the oecd input-output database and supply-use tables in sna 1993 rev 1 oecd-nbs workshop on national...
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The OECD Input-Output database and The OECD Input-Output database and Supply-Use Tables in SNA 1993 Rev 1 Supply-Use Tables in SNA 1993 Rev 1
OECD-NBS Workshop on National OECD-NBS Workshop on National Accounts Accounts
September 25-28, 2007, BeijingSeptember 25-28, 2007, Beijing
Contact: [email protected]
OECD Input-Output Database
• History
• 2006 Edition
• Creating Symmetric Tables
• Data Sources
• Why Industry by Industry?
• Dissemination
History• 1995 Edition
– 10 countries– SNA68 – ISIC Rev 2 – 36 sectors– Up to 1990
• 2002 Edition- 20 Countries (2 non member)- SNA 93- ISIC Rev 3- 42 Sectors- Up to 1998
2006 Edition
• 2006 Edition– 37 countries (9 non members)– SNA93 – ISIC Rev 3 – 48 sectors– Up to 2003
2006 Edition - Country Coverage
• Country coverage corresponds to over 90% of global GDP (80% in 2002 Ed and 70% in 1995). Population coverage (66% versus 40 and 10 respectively)
2006 Edition - TablesCountry ISIC Rev 2 ISIC Rev 3
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Australia 68 74 - 86 89 94/95 98/99
Austria - - - - - ✓ ✓
Belgium - - - - - ✓ ✓
Canada 71 76 81 86 ✓ 97 ✓
Czech Republic - - - - - ✓ ✓
Denmark 72 77 ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓,97 ✓
Finland - - - - - ✓ ✓
France 72 77 ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
Germany - 78 - 86,88 ✓ ✓ ✓
Greece - - - - - 94,✓ 99
Hungary - - - - - 98 ✓
Iceland - - - - - - - Ireland - - - - - - 98
Italy - - - ✓ - 92,✓ ✓
Japan ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ 95c-97 ✓
Korea - - - - - ✓ ✓c
Luxembourg - - - - - - - Mexico - - - - - - 03
Netherlands 72 77 81 86 - 95-98 ✓
New Zealand - - - - - 95/96 - Norway - - - - - 97 01
Country ISIC Rev 2 ISIC Rev 3
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Poland - - - - - ✓ ✓
Portugal - - - - - ✓ 99
Slovak Republic - - - - - ✓ ✓
Spain - - - - - ✓ ✓
Sweden - - - - - ✓ ✓
Switzerland - - - - - - 01 Turkey - - - - - 96 98
United Kingdom 68 79 - 84 ✓ ✓,98 ✓
United States 72 77 82 ✓ ✓ ✓,97 ✓ Argentina - - - - - 97 -
Brazil - - - - - ✓,96 ✓
China - - - - - 97 ✓c
Chinese Taipei - - - - - - 01c India - - - - - 93/94 98/99
Indonesia - - - - - ✓c ✓c
Israel - - - - - ✓ -
Russia - - - - - ✓ ✓
Singapore - - - - - ✓ ✓
Total 8 9 6 10 8 33 33
2006 Edition – Industry Coverage
ISIC Rev.3 code
IO Industry
Description
1+2+5 1 Agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishing 10+11+12 2 Mining and quarrying (energy)
13+14 3 Mining and quarrying (non-energy)
15+16 4 Food products, beverages and tobacco
17+18+19 5 Textiles, textile products, leather and footwear
20 6 Wood and products of wood and cork
21+22 7 Pulp, paper, paper products, printing and publishing
23 8 Coke, refined petroleum products and nuclear fuel
24ex2423 9 Chemicals excluding pharmaceuticals
2423 10 Pharmaceuticals
25 11 Rubber and plastics products
26 12 Other non-metallic mineral products
271+2731 13 Iron & steel
272+2732 14 Non-ferrous metals
28 15 Fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment
29 16 Machinery and equipment, nec
30 17 Office, accounting and computing machinery
31 18 Electrical machinery and apparatus, nec
32 19 Radio, television and communication equipment
33 20 Medical, precision and optical instruments
34 21 Motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers
351 22 Building & repairing of ships and boats
353 23 Aircraft and spacecraft
352+359 24 Railroad equipment and transport equipment n.e.c.
