© 2018 forrester. reproduction prohibited. · © 2018 forrester. reproduction prohibited. 9 39%...

34
© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

Upload: others

Post on 01-Aug-2020

4 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

Page 2: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

The Top Emerging Technologies to Watch in 2019 and Beyond

Dane Anderson, VP and Research Director, Asia Pacific

November 7, 2018

Page 3: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

We work with business and

technology leaders to develop

customer-obsessed strategies

that drive growth.

3© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

Page 4: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

4© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

Three Critical CaveatsCaveat (noun): a warning or proviso of specific stipulations,

conditions, or limitations.

Page 5: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

5© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

Caveat #1: The Age of the Customer is King

A 20-year business cycle in which the most successful

enterprises will reinvent themselves to systematically

understand and serve increasingly powerful customers.

Page 6: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

6© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

Caveat #2: Technology Intersections and Chains Unleash the Breakthroughs

Page 7: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

7© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

Caveat #3: Tech Investments Must Be Managed as a Portfolio

Source: Not All Innovations Are Created Equal, Forrester Report, July 18, 2018

Page 8: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

8© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

Three Critical Caveats

#1. The Age of the Customer is King

#2. Technology Intersections & Chains Unleash Breakthroughs

#3. Tech Investments Must Be Managed as a Portfolio

Page 9: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

9© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

39%

30%

28%

25%

34%

33%

32%

28%

28%

34%

26%

25%

21%

2016 2017* 2018†

Improve our understanding of customers

Invest in emerging technologies

Formally add company goals related to innovation

“What are the key actions your firm is taking to achieve

your objective of improving your ability to innovate?”

Improve collaboration with partners

Formalize innovation processes

Firms expect new technology to drive innovation

34% 31%

Note: Not all survey responses are shown.

Base: 2,165 business and technology decision makers and influencers whose priority is to improve their ability to innovate, *1,892 business and technology decision

makers and influencers whose priority is to improve ability to innovate, and †1,946 enterprise purchase influencers (past 12 months/next 12 months) who indicate that

improving their ability to innovate is a priority for their company; Source: Forrester Analytics Global Business Technographics® Priorities And Journey Survey, 2016,

2017, and 2018

Page 10: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

10© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

Forrester’s 12 emerging technologies to watch

Source: The Top Emerging Technologies To Watch 2018 Forrester report

Highly connected

Narrowly connected

Page 11: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

11© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

Source: The Top Emerging Technologies To Watch 2018 Forrester report

Forrester Emerging Tech Dashboard Example:

Computer Vision

Page 12: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

12© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

Bong KoCountry Manager, Forrester Korea

[email protected]

Page 13: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

13© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

Artificial Intelligence (AI)

Solutions that can sense, think, and act on information in an automated, intelligent way

Highly connected

Narrowly connected

Source: The Top Emerging Technologies To Watch 2018 Forrester report

Page 14: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

14© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

The tools and technology to analyze images and video in

order to understand and interpret the objects and object

features within the images and video

Source: The Top Emerging Technologies To Watch 2018 Forrester report

Computer Vision Brandon PurcellKjell Carlsson, Ph.D.

Phase II: Commercialization (2015-2022)

Page 15: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

15© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

A rapidly evolving machine learning technique used to build,

train, and test neural networks that probabilistically predict

outcomes and help identify patterns in unstructured data

Source: The Top Emerging Technologies To Watch 2018 Forrester report

Deep Learning Brandon PurcellMike Gualtieri

Phase II: Commercialization (2016-2020)

Page 16: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

16© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

Rules, templates, and machine-learning-based technologies

that turn data (structured, unstructured, and semi-structured)

into grammatically correct narratives, explanations, summaries,

and/or conversational content, indistinguishable from human-

authored content

Source: The Top Emerging Technologies To Watch 2018 Forrester report

Natural Language Generation Brandon PurcellBoris Evelson

Phase II: Commercialization (2014-2020)

Page 17: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

17© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

Page 18: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

18© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

Highly connected

Narrowly connected

Source: The Top Emerging Technologies To Watch 2018 Forrester report

Digital Ecosystem Technologies

Help firms connect and do business with partners

Page 19: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

19© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

A combination of network components interweaving layers

of network hardware, software, and services to interconnect

users, data, and applications throughout the entire business

Source: The Top Emerging Technologies To Watch 2018 Forrester report

Business Networking Fabrics Andre Kindness

Phase II: Commercialization (2018-2025)

Page 20: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

20© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

A software architecture that supports collaborative

processes around trusted data and that is shared and

distributed across organizational (and potentially national)

boundaries

Source: The Top Emerging Technologies To Watch 2018 Forrester report

Distributed Ledger Technology Martha Bennett

Phase II: Commercialization (2019-2030)

Page 21: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

21© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

Uber Killer?

