visualizing sports rivalry with social network analysis

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North American Society for Sport Management. Pittsburgh, PA. Friday, May 30, 2014 Visualizing rivalry intensity: A social network analysis of fan perceptions Joe B. Cobbs Northern Kentucky University B. David Tyler Western Carolina University

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Tyler, B.D. & Cobbs, J. 2014. "Visualizing rivalry intensity: A social network analysis of fan perceptions," North American Society for Sport Management (NASSM) Annual Conference, Pittsburgh, PA. Central to the conceptualization of rivalry is the process of social categorization and seeing the self and others as members of ingroups and outgroups. For some sport fans—especially those deemed highly identified—a favorite team becomes an extension of one’s self, and opposing teams and their fans are seen as dissimilar outgroups. Akin to other definitions, we view a rival as being a highly salient outgroup that poses an acute threat to the identity of the ingroup. To bring further clarity and consistency to the rivalry discussion, we quantify the perceived rivalries within a closed network of organizations by surveying college football fans (n=5,317) from 122 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS, or Division I-A) teams using on an online questionnaire posted on 194 fan message boards. Through employing social network analysis (SNA), we graphically map rivalry scores in Netdraw and conduct further statistical analysis via UCINET SNA software. The network analysis results are most interesting when viewed graphically as nodes (universities) with bi-directional ties among them of various magnitude. In the study, we employ SNA measures of ego networks, centrality and power to reveal insights about the nature of rivalry.

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Page 1: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

North American Society for Sport Management. Pittsburgh, PA. Friday, May 30, 2014

Visualizing rivalry intensity:

A social network analysis of fan perceptions

Joe B. CobbsNorthern Kentucky

University

B. David TylerWestern Carolina

University

Page 2: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 2NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

What is rivalry? What’s a rival?

…an actor which increases the focal actor’s

psychological involvement…

Kilduff et al., 2010

outgroup

Luellen & Wann, 2010

disliked competitor

Dalakas & Melancon, 2012

adversarial relationship… gaining significance through competition, incidences, proximity,

demographic makeup, or historical occurrences

Havard et al., 2013

I know it when I see it

Forrest et al., 2005

A highly salient outgroup that poses an

acute threat to the identity of the ingroup

or to ingroup members’ ability to

make positive comparisons between their group and the

outgroup

Tyler & Cobbs, under review

Divisional opponent

McDonald & Rascher,

2000

Shared border

Morley & Thomas, 2007

Teams under 20 mi. apart

Baimbridge et al.,

1995

Page 3: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 3NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

Why do we care? – Demand estimation

𝐴=𝛽0+𝐵𝑋+𝑒

Page 4: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 4NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

Why do we care? – Behavior toward rivals

Page 5: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 5NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

Why do we care? – Driving consumption

Page 6: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 6NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

Why do we care? – Limit fan aggression

Page 7: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 7NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

Why do we care? – Sponsor activation

Page 8: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 8NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

Why do we care? – Contract incentives

Page 9: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 9NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

How can we know a rivalry’s intensity? Binary approaches• Shared border• Divisional opponent• Naming rivalries

Variable approaches• Distance• MRI (hasn’t been done)

• Collecting data on specific dyads (current study)

Page 10: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 10NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

METHOD

Page 11: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 11NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

Method - Population Surveyed college football fans (n=5,317) 122 FBS (DI-A) teams 194 fan message boards

Identified with favorite team (µ=5.2/7.0)

Page 12: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 12NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

Method – Rivalry points allocation

Page 13: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 13NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

RESULTS

Page 14: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 14NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

Dyadic relationships

44.2

2.959.3

32.5

25.4

0.7

Sees other as a rival

Page 15: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 15NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

Dyadic relationships

16.8

4.066.8

68.8

90.7

0.3

Sees other as a rival

Page 16: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 16NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

National Rivalry Network

Line width: average point allocation (> 5; 100 max)Node size: in-degree centralityNode color: conference

Page 17: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 17NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

Most focused rivalriesBased on aggregate score

159.6

171.8

182.6

#3

#2

#1

Page 18: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 18NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

Biggest rivals

Line width: average point allocation (>50 in either direction; 100 max)

Node size: in-degree centralityNode color: conference

Page 19: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 19NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

Ego networksWisconsin – most ‘cohesive’ ego network

(density=81.9)Rivals connected to other rivalsTie strength > 5

Page 20: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 20NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

Ego networksWisconsin – most ‘cohesive’ ego network

(density=81.9)Rivals connected to other rivalsTie strength > 3

Page 21: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 21NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

Social capital

Notre Dame – 2nd most powerful network

Bonacich power: est. social capital by centrality of alters

Alabama most powerfulTie strength > 5

Page 22: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 22NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

SEC Network (tie >5)

Page 23: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 23NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

DISCUSSION

Map from http://plvcolin.blogspot.com

Page 24: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 24NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

Implications Nature of “rivalry” Start of a parsimonious measure of rivalry Marketing & sponsorship Event management League structure• Conference realignment, promotion & relegation

Page 25: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

Tyler & Cobbs 25NASSM 2014, Pittsburgh, PA

Next steps Refine survey based on findings Extend to other sport leagues Increase knowledge of rivalries themselves

(e.g., antecedents)

Page 26: Visualizing Sports Rivalry with Social Network Analysis

North American Society for Sport Management. Pittsburgh, PA. Friday, May 30, 2014

Visualizing rivalry intensity:

A social network analysis of fan perceptions

Joe B. CobbsNorthern Kentucky

University

B. David TylerWestern Carolina

University