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Westport Reference Group Meeting 25 June 2018

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Page 1: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Westport Reference Group

Meeting

25 June 2018

Page 2: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

A g e n d a 1. Welcome, overview and objectives 2. History of Port Planning in WA

3. Westport Work Streams Update

4. Afternoon Tea

5. Workshop “How will we develop the hypotheses?”

6. Summary

Page 3: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Chair Update • Community engagement

• Over 50 meetings/presentations, offers of support

• Economic insights • Shaping future cities • Meetings relevant to lithium, defence, space capability

food manufacturing and smart agriculture

• Project planning/delivery • What have we found so far? ~ October • 11 work packages/work streams

• Other activities • Indigenous engagement • Digital engagement platform • Sustainability • AITPM Think-a-Thon

Page 4: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Westport Project Office Structure

Director Westport Business Support Officer

Chair Westport

Assistant Director Westport

A/Managing Director DoT

Port & Marine

Intermodal Freight

Environment Communications and Engagement

Manager Community Engagement Information

Systems Manager

Freight Corridor Planning

Strategic Communication

DoT Corporate Communication

Commercial Performance Program Delivery Manager

Program Delivery Manager

Program Delivery Manager

Project Officer

Economic Development

Land Use Planning - 1

Sustainability

GIS Officer

Land Use Planning - 2

Executive Assistant

GIS Officer

GIS Management Committee (Interagency)

Communication Management Committee (Interagency)

Special Advisor Economic

Development

Minister for Transport

Page 5: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Next steps

• Community engagement • Fremantle, Kwinana, Bunbury

• Workshops with reference groups to

develop methodology for Westport Hypotheses

• Work Streams providing information for

What we have found so far? • Work Streams’ draft reports are being

internally reviewed • Work Streams’ draft reports to be reviewed

by “Reviewers”

Page 6: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Today’s Objective

Today’s objectives: • Update on work to date • Workshop methodology to create Westport Hypotheses

Page 7: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

A g e n d a 1. Welcome, overview and objectives

2. History of Port Planning in WA 3. Westport Work Streams Update

4. Afternoon Tea

5. Workshop “How will we develop the hypotheses?”

6. Summary

Page 8: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

History of Port Planning Westport Functional Leaders: • Chris Barber, Information Systems • Dean Davidson, Ports and Maritime

Page 9: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

A g e n d a 1. Welcome, overview and objectives

2. History of Port Planning in WA

3. Westport Work Streams Update 4. Afternoon Tea

5. Workshop “How will we develop the hypotheses?”

6. Summary

Page 10: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Work Streams Update • 5 Work Streams up and running

• Developing Work Packages

1. Trade task 2. Constraints and opportunities 3. Supply chain 4. Ports Capability 7. Environmental

• Initial work informs WP 2

• Next deliverable • What we have found so far? • Due around October

Page 11: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

WP 1: Trade Task To identify the total trade task over a range of time horizons and growth scenarios for Fremantle, Kwinana and Bunbury.

Deliverables

Identify growth drivers, market trends, growth forecasts

Overview potential trade task: • low medium high growth scenarios • population horizons

Estimate future total trade task and by port

Overview current trade task: types of trade, characteristics, IMEX requirements Drafting

Consultants being

engaged

Page 12: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

WP 2: Constraints and Opportunities To describe the environmental, economic, social and heritage constraints and opportunities around Fremantle, Kwinana and Bunbury.

Constraints and Opportunities Work Stream

Environmental Deliverables • current, medium term, long term

• align with Perth and Peel @ 3.5 million • very long term • environmental (from WP7)

Economic

Social Heritage Future - all

• Land use focus • Road and freight rail network corridors • Industrial lands

• Clustering, new industries, pipelines • Kwinana SIA, Lat 32, BRM

• Defence related activities • Utilities – water, power, telecommunications • Employment, housing, regeneration

• Mapping findings to see the big picture

Page 13: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

WP 3: Supply chain To describe the characteristics of an efficient, future oriented logistics supply chain from origin to destination, investigating and applying world’s best practice and technological trends to the context of Fremantle, Kwinana and Bunbury.

• Examining local supply chains and comparing to similar ports around the world

• Identifying port supply chains • local context, industry/economic trends

• Examining technology applications and implications

Apply world best practice to develop supply chain models to handle future

trade task

Deliverables

Identify characteristics of world’s best practice supply chains relevant to

Westport Drafting

Identify medium, long and longer term port operations and supply chain practices and potential disrupters

Drafting Port of Tauranga in New Zealand

Page 14: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

WP 4: Ports Capability To examine the existing and future operational capability, capacity and constraints of Fremantle, Kwinana and Bunbury under a range of possible future growth scenarios.

