trump phenomenon
TRANSCRIPT
Trump PhenomenonEnglish Presentation Seminar
Second Presentation InstructionsTakahiro Okada
Background
• Donald J. Trump• Offensive words• Won Republicans’
primary election
• “Trump Phenomenon”donaldjtrump.com
(共和党予備選挙)
“Trump Phenomenon”might happen
in Japan
Significance
• Elections are important for our livelihood.
• “Trump Phenomenon” could potentially happen all over the world, but…• Many people never imagine
“Trump phenomenon” happen in Japan• It’s important to know foundation in Japan
Outline
1. Problem with the Internet
2. Frustration against the politics
3. The rich and The poor
Populism with the Internet
• Became easier to appeal and agitate• Similar views by searching result filter• Opinions become extreme and break in
two• Untruthful information spreads a lot
(大衆迎合主義)
Demagogues can gain power easily(扇動政治家)
A sense of stagnation
• Political Establishments don’t make livelihood better in recent years in U.S.
• Political Establishment• Person who controls government for a long
time• Hereditary members in the Diet in Japan
(閉塞感)
(世襲議員)
Believing government run for a few Big Interest
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 20160%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Democrats Republicans
Political Funds (by March 7th)
Clinton Sanders Trump Cruz$0 mil.
$20 mil.
$40 mil.
$60 mil.
$80 mil.
$100 mil.
$120 mil.
$140 mil.by Mega Donor Entire
A sense of stagnation
• People in U.S. are frustrated and angry• People want the outsider, like Donald
Trumpto actively change the system• Same conditions exist in Japan
Outsiders may emerge here
like Donald Trump
(部外者)
Widening of the income gap
• Economic establishment - holds much property• Wants people to work with lower salary
• Immigrant - came to live from foreign country• Works with lower salary, better than
homelandPushing down of workers’ entire wagesAggressive actions against
immigrantslike Donald Trump
Widening of the income gap
• The rich become richer, the poor become poorer• Gap is a bad aspect with growth, but is
extreme
(富裕層) (貧困層)
• Democrats, Bernie Sanders• Non-
establishment=Outsider• Democratic Socialist policy• Gained many votes
berniesanders.com
(民主社会主義政策)
(民主党)
Redistributed income gap in Japan
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 20100.3
0.32
0.34
0.36
0.38
0.4
Better
Worse
(Gini coef.)
(再分配後の収入格差)
Widening of the income gap
Series1
• Japanese feel widening of income gap, although it’s actually not so serious.
Do you feel widening of income gap in Japan?Do you think income gap is in allowable range?
Yes: 76% No: 20%
Yes: 46% No: 44%
Emotional policy candidates may emerge here
like Donald Trump
Summary
• Populism with the Internet• Demagogues can gain power
• A sense of stagnation• Cause need of outsiders
• Income gap• Cause need of progressive policies
We should carefully watch problems
easy
exists
we feel
Importance & Future
• “Trump Phenomenon” might happen in Japan
• Elections are important for our livelihood• Consider foreign election problems• Prevent problems before it happens.
• Explaining the Trump Phenomenonhttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2016/03/12/explaining_the_trump_phenomenon__129953.html
• Why is “establishment” a dirty word in the 2016 U.S. elections?https://www.quora.com/Why-is-establishment-a-dirty-word-in-the-2016-U-S-election
• 共和党エスタブリッシュメントはなぜ見捨てられたのかhttp://www.newsweekjapan.jp/stories/world/2016/03/post-4670_1.php
• 民主党予備選、サンダース逆転の秘策はあるのか?http://www.newsweekjapan.jp/reizei/2016/05/post-830_1.php
• 過激極右&革命的左派が圧勝 - 反エスタブリッシュ旋風渦巻く米大統領選の ..http://www.huffingtonpost.jp/kei-hata/america-president-campaign-establishment_b_9224234.html
• アメリカ大統領選挙 UPDATE3: 選挙資金から見る 2016 年米大統領予備選挙 ..http://www.tkfd.or.jp/research/america/a20019
• 日本の格差に関する現状 (PDF)http://www.cao.go.jp/zei-cho/gijiroku/zeicho/2015/27zen17kai.html