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The TD-LTE Industrial Development and Evolution Yang Hua December, 2016 Telecommunication Development Industry Alliance

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Page 1: The TD-LTE Industrial Development and Evolution · 2016-11-29 · The Global TD-LTE Terminal Industry Is Prosperous • As of June 2016, the sales volume of TD-LTE smartphone has

The TD-LTE Industrial

Development and

Evolution

Yang Hua

December, 2016

Telecommunication

Development Industry Alliance

Page 2: The TD-LTE Industrial Development and Evolution · 2016-11-29 · The Global TD-LTE Terminal Industry Is Prosperous • As of June 2016, the sales volume of TD-LTE smartphone has

In a Nutshell

The history of TDIA mimics the development progress of Chinese mobile communication technologies.

TD-SCDMA

Industry

Alliance

2002

TD Industry

Alliance

2008Telecommunication

Development

Industry

Alliance

2013Rename Rename

4GTD-LTE

5GTDD/FDD

3GTD-SCDMA

From the TD Industry Alliance in 2008 to the Telecommunication Development Industry Alliance in 2013, the renaming of the TDIA not only represented the upscaling of our missions but also demonstrates a new era of mobile communication technologies.

Page 3: The TD-LTE Industrial Development and Evolution · 2016-11-29 · The Global TD-LTE Terminal Industry Is Prosperous • As of June 2016, the sales volume of TD-LTE smartphone has

Global TD-LTE Commercial Networks Are Growing Continually

• As of September 2016, the number of global

TD-LTE commercial networks has reached 87.

• By 2016 Q3, there are 49 countries have

deployed TD-LTE networks.

• Over 102 networks are under construction

globally.

The number of global TD-LTE

commercial networks reaches 87

• The number of TD-LTE commercial networks in Asia-

Pacific is ranked to the first, accounting for 30%.

• The second one is the MEA region accounting for

25%.

• Europe is the third one accounting for 24%.

The Distribution

The Number

39 4351

5763 65 69

7683 87

6 4 8 6 6 2 4 7 7 4

0

20

40

60

80

100

2014Q22014Q32014Q42015Q12015Q22015Q32015Q42016Q12016Q22016Q3

Network Number Number of New

30%

25%

24%

21%Asia-Pacific

MEA

Europe

Others

Page 4: The TD-LTE Industrial Development and Evolution · 2016-11-29 · The Global TD-LTE Terminal Industry Is Prosperous • As of June 2016, the sales volume of TD-LTE smartphone has

Global TD-LTE BS Shipment & User Number are Increasing

• As of September 2016, the TD-LTE base

station shipment is 1.82 million globally

• As of September 2016, the TD-LTE base

station shipment is 1.48 million in

China , accounting for 81.3% of the

global market

Deployment Scale of the Base StationsGlobal TD-LTE base station shipments

(Unit: ten thousand)

The Distribution of TD-LTE UsersGlobal TD-LTE Subscriber Growth

(Unit: million)

26 57123

192262

353443

530

736876

0

200

400

600

800

1000

TD-LTE Subscriber

5372.4

98.5115.5

132.3142.6 151

163.5 172.7 181.6

13 19.4 26.1 17 16.8 10.3 8.4 12.5 9.2 8.9

0

50

100

150

200

Cumulative shipments New shipments

• As of September 2016, there are over 876

million TD-LTE users, accounting for

54.1% of total 4G users globally

• TD-LTE subscriber number grows fastest in

Asia, of which TD-LTE user number in China

accounts for 80.3%, while Japan for 3.34%.

Page 5: The TD-LTE Industrial Development and Evolution · 2016-11-29 · The Global TD-LTE Terminal Industry Is Prosperous • As of June 2016, the sales volume of TD-LTE smartphone has

The Global TD-LTE Terminal Industry Is Prosperous

• As of June 2016, the sales volume of TD-LTE smartphone has reached 147 million, accounting for 46.4%of total 4G.

• As of June 2016, the global TD-LTE terminals have released 3686 models, of which 2830 smart phones accounting for 77% of all TD-TE terminal models.

The Distribution ofGlobal TD-LTE Terminal Models

Data Source :GSA,TDIA

The models of five-mode & all-mode mobile phones are increasing fast

Within 3686 TD-LTE smartphone models:

838 models support TD-LTE / LTE FDD /

TD-SCDMA / WCDMA / GSM

364 models support TD-LTE / LTE FDD /

TD-SCDMA / WCDMA / cdma 2000 / CDMA

1X / GSM

The sharp development of VoLTE phones

Proportion of VoLTE phone in TD-LTE mobile phone in China

Data Source :CATR

2830

548

110 74108 14 2

Smartphone

CPE/MiFi

USB Dongle

Module

Pad/Notebook/Tablet

Camera/Femtocell

etc.

