the next decade- a new dawn for china's fashion industry
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Presentation on China\'s Fashion Industry- Trends and Opportunities in the Next DecadeTRANSCRIPT
Transforming “Soft” Culture to “Hard” Economy- Opportunities across China’s Creative & Fashion In dustry
BY KC YOONBY KC YOONBY KC YOONBY KC YOON Email: [email protected]: [email protected]: [email protected]: [email protected]
Mob: Mob: Mob: Mob: 18675573803186755738031867557380318675573803 http://cn.linkedin.com/in/kcyoonhttp://cn.linkedin.com/in/kcyoonhttp://cn.linkedin.com/in/kcyoonhttp://cn.linkedin.com/in/kcyoon
The Industry must not only groom “World-class” Fashio n Brands ... but also through strategic partnerships develop innovative platforms to transf orm China’s Fashion Industry to be
globally competitive and sustainable in the long-te rm
Feb 2012
Significant Potential in Significant Potential in Significant Potential in Significant Potential in China’s Creative & Culture China’s Creative & Culture China’s Creative & Culture China’s Creative & Culture IndustryIndustryIndustryIndustry
Impacted by Internal + External Drivers
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PART 1- China’s Creative & Culture
Economy
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Creative & Culture Industries undergoing “digital” evolution as economies migrate from manufacturing to knowledge-b ased..
Convergence – Increasing Accessibility E
xter
nal
Digitization – Increasing Available Content
McKinsey’s table showing penetration of digital devices In China upto 2015
Digitization of Traditional Content
Inte
rnal
Focus on Building Creative & Culture Industry Growing Chinese Consumption
• China expected to be world’s largest luxury market in 2014; second largest consumer market globally by 2020
• Multiple moves to encourage Creative Industry- de-regulation; seeding of investment funds; etc
Since 2800 BC -4000 years of history - 25 major dynasties and
over 100s of emperors
From 12 BC- Over 1000 years of
mythology recorded in
literature, poems & songs
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28 officially recognized written
languages, 22 ethnic minority plus 100 spoken dialects
38 sites identified as World Heritage
by UNESCO with 27 Cultural sites
…Deep foundation for creation of new media & cultura l activities, design inspirations, etc..
BLOCKBUSTER
MOVIE “RED CLIFF”
A recent USD 80m movie directed by Director John Woo
Already grossed over USD120m in Asia alone part 1 of the 2 part movie.. “..you can’t beat Red Cliff as the most fabulous and classiest movie this summer” The Observer UK 2009
SHANGHAI
TANG The first luxury lifestyle fashion brand to emerge
from China
Shanghai Tang is an international clothing chain
Founded in 1994, China’s 1st International clothing brand - Inspired by traditional Han Chinese clothing combined with the modernity and dynamism of the 21st century.
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Chinese Govt in 12 th Five Year Plan has made deliberate focus on Culture sector as a “Pillar” industry
US
D 80 B
illion ++ Fashion • Luxury Products- Jeweler, Accessories, Leather Goods, etc. • Apparel brands- casual wear, sports, Formal, niche wear, etc. • Footwear brands
Fashion Sector within Fashion Sector within Fashion Sector within Fashion Sector within Creative Industry.. Creative Industry.. Creative Industry.. Creative Industry..
Growth Accelerated Pulled by Overall Creative Industry..
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PART 2- China’s Fashion Industry
YR 2010:
YR 2020:
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Early Stage Market Late 1980s to 2000
Growth Market Year 2000-2010
Expansion to Maturity Year 2010- 2020 &
beyond
All signs suggests that the market is poised for an other stage of evolution – MASSIVE EXPANSION!
Key Events Impacting Industry
Fashion Brands in Market
Asia Financial Crisis
WTO- effective 2004
Global Financial
Crisis
Beginnings of Domestic
Sports brand LiNing
12th 5 YR Plan endorse
Culture Ind.
Entry of HK-Casual Wear Brands
Domestic & (some)Foreign Sports & Casual Wear Brands hit
Mass Market
Grow th of Foreign Brands-Fast Fashion +
Luxury
YR 1990:
YR 2000:
Recent market entrants still finding growth opportunities! New domestic
brands growing through internet retail channels
Growing recognition &
strength of domestic luxury
brands!
Massive Opportunity!! Massive Opportunity!! Massive Opportunity!! Massive Opportunity!!
Next Evolutionary Phase will see China’s Fashion Industry- Becoming a Global Player
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Acceleration of Culture Industry will have signific ant impact on China’s Fashion Industry…expanding role in economy..
