u.s. snacks
TRANSCRIPT
Kellogg Company November 20, 2015
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Strategy | 2
Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
Total Snacks Category
2.5% CAGR 4.1% CAGR
Snacking – Large Category and Growing(a)
$57.3B2001
$68B2008
$90B2015
Note: Salty Snacks: bagel snacks, cheese snacks, chips, meat snacks, multigrain snacks, onion snacks, popcorn, pork snacks, pretzels, salted variety packs, salty snack mixes, seafood snacks, other salty snacks. Snack Bars: cereal snacks , cereal treats, fruit snacks, snack bars, nutritional bars, weight control bars(a) Nielsen Scantrack, 5 years ending Sept. 2015
Snacks | 2
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Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
Macro-Snacking Trend Continues(a)
<3 Snacks
3+ Snacks
(a) Nielsen research
47%53%
61%
2005 2010 2014
80%64%
20%36%
2010 2014
% of Population That Snacks # of Snacks per DayMore People Are Snacking… They Are Snacking More…
Snacks | 3
Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
Macro-Snacking Trend Continues(a)
% of Population Substituting Snacks for Meals
Snacks Are Replacing Meals…
(a) Nielsen research
49% 52% 49%
Breakfast Lunch Dinner
Snacks | 4
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Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
Enable the Growth
Grow Sales and Share | OP Margin Expansion | Grow Free Cash Flow
Transform SnacksWin in Breakfast Build a Next Generation Natural Business
Win Where The Shopper Shops
Our VisionEnrich and delight the world
through foods and brands that matter
Our PurposeNourishing families so they can flourish and thrive
Fuel for Growth
Culture for Growth/Diverse High-Performing Team
Accelerate Frozen
Kellogg North America 2020 Growth Plan
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Snacking – Large Category and Growing
2.4%
4.1%
Total Food Snacks
5.0%4.5%
4.0%
3.0%
2.3%
SaltySnacks
SnackBars
Candy Cookies Crackers
Snacking Category Growth(a)
(4-Year CAGR)
Note: Salty Snacks: bagel snacks, cheese snacks, chips, meat snacks, multigrain snacks, onion snacks, popcorn, pork snacks, pretzels, salted variety packs, salty snack mixes, seafood snacks, other salty snacks. Snack Bars: cereal snacks , cereal treats, fruit snacks, snack bars, nutritional bars, weight control bars(a) Nielsen Scantrack, 5 years ending Sept. 2015
Snacks | 6
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Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
Crackers
Cookies
Bars
Salty
Fruit Snacks
(a) Percentages of business based on 2015 YTD net sales through August 2015
DSD
WH
Category Mix Delivery Mix Total U.S. Snacks Channel Composition
Diversified Portfolio of Snacking OptionsU.S. Snacks Overview(a)
Club
DDD
Conv All Other
Grocery/Mass
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Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
U.S. Snacks Total Kellogg
Gross Margins(a)Category Share
Crackers
Cookies
Wholesome
SaltyIncluding Potato Chips
Fruit Snacks
$5.7
$6.7
$3.4
$21.3
$1.0
32.0%
11.6%
21.5%
3.8%
15.5%Nielsen XAOC+Conv. 52-weeks ending 10/3/15
Our Position – The Hungry #2
(a) Year-to-date through 3Q 2015; comparable gross margin
$B
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Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
…Kellogg brands over-index with Millennials
Opportunity – Kellogg Snacks Over-Index with Millennials
Millennials are the most frequent snackers…
76%
Percent Who Snack >2x per Day
64% 57%
MillennialsGen X Baby
Boomers
Note: Total snack market: salty snacks, cookies, bars/treats, crackers, toaster pastries(a) Nielsen Scantrack, past 52-weeks ending Sept. 2015
Snacks | 9
Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Growth Years = 3.1% CAGR(b)
Pringles acquisition June 2012
A Track Record of Growth
(a) Comparable net sales; (b) Comparable net sales CAGR, 2005 through 2013
Net Sales(a)
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Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
Unprecedented Transformation
Millennials/Latinas –The New Mainstream
Evolving Customer Base
Dynamic Communication Landscape
Picture of Millennial Consumers
Picture ofEvolving
Customer Landscape
Re-Ignite Growth, Follow the Consumer
Snacks | 11
Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
Kellogg Has Had Success in Traditional Retail Channels…
Note: Total snack market: salty snacks, cookies, bars/treats, crackers, toaster pastries(a) Nielsen Scantrack, past 52-weeks ending Sept. 2015
Kellogg Snack Dollar Share by Channel
13.7%12.7%
11.4% 11.0%
Total
11.0%
Snacks | 12Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
