us pivot flashpoint - korean peninsula

24
US Pivot Flashpoint - Korean Peninsula Boston, April 19, 2014

Upload: mahdis

Post on 24-Feb-2016

49 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

DESCRIPTION

US Pivot Flashpoint - Korean Peninsula. Boston, April 19, 2014. Every Spring, in March and April, I hold my breath. Ideal Condition for War Games. According to a 1978 House Armed Services Committee report ... - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

US Pivot Flashpoint - Korean Peninsula

Boston, April 19, 2014

Page 2: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

Every Spring, in March and April, I hold my breath...

Page 3: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

According to a 1978 House Armed Services Committee report...

The presence of a real live adversary north of the DMZ makes South Korea the best training ground for US forces.

Ideal Condition for War Games

Page 4: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

Risk of MiscalculationGreatest fear on the Korean peninsula is “a miscalculation. An impulsive decision that causes a kinetic provocation.”

James ThurmanFormer U.S. Forces in Korea Commander

“The dangers of miscalculation are pretty significant. The potential for an escalatory spiral is very real.”

Bruce Bennett, Rand Corp. analyst

Page 5: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

Missile Offense“Tailored deterrence”

Strike first and eliminate the missile site prior to launch

Page 6: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

Miscalculation is unthinkable...

Page 7: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

Unconventional Warfare“Activities conducted to enable a resistance movement or insurgency to coerce, disrupt or overthrow an occupying power or government by operating through or with an underground, auxiliary and guerrilla force in a denied area.”

Balance Knife Exercise 2013 - Train Special Forces to develop a “loyal resistance organization”

Page 8: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

As US-ROK forces refine their regime change plans…

...North Korea's acts of defiance grow

louder

Page 9: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

Preparing for Offensive OperationsRethinking Conflict on the Korean Peninsula - Center for New American Security

• Predicts a conflict on the Korean peninsula in the next one to five years

• Recommends ROK armed forces to develop offensive operations capability and developing offensive strike capability

Page 10: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

Why won't Nobel peace-laureate President Obama engage North Korea?

Page 11: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

Joint Statement of 6-party Talks (2005)

• "Each party will take steps in the initial phase to achieve early denuclearization of the Korean peninsula"

"Directly related parties will negotiate a permanent peace regime on the Korean peninsula"

Page 12: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

Obama’s Position

No talks and more restrictive sanctions until NK gives up nukes

Page 13: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

Division of Korea is Critical to US interests

• Tension on the Korean peninsula justifies US military presence

• US military presence guarantees US economic interests

Page 14: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

Pivot strategy requires the US to lean on Japan and South Korea...

...But the South Korean people have nothing to gain and everything to lose from the US

pivot

Page 15: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

US Pivot Burdens S Korean Citizens

• South Korea will pay $850 million to host U.S. troops this year, a six per cent increase from last year.

• U.S. Forces in Korea (USFK) may be hoarding close to $1.5 billion of South Korean taxpayer money

Page 16: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

US Pivot Destroys Life

Page 17: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

Jeju Naval Base for US Aegis Destroyers

Hundreds of thousands of tons of stone have been dumped on corals to make the breakwaters for the harbor. Thousands of massive concrete structures are on the shore. The beautiful rocks of Gureombi have been broken apart and the area filled with concrete. It is an environmental disaster.

- Ann Wright

Page 18: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

Nothing to Gain…. from the U.S. Pivot

Page 19: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

US Pivot Ignores HistoryUS wants South Korea and Japan to revitalize talks this year on a military intelligence-sharing pact

Page 20: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

A strong Japan-South Korea alliance is imperative for the U.S. “pivot strategy”

But the United States ignores history, which

shapes the present.

Page 21: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

Most South Koreans (65.8%) view Japan - over China and North Korea - as the number one threat to South Korea

Page 22: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

“A nation that forgets history has no future.“

Page 23: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

People’s Pivot - Time to Come Together

Page 24: US Pivot  Flashpoint  - Korean Peninsula

US OUT of Asia Pacific NO to the US Pivot!

Obama’s Asia tour in late April - Japan, SK, Malaysia, Philippines

4/23 @ 3-4pm Twitter rally (online) using hashtags #USoutofASPac #ASPacNot4Sale

4/25 @ 6:30-8pm Counter-protest to Obama's visit to Asia Pacific Region in NYC