Investments in Foreign Brand
(Follie Follie- fashion accessory)
Focus of 12 th Five Year Plan on Grooming of
“Culture” Industry
Significant Investments by
“Insiders i.e.( PE +
Wealthy Family Offices)
Acquisition of Significant
Stakes in Domestic Apparel Brands
Globally ..Culture Industry i.e. media & entertainment have
been major drivers for expansion & spread of
fashion & brands
USD 115M
15% equity
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BCG Report 2011
Men’s & Women’s Apparel
2010: per capita fashion
spend : • China- RMB 1,150 • USA- RMB 5,770 • UK- RMB 5,020
Opportunity still to capture market share & gain at tractive returns from investments in China’s Fashion Industry
Other Fashion Spend :
• Significant Market opportunities for shoes, accessories, child wear, etc. (not included in projected market size)
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Potential for investments & partnerships with both foreign and domestic brands
Slowing Developed Market Economy- Foreign Luxury +Fashion Brands
Undergoing Consolidation with Potential for Acquisition
” Growing Fashion Consumption Young brands continue to grow; existing brands expanding brand portfolio
Teen and Young Casual
Fashion brands
Luxury brands
Surf and Action wear brands
Fashion Sportswear and menswear catering to 20-40year old consumers in
2nd/3rd tier cities
Comfortable Zen-style clothes catering to the average middle-class
lady 25-45years
Leading casualwear brand extending to build a fast-
fashion brand
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Opportunity for foreign brands to meet emerging nee ds of Chinese female consumers – Topshop, Jcrew, Expres s,
Ann-Taylor, Banana Republic..
BCG Consumer Needs Analysis:
Increasing wealth of urban female consumers create new demands for diverse occasion-based
fashion needs-
Market remains attractive for strong brands that c an identify and meet consumers needs…
Global Fashion Group VF Corp’s 2015 Strategy: Targets 28% CAGR growth from Asia driven by
China & Revenues from China to reach USD 1 Billion
Outdoor sports and action brands to drive growth- N orth Face, Vans, Lees….
Chinese Fashion Consumers! Chinese Fashion Consumers! Chinese Fashion Consumers! Chinese Fashion Consumers!
Growing & wealthy consumer pool ..influenced by availability of internet but widely distributed..
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2015: 300M+ Middle-class households
2025: 1 Billion Urban Consumers + >200 Cities
of 1M+ Population
Diverse consumer Base & new retail
locations
Young wealthy consumers
Expanding consumer base (both wealth & geographical ly) creates opportunities for both trading-up as well as mass-m arket brands
Apparel spend share
Consumer Spend Breakdown
Distribution of Wealthy Households
Age Profiles of Wealthy Consumers
Diverse consumer Base & new retail
locations
2015: 100M+ Luxury consumers
Young wealthy consumers
Large Wealthy Consumer Base
Trading Up!
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Dynamism of China’s internet – provides opportuni ties for new channels & online-focused brands
2015: Over 800M internet users + 300M Online
Shoppers
2015: Online retail to reach 7% of all retail
~RMB 1.8 trillion
Key Brand-building & Sales channel
Apparel largest category of online shopping
(12-15%) Success of online-only
Apparel brands e.g. VANCL
Internet Users Number and Penetration
Online Shoppers Number and Penetration
Share of Online Shopping Spend
Significant share
Of sales
Increased Market Complexity Increased Market Complexity Increased Market Complexity Increased Market Complexity –––– a Challenge for Brandsa Challenge for Brandsa Challenge for Brandsa Challenge for Brands.
World-class Talent, Skills Required to be Competitive- Technology +Retail Management + Branding + Marketing ..
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Limited Brand Building & Management
Experience
Limited Retail Management Skills and
Talent
Limited Funds & Resources to grow
Market (global)
Potential Range of Actions that can Address Issues
Par
tner
ship
with
est
ablis
hed
Glo
bal/F
orei
gn F
ashi
on b
rand
Men
torin
g by
Exp
erie
nced
Indu
stry
Le
ader
s/P
rofe
ssio
nals
Par
tner
ship
with
Lea
ding
Inve
stm
ent
(PE
) Fun
ds
Est
ablis
hing
Fas
hion
Clu
ster
to A
ttrac
t S
kills
& S
hare
Res
ourc
es
Combination of strategic & cross industry partner ships between various fashion industry players could offer soluti on
Long-term Competitiveness &
Value Brand
Scaling + Sustaining Profits as Cost
increases
Global Branding Attracts
Consumers
Potential ValuePotential ValuePotential ValuePotential Value----Creation Creation Creation Creation Platforms and OpportunitiesPlatforms and OpportunitiesPlatforms and OpportunitiesPlatforms and Opportunities
Range of Investment Opportunities in the Fashion Industry
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PART 3- Investment Opportunities
Opportunities in Creative Industry centered on Educ ation, Beauty & Healthily Lifestyle, Travel, Fashion, Sports Entert ainment, Leisure-
Creative Cluster and Retail Real Estate Platform
Brand Investment Platform 1
A
• Foreign- PE
Funds/Global Fashion-focused Funds
Forming PE Fund • Outbound USD Fund
to acquire foreign brands for China
• RMB Fund to invest in domestic brands
• Capital & global fashion
network access for domestic brands to go global
• Most Domestic Co still
