vcfo budgeting basics webinar

41
Basics of Budgeting Josh Tabin & Cristina Silingardi

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Have you completed your 2015 budget yet? Does your budget include line items other than the income statement? Are you putting it off for another month to focus on 2014 close? If next year’s forecast hasn’t been completed, you shouldn’t be surprised to find that you are behind schedule. However, it’s not too late to get started – vcfo’s team of CFO experts will guide you through the process during the Budgeting Basics webinar. Join vcfo's Josh Tabin, Houston Managing Director, and Cristina Silingardi, Consulting CFO, share their expertise in developing and delivering an effective budget for your business. Both Josh and Cristina have worked with companies of all sizes and in various industries, providing financial consulting, delivering operational and strategic guidance, leading the funding and financing process, managing mergers and acquisitions, and beyond.

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Basics of Budgeting Josh Tabin & Cristina Silingardi

Page 2: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Today’s Panelists

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 2

Josh Tabin

Managing Director and

Consulting CFO, Houston

[email protected]

Cristina Silingardi

Consulting CFO,

Austin

[email protected]

Page 3: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Today’s Moderator

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 3

Amy Hardin

Founder and CEO,

SELLect Sales Development

[email protected]

Page 4: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

vcfo: What We Do

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 4

Finance

Fractional or Full-time Project Work

M&A

Cash Flow Management

Exit Strategy

Transaction Support

Human Resources

HR Audits

Employee Development and Training

Payroll

Strategic HR Plans

Policies and Procedures

Benefits

Recruiting

IT and Technology Professionals

Finance and Accounting Professionals

Operations and HR Professionals

Page 5: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Agenda

What is a Budget

Budget Methodologies

Best Practices

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 5

Page 6: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Poll Question 1

Do you currently have a budget in place for 2015?

a. Yes

b. No

c. Working on it

d. Have no idea how to get started

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 6

Page 7: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

What is a Budget?

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 7

A plan

A limit

A schedule

A reality check

An allocation

Page 8: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Why Use a Budget?

A few compelling reasons:

• Stay within a limit

• Control

• Forecasting

• Delegate

• Prioritize wants, organize needs,

• Within the realm of what we can

• Represents a view of the future

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 8

A few compelling reasons:

• Financial translation

of company goals

• Alignment of management

and department to achieve

goals

• Prioritize allocation of

corporate resources

• Can measure performance

against

Page 9: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Poll Question 2

What type of budget do you utilize?

a. Budgets only

b. Budgets and forecasts

c. Multiple budgets, scenario planning

d. None

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 9

Page 10: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

A Budget is a Quantitative Expression of a Plan

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 10

Planning

Control

• Forecasting • Planning

• Control • Evaluation

Budgets involve:

Page 11: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Poll Question 3

Who approves your budget?

a. Board of directors

b. Investors/owners

c. CEO or executive team

d. Approval? What’s that?

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 11

Page 12: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Budgeting in Context

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 12

Page 13: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Budget Methodologies A Comparison

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 13

Page 14: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Budget Methodologies

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 14

Top Down

Bottom Up

Iterative Process

Page 15: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Top Down

Bottom Up

Iterative Process

1 2 3

What it means:

• Top-down budgeting is the term given to a budgeting process based on

estimating the cost of higher level tasks first and using these estimates

to constrain the estimates for lower level tasks.

Budget Methodologies Top Down

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 15

step 1 step 2 step 3

Page 16: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

How it’s implemented:

• A crucial factor for successfully implementing this method for estimating

budgets is the experience and judgment of those involved in producing

the overall budget estimate.

Budget Methodologies Top Down

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 16

Top Down

Bottom Up

Iterative Process

1 2 3

continued

Page 17: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Budget Methodologies Top Down

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 17

Noteworthy details

• Takes less time

• Promotes upper-level commitment

• Involves no multilevel participation

• Lower management better understands what upper management expects

• Presented down the ladder

Top Down

Bottom Up

Iterative Process

1 2 3

continued

Page 18: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Budget Methodologies Top Down

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 18

Disadvantages

• Translating long-range budgets

into short-range budgets

• Result of top management's

limited knowledge of specifics

of project tasks and activities

• Competition for funds among

lower-level managers, try to

secure adequate funding for

their operations

Disadvantages

• May cause unhealthy competition

• This process is a zero sum game --

one person's or area's gain is

another's loss

• Subordinate managers often

feel that they have insufficient

budget allocations to achieve

the objectives

Top Down

Bottom Up

Iterative Process

1 2 3

continued

Page 19: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Budget Methodologies Top Down

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 19

Advantages

• Aggregate budget is quite accurate, even though some individual

activities are subject to large error

• Budgets are stable as a percent of total allocation and the statistical

distribution of the budget is also stable, leading to high predictability

• Small costly tasks don’t need to be identified early in this process;

they are factored into overall estimate

Top Down

Bottom Up

Iterative Process

1 2 3

continued

Page 20: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Top Down

Bottom Up

Iterative Process

1 2 3

What it means

• Sometimes called zero-based budgeting

• Bottom-up budgeting begins with identifying all the constituent tasks that

are involved in implementing a project and working out the resources and

funding required by each

Budget Methodologies Bottom Up

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 20

step 1 step 2 step 3

Page 21: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Budget Methodologies Bottom Up

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 21

What it does

• Provides the opportunity to create organization level budgets

by rolling up project budgets

• Create centralized project level budgets from their sub-project budgets

Top Down

Bottom Up

Iterative Process

1 2 3

continued

Page 22: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Budget Methodologies Bottom Up