Page 22: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

22© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

Source: The Top Emerging Technologies To Watch 2018 Forrester report

Highly connected

Narrowly connected

New Compute Paradigm Technologies

Establish new ways of processing data and running applications

Page 23: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

23© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

A family of technologies that distribute application data and

services where they can best optimize CX and outcomes in

a growing set of connected assets

Source: The Top Emerging Technologies To Watch 2018 Forrester report

Edge Computing

Phase II: Commercialization (2015-2022)

Brian Hopkins James Staten

Page 24: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

24© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

A cloud-native approach to development that abstracts

developers from underlying cloud infrastructure

Source: The Top Emerging Technologies To Watch 2018 Forrester report

Serverless Computing

Phase III: Growth (2018-2030)

Jeffrey Hammond

Page 25: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

25© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

A class of emerging hardware and software that exploits

subatomic phenomenon to solve computationally difficult

problems

Source: The Top Emerging Technologies To Watch 2018 Forrester report

Quantum Computing Brian Hopkins

Phase I: Research/Experimentation (1980-2020)

Page 26: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

26© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

IBM Warns of Instant Breaking of Encryption by Quantum Computers

Welcome to the future

transparency of today

as quantum computers

reveal all currently

encrypted secrets – a

viable scenario in just a

few years

ZDnet – May 18, 2018

Page 27: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

27© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

Highly connected

Narrowly connected

Source: The Top Emerging Technologies To Watch 2018 Forrester report

Physical/Digital Technologies

Help firms bridge the gap between what is happening in the physical and digital worlds

Page 28: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

28© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

A virtual overlay of contextual digital information onto the real

world or an occluded-view, immersive digital experience

made to feel realistic by the addition of body cues

Source: The Top Emerging Technologies To Watch 2018 Forrester report

AR/VR/MR J.P. Gownder

Phase II: Commercialization (2017-2025)

Page 29: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

29© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

A model that uses physical and digital data to represent a

single thing’s state and performance in the field with the intent

of driving business value for product owners and operators

Source: The Top Emerging Technologies To Watch 2018 Forrester report

Digital Twin Jeffrey HammondNate Fleming

Phase II: Commercialization (2018-2025)

Page 30: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

30© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

The exploitation of quantum mechanical and special properties

of matter at dimensions of 1 to 100 nanometers that enable

new technologies and innovations in scientific fields

Source: The Top Emerging Technologies To Watch 2018 Forrester report

Nanotechnology Frank E. Gillett

Phase I: Research/Experimentation (2000-2025)

Page 31: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

31© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

An industrial process that creates digitally designed physical

products and fabricates them with 3D-printing machines.

Products include tooling, castings, and end user material

parts.

Source: The Top Emerging Technologies To Watch 2018 Forrester report

Additive Manufacturing Carl Doty

Phase II: Commercialization (2015-2023)

Page 32: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

32© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

US Navy and Lockheed Martin Are Building AI-Driven 3D Printing Robots

Think about how a

maintainer can print a

replacement part at

sea, or a mechanic can

print a replacement

part for a truck deep in

the desert.

Page 33: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

33© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

Take Home Points

› Developing a capability to continuously understand and assemble

emerging technologies is more important than ever.

› The first step is always understanding how emerging technology

will deliver value to customers or citizens.

› Leadership requires investing in a portfolio of emerging

technologies with different risk and payback periods.

› The intersections and “chains” of multiple technologies deliver the

greatest breakthroughs.

Page 34: © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. · © 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED. 9 39% 30% 28% 25% 34% 33% 32% 28% 28% 34% 26% 25% 21% 2016 2017* 2018† Improve our understanding

FORRESTER.COM

Thank you© 2018 FORRESTER. REPRODUCTION PROHIBITED.

Dane Anderson

[email protected]