2013. 7.

:

.

2013. 7.

: ( )

: ( )

( )

( )

( )

( )

1 1

2 3

1 () 3

1. 3

2. 3

3. 6

4. 9

5. 11

2 () 12

1. 12

2. OECD 14

3. OECD 20

4. 31

3 33

1 () 33

1. 33

2. 35

3. 51

4. 52

5. 53

2 () 56

1. 56

2. 57

3. 60

4. 71

5. 72

6. , , 73

7. 76

3 () 79

1. 79

2. 79

3. 81

4. : ()( 2006. 9. 26

93068) 86

5. 88

6. : 97

7. 99

4 () 101

1. 101

2. 101

3. 103

4. 109

5. 131

6. 132

5 () 134

1. 134

2. :

(alternatives at at-will employment) 139

3. (plan) 145

4. :

149

5. 154

4 155

1 155

1. 155

2. 156

2 164

1. 164

2. 165

166

() 7

8

14

OECD 1: 16

OECD 2: 17

OECD 3: 18

OECD (version) 19

19

1998-2008 OECD 21

1998-2008 OECD : 24

1998-2008 OECD : 27

(2010, ABC) 74

()(, %) 84

163

[ 2-1] 4

[ 2-2] 5

[ 2-3] 1990 2008 : () () 6

[ 2-4] 2013 OECD 23

[ 2-5] 2013 OECD 25

[ 2-6] 2013 OECD 28

[ 2-7] 2013 OECD 29

[ 2-8] 2008-2013 30

[ 3-1] (, , ABC) 74

[ 3-2] 85

- 1 -

1

,

,

.

.

1997

IMF ,

15

. ,

.

.

, ,

.

.

,

,

,

.

.

- 2 -

,

OECD

,

.

,

, , , .

.

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,

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,

,

. ,

,

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, .

,

.

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2

1

1.

.

.

. . ,

.

.

.

,

.

.

. .

.

. , .

.

. , .

, .

2.

. 1990

1980

- 4 -

. 1990

, .

,

.

. , 1980

,

.

[ 2-1]

()

()

- 5 -

[ 2-2]

.

2008

. ( 2-3 ).

1993 2007 .

()

()

- 6 -

[ 2-3] 1990 2008 : () ()

. 2008

2008 .

( ) .

.

.

,

.

.

3.

. (cross country analysis)

. .

,

.

- 7 -

.

, ( )

.

,

.

,

.

, ,

(Bertola and Rogerson, 1997 ; Boeri, 1996) .

.

.

. ,

.

()

(Stock) (flow)

Emerson (1988) ? ?

Bertola (1990) ? ? ?

Lazear (1990) +

Grubb and Wells (1993)

Garibaldi et al. (1994) ? ? ?

Addison & Grosso (1996) ? ?

Jackman, et al (1996) ? ?

Gregg & Manning (1997) ? ?

Boeri (1999) ? ? +

Di Tella & McCulloch (1998)

OECD (1998) ? ? ?

Kuglar & StPaul (2000) +

Belot & van Ours (2001)

Nickell et al. (2005) ? ?

: ? , , +

: Boeri and van Ours (2008), p.212, Table 10.3.

- 8 -

. (Within country studies)

,

, () (

) .

(difference-in-difference) .

Boeri and Jimeo (2005) ( )

. 15

.

15

.

(%)

15 1.7 0.8 0.9

15 0.9 2.2 -1.3

0.8 -1.4 2.2

: Boeri and Jimeo (2005)

.

1.4% .

.

1.4% . , 0.8%

. -1.4% +0.8% ,

2.2% .

Boeri and Jimeo (2005)

. 1990 15

, 1990 .

( ) .

- 9 -

1990 Kugler and Pica (2006,

2008), Cingano et al. (2008) ,

.

employment at will ( ,

) 1970 ,

. Autor et al. (2007) ,

.

1989 , 20 .

Martins (2009) , .

2001 , 10

(seniority rule). Below and Thoursie (2010)

. .

.

. ,

1.4%

, ,

1.4% .

.

,

,

,

.

4.

. : Blanchard and Tirole

Blanchard and Tirole (2003, 2008)

. (1)

- 10 -

(2) , .

(layoff tax) ,

.

.

,

, 1 . ( = / ). ,

(layoff tax)

.

.

1 . ,

. .

.

.

.

, (

) , ,

.

OECD ,

( ), .

, ,

.

.

, .

.

. (, ,

- 11 -

, ) .

5.

.

.

,

.

.

.

(2013)

1-2

, 3 .

,

.

1980 .

.

, R&D , ,

.

1990 ,

, , (, )

. ,

.

- 12 -

2 1)

1.

( : hiring and firing)

.

(legislation) , ,

,

.2)

.

(OECD) 1980

, (Employment Protection Legislation Index)

.

, ,

.

.3)

(World Bank) 2003

(Doing Business) 10

.

, /

.

,

.4)

, .

1) , (2012), OECD , 4

.

2) OECD(1999), Employment Protection and Labour Market Performances, OECD Employment Outlook, p.50.3) OECD(2004), Employment Protection and Labour Market Performances, OECD Employment Outlook, p.2.4) World Bank(2011), Doing Business 2012-Doing business in a more transparent world, p.3.

- 13 -

(WEF :World Economic Forum) (Global

Competitiveness Report) ( IMD: International Institute for

Management Dev elopment) (World Competitiveness

Year book)

.

, ,

.

.

,

EPL ,

. , 10

.

,

. 2004

27 12

.

27 25,

.

WEF IMD

, .5)

OECD (Employment Protection Legislation, EPL)

.

5) (2005), ?,1 (3), , pp.1516.

- 14 -

EPL

IMD WEF

GDP

(/

)

()

(2008 )30 183 55 144

- - 254

(/)21 19 33(20/13) 12(4/8)

2. OECD

OECD 5 (1999, 2003, 2008, 2013)

.

,

(temporary employment), (collective dismissals) ,

21 .

, , ,

. ,

.

. . OECD

,

(seasonal worker), , (non-regular)

(atypical) .

- 15 -

( )

(9 ), (8 ), (4

) 21 06 .

2008 18 , 2008

1 ( 9 :

) 2 ( 16 : ,

17 : ) .

.6)

6) Venn, D.(2009), Legislation, Collective Bargaining and Enforcement: Updating the OECD

Employment Protection Indicators, OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Paper, No.89,

I(p.38) A1. 21 (Table A1. Quantifying the

21 basic measures of employment protection strictness) .

- 16 -

OECD 1:

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

1

0-3

(0-3) 2

0

1

23( )

3 3

2

: 6, 1, 2, 3

2