© 2006 population reference bureau world population growth
TRANSCRIPT
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© 2006 Population Reference Bureau
World World population population
growthgrowth
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A.D.2000
A.D.1000
A.D.1
1000B.C.
2000B.C.
3000B.C.
4000B.C.
5000B.C.
6000B.C.
7000B.C.
1+ million years
8
7
6
5
2
1
4
3
OldStoneAge New Stone Age
BronzeAge
IronAge
MiddleAges
ModernAge
Black Death —The Plague
9
10
11
12
A.D.3000
A.D.4000
A.D.5000
18001900
1950
1975
2000
2100
Future
Billions
Source: Population Reference Bureau; and United Nations, World Population Projections to 2100 (1998).
World Population Growth Through History
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Why is world population growing so fast?
• Compare life today with conditions 100 years ago:
• Agriculture• Medicine• Sanitation• Health care• Transportation
• More people reach child-bearing age and have children
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Factors that limit population growth
• Famine
• Disease
• War
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Trends in Population Growth Worldwide
Population Increase and Growth Rate, Five-Year Periods
80
8783
7976 76 75
72
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1980-1985
1985-1990
1990-1995
1995-2000
2000-2005
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
Net population added per year Annual population growth rate
Mill
ions
Per
cen
t in
crea
se p
er y
ear
Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision (medium scenario), 2005.
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Billions
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
1950 1970 1990 2010 2030 2050
Less Developed Regions
More Developed Regions
Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision (medium scenario), 2005.
Growth in More, Less Developed Countries
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Africa and Other Developing Regions Make Up an Increasing Share of World Population
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Less developed countries
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More developed countries
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population pyramids:
• graphically display a population's age and gender composition;
• are bar graphs;
• show numbers or proportions of males and females in each age group;
• show gains of cohort members due to immigration and birth, and loss of cohort members due to emigration and death;
• and reflect population growth or decline.
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Population Structures by Age and Sex, 2005 Millions
300 100 100 300300 200 100 0 100 200 300
Less Developed Regions
More Developed Regions
Male Female Male Female
80+ 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14
5-90-4
Age
Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, 2005.
Age Distribution of the World’s Population
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Less developed countries have significantly younger populations.
Almost 1/3 of the population in less developed countries is under age 15.
2 billion young people under age 20 in less developed regions.
In contrast, less than 1/5 of the population in more developed countries is under age 15.
Notes on Age Distribution of the World’s Population
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Population
• Demography - The study of size, birth, and death rates, and distribution of humans
• Adding to a human population:– Birth rate and immigration
• Subtracting from a human population:– Death rate and emigration
Birth rates haven't increased much in our world, but death rates have become much lower in the past century.
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Lowest and Highest Infant Mortality Rates
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