WP 240 - TOURISMDimitri Ioannides and Bosse Boden

Overarching Objective

• How will tourism in the Arctic Region evolve according to various climate change scenarios?

• Research Questions:

• Will warmer weather conditions in the Arctic lead to the enhancement of tourism activities in the region?

• How can we ensure that future development of tourism in the Arctic follows the tenets of sustainable development?

• How is demand for tourism affected by global events? (changing consumer tastes, new regulatory regimes, environmental policies, etc.)

04/19/23 Bergen Presentation

Tourism system and climate change

• Tourism as a holistic system:– What is happening at the origins because

of growing awareness of climate change?

– Balance between adaptation and mitigation:

– (refers to destinations but also major stakeholders who act as gatekeepers of tourist flows)

• Do you adapt to climate change?

• Do you try to mitigate climate change?

• Do you try to do both?04/19/23 Bergen Presentation

Adaptation and/of Mitigation

• Past experience suggests in the majority of cases destinations and businesses seek to adapt to changing circumstances;

• Rarer to find instances where these players seek to mitigate the effects of emerging circumstances;

• In order to adopt a path towards sustainable development it is imperative to adopt mitigation and adaptation strategies.

04/19/23 Bergen Presentation

Tourism System and Climate Change

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Work Plan

• State of the Art – Tourism and Climate Change (ETOUR);

• Status of tourism in the Arctic – Historical trends and current conditions (ETOUR and GEUS – work allocation to be determined);

• Inventory of existing and potential Arctic Tourist destinations (ETOUR and GEUS - TBD)

04/19/23 Bergen Presentation

Work Plan (continued)• Develop indicators relating to economic, social, and

envionmental conditions;

• Develop a typology of Arctic Destinations (Typology based on level of maturity of destination and degree of vulnerability);

• Case studies based on typology (for example):– Early Destinations; – Well-established destinations;– Destinations that have not yet emerged.

• Interview exogenous players influencing Arctic tourism: e.g., Cruise companies, tour operators.

• * Exact allocation of tasks not yet determined.

04/19/23 Bergen Presentation

Work Plan (continued)

• Identification of Best Practice;

• Strategic Management Plan for Sustainable Tourism in the Arctic;

• Implementation tools/Monitoring instrument

• * Exact allocation of tasks not yet determined.

04/19/23 Bergen Presentation

04/19/23 Bergen Presentation

No. Deliverable Responsible (TBD) Milestone Delivery Form

1 (a) State of the art of tourism and climate change (background literature review);

(b) Status of tourism in the Arctic: Historical trends and current conditions;

(c) Inventory of existing and potential Arctic tourist destinations.

ETOUR

ETOUR & GEUS

All partners

M. 6 (a) Report (in paper format and on ETOUR dedicated CLIMARES Web Portal.(b) Report and maps.(c) GIS maps.

2 (a) Compendium of economic, social, and environmental indicators;

(b) Typology of existing and potential Arctic destinations.

ETOUR

ETOUR

M. 12 (a) Report.(b) Report and maps.

3 Compilation of findings from Case studies All partners M. 18 Report.

4 Development of Policy Guidelines ETOUR/ M. 24 Interim Report

5 (a) Development of Policy Guidelines/ Strategic Management Plan for Sustainable Tourism in the Arctic;

(b) Implementation tools/Monitoring instrument.

ETOURETOUR

M. 30 (a) Final Report.(b) Report

6 Final Document – ‘The Future of Tourism in the Arctic’

All partners M. 36 Report (in paper format and on ETOUR portal)