36+37 25 Manufacturing nec; recycling (include Furniture)
ISIC Rev.3 code
IO Industry
Description
401 26 Production, collection and distribution of electricity 402 27 Manufacture of gas; distribution of gaseous fuels through mains
403 28 Steam and hot water supply
41 29 Collection, purification and distribution of water
45 30 Construction
50+51+52 31 Wholesale and retail trade; repairs
55 32 Hotels and restaurants
60 33 Land transport; transport via pipelines
61 34 Water transport
62 35 Air transport
63 36 Supporting & auxiliary transport activities; activities of travel agencies
64 37 Post and telecommunications
65+66+67 38 Finance and insurance
70 39 Real estate activities
71 40 Renting of machinery and equipment
72 41 Computer and related activities
73 42 Research and development
74 43 Other Business Activities
75 44 Public administration and defence; compulsory social security
80 45 Education
85 46 Health and social work
90-93 47 Other community, social and personal services
95+99 48 Private households with employed persons & extra-territorial organisations & bodies
2006 Edition - Value-Added & Final Demand
• VA • FD
Creating Symmetric Tables
• Requests for Industry by Industry (IxI) (preferably 48x48 at BP)– Or: Supply-Use, or Commodity by Commodity (CxC) and
Supply, or CxC • Conversion Steps:
– S-U at purchasers’ prices – Convert use table to BP. – S-U at BP (total economy only) – Convert Use table into
separate domestic and import use tables – Convert S and Domestic Use tables into IxI tables using
‘Fixed Product Sales Structures’ assumption.– Aggregate to 48x48 – CxC and Supply – (reverse engineer the Use table and follow
steps above)– CxC - aggregate only (Japan, Korea. Chinese Taipei and
Indonesia)
– Other: e.g. FISIM, c.i.f/f.o.b
Transforming Supply Use into Input-Output Tables
• SU tables are CxI not CxC or IxI• So for CxC, it’s necessary to convert output by
industries into output by products• And for IxI, it’s necessary to convert demand by
products into demand by industries.• If each industry produced only one product this
would be trivial.• Unfortunately this is rarely the case.
(CxC) Input-Output Tables
• Two assumptions prevail in constructing CxC tables, which can be used in isolation or often in combination: – Product technology - Each product is
produced in its own specific way, irrespective of the industry where it is produced
– Industry technology - Each industry has its own specific way of production, irrespective of its product mix.
Product technology USE TABLE SUPPLY TABLE Agricul-
ture Manufacturing
Final demand
Total Agricul-ture
Manufacturing
Total
Agricultural products 0 80 50 130 130 0 130 Manufacturing products 60 30 130 220 20 200 220 Wages and salaries 60 20 - 80 - - Operating surplus 30 70 - 100 - - Total 150 200 180 150 200 USE TABLE SUPPLY TABLE Agricul-
ture Manufacturing
Final demand
Total Agricul-ture
Manufacturing
Total
Agricultural products -8 8 0 0 0 0 0 Manufacturing products -3 3 0 0 -20 20 0 Wages and salaries -2 2 - 0 - - Operating surplus -7 7 - 0 - - Total -20 20 0 -20 20 USE TABLE SUPPLY TABLE Agricul-
tural products
Manufacturing
products
Final demand
Total Agricul-tural
products
Manufacturing
products
Total
Agricultural products -8 88 50 130 130 0 130 Manufacturing products 57 33 130 220 0 220 220 Wages and salaries 58 22 - 80 - - Operating surplus 23 77 - 100 - - Total 130 220 130 220
This illustrates one of the biggest practical problems with the implementation of
the product technology assumption – although it could of course be used to identify problems with the original SU balance
Agriculture produces 20 units of manufacturing – we assume the
same structure as in manufacturing, hence (minus)
80/200*20=-8 etc
Industry technology USE TABLE SUPPLY TABLE Agricul-
ture Manufacturing
Final demand
Total Agricul-ture
Manufacturing
Total
Agricultural products 0 80 50 130 130 0 130 Manufacturing products 60 30 130 220 20 200 220 Wages and salaries 60 20 - 80 - - Operating surplus 30 70 - 100 - - Total 150 200 180 150 200 USE TABLE SUPPLY TABLE Agricul-
ture Manufacturing
Final demand
Total Agricul-ture
Manufacturing
Total
Agricultural products 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Manufacturing products -8 8 0 0 -20 20 0 Wages and salaries -8 8 - 0 - - Operating surplus -4 4 - 0 - - Total -20 20 0 -20 20 USE TABLE SUPPLY TABLE Agricul-
tural products
Manufacturing
products
Final demand
Total Agricul-tural
products
Manufacturing
products
Total
Agricultural products 0 80 50 130 130 0 130 Manufacturing products 52 38 130 220 0 220 220 Wages and salaries 52 28 - 80 - - Operating surplus 26 74 - 100 - - Total 130 220 130 220
Agriculture produces 20 units of manufacturing – we assume the same structure as in agriculture,
hence zero for agricultural products and (minus)
60/150*20=-8 etc
Note there are no negatives. A strength of the industry technology
assumption.
(CxC) Input-Output Tables
• A third assumption is the hybrid technology which uses parts of the industry and product technology assumptions.
