trade & policy issues trade interventions & trade agreements framework for analyzing...

20
Trade & Policy Issues Trade Interventions & Trade Agreements Framework for Analyzing International Trade & Trade Policy Interventions

Upload: charlie-childs

Post on 30-Mar-2015

252 views

Category:

Documents


2 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Trade & Policy Issues Trade Interventions & Trade Agreements Framework for Analyzing International Trade & Trade Policy Interventions

Trade & Policy Issues

Trade Interventions & Trade Agreements

Framework for Analyzing International Trade

& Trade Policy Interventions

Page 2: Trade & Policy Issues Trade Interventions & Trade Agreements Framework for Analyzing International Trade & Trade Policy Interventions

Trade Policy Interventions (Imports)Tariffs - absolute vs ad valorum, variable levy

March 2009 - Mexico to raise tariffs on 90 U.S. agr & industrial products, worth more than $2.4 B

Tariff on fresh grapes - 45%

Animal products 29.7Dairy products 218.5Fruit, vegetables, plants 3.5Coffee, tea 7.5Cereals & preparations 20.2Oilseeds, fats & oils 5.3Sugars and confectionery 6.5Beverages & tobacco 9.4Cotton 0.8Other agricultural products 7.5

Source: World Tariff Profiles, 2011. WTO Geneva

Canadian Tariffs on Imports %

Average rate across each category

Page 3: Trade & Policy Issues Trade Interventions & Trade Agreements Framework for Analyzing International Trade & Trade Policy Interventions

Tariff Lines - Specific Examples

HS Code========================================================0105.11.22 Broilers for domestic production: 238%0105.99 Turkeys: 154.5%

1001.90 Common wheat 76.5%1001.10 Durum wheat 49%1003.00 Barley (malting) 94.5%10.06 Rice Free

106.90.32 Milk, cream or butter substitutes, 50% or more dairy content, 212%

========================================================

Canadian Boarder Services Agency - Chapter-by-Chapter Customs Tariff – T2011-3http://www.cbsa-asfc.gc.ca/trade-commerce/tariff-tarif/2011/01-99/tblmod-t2011-03-eng.html

Page 4: Trade & Policy Issues Trade Interventions & Trade Agreements Framework for Analyzing International Trade & Trade Policy Interventions

Canadian Tariffs

Source: World Tariff Profiles, 2011. WTO, Geneva

Proportion of “tariff lines” duty-free Max tariff in category

Share of “Harmonized System” (HS) nominclature 6 digit sub-headings with at least one bound tariff line

Page 5: Trade & Policy Issues Trade Interventions & Trade Agreements Framework for Analyzing International Trade & Trade Policy Interventions

US Tariffs

Source: World Tariff Profiles, 2011. WTO, Geneva

Page 6: Trade & Policy Issues Trade Interventions & Trade Agreements Framework for Analyzing International Trade & Trade Policy Interventions

Japan Tariffs

Source: World Tariff Profiles, 2011. WTO, Geneva

Page 7: Trade & Policy Issues Trade Interventions & Trade Agreements Framework for Analyzing International Trade & Trade Policy Interventions

EU Tariffs

Source: World Tariff Profiles, 2011. WTO, Geneva

Page 8: Trade & Policy Issues Trade Interventions & Trade Agreements Framework for Analyzing International Trade & Trade Policy Interventions

Examples of TRQ and over-quota tariffs

Source: Canadian Dairy Commission (2011)

Product TRQ (’000 t) Tariff (%)

Skim Milk Powder 0 201.5

Whey Powder 3.2 208.0

Butter 3.3 298.5

Cheese 20.4 245.5

Ice cream 0.484 277.0

Quotas & TRQ’s (tariff rate quotas)

Page 9: Trade & Policy Issues Trade Interventions & Trade Agreements Framework for Analyzing International Trade & Trade Policy Interventions

Trade Policy Interventions (Imports)

Non-Tariff Barriers (NTB)Production Standards: Phyto-sanitary restrictions

Labeling, documentation, containers

2009 - US refuses to allow Mexican trucks to carry cargo over U.S. roads (safety concerns)

July 2008 - Product of Canada - virtually all ingredients (98%), processing and labour is Canadian

Made in Canada - manufactured or processed in Canada - ingredients imported or domestic

2002 - Country of Origin Labeling (COOL); fresh pork, beef, lambfresh fruits & vegetables

