© crown copyright 2009 weymouth weather brief: 6 th august 2012 gillean keith

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© Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

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Page 1: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Weymouth Weather Brief: 6th August 2012

Gillean Keith

Page 2: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Headlines for Monday

• Gradient Wind WSW (260) 15-20 KT

• Surface winds SW (230-260) 12 G 15 KT increasing to 15 G 20 KT

• Variability in SW direction starting 250, backing 20 degrees to 230 by 1400 L then veering again around 1500 L.

• Sea State smooth (0.4-0.5 M on west course)

• Sunny day

Page 3: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Synoptic Situation

Analysis Monday 0100 L Forecast Monday 1300 L

Page 4: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Current Weather Situation

RADAR & visual satellite picture 0700 L

Page 5: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Model products Winds forecast loop (knots)

1000 Monday

Page 6: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Model products Winds forecast loop (knots)

1030 Monday

Page 7: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Model products Winds forecast loop (knots)

1100 Monday

Page 8: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Model products Winds forecast loop (knots)

1130 Monday

Page 9: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Model products Winds forecast loop (knots)

1200 Monday

Page 10: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Model products Winds forecast loop (knots)

1230 Monday

Page 11: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Model products Winds forecast loop (knots)

1300 Monday

Page 12: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Model products Winds forecast loop (knots)

1330 Monday

Page 13: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Model products Winds forecast loop (knots)

1400 Monday

Page 14: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Model products Winds forecast loop (knots)

1430 Monday

Page 15: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Model products Winds forecast loop (knots)

1500 Monday

Page 16: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Model products Winds forecast loop (knots)

1530 Monday

Page 17: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Model products Winds forecast loop (knots)

1600 Monday

Page 18: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Model products Winds forecast loop (knots)

1630 Monday

Page 19: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Model products Winds forecast loop (knots)

1700 Monday

Page 20: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Model products Winds forecast loop (knots)

1730 Monday

Page 21: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Model products Winds forecast loop (knots)

1800 Monday

Page 22: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Winds - Uncertainty in wind prediction From convective scale ensembles

Page 23: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Model products Wave forecast (metres)

1400 Monday

Page 24: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

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Weymouth Bay Nothe - Wind Forecast

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Wind Direction & Delta Wind Speed Wind Gusts

Page 25: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

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Portland Harbour - Wind Forecast

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08:00 09:00 10:00 11:00 12:00 13:00 14:00 15:00 16:00 17:00 18:00 19:00 20:00

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Page 26: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Weymouth Bay West - Wind Forecast

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Wind Direction & Delta Wind Speed Wind Gusts

Page 27: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Warnings Board

Page 28: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Tuesday’s Weather

Forecast Tuesday 1300 Gradient Wind forecast Tuesday 1300

Page 29: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Summary and uncertainties

• Surface winds SW (230-260) 12 G 15 KT increasing to 15 G 20 KT

• Variability in direction, backing then veering later.

• Tuesday – Warm front approaching, SSW 10-12 KT becoming SW 12-15 KT. Light rain, drizzle, low cloud.

• Wednesday – Light/very light gradient wind and low cloud, poor visibility.

• Thursday – light easterly gradient wind, good sea breeze signal.

Page 30: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Questions & answers

Page 31: © Crown copyright 2009 Weymouth Weather Brief: 6 th August 2012 Gillean Keith

© Crown copyright 2009

Forecast products

• http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/loutdoor/olympics/event-manager/(General Weather Forecast, Race Areas Forecasts, Hourly Updates)

• This powerpoint brief is only available via the ISAF website.www.sailing.org/olympics/london2012