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 22

What it provides

• Project managers have the flexibility to define their project

budgets independently

• Financial managers have the ability to centrally review the total

project budget/s

Top Down

Bottom Up

Iterative Process

1 2 3

continued

Page 23: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Budget Methodologies Bottom Up

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 23

Noteworthy details

• Takes more time

• Involves cross-section of the organization

• Presented up the ladder

• Seeks participation at all levels

• Encourages commitment to the plan

Top Down

Bottom Up

Iterative Process

1 2 3

continued

Page 24: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Budget Methodologies Bottom Up

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 24

Disadvantages

• Top management has limited influence over the budgeting process

• Individuals tend to overstate their resource needs because they suspect that

higher management will probably cut all budgets by the same percentage

• More persuasive managers sometimes get a disproportionate share

of resources

• A significant portion of budget building is in the hands of the junior

personnel in the organization

• Sometimes critical activities are missed and left unbudgeted

Top Down

Bottom Up

Iterative Process

1 2 3

continued

Page 25: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Budget Methodologies Bottom Up

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 25

Advantages

• Is in the accuracy of the budgets for individual tasks

• Clear flow of information

• Use of detailed data available at project management level as basic

source of cost, schedule, and resource requirement information

• Participation in the process leads to ownership and acceptance

Top Down

Bottom Up

Iterative Process

1 2 3

continued

Page 26: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Top Down

Bottom Up

Iterative Process

1 2 3

What it means

• Iterative means “to repeat or do again”

• It is a combination of top-down and bottom-up budget building

• Higher project level estimated (top down)

• Lower level costed (bottom up)

• The two costs negotiated and reconciled

Budget Methodologies Iterative Process

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 26

Page 27: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Disadvantages

• Relative inefficiency and time consuming nature of the

negotiations over the budgets

• Process may not work well when communication channels

are either informal or blocked between lower-level managers

and senior management

Budget Methodologies Iterative Process

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 27

Top Down

Bottom Up

Iterative Process

1 2 3

continued

Page 28: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Advantages

• Promotes employee involvement and stimulates a high

degree of information flow between those involved in

the project at different levels

• Both senior management and lower level managers closer

to the actual process participate in the budgeting process

Budget Methodologies Iterative Process

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 28

Top Down

Bottom Up

Iterative Process

1 2 3

continued

Page 29: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Budgeting Best Practices Tips, Value Drivers, Planning, and Analysis

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 29

Page 30: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Budgeting Best Practices

Reduce:

• Time allowed to develop budget

• Iterations during development

• Level of detail

Use budget productivity tools

Consider external, non-financial, long-term influencers

Effective planning happens year-round, interactive and dynamic

Planning and analysis should be equal

Performance improvement should be a result of effective

budgeting and analysis of under-performing business areas

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 30

Page 31: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Value Drivers: Key Performance Indicators

Non-financial metrics specific to each business (representing your

business objectives as measurable targets):

• Customer Conversion Rate

• MRR – Monthly Recurring Revenue

• CRR – Customer Retention Rate (and cost)

• Churn Rate

• Employee Retention

• Carbon Footprint

• Product Recycling Rate

• Access to Capital

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 31

Page 32: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Rule of 78

Forecasting methodologies:

• Annualized run rate of 12x the average monthly billing, plus new revenue

acquired over the period.

• ($10 average / month = $120 annualized). Because the new revenue

acquired is unknown, this tends to be conservative.

• Rule of 78 is a quick calculation to estimate the total value of recurring

revenue over the next 12 months, and is calculated as the value of the first

month’s service x 78 ($10 forecasted for first month = $780 Rule of 78).

• Assumes the same amount will be billed and added to the run rate

every month for a full year. Does not consider seasonality, market

fluctuations, customer loss, etc.

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 32

continued

Page 33: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Rule of 78

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 33

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total

Target $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10

Jan $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $120

Feb $0 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $110

Mar $0 $0 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $100

Apr $0 $0 $0 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $90

May $0 $0 $0 $0 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $80

Jun $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $70

Jul $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $60

Aug $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $50

Sep $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $10 $10 $10 $10 $40

Oct $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $10 $10 $10 $30

Nov $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $10 $10 $20

Dec $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $10 $10

Annual Forecast Total Billing $780

78 x monthly run rate of $10

continued

Page 34: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Rule of 78

Recurring revenue impacts

• Working capital

• Cash flow

• Remuneration structures for sales reps

• Financial reporting

• Business valuation

With all of those impacts, it is important to be able to forecast

recurring revenue appropriately.

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 34

Page 35: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Cost of Revenue & Operating Cost Planning

Fixed costs

Variable costs

Economies of scale

Economies of scope

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 35

Page 36: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Poll Question 4

What level of planning do you do?

a. Income statements only

b. Cash only

c. Income statements, cash and balance sheets

d. None

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 36

Page 37: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Balance Sheet Planning

Working capital

• AR

• Inventory

• AP

Capital expenditures

Cash

• Debt and equity

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 37

Page 38: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Scenario Modeling

Sensitivity analysis

Base case vs. Growth plan vs. Downside plan

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 38

Page 39: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Problems With Budgeting

The process is too long

There is a lot of game playing

Business decisions change but the budget does not

People in charge of budget are held accountable in

areas where they have no responsibility

Unrealistic budget predictions

Applying an arbitrary percentage to prior period actual

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 39

Page 40: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Q&A

© 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary 40

Page 41: vcfo Budgeting Basics Webinar

Thank you We will be following up with you by email shortly to provide

more details on receiving CPE credit, as well as two budgeting

templates. Happy budgeting!

41 © 2014 vcfo | confidential and proprietary