° ° natural gas business overview antonio castro executive manager gas & energy
TRANSCRIPT
° °
Natural Gas Business Overview
Antonio CastroExecutive Manager
Gas & Energy
AGENDA
The Brazilian Natural Gas Market
Investments in Natural Gas Infrastructure
The Role of LNG
New Policy for Gas Contracts
Natural Gas Integration with Electric System
Brazilian Natural Gas Market
(1) Others: vehicular, residencial, commercial, refinaries e fertilizer plants.
(2) Considering Maximum Dispatch of every thermoeletric power plant
25,3
42,1
17,5
43,9 (1)
72,9
30,0
31,1
48,0 (2)
5,50
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2007 2012
Thermoeletric Industry
Million m3/dMillion m3/d
134,0 134,0
48,3
10,7% p.y.
E&P
Bolívia
LNG
Supply 2012
@ 9.400 kcal/m3
Brazilian Natural Gas Market – 2012 Supply and Demand
Others
6%4%
1%2%
26%
58%
2%
Business Plan 2008-2012 - Investments
29,6
4,3
E&P RTC G&EPetroquímica Distribuição
Nota: Inclui Internacional
65,1
2,6 2,61,5
* US$ 97,4 billions Brazil (87%) and US$ 15,0 billions International (13%)
Business Segment Investment*Natural Gas Stream Investiment (Brazil):
US$ 18,2 billions
4,3
BiofuelCorporateDistributionPetrochemical
1%
1%
8%
63%
27%
E&P
RTC
G&E
Internacional
Distribution
11,6
1,4
0,1
0,1
5,0
US$ 112,4 billionUS$ 112,4 billion
US$ 18,2 billion on the natural gas streamUS$ 18,2 billion on the natural gas stream
US$ 6,7 billion in the Gas and Energy SegmentUS$ 6,7 billion in the Gas and Energy Segment
6,7
28
45,7
64,1
71,1 71,3 70,8
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Parque das Conchas
Parque das Conchas
Marlim LesteP-53
Marlim LesteP-53
FradeFrade
RoncadorP-52
RoncadorP-52
RoncadorP-54
RoncadorP-54
Marlim SulMódulo 2
P-51
Marlim SulMódulo 2
P-51
Rio de JaneiroEspadarte Mód IIRio de Janeiro
Espadarte Mód II
Cidade NiteróiJabuti
(FPSO)
Cidade NiteróiJabuti
(FPSO)
Cidade de VitóriaGolfinho Mód. 2
Cidade de VitóriaGolfinho Mód. 2
Marlim SulMódulo 3 - P-56
Marlim SulMódulo 3 - P-56Albacora
(water injection)
Albacora(water injection)
Barracuda
(infill drilling)
Barracuda
(infill drilling)
Espadarte
Módulo 3
Espadarte
Módulo 3
Jubarte
P-57
Jubarte
P-57
Peroá-CangoáPeroá-Cangoá
Urucu Urucu
CanapuCanapu
MexilhãoMexilhão
Uruguá -TambaúUruguá -Tambaú
Non-associeted natural gas
Associated natural gas
CamarupimCamarupim
LagostaLagosta
Million m3d
Bacia Campos Bacia Campos
ManatiManati
PirapitangaPirapitanga
Domestic Natural Gas Supply
General view: Production, imports and pipeline grid expansion
Existing Pipeline
Pipeline beingimplemented
Manaus
Belém
Recife
Cacimbas – Catu
Caraguatatuba – Taubaté
Brasília
Catu – Itaporanga
Gasduc III
Gaspal II / Gasan II
Urucu-Coari-Manaus
Gasbel II
Japeri-Reduc
Pilar-Ipojuca
LNG Terminals
Gasbol Sul - ExpansionNatural Gas Production Basins
Salvador
Pipeline Extension
2003 – 5.804 km
2006 – 5.877 km
2007 – 6.511 km
2008 – 7.777 km
2009 – 8.620 km
2010 – 9.621 km
+ 3.817 km
Paulinia - Jacutinga
Pipeline construction
COARI – MANAUS Pipeline CATU – ITAPORANGA Pipeline
Tubes for CACIMBAS-CATU Pipeline
millions m3/dmillions m3/d21
,5 23,1
22,8
22,8 23,5 25
,1
25,0 27
,1 29,2 29,8
29,9
29,7
31,0
31,2
31,5
31,5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2007 2008
PlanejadoRealizado
Jan
Fev
Mar
Abr
Mai
Jun Jul
Ago
Set
Out
Nov Dez Jan
Fev
Mar
Abr
Mai
Jun Jul
Ago
Set
Out
Nov Dez
Natural Gas imports from Bolivia
PlannedActual
Flexible LNG Opportunity
The current LNG market scenario allows short term contracts, creating opportunities to this new alternative to import LNG, with reduced fixed costs.