• Examining what the ports do today and what they could do in the future

• Looking at ship sizes, operations, trade requirements, channels, cruise vessel needs

• Cross pollinating with other work streams

Identify operational capacity, opportunities and constraints now and in

the future

Identify high level external constraints that will impact on operational capacity

Deliverables

Identify physical requirements to service range of trades including depth, berth

length Drafting

Cruise ship arriving at Fremantle

Page 15: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

WP 7: Environmental To describe the terrestrial, coastal and marine environment relating to possible port locations in Fremantle, Kwinana and Bunbury.

• Identifying key environmental and social values • Identifying and mapping known potential pressures • Preliminary risk assessment

• Control measures and opportunities • to avoid, mitigate or offset impacts • to improve values

Deliverables

Identify potential environmental issues a) Now: for Work Package 2 b) Later: for short listed options

Drafting (a)

Environmental Work Stream

Page 16: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

A g e n d a 1. Welcome, overview and objectives

2. History of Port Planning in WA

3. Westport Work Streams Update

4. Afternoon Tea 5. Workshop “How will we develop the hypotheses?”

6. Summary

Page 17: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

A g e n d a 1. Welcome, overview and objectives

2. History of Port Planning in WA

3. Westport Work Streams Update

4. Afternoon Tea

5. Workshop “How will we develop the hypotheses?” 6. Summary

Page 18: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Westport – Activity 1

Westport will deliver an integrated strategy to meet freight and trade logistics for Perth and surrounding regions (including Bunbury) for the next 50-100 years. It will guide the planning, development and growth of the Port of Fremantle at the Inner and Outer Harbour, the required rail and road networks, and the opportunities for the Port of Bunbury to handle trade expansion.

The Vision

Page 19: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Workshop – Activity 1

Integrated: With various parts or

aspects linked or coordinated

Oxford Dictionaries

Strategy: A plan of action

designed to achieve a long-term or overall aim

Page 20: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Westport – Activity 1

Westport will deliver an integrated strategy to meet freight and trade logistics for Perth and surrounding regions (including Bunbury) for the next 50-100 years. It will guide the planning, development and growth of the Port of Fremantle at the Inner and Outer Harbour, the required rail and road networks, and the opportunities for the Port of Bunbury to handle trade expansion.

The Vision

Activity 1: What is your understanding of an ‘integrated strategy’ for Westport

Page 21: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Westport – Activity 1

Share Findings…

Activity 1: What is your understanding of an ‘integrated strategy’?

Page 22: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Westport – Findings Activity 1 What we understand by integrated strategy

• Considers social, economic, environment and governance issues to create a plan for 50 to 100 years for Fremantle, Kwinana and Bunbury

• Involves the inclusion of all stakeholders • Supports continued growth across the region • Sets clear direction for industry • Covers the greater region • It is agile to adapt to unknown future scenarios • Strategy which considers all aspects of successful port

operations and it’s integrated across Fremantle, Kwinana and Bunbury

• Addresses all implementation aspects for delivering an objective

• Integrates ports, freight transport, supply chain and land use planning

• Opportunities and economic development integration • All parties working together

Page 23: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Westport – Findings Activity 1 What we understand by integrated strategy

• Integrated with supply, demand and context • Best return to the state • Cognitive of other markets • Includes a range of issues which, through aims and

objectives, relate to a common purpose • High level guide or framework for future planning • Westport to define the elements required for a

successful new port including logistics, supply chain, industry needs as well as environmental and social considerations for a balanced sustainable solution.

• Balances and understands all different interests • Achieves future goals around sustainability and social

values • Possible combination of parameters to satisfy as many

objectives as possible with minimal loss

Page 24: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Workshop – Activity 2 Objective: Workshop a methodology to develop the Westport hypotheses…

Page 25: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Workshop – Activity 2

Hypothesis: A supposition or proposed

explanation made on the basis of limited evidence as a starting

point for further investigation Oxford Dictionaries

Page 26: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Workshop – Activity 2 Objective: Workshop a methodology to develop the Westport hypotheses…

Activity 2: What is your understanding of

‘Westport hypotheses’?

Page 27: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Westport – Activity 2

Share Findings…

Activity 2: What is your understanding of ‘Westport Hypotheses’?

