va-sen wenzel strategies for citizens united (oct. 2012)
TRANSCRIPT
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7/31/2019 VA-Sen Wenzel Strategies for Citizens United (Oct. 2012)
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Survey of Likely Voters in VirginiaTopline Summary ReportOctober 21, 2012
2. Thinking about how things are going, in general, here in our local area, would you say thingsare headed in the right direction or do you think they are off on the wrong track?
RIGHT-WRONG TRACK
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative
Percent
Valid
RIGHT DIRECTION 444 44.4 44.4 44.4
WRONG TRACK 473 47.3 47.3 91.7
NOT SURE 83 8.3 8.3 100.0
Total 1000 100.0 100.0
3. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama?
OBAMA FAVS
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative
Percent
Valid
VERY FAVORABLE 427 42.7 42.7 42.7
SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 90 9.0 9.0 51.7
SOMEWHAT
UNFAVORABLE 88 8.8 8.8 60.5
VERY UNFAVORABLE 394 39.4 39.4 99.9
NO OPINION 1 .1 .1 100.0
Total 1000 100.0 100.0
Wenzel Strategies conducted a telephone survey of likely General Election voters statewide in Virginia
regarding the November election. The survey included 1,000 likely voters and was conducted Oct. 19-20,
2012. It carries a margin of error of +/- 3.07 percentage points.
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4. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney?
ROMNEY FAVS
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative
Percent
Valid
VERY FAVORABLE 458 45.8 45.8 45.8
SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 122 12.2 12.2 58.0
SOMEWHAT
UNFAVORABLE132 13.2 13.2 71.2
VERY UNFAVORABLE 283 28.3 28.3 99.4
NO OPINION 6 .6 .6 100.0
Total 1000 100.0 100.0
5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Timothy Kaine?
KAINE FAVS
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative
Percent
Valid
VERY FAVORABLE 368 36.8 36.8 36.8
SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 119 11.9 11.9 48.6
SOMEWHAT
UNFAVORABLE 113 11.3 11.3 59.9
VERY UNFAVORABLE 364 36.4 36.4 96.3
NO OPINION 37 3.7 3.7 100.0
Total 1000 100.0 100.0
6. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of George Allen?
ALLEN FAVS
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative
Percent
Valid
VERY FAVORABLE 389 38.9 38.9 38.9
SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 188 18.8 18.8 57.7
SOMEWHAT
UNFAVORABLE91 9.1 9.1 66.7
VERY UNFAVORABLE 290 29.0 29.0 95.7
NO OPINION 43 4.3 4.3 100.0
Total 1000 100.0 100.0
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7. If the election for President of the United States was today, and the candidates wereRepublican Mitt Romney, Democrat Barack Obama, Virgil Goode of the Constitution Party,
Gary Johnson of the Libertarian Party, and Jill Stein of the Green Party, for whom would youvote?
PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative
Percent
Valid
ROMNEY 492 49.2 49.2 49.2
OBAMA 471 47.1 47.1 96.4
GOODE 3 .3 .3 96.7JOHNSON 4 .4 .4 97.1
STEIN 4 .4 .4 97.5
NOT SURE 25 2.5 2.5 100.0
Total 1000 100.0 100.0
8. Thinking about the choice you just made for President, how firm would you say you are inyour selection?
PRESIDENT - FIRM IN CHOICE
Frequency Percent Valid Percent CumulativePercent
Valid
FIRM IN CHOICE 946 94.6 94.6 94.6
COULD CHANGE MY MIND 43 4.3 4.3 99.0
VERY OPEN TO CHANGE 10 1.0 1.0 100.0
Total 1000 100.0 100.0
9. If the election for U.S. Senate representing Virginia was today, and the candidates wereDemocrat Timothy Kaine and Republican George Allen, for whom would you vote?
SENATE BALLOT
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative
Percent
Valid
KAINE 461 46.1 46.1 46.1
ALLEN 494 49.4 49.4 95.5
NOT SURE 45 4.5 4.5 100.0
Total 1000 100.0 100.0
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10. Thinking about the choice you just made for U.S. Senate, how firm would you say you are inyour selection?
SENATE - FIRM IN CHOICE
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative
Percent
Valid
FIRM IN CHOICE 922 92.2 92.2 92.2
COULD CHANGE MY MIND 48 4.8 4.8 97.0
VERY OPEN TO CHANGE 30 3.0 3.0 100.0
Total 1000 100.0 100.0
PARTY
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative
Percent
Valid
DEM 460 46.0 46.0 46.0
GOP 390 39.0 39.0 85.0
INDY 150 15.0 15.0 100.0
Total 1000 100.0 100.0
PHILOSOPHY
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative
Percent
Valid
VERY LIBERAL 217 21.7 21.7 21.7
LIBERAL 144 14.4 14.4 36.1
MODERATE 193 19.3 19.3 55.5
CONSERVATIVE 215 21.5 21.5 77.0
VERY CONSERVATIVE 230 23.0 23.0 100.0
Total 1000 100.0 100.0
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GENDER
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative
Percent
Valid
MEN 480 48.0 48.0 48.0
WOMEN 520 52.0 52.0 100.0
Total 1000 100.0 100.0
REGION
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative
Percent
Valid
NORTH VA 410 41.0 41.0 41.0
S-SW VA 140 14.0 14.0 55.0
CENTRAL-SE VA 450 45.0 45.0 100.0
Total 1000 100.0 100.0
AGE
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative
Percent
Valid
UNDER AGE 30 120 12.0 12.0 12.0
30s 130 13.0 13.0 25.0
40s 170 17.0 17.0 42.0
50s 190 19.0 19.0 61.0
60s 210 21.0 21.0 82.0
70 + 180 18.0 18.0 100.0
Total 1000 100.0 100.0
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INCOME
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative
Percent
Valid
$50K OR LESS 326 32.6 32.6 32.6
$50K TO 475K 184 18.4 18.4 51.0
$75K TO $125K 210 21.0 21.0 72.0
$125K OR MORE 181 18.1 18.1 90.1
REFUSED 99 9.9 9.9 100.0
Total 1000 100.0 100.0