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Towards understanding of human settlement growth in South Africa Naledzani Mudau, Thomas Tsoeleng, Morwapula Mashalane Human Planet Iniatiative, University of Twente, Enschede, 12-15 September 2017

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Towards understanding of human settlement growth in South Africa

Naledzani Mudau, Thomas Tsoeleng, Morwapula MashalaneHuman Planet Iniatiative, University of Twente, Enschede,

12-15 September 2017

In South Africa, urbanisation has increased from 52% in 1990 to 62% in 2011 (South African Institute of Race Relations, 2013)

Urbanisation in South Africa is attributed to abolishment of apartheid pass laws, rural-urban migration and natural population growth

Urbanisation in South Africa results in urban sprawl , proliferation of informal settlements and inequality

Effective and Sustainable urban planning

Mapping and monitoring of human settlement developments

Introduction

20072006

2008

20102009

20112012

20132014

2015

2016

Full coverage began in 2006 and continues into 2018…

Human settlement developments2007 2014

Transformation of settlements

Government subsidised housing

National Human Settlement Layer

SPOT imageryReference data

SA-GHSL(based on JRC’s

GHSL)

1. Human settlement layer2. Human settlement type

classification Layer

Built-upNon-built-up

European Commission

The Nation Human Settlement LayerSPOT 5 Natural Colour Human Settlement Layer

City Of Tshwane

Built-upNon-built-up

National Human Settlement Layer

Bloemfontein Pretoria Johannesburg

Classification of humansettlements

Human settlement growth assessment 2007 2014

2007 -2014 urban growthSPOT 5: 2014 Change map

2007 -2014 urban growthTshwane G. Johannesburg MA Mangaung

RustenburgPolokwaneBuffalo city Nelson Mandela Bay

2007 -2014 Urban Growth

Municipality Municipality Urban Growth %

City of Tshwane CoT 28.59

City of Johannesburg CoJ 11.87

Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality EMM 20.79

Buffalo City BC 63.07

Mangaung MN 20.46

Nelson Mandela Bay NMB 17.83

Rustenburg RB 41.25

Polokwane PK 71.59

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

70.00

80.00

CoT CoJ CoE BC MN NMB RB PK

Urban Growth %

Analysis of ChangeTshwane municipality

• More than 60% of change is in townships and informal settlements

Polokwane Municipality

Analysis of changeRural areas

Human settlement, population growth and electricity consumption

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

City ofTshwane

City OfJoiburg

EMM BC MN NMB RB PK

urban

population

electricity

No electivity consumption data• EMM, RB and PK

Land consumption rate: 2007-2011

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

City of Tshwane City ofJohannesburg

City of Ekurhuleni

spatial urban growth

population

0

0.005

0.01

0.015

0.02

0.025

0.03

City of Tshwane City ofJohannesburg

City ofEkurhuleni

LC2007

LC2011

Case study: assessment of land consumption rate in Cities of Tshwane, Johannesburg and

Ekurhuleni

SPOT 6 MappingTshwane: township New Housing development project

Informal settlement monitoringInformal settlement detection Informal structure mapping

Need for human settlement data