URBANIZATION IN CHINATRENDS, CHALLENGES, AND OPPORTUNITIES

December 10, 2010

Josh NewellUM School of Natural Resources & Environment

Urbanization: Unprecedented Migration to Cities

1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 20300

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Urbanization, World (1950-2030)

World

Source: United Nations, Population Division, 2010.

Rapid Urbanization in Emerging Countries

Source: United Nations, Population Division, 2010.

Mass Urbanization in Asia

Sources: McKinsey Global Institute, China National Bureau of Statistics, Foreign Policy.

Mass Urbanization: China in 2025

Sources: McKinsey Global Institute, China National Bureau of Statistics, Foreign Policy.

Building Cities: China

Sources: McKinsey Global Institute, China National Bureau of Statistics, Foreign Policy.

China: Boom in Urban Area Jobs

Sources: McKinsey Global Institute, China National Bureau of Statistics, Foreign Policy.

Cities and CO2 Emissions

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Cities are responsible for approximately 71% of the world’s greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.

-International Energy Agency, 2009

China Challenge: Urban-scale CO2 emissions

Sources: McKinsey Global Institute, China National Bureau of Statistics, Foreign Policy.

Challenge: Sustainable Buildings

Source: Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, 2008.

Commercial Building Emissions, China, 2005-2020

Challenge: Sustainable Urban Transportation

Business Opportunity: Sustainable Cities

1. Urban areas just 2% of total land area, but responsible for most of the world’s carbon emissions. Cities are key leverage points for change

2. More than 50% of the cities that we will have by 2050 have not yet been built.

3. How we build cities will have long-term resource implications

Smart City Example: Portugal