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92.5% 85.6% 79.8%
7.5% 14.4% 20.2%
Kellogg Competitor A Competitor B% Non Single Serve
% Single Serve
Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
… And Traditional Grocery Formats
(a) Nielsen, AOD CY 2011 – YTD through Sept. 2015 xAOC + Convenience
Single Serve Contribution to Snack $ Sales (a)
Key Unlock: Right Channel, Right Brand,
Right Format
Single Serve
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Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
19 Years of Growth
From Acquisition to Growth
Engine
Unlock Our Advantaged Repertoire Portfolio
From Weight-Management
to Weight-Wellness
Mom’s YES Treat
Our BrandsProfiles of Success
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Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
1996 2015E
Over $1 Billion in Sales
Consecutive Years of Growth19
Cheez-It…The #1 Cracker Brand
Growing %HH Penetration(a)
Within Every Cohort!• General population• Millennials• Hispanic• Households with kids
(a) Nielsen, YTD through Sept. 2015Snacks | 15
Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
Formula for SuccessIncrease Investment in Core Expand Across Channels
Source from Adjacencies Expand Across Occasions
Cheez-It – Positioned for Continued Growth
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Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
Regional StarsKeebler
Opportunity = Repertoire Portfolio with Variety-Seeking Millennials
Unlock Our Advantaged Repertoire Portfolio
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Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
Invest in the Core Expand Across Channels
Source from Adjacencies Expand Across Occasions
Formula for SuccessReset Cookies for Growth
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Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
Protein / SatietyProtein / SatietyVisible Ingredient Bars[Snack Bars / Nut Bars]
Visible Ingredient Bars[Snack Bars / Nut Bars]
Special K – From Weight Management to Weight Wellness
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Re-setting the Brand for Growth
-5%
7%
Consumption – Total Bars(a)
52-Weeks 12-Weeks
(a) AC Nielsen, xAOC, periods ending 10/31/15, Cereal ,Snack, Protein Granola, and Nut Bars
Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
(a) AC Nielsen , year-to-date through 9/19/15
Growing behind strong innovation, seasonal offerings, and licensed propertiesRice Krispies Treats – Mom’s YES Treat
Double-digit growth across every channel! (a)
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Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
Invest on the Core Expand Across Channels
Source from Adjacencies Expand Across Occasions
Fuel Growth by Finding More Ways for Mom to Say Yes!
Formula for Success
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Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
2012 2013 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E
Sales Growth 2012 – 2020E
(a) Kellogg Internal Financial Reporting, Salty Snacks NSV CAGR, 2012-2015E; (b) NSV 2016E-2020E CAGR
≈4% CAGR(a)
Accelerate(b)
Pringles U.S. — From Acquisition to Growth Engine
Enablers of Pringles Growth• Capacity Expansion
• Perfect Shelf – Accelerate Grocery
• Amplify Excitement via Commercial Innovation
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Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
Increase Investment in Core Expand Across Channels
Source from Adjacencies Expand Across Occasions
Pringles – Accelerate GrowthFormula for Success
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Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
Kellogg SnacksImproving Trends Across All Categories
5.3
(4.9)
0.3
(10.3)
2.4
(3.5)(1.5)
(6.7)
5.3
(2.4)
(0.2)
(5.8)
Salty Snacks Cookie Cracker Wholesome Snacks
Kellogg (ex Kashi) Snack Trends % $ Change(a)
FY 2014 YTD 2015 L12 Weeks(a) Nielsen xAOC + Convenience, Scantrack, periods ending 10/31/2015
Salty Snacks Wholesome SnacksCookie Cracker
Our Actions are Driving Improvement
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2015 Lapping the intro. of Pringles Tortilla
Kellogg Company November 20, 2015
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Kellogg Company | November 20, 2015
Ready to capitalize on changing demographics (Millennial and Hispanic shoppers)
Distort investment & focus behind our big brands
Step change our On-the-Go offering
Committed to profitable growth
Kellogg Snacks – Returning to Profitable Growth
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