumHigh Total % % % % Level 1 Community 65% 31%3%100% Level 2 Intermediate 27%47%26% 100% Level 3 Commitment7%23%70% 100% Protective Supervision 47%49%4%100% Total49%38%14% 100% Disposition of Court Referrals by Risk Level DJJDP & JCPCs have responsibility for evaluating JCPC-funded programs DJJDP has responsibility for identifying best practices Most juvenile justice programs reduce recidivism--at least slightly. The most practical and cost-effective approach is to improve existing programs. This can be done by applying research-based knowledge of the features of effective programs. Four Main Characteristics Of Effective Programs 1. The Program Type (primary intervention) 2. Supplementary Services 3. Amount of Service 4. Characteristics of Clients Number of Favorable Characteristics Distribution of Programs Percentage of Change in Recidivism 07%+12% 150%-2 % 227%-10% 315%-20% 42%-24% What is it? A practical method for evaluating juvenile justice and delinquency prevention programs against best practices The SPEP provides a scheme (protocol) for assigning points to programs according to how closely their characteristics match those associated with the best outcomes in research. How was the SPEP developed? The SPEP contains the main features of effective evaluated programs. Point allocations are based on research results that are standardized across studies, showing the added increment of delinquency reduction each program feature produces, on average. It is not a whole blueprint for a program. It measures only the delinquency reduction potential a program type has, on average, based on prior research. It will not provide a treatment plan for individual clients, only a framework within which treatment can be planned. Primary Program Types for SPEPs (A separate SPEP for each) Individual counseling Group counseling Family counseling Parent training/counseling Restitution Interpersonal skills Tutoring/remedial education Mentoring Employment related Drug/alcohol therapy/counseling Other Services that may Supplement Primary Programs Behavior management Life skills Intensive supervision Cognitive behavioral Prevention Programs: Service Categories Effective, and above average Parent training/counseling Interpersonal skills training Tutoring Effective, and about average Group counseling Drug/alcohol therapy/counseling Employment-related Effective, but below average Individual counseling Mentoring Family counseling Court Supervised Delinquency Programs: Service Categories Effective, and above average Family counseling Tutoring Mentoring Effective, and about average Parent training/counseling Interpersonal skills training Drug/alcohol therapy/counseling Effective, but below average Individual counseling Group counseling Employment-related Restitution Three Sets of SPEPs for the NC Juvenile Justice Continuum Delinquency Prevention Court Delinquency Supervision Commitment Programming & Aftercare Expected Recidivism with Features of Effective Prevention Programs Comparable Juvs not in Evaluated Program30% Average Prevention Program in Database27% Effective, Above Average Program (EAP)25% EAP+Best Supplemental Service (BSS)20% EAP+BSS+Optimal Service Amount (OSA)17% EAP+BSS+OSA+Appropriate Clients13% Comparable Juveniles not in a Program40% Average Supervision Program in Database34% Effective, Above Average Program (EAP)32% EAP+Best Supplemental Service (BSS)28% EAP+BSS+Optimal Service Amount (OSA)24% EAP+BSS+OSA+Appropriate Clients21% PROGRAM IMPROVEMENT & CONTINUUM BUILDING PROCESS Academic Achievement Drug Health Education Group Counseling Behavioral Management Individual Counseling Interpersonal Skills Cognitive Behavior