Pre - 2008 - Product of Canada - 51% Canadian content by value

Page 10: Trade & Policy Issues Trade Interventions & Trade Agreements Framework for Analyzing International Trade & Trade Policy Interventions

Trade Policy InterventionsExports

Export taxes (Argentina, developing countries)Export subsidies (EU, US - EEP)Voluntary Export Restrictions (VER’s)

Indirect Policies

Direct or indirect production supportsProduction subsidiesSupports for providing environmental services

Page 11: Trade & Policy Issues Trade Interventions & Trade Agreements Framework for Analyzing International Trade & Trade Policy Interventions

Trade Policy Agreements

Countries have different objectives (agendas)

International agreements

Gobal Level WTO (GATT)

Regional European Union, NAFTA, ASEAN, APTA, CARICOM

Bilateral Canada and its dancing partners: Chile, Columbia, Costa Rica, EFTA, Peru, Switzerland, India (in progress 2011)

Economic•self sufficiency•protect producers, consumers•expand exports

Political (domestic constituencies)

Page 12: Trade & Policy Issues Trade Interventions & Trade Agreements Framework for Analyzing International Trade & Trade Policy Interventions

Post WWII Environment

Origins of the WTO (ITO)

Why was a “new world order” important?Bretton Woods Agreements July 1944, delegates from 44 nations

IMF, World Bank, GATT/WTOUS Senate: failure to ratify (ITO)

Birth of the GATT

Consensus document

Temporary measures Eliminate trade distorting policies

import barriers (quotas, tariffs)

production subsidies

Multiple “rounds”

Kennedy, Tokyo, Uruguay, Doha

Doha is on life support

Page 13: Trade & Policy Issues Trade Interventions & Trade Agreements Framework for Analyzing International Trade & Trade Policy Interventions

Two Country Analytical Model

Compatibility of excess demand and supply relationships

Select one of the two country’s currency for vertical axis of trade sector

Use exchange rate to adjust either ED or ES

Simplifying assumptionsNo transportation costs

No governmental interference

Excess demand & supply framework

OR - assume 1:1 rate of exchange

Page 14: Trade & Policy Issues Trade Interventions & Trade Agreements Framework for Analyzing International Trade & Trade Policy Interventions

Two Country Analytical Model

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 20 40 60 80

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 20 40 60 80 100 1200

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 10 20 30 40

Country 2 low priceCountry 1 High Price

QImports Exports

Page 15: Trade & Policy Issues Trade Interventions & Trade Agreements Framework for Analyzing International Trade & Trade Policy Interventions

Relaxing Simplifying Assumptions

Governmental influence on volume of tradeTariffs, Subsidies

Quotas, Licenses

Exchange rate “management”

Other non-tariff barriers

Non-zero transportation costsHandled in same way as interregional trade

Page 16: Trade & Policy Issues Trade Interventions & Trade Agreements Framework for Analyzing International Trade & Trade Policy Interventions

Two Country Analytical ModelAbsolute Tariff

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 10 20 30 40

Country 2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 20 40 60 80

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Country 1

QImports Exports

“Country 2” - OR Rest of the world

Page 17: Trade & Policy Issues Trade Interventions & Trade Agreements Framework for Analyzing International Trade & Trade Policy Interventions

Two Country Analytical Model Percentage (Ad valorum) Tariff

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 10 20 30 40

Country 2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 20 40 60 80

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Country 1

QImports Exports

Exchange rate devaluation - Importer

Page 18: Trade & Policy Issues Trade Interventions & Trade Agreements Framework for Analyzing International Trade & Trade Policy Interventions

Two Country Analytical Model Exporter Devaluation

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 10 20 30 40

Country 2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 20 40 60 80

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Country 1

QImports Exports

Page 19: Trade & Policy Issues Trade Interventions & Trade Agreements Framework for Analyzing International Trade & Trade Policy Interventions

Two Country Analytical ModelImport Quota

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 10 20 30 40

Country 2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 20 40 60 80

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Country 1

QImports Exports

Page 20: Trade & Policy Issues Trade Interventions & Trade Agreements Framework for Analyzing International Trade & Trade Policy Interventions

Two Country Analytical ModelExport Subsidy

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 10 20 30 40

Country 2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 20 40 60 80

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Country 1

QImports Exports