Assist on the adjusting of the supply to the Brazilian market characteristics: Steady and continuous supply to the residential, industrial
and automotive demand. Flexible supply (guaranteed) to the power plants.
Other benefits: Faster implementation. Failure risk mitigation to the natural gas supply due to
problems on production and delays on projects under development.
Diversification of the import sources of natural gas.
Flexible LNG Terminal Concept
Regasification VesselCarrier Ship
LNG
Pier
GUANABARA BAY TERMINAL
Includes the construction of a LNG jetty, with 2 berths, inside the Bay. Regasification capacity of up to 14MMm³/d and delivery to the grid
through a 16km pipeline (submarine + on-shore).
LNG Terminal
28” PIPELINE
Terminal Location at Guanabara Bay
Pier Construction
Regasification capacity of up to 7 MMm³/d and delivery of Natural Gas to the grid through a 20km pipeline.
PECEM TERMINAL
PECÉM JETTY #2
Pecem Port
ASSEMBLAGE OF THE FIRST LOADING ARM
REGAS Vessels
Golar Spirit Delivered on: June 11th, 2008 Max. Send-out : 7 MMm³/d Storage Capacity: 129,000 m³
Golar Winter Delivery: May, 2009 Max. Send-out: 14 MMm³/d Storage Capacity: 138,000 m³
Master Agreements – MSA (short term / spot arrangement)
• Price and volume to be negotiated
• Executed with Nigeria LNG (NLNG), Sonatrach, Total, Suez, Endesa, BG, Mitsui, Marubeni, Sumitomo and Shell
• Other 20 potential suppliers – under negotiations
• Optimization of the supply for the LNG terminals
• Contracts are hybrid model between MSA (short term/spot) and SPA (long term) security + flexibility
Firm Supply Agreements
• First Cargo – BG Group
• Terminal Commissioning Cargo – BG Group
• Flexible Supply for 2008 onwards (Possibility of Cancellation and guaranteed supply)
LNG Supply Agreements
Firm Flexible:Firm Flexible:
Natural gas delivery can be suspended for a while (*), during which it will be replaced with another fuel, mostly commonly fuel oil.
Firm Inflexible: Firm Inflexible:
This cathegory bears a firm supply, with a delivery warranty from the supplier.
New Natural Gas Contract Modalities
Interruptible:Interruptible:
If necessary, delivery can be suspended for a while (*). There will be no fuel replacement in this case, but prices in this cathegory reflect that.
Preferential (Thermal Power Plants)Preferential (Thermal Power Plants)
In this cathegory, consumers (thermal power plants only) have the option to buy the natural gas when they will be consuming, subject to a previous notice.
(*) natural gas is alocated to thermoeletric dispatch
41,5%
CIGÁSCIGÁS
41,5%
83,0%
41,5%41,5%
41,5%
41,5%
41,5%
41,5%
100,0%
37,4%
41,0%
24,5%
32,0%
49,0%
34,46%
GASMARGASMAR
GASPISAGASPISA 37,25%37,25%
23,5%23,5%
GASAPGASAP37,3%37,3%
49,0%
34,46%
40%
Participation in 20 LDCs (total = 27). Market-share in 2007 = 45%
GÁS DO PARÁGÁS DO PARÁ
Source: Abegás
Natural Gas Distribution
Regulated by ANP
Production Imports Distribution Natural Gas Consumers
Thermal Power Plants
Hidro Power Plants
Transmission
Electricity Consumers
Distribution
Process
Integration between Natural Gas and Power Generation
Regulated by ANEEL
Petrobras Power Generation Units
17 Thermal Power Plants: 5,1 mil MW
RômuloAlmeida138 MW
Celso Furtado185 MW
Termoceará220 MWDUAL-FUEL
Aurel. Chaves 226 MW
Mário Lago922 MW
Gover. LeonelBrizola
1.043 MW
Fernando Gasparian370 MW
Bahia I31 MW (fuel oil)
Luís Carlos Prestes252 MW
Sepé Tiaraju160 MWDUAL FUEL
Juiz de Fora84 MW
Barbosa Lima Sobrinho386 MWDUAL-FUEL
Termocabo48 MW (fuel oil)
Araucária484 MW
Petrolina 128 MW (fuel oil)
Euzébio Rocha370 MW
Jesus SoaresPereira
340 MW
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Huge investments throughout the Natural Gas chain
Need for supply and demand adequacy (strong influence from
thermal power plants dispatching)
LNG and new Natural Gas Contracts aiming at flexibility
Final Comments
CHALLENGE IS OUR CHALLENGE IS OUR ENERGY ENERGY
Thank you very much for your Attention