Page 6: The TD-LTE Industrial Development and Evolution · 2016-11-29 · The Global TD-LTE Terminal Industry Is Prosperous • As of June 2016, the sales volume of TD-LTE smartphone has

TDIA Promotes TD-LTE Industry-Specific Applications

Spectrum Coordination

1447~1467MHz &

1785~1805MHz has been

allocated for industry-specific

network deployment.

Technical Specification

B-TrunC Standard

Industry specifications in the

field of smart medical, power

industry, rail transportation,etc

Demonstration

Applications

S1 TD-LTE Railway Project in

Wenzhou

TD-LTE Power Industry Lab

in Nanjing

etc

• The market potential of TD-LTE industry-specific application is huge.• TDIA has promoted the industry-specific application of TD-LTE since 2013.

Page 7: The TD-LTE Industrial Development and Evolution · 2016-11-29 · The Global TD-LTE Terminal Industry Is Prosperous • As of June 2016, the sales volume of TD-LTE smartphone has

TD-LTE Industry-Specific Networks are Implemented

205+ TD-LTE industry-specific network applications in 102+ countries

• Industry Sectors: Public Safety, Airport, Harbors, Rail Transportation, Governmental Enterprises, Emergency Rescue, Energy, Medical, Agriculture, Water Resources……

Page 8: The TD-LTE Industrial Development and Evolution · 2016-11-29 · The Global TD-LTE Terminal Industry Is Prosperous • As of June 2016, the sales volume of TD-LTE smartphone has

TD-LTE Evolves from 4G to 5G: MBB Enhancement

VoLTE 256QAM CoMPTDD+FDD

Convergence …

Up to 4Tx

‒ SU-MIMO: DL up to 4 layers

‒ MU-MIMO: DL up to 2 users

Rel-13Rel-10Rel-8

Up to 8Tx

‒ SU-MIMO: DL up to 8 layers

‒ MU-MIMO: DL up to 4 users

Up to 16Tx

‒ SU-MIMO: DL up to 8 layers

‒ MU-MIMO: DL up to 8 users

5G Massive MIMO

(Up to 256Tx)

Rel-14

Up to 32Tx

‒ WI is ongoing

‒ Till 2017 Q1

Rel-15 &16

TDDIntra Band CA

FDDIntra Band CA

TDDInter Band CA

FDDInter Band CA

TDD+FDDInter Band CA

LAALicense Assisted Access

TD-LTE Band LTE FDD Band Unlicensed Band

WiFi 5G

Licensed Unlicensed

5G-mmWLicensed

Unlicensed

Carrier Aggregation

5G

An

cho

r

LTE An

cho

r

TD-LTE :more

suitable for MIMO

TD-LTE :more

flexible for CA & LAA

Page 9: The TD-LTE Industrial Development and Evolution · 2016-11-29 · The Global TD-LTE Terminal Industry Is Prosperous • As of June 2016, the sales volume of TD-LTE smartphone has

eMTC Terminals(R13 1.4MHz)

NB-IoTTerminals

(R13 200kHz)

Downstream peak rate

1Mbps ~200kbps

Upstream peak rate

1Mbps 40或200kbps

Antennas 1 1

Duplex Half-Duplex Half-Duplex

Bandwidth 1.4MHz 200kHz

Transmission Power

20/23dBm 23dBm

Terminal Complexity

20% <15%

Coverage +15dB +20dB

NB-IOT Various Scenarios

eMTC Applications

Wearable Devices Vehicles Management Electronic AD

Intelligent Meter

Intelligent Parking Intelligent Agriculture

Security and Emergency Monitoring System

TD-LTE Evolves from 4G to 5G: IoT Application

ITU 5G mMTC Capacity Requirement

Area Traffic Capacity 10Tbps/km2

Connection Density 106/km2

Page 10: The TD-LTE Industrial Development and Evolution · 2016-11-29 · The Global TD-LTE Terminal Industry Is Prosperous • As of June 2016, the sales volume of TD-LTE smartphone has

TD-LTE Evolves from 4G to 5G: V2X & Industrial Internet

LTE V2X

Industrial Internet

Auto Driving

Industrial Control

ITU 5G uRLLC Capacity Requirement

Latency 1ms

Mobility 500km/h

Low LatencyReliable

Energy Industry Aviation

Emergency Rescue Industrial Robot

Public

UsersPublic Users +

Industry

Page 11: The TD-LTE Industrial Development and Evolution · 2016-11-29 · The Global TD-LTE Terminal Industry Is Prosperous • As of June 2016, the sales volume of TD-LTE smartphone has

5G provide opportunities for the

traditional and emerging industries

in terms of technical innovation,

innovative applications, and new

business models.

