western dairy industry challenges - farm management · dairy farm receipts 2017 –in millions of...
TRANSCRIPT
WESTERN EXTENSION COMMITTEE SYMPOSIUM
WESTERN DAIRY INDUSTRY CHALLENGES
WEC – WESTERN EXTENSION COMMITTEE
2019 ANNUAL MEETING, COEUR D’ALENE, ID
Hernan A. TejedaUniversity of Idaho
July 1, 2019
The Dairy industry is among the Largest operation for Ag. Commodities in many Western states (Farm Receipts).
It is the largest for California, Idaho, and New Mexico
It is the 2nd largest for Arizona, Colorado, Utah and Washington.
Dairy Farm Receipts 2017 – in Millions of Dollars
834.3
6,561.7
754.2
2,510.30
125.8
1,331.60
496.6 389.8
1,184.5
2,213.20
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
Arizona California Colorado Idaho Montana Nevada New Mexico Oregon Utah Washington Wyoming Texas
$ Millions
1st Cattle & Calves
1st Cattle & Calves
1st Assorted Crops 2nd Cattle & Calves
1st Cattle & Calves
1st Apples 1st Cattle & Calves2nd Cotton3rd Broilers
1st Lettuce
(USDA – ERS, 2017)
Dairy Farm Receipts 2012 - 2017 in Millions of Dollars
(USDA – ERS, 2017)
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
Arizona California Colorado Idaho Nevada New Mexico Oregon Utah Washington Texas2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F
$ Millions
Dairy Farm Receipts 2012 - 2017 in Millions of Dollars(excludes California)
(USDA – ERS, 2017)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
Arizona Colorado Idaho Nevada New Mexico Oregon Utah Washington Texas
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F
$ Millions
(USDA – Ag Census)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
1997 2002 2007 2012 2017
CA ‐ # Dairy Farms by Herd Size, 1997 to 2017
10 TO 99 100 TO 499 500 + Total # Farms
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
1997 2002 2007 2012 2017
CA ‐ # Cows by Herd Size, 1997 to 2017
10 TO 99 100 TO 499 500 + Total # Cows
(USDA – Ag Census)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1997 2002 2007 2012 2017
ID ‐ # Farms by Herd Size
10 TO 99 100 TO 499 500 + Total # Farms
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
1997 2002 2007 2012 2017
ID ‐ # Cows by Herd Size
10 TO 99 100 TO 499 500 + Total # Cows
(USDA – Ag Census)
020406080
100120140160180200
1997 2002 2007 2012 2017
NM ‐ # Farms by Herd Size
10 TO 99 100 TO 499 500 + Total # Farms
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
1997 2002 2007 2012 2017
NM ‐ # Cows by Herd Size
10 TO 99 100 TO 499 500 + Total # Cows
(USDA – Ag Census)
0200400600800
1,0001,2001,4001,6001,800
1997 2002 2007 2012 2017
WA ‐ # Farms by Herd Size
10 TO 99 100 TO 499 500 + Total # Farms
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
1997 2002 2007 2012 2017
WA ‐ # Cows by Herd Size
10 TO 99 100 TO 499 500 + Total # Cows
(USDA – Ag Census)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
1997 2002 2007 2012 2017
AZ ‐ # Farms by Herd Size
10 TO 99 100 TO 499 500 + Total # Farms
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
1997 2002 2007 2012 2017
AZ ‐ # Cows by Herd Size
10 TO 99 100 TO 499 500 + Total # Cows
(USDA – Ag Census)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1997 2002 2007 2012 2017
UT ‐ # Farms by Herd Size
10 TO 99 100 TO 499 500 + Total # Farms
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
1997 2002 2007 2012 2017
UT ‐ # Cows by Herd Size
10 TO 99 100 TO 499 500 + Total # Cows
(USDA – Ag Census)
0200400600800
1,0001,2001,4001,6001,8002,000
1997 2002 2007 2012 2017
TX ‐ # Farms by Herd Size
10 TO 99 100 TO 499 500 + Total # Farms
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
1997 2002 2007 2012 2017
TX ‐ # Cows by Herd Size
10 TO 99 100 TO 499 500 + Total # Cows
(USDA – ERS, Frazier LLP & Idaho Data)
Dairy Cost of Production by State
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
California Idaho New Mexico Oregon Utah Washington Texas
$/cwt
2016 2017 2018
(USDA – ERS)
Dairy Cost Of Production By Herd Size
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
1 TO 49 50 TO 99 100 TO 199 200 TO 499 500 ‐999 1000 +
$/cwt
2016 2017 2018
(Mark Stephenson)
Wisconsin Dairy Farms
(Frazier, LLP)
ROA by States: 2014 - 2018
‐15%
‐10%
‐5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018% Return on
Assets
Arizona Idaho New Mexico Southern CA Texas WA & OR
(Frazier, LLP)
ROA by States: 2015 - 2018
‐12%
‐10%
‐8%
‐6%
‐4%
‐2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
2015 2016 2017 2018
% Return on
Assets
Arizona Idaho New Mexico Southern CA Texas WA & OR
(Mark Stephenson)
Average ROA by Herd Size (WI, MI & NY)
‐5
0
5
10
15
20
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
% Return on
Assets
<200 cows 200‐499 cows 500+ cows
Thank you