ugo pica ciamarra, fao "livestock ownership and consumption of animal-source foods in...
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Science Forum 2013 (www.scienceforum13.org) Breakout Session 10: Economic ImplicationsTRANSCRIPT
Livestock Ownership and Consumption of Animal-source Foods in Sub-Saharan Africa: What Do the Data Say?Ugo Pica-Ciamarra, FAO
SCIENCE FORUM 2013Nutrition and health outcomes: targets for agricultural research23-25 September 2013, Bonn, Germany
Outline
• Facts: Protein-energy malnutrition and animal source-foods
• Livestock keepers and livestock eaters
• Livestock ownership and the consumption of animal foods
• Livestock productivity and improved nutrition: what connection?
• Conclusions
Facts: undernourishment
870 million undernourished in 2010-2012 (12.5%) – 98% in developing countries(FAO, 2012)
Protein-energy malnutrition (PEM) is the most lethal form of malnutrition(WHO, 2000)
Facts: animal source foods (ASFs) and undernourishment
Meat, milk eggs and fish are sources of complete protein (contain all 9 essential amino acids)
Animal source foods are also good sources of key micronutrients (vitamin A; iron; zinc; calcium; etc.)
Facts: most of rural households keep livestock
% of rural households keeping livestock
Facts: livestock ownership and nutrition
Source: T. Randolph et al (2007) Journal of Animal Science, 87
Question: livestock keeping ASF consumption?
Source: T. Randolph et al (2007) Journal of Animal Science, 87
Animalsowned
HH ASF consumption
1. Are livestock keepers livestock eaters?multitude of roles of livestock in the household economy
2. Is livestock ownership a predictor of ASF consumption?trade animals / livestock products for cheaper calories
Question: livestock keeping ASF consumption?
3. Do increases in livestock productivity improve HH ASF intake (nutrition)?economic incentives / implications for policies
1. Are livestock keepers livestock eaters?multitude of roles of livestock in the household economy
2. Is livestock ownership a predictor of ASF consumption?trade animals / livestock products for cheaper calories
3. Do increases in livestock productivity improve HH ASF intake (nutrition)?economic incentives / implications for policies
Living Standards Measurement Studies from 7 sub-Saharan African Countries,
(1999 to 2011)
Question: livestock keeping ASF consumption?
Livestock keepers and livestock eaters
1. Are livestock keepers livestock eaters?multitude of roles of livestock in the household economy
2. Is livestock ownership a predictor of animal food consumption?trade animals / livestock products for cheaper calories
3. Do increases in livestock productivity improve HH ASF intake (nutrition)?quantity
Not all livestock keepers consume animal foods
Question: livestock keeping ASF consumption?
Livestock ownership and consumption of animal foods
Livestock ownership and consumption of animal foods
Variables Statistical significance
‘Tropical Livestock Unit’ / ‘Cattle equivalent’
Ghana***; Malawi***;Niger ***; Nigeria***; Tanzania***; Uganda***
-
Large ruminants -Malawi***; Niger*; Nigeria*** ; Tanzania*** ;Uganda***
Small ruminants - Niger**; Tanzania**;
Pigs and poultry birds -Ghana***; Malawi***; Niger*; Nigeria***; Tanzania***; Uganda*
Other variables not presented *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1.
Probit estimates on consumption of animal foods
1. Are livestock keepers livestock eaters?multitude of roles of livestock in the household economy
2. Is livestock ownership a predictor of ASF consumption?trade animals / livestock products for cheaper calories
Not all livestock keepers consume animal foods
Ownership of dairy cattle and poultry are determinants of milk and egg consumption
Question: livestock keeping ASF consumption?
3. Do increases in livestock productivity improve HH ASF intake (nutrition)?economic incentives / implications for policies
Quantity consumed is negligible
Meat = btw 2.2 kg/year and 14 kg/year per capita
Milk = btw 14 lit/year and 22 lit/year per capita
(Recall periods differ / annual consumption difficult to calculate with no detailed info on production (e.g. clutching period for hens) / cross-sectoral partnerships appropriate for improved questionnaire design)
Quantity consumed is negligible
Meat = btw 2.2 kg/year and 14 kg/year per capita
Milk = btw 14 lit/year and 22 lit/year per capita
Daily protein requirement for a 50 kg adult = 43 gramsBeef / Pork = 73 kg/yearGoat meat = 78 Kg/yearPoultry = 81 Kg/yearMilk = 460 lit/year
Increase smallholder productivity for better ‘nutrition’?
% of rural households keeping livestock(mean / median herd size for livestock keeping households)
(0.8
0 / 0
.50)
(1.9
3 / 0
.50)
(0.4
7 / 0
.13)
(3.1
7 / 0
.33)
(2.2
0 / 0
.88)
(1.2
5 / 0
.45)
(1.4
1 / 0
.60)
Average herd size (mean / median in ‘cattle equivalent’)
1. Are livestock keepers livestock eaters?multitude of roles of livestock in the household economy
2. Is livestock ownership a predictor of ASF consumption?trade animals / livestock products for cheaper calories
Not all livestock keepers consume animal foods
Ownership of dairy cattle and poultry are determinants of milk and egg consumption
Unlikely to have major direct effects on nutrition level on their own
Question: livestock keeping ASF consumption?
3. Do increases in livestock productivity improve HH ASF intake (nutrition)?economic incentives / implications for policies
Conclusions
Increases in smallholder livestock productivity support livelihoods but…. do they significantly directly impact on nutrition?
ASF protein / micronutrient intake better achieved through market mechanism than through self-consumption ?
Target ‘few’ ‘relatively large’ market oriented livestock producers ? (info is not available from nationally representative datasets!)
0.5
11.
5D
ens
ity0 5 10 15 20
Tropical Livestock Units: total
Thank youwww.fao.org/ag/aga.html