5G Era: Thrive Various Innovative Applications

• Voice

1G 1980~

•Voice & SMS

•9.6K~14.4Kbps

2G 1990~

•Voice & Data

•2M ~10Mbps

3G 2000~

•Mobile Broadband

•100M~1Gbps

4G 2010~

• Internet of Things

•10~20Gbps

5G 2020~

Page 12: The TD-LTE Industrial Development and Evolution · 2016-11-29 · The Global TD-LTE Terminal Industry Is Prosperous • As of June 2016, the sales volume of TD-LTE smartphone has

The Increasing Work for 5G Worldwide

01 02

EU

• 5G PPP and METIS etc. project

launched

• R&D cost over €1.4 billion

• NGMN Transiting to 5G

• 5G IPR FORUM established for

5G patent assessment and

patent pool building

Japan

• 5G Mobile Promotion

Forum (5GMF) founded

• 5G service offered before

2020 Tokyo Olympic Games

Korea USA

• 5G research stared by 4G

Americas

• Verizon established 5G

technology forums, 5G

technology standard published

in June 2016

• 5G national strategy released,

planning to invest $1.5 billion for

R&D

• 5G Forum founded, major projects

launched

• 5G service offered for

Pyeongchang Winter Olympic

Games in 2018

03 04

Page 13: The TD-LTE Industrial Development and Evolution · 2016-11-29 · The Global TD-LTE Terminal Industry Is Prosperous • As of June 2016, the sales volume of TD-LTE smartphone has

5G R&D @China

IMT-2020(5G) Promotion Group supported by Chinese

government set up in February, 2013

White Papers on “5G Vision and Requirements", "5G

Concept", "5G Wireless Technology Architecture", “5G

Network Technology Architecture" were released by

IMT-2020 during 2014 – 2016

National Science & Technology Project launched for 5G

research

Chinese enterprises actively involved in 5G technology

research and patent portfolio, such as China Mobile,

Huawei, ZTE, Datang, etc.

20182016 20172015 2019 2020

Technology R&D Trial

Product R&D Trial

Key Tech Verification

Tech Solution Verification

System Verification

5G Trial in China

eMBB uRLLC mMTC

Page 14: The TD-LTE Industrial Development and Evolution · 2016-11-29 · The Global TD-LTE Terminal Industry Is Prosperous • As of June 2016, the sales volume of TD-LTE smartphone has

Spectrum is a Critical Aspect in the 5G Ecosystem

5G ecosystem needs full spectrum eco-system to accelerate industry

maturity.

International harmonized spectrum is necessary for 5G to achieve

economy of scale.

Spectrum below 6G

Spectrum above 6G

• Spectrum below 6G is crucial for the first stage of the 5G

deployment.

• Initial 5G networks may use existing mobile bands: flexibility for

operators to select technologies in existing spectrum bands.

WRC-19 Candidate Bands Source: WRC-15

10 20 30 6040 8050 9070 100 GHz

• Various bands in the range of 24.25 to 86GHz is being studied,

but 6 to 24GHz is still not addressed currently.

• Priority should be given to the band with the best propagation

characteristics and potential for global harmonization.

Page 15: The TD-LTE Industrial Development and Evolution · 2016-11-29 · The Global TD-LTE Terminal Industry Is Prosperous • As of June 2016, the sales volume of TD-LTE smartphone has

Spectrum Challenges & New Opportunities at 5G Era

eMBB

mMTC

uRLLC

Spectrum below 1G

• 700MHz band could be the tool for large scale deployment.

• The reframing of 900MHz band could be further studied.

Wide range of frequency requirement

• eMBB scenario needs a wide range spectrum for coverage, throughput, capacity, etc.

for eMBB scenario

Overall planning

• Balance the development of every industry

to avoid vicious competition.

Special usage for special application

• Different applications should be supported

by spectrum bands with different

characteristics.

Scheme more TDD spectrum

• Use asymmetric TDD spectrum to

improve spectrum efficiency

for IoT scenario

Page 16: The TD-LTE Industrial Development and Evolution · 2016-11-29 · The Global TD-LTE Terminal Industry Is Prosperous • As of June 2016, the sales volume of TD-LTE smartphone has

The TD-LTE development and evolution will be an important part of 5G.

TDD technology has more advantages for Massive MIMO, UDN & mmWave, etc.

TDD spectrum has unique advantages to improve the spectrum efficiency :

• flexible application

• sufficient frequency

TDD Technology & Spectrum Advantages for 5G

Page 17: The TD-LTE Industrial Development and Evolution · 2016-11-29 · The Global TD-LTE Terminal Industry Is Prosperous • As of June 2016, the sales volume of TD-LTE smartphone has

Thank you!