Page 28: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses

• Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially better off

with the development of Westport • Planning scenarios for a port and supply chain • Future options • Proposals for outcomes that will outline the

opportunities and constraints that are likely to happen with each proposal

• Set of scenarios that show opportunities and constraints over different time horizons

• An option that contains places, designs, timing, benefits and processes to deliver against the trade task demand

• Potential scenarios to be tested through further analysis to determine the ultimate option on which the Westport strategy will be based

• Logistics hub that meets all the future freight needs of Perth

• Set of hypotheses relating to Westport questions which were identified at the beginning of the project

• A possible solution which is created in an unconstrained environment

• Hypotheses wouldn’t be mutually exclusive • A broad feasible set of options • Stretch a thought/idea • Permutation of all possible options including port, road,

rail and intermodal

Page 29: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Workshop – Activity 3

Trade • TEUs • Bulk • Break bulk • Cruise/ship visits

Some elements to consider when creating Westport hypotheses

Locations • Fremantle • Kwinana • Bunbury

Population/Time Horizons • 2.7 million ~ 2030 • 3.5 million ~ 2050 • 5 million before 2100

Considerations • Base case • Expand • Relocate • Build new

Connections • Road • Rail • Intermodal

Terminals

Page 30: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Workshop – Activity 3 Activity 3: HOW would you put these elements together

to create a ‘Westport hypothesis’?

Trade • TEUs • Bulk • Break bulk • Cruise/ship visits

Locations • Fremantle • Kwinana • Bunbury

Population/Time Horizons • 2.7 million ~ 2030 • 3.5 million ~ 2050 • 5 million before 2100

Considerations • Base case • Expand • Relocate • Build new

Connections • Road • Rail • Intermodal

Terminals

Page 31: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Westport – Activity 3

Share Findings…

Activity 3: How did you put the elements together to create a Westport

hypothesis?

Did your team develop a Westport hypothesis? What was the process your team used to develop it? What was the most challenging part? What learnings can we use to develop Westport hypotheses?

Page 32: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Westport – Findings Activity 3 Westport Hypotheses methodology

• Involves a hierarchy of elements that are individually tested

• The hypotheses generated should unlock future industry development and jobs

• Hypotheses should be flexible to respond to changing demands overtime

• The process should ensure key preservation of space • The process should ensure that “not stupid options” go

forward

• The methodology should consider trade, location and timeframes

• The hypotheses should answer “what success looks like?” • The challenges:

• Breadth of views • Testing future scenarios • Full articulation of the ideas • To know what happens when things move on and

change over time

• The hypotheses should consider the characteristics of the trade tasks and all the elements involved from ship to user now and in the future

• The methodology should develop criteria to assess how tasks (cost, community impact, ability to handle uncertain future) are being fulfilled.

• We need to create a process to help us account for what we don’t know, such as new importing or exporting industries

Page 33: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Westport – Findings Activity 3 Westport Hypotheses methodology

• The process for generating hypotheses should come at different levels:

Tier 1 • Trade Task • Infrastructure needed • Place/location

• The process should have a combination of different approaches:

• Experts input • Mathematical • Business proposing hypotheses

• The process for Westport hypotheses needs to maintain objectivity.

• The process could be a matrix that considers locations, trades (existing and new ones), constraints, timeframes and opportunities.

• The process of shortlisting should have community input

• The process should be logical and easy to understand • Challenges will be around comparing scenarios and

making the formulation of the right criteria to undertake the multi-criteria assessment.

Tier 2 • Environment • Social • Funding • Economic

Page 34: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

A g e n d a 1. Welcome, overview and objectives

2. History of Port Planning in WA

3. Westport Work Streams Update

4. Afternoon Tea

5. Workshop “How will we develop the hypotheses?”

6. Summary

Page 35: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Westport – Summary

• Reflection on session

• What’s next? – Community events

• Fremantle 7 and 11 July • Kwinana 14 and 18 July • Bunbury 28 July and 1 August

– Work streams continue • review documents

– Next Reference Group Forum • 1 August 10-12 • 22 October 10-12 • 13 December 10-12

Information booth by

topic Information booth by topic

Information booth by

topic

Information booth by

topic

General map & discussion table

General map & discussion table

TV with animation playing

Community Session Room Layout

Page 36: Westport Reference Group Meeting€¦ · Westport – Findings Activity 2 What we understand by Westport Hypotheses • Future scenarios • The state will be economically and socially

Thank you