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2 nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3 rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 1 Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland Werner Leu Consulting Geologist Grand‘Rue 5 CH-1844 Villeneuve [email protected] 3rd UNECE Gas Centre Industry Forum 2012 - Int. Experience unconventional gas resources

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Page 1: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 1

Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland

A first Assessment

October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

Werner Leu

Consulting Geologist

Grand‘Rue 5

CH-1844 Villeneuve [email protected]

3rd UNECE Gas Centre Industry Forum 2012 - Int. Experience unconventional gas resources

Page 2: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 2

Outline

Energy supply Switzerland - Key role of gas

100 years of exploration - What has been found?

Latest exploration efforts unconventional gas

Unconventional gas resources Switzerland?

Legal framework and hurdles (as emotional as elsewhere in EU)

Page 3: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 3

Energy Consumption Switzerland

renewable (biogas 0.2%)

renewable

fossil

(66 %)

hydro-E

nuclear-E

Gas (12.2%)

heating - fuel

mobility -fuel

coal wood

Import & dependency of Switzerland

Page 4: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 4

Gas will help to fill the Electricity-Gap

nuclear production

hydro

nuclear import

Supply - Demand Gap

from 2020 onwards

Page 5: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 5

Gas will help to fill the Electricity-Gap

Gas power plants

Page 6: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 6

100 Years of Exploration - What has been found?

3rd UNECE Gas Centre Industry Forum 2012 - Int. Experience unconventional gas resources

Page 7: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 7

1912 – 2010: Conventional Results

Disappointing

1-3 non-commercial oil discoveries 1 semi-commercial gas discovery

(Essertines-1 et al.) (Entlebuch-1)

Page 8: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 8

100 years of Exploration - Chavornay/Arnex 1912

Lake Geneva

Page 9: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 9

100 years of Exploration - Switzerland is underexplored

37 deep oil/gas wells / ~9’000 km 2D-seismic

Page 10: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 10

100 years drilling: only 37 deep wells C

havorn

ay 1

+2

Tu

ggen

Concis

e

Serv

ion

Arn

ex

Cuarn

y

Peis

sy

La P

lein

e

Altis

hofe

n

Chapelle

Court

ion/K

üsnacht/

Savig

ny

Kre

uzlin

gen/M

.Ris

oux/E

ssert

ines

Berlin

gen/L

indau/P

faff

nau

Lin

den

Rom

anens-1

/Ruppold

srie

d

Tre

ycovagnes

Entle

buch

Herd

ern

n/H

erm

rig

en/F

endrin

gen

Chessel

Th

un

Weia

ch-2

Novile

-1

1st. seismic seismic

Swisspetrol Holding Swiss/American Co.‘s Small private Companies

Oil in Tertiary Oil/Gas in Mesozoic Gas in Mesozoic/

PermoCarboniferous

Ta

rge

ts

Unconventional Gas

Page 11: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 11

Geology Switzerland

Page 12: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 12

Entlebuch-1, BEB-Swisspetrol: Semi-commercial gas discovery

Page 13: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 13

Entlebuch-1, BEB-Swisspetrol: Semi-commercial gas discovery

TD=5‘282 m in Carboniferous

Production from upper Jurassic 1985 – 1994 = 74 Mio m3 gas (2.6 bcf)

2‘300 m3 condensate

(14’300 bbl)

> annual gas consumption Switzerland = ~3.5 bcm (123 bcf)

Page 14: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 14

Exploration of last 10 Years:

Some efforts towards unconventional gas

3rd UNECE Gas Centre Industry Forum 2012 - Int. Experience unconventional gas resources

Page 15: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 15

Exploration Activity today

Weach-2 (2002)

Forest Oil/Peos/Seag

Page 16: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 16

Weiach: Carboniferous coals and clastics

Page 17: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 17

Paleozoic Troughs: Permo-Carboniferous coals and clastics

Page 18: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 18

Weiach-2 (Peos/Seag): Basin Centered / Tight Gas Play

Weiach-1/-2

Page 19: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 19

Planned Hydraulic Fracturing….but Tight Sandstones too “tight”

Page 20: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 20

Exploration Activity today

Noville-1 (2010)

Petrosvibri SA (Gaznat/Holdigaz)

Page 21: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 21

Chablais Structure: Conventional + Unconventional Targets

Page 22: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 22

Noville-1 (Petrosvibri SA)

Noville-1

Tests indicate

tight gas play (without stimulation)

Page 23: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 23

Exploration Activity today

Schuepbach Energy LLC

Shale Gas / Tight Gas middle Jurassic section

Page 24: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 24

Shale Gas Potential Western Switzerland

Top Toarcian

• e.g. Aalenian-Toarcian, Maturity > 1.2%Ro

TOC > 5%, Depth 2-3 km

• Area: 100 x 30 km, Thickness: 30 m

• Shale Volume = 90 bcm

• GIP = 10 m3/m3, RF = 0.1

• >> 50 - 150 bcm recoverable gas (2 – 6 tcf)

oil

gas

Page 25: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 25

Exploration Activity today

PEOS-eCorp / SEAG

Large exploration program in entire Swiss Molasse Basin

Page 26: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 26

100 years of Exploration

Page 27: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 27

Unconventional Gas Resources Switzerland?

bcm tcf

CBM --- (?) --- (?)

Tight gas 150 - 300 5 -10

Shale gas 50 - 150 2 - 5

Total 200 - 450 7 - 15

Annual gas

consumption CH (without new GPP)

3.5 0.125

Page 28: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 28

Tone of media !!!

Page 29: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 29

Gas consumption is increasing and gas will play a key role in the future energy

supply of Switzerland (electricity, heating and mobility).

100 years of conventional exploration results are disappointing

(1 semi-commercial gas field, all gas - and oil - is currently imported).

Current exploration efforts for unconventional gas is picking up

(tight and shale gas in Permocarboniferous/Mesozoic).

There is a substantial potential of unconventional gas resources in Switzerland:

200-450 bcm (7-15 tcf)

To proove that these are economic reserves requires additional risk capital,

but also a well coordinated information/communication campaign by the industry

(environmental regulations, mining laws, canton/national)

It is our responisibility to allow and do this exploration for unconventional gas (oil)

Conclusions

Page 30: Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A …bgc.bg/upload_files/Werner Leu.pdf · Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland A first Assessment October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

2nd October 2012 Werner Leu Unconventional Gas Switzerland, 3rd UNECE Gas Forum, Lausanne 30

Unconventional Gas Resources in Switzerland

A first Assessment

October 2, 2012, Lausanne Switzerland

Werner Leu

Consulting Geologist

Grand‘Rue 5

CH-1844 Villeneuve [email protected]

3rd UNECE Gas Centre Industry Forum 2012 - Int. Experience unconventional gas resources

Thank you