(CxC) Input-Output Tables
• These transformations can be described algebraically as
• Where U is the original SU IC CxI Table; VA is the VA vector (VA by I); q, the vector of domestically produced products and g, the vector of the output of industries
Product Tech Industry Tech
IO IC (C by C) U(Make)-1 diag(q) U(diag(g))-1Make'
IO VA (VA by C) VA(Make)-1 diag(q) VA(diag(g))-1Make'
(IxI) Input-Output Tables
• Like CxC two assumptions prevail in constructing IxI tables
• Fixed Product Sales Structures – Each product has its own specific sales structure, irrespective of the industry where it’s produced.
• Fixed Industry Sales Structures - Each industry has its own specific sales structure, irrespective of its product mix.
Fixed Product Sales Structures USE TABLE SUPPLY TABLE Agricul-
ture Manufacturing
Final demand
Total Agricul-ture
Manufacturing
Total
Agricultural products 0 80 50 130 130 0 130 Manufacturing products 60 30 130 220 20 200 220 Wages and salaries 60 20 - 80 - - Operating surplus 30 70 - 100 - - Total 150 200 180 150 200 USE TABLE SUPPLY TABLE Agricul-
ture Manufacturing
Final demand
Total Agricul-ture
Manufacturing
Total
Agricultural products 5.5 2.7 11.8 20 20 0 20 Manufacturing products -5.5 -2.7 -11.8 -20 -20 0 -20 Wages and salaries 0 0 - 0 - - Operating surplus 0 0 - 0 - - Total 0 0 0 0 0
USE TABLE SUPPLY TABLE Agricul-
ture Manufacturing
Final demand
Total Agricul-ture
Manufacturing
Total
Agriculture 5.5 82.7 61.8 150 150 0 150 Manufacturing 54.5 27.3 118.2 200 0 200 200 Wages and salaries 60 20 - 80 - - Operating surplus 30 70 - 100 - - Total 150 200 180 150 200
Agriculture produces 20 units of manufacturing – we assume that it produces 20/220 per cent of all
products and that each consumer purchases this share of manufactured products from the agriculture
industry, so, of the 60 purchased by agriculture 60*20/220 =5.5 is from the agriculture industry.
Fixed Industry Sales Structures USE TABLE SUPPLY TABLE Agricul-
ture Manufacturing
Final demand
Total Agricul-ture
Manufacturing
Total
Agricultural products 0 80 50 130 130 0 130 Manufacturing products 60 30 130 220 20 200 220 Wages and salaries 60 20 - 80 - - Operating surplus 30 70 - 100 - - Total 150 200 180 150 200 USE TABLE SUPPLY TABLE Agricul-
ture Manufacturing
Final demand
Total Agricul-ture
Manufacturing
Total
Agricultural products 0 12.3 7.7 20 20 0 20 Manufacturing products 0 -12.3 -7.7 -20 -20 0 -20 Wages and salaries 0 0 - 0 - - Operating surplus 0 0 - 0 - - Total 0 0 0 0 0 USE TABLE SUPPLY TABLE
Agricul-ture
Manufacturing
Final demand
Total Agricul-ture
Manufacturing
Total
Agricultural products 0 92.3 57.7 150 150 0 150 Manufacturing products 60 17.7 122.3 200 0 200 200 Wages and salaries 60 20 - 80 - - Operating surplus 30 70 - 100 - - Total 150 200 180 150 200
Agriculture produces 20 units of manufacturing – we assume that the shares are split equally between
consumers of agricultural products, so 80/130*20=12.3 goes to manufacturing,
50/130*20=7.7 to final demand etc. This can also result in negatives.
(IxI) Input-Output Tables
• These transformations can be described algebraically as
• Where U is the original SU IC CxI Table; fd is the final demand vector; q, the vector of domestically produced products and g, the vector of the output of industries
FPSS FISS
IO IC (I by I) Make'(diag(q)-1 U diag(g)(Make)-1U
IO FD (FD by I) Make'(diag(q)-1 U diag(g)(Make)-1fd
So why do the OECD choose Industry by Industry?
i. Linkages to other OECD industrial database: – STAN, ANBERD, SDBS, IEA (emissions) etc
ii. Policy focus –– Structure of businesses, Entrepreneurship etc
iii. Statistical Quality – whether CxC or IxI, assumptions are needed:– Information sources, typically, business (industry) based. IxI using
Fixed Product Sales assumption (FPSA) preserves observed VA relationships. CxC does not.
– Equally the CxC assumption of heterogeneity in products is intrinsically linked to empirical facts – classification systems are too aggregate and businesses rarely have the same cost structures.
iv. Simplicity – – IxI tables easily produced using FPSS (no negatives)
SourcesTables
Country Year Supply
Use Total
Use Import
IO Total
IO Import
Australia 1998/99 ✓ ✓ Austria 2000 ✓ ✓ PU ✓c ✓c
Belgium 2000 ✓ ✓ ✓c ✓c Canada 2000 ✓ ✓ Czech Republic 2000 ✓ ✓ ✓
Denmark 2000 ✓ ✓ Finland 2000 ✓ ✓
France 2000 ✓ ✓ PU ✓c
Germany 2000 ✓ ✓ PU ✓c ✓c Greece 2000 ✓ ✓ PU
Hungary 2000 ✓ ✓ PU ✓c ✓c Ireland 1998 ✓ ✓ PU ✓c ✓c Italy(i) 2000 ✓ ✓ PU ✓c ✓c
Japan (i) 2000 ✓ ✓c ✓c Korea 2000 ✓c ✓c
Mexico 2003 ✓ ✓
Netherlands 2000 ✓ ✓
New Zealand 1995/96 ✓ ✓ Norway 2001 ✓ ✓
Tables Country Year
Supply Use Total
Use Import
IO Total
IO Import
Poland 2000 ✓ (99) ✓ ✓c ✓c Portugal 1999 ✓ ✓ PU ✓c ✓c
Slovak Republic 2000 ✓ ✓ PP ✓c
Spain 2000 ✓ ✓ ✓
Sweden 2000 ✓ ✓ PU ✓c ✓c
Switzerland 2001 ✓ ✓ ✓c
Turkey 1998 ✓ ✓ ✓c ✓c
United Kingdom 2000 ✓ ✓ PU
United States(i) 2000 ✓ ✓ PR
Argentina 1997 ✓ ✓
Brazil 2000 ✓ ✓ China 2000 ✓c,PR ✓c,PR
Chinese Taipei 2001 ✓ ✓
India 1998/99 ✓ ✓ ✓
Indonesia 2000 ✓c ✓c
Israel 1995 ✓ ✓ ✓
Russia 2000 ✓ ✓
Singapore 2000 ✓ ✓
Dissemination
• http://www.oecd.org/std/io-tables/data
– 2002 Edition available now (on request) from
– 1995 Edition available on-line
– 2006 Edition release imminent
• See also Ahmad & Yamano, 2006 for more information.
Special Issues SNA93 – Rev 1 implications
• Although the SU tables are not in themselves subject to change in the SNA revision, a number of changes in other areas will have an effect.
Special Issues SNA93 – Rev 1 implications
Ancillary Units• The 1993 SNA specifies that units conducting only a
specified list of activities designated as “ancillary” should not be treated as separate units but their costs should be consolidated with the units they serve. This means that when accounts for a region are compiled, head offices and other ancillary units located there are excluded if the units they serve are located outside the region. This results in a difference between ancillary units located abroad, which are treated as separate units, and those that are resident but distant from their related enterprises.
Special Issues SNA93 – Rev 1 implications
Ancillary Units
• The AEG recommended that ancillary units can be establishments in their own right if they satisfy the normal requirements of an establishment – allocated to the main service classification provided by the unit.
Special Issues SNA93 – Rev 1 implications
Goods sent abroad for processing• The 1993 SNA and BoP treat goods sent abroad for
processing differently. The SNA records gross flows only in the case of substantial processing (reclassification of the good at three-digit CPC). The Balance of Payments Manual, as a practical matter, suggests a convention that all processing be assumed substantial and therefore gross flows are recorded.
• Further, the position is that when goods are sent abroad for processing, no change in ownership takes place and thus there are no actual transactions.
• Does the advent of globalization and the increasing amount of goods processed abroad suggest a change in practice would be appropriate?
Special Issues SNA93 – Rev 1 implications
Goods sent abroad for processing
• The AEG has decided to resolve this issue by never imputing a change of ownership, and, so, not recording gross flows. Further the AEG also recommended that the same approach should be used in dealing with goods processed domestically even if between related enterprises,
Special Issues SNA93 – Rev 1 implications
Merchanting• Merchanting is defined in BoP as the purchase
of a good by a resident of country A from a resident of country B which is then sold to a resident of country C, without the good entering the merchant’s economy. The SNA does not cover this topic.
• There is a need for a clear and precise definition of merchanting; arising out of this there needs to be clear guidance on whether merchanting (when redefined) should be recorded on a net or a gross basis and under goods or services.
Special Issues SNA93 – Rev 1 implications
Merchanting
• The AEG has recommended that, the acquisition of goods by the merchanter should be recorded as an import, identified as a negative export, of the merchanter. The resale of these goods is then shown as an export with the difference in values (exclusive of holding gains/losses) allocated to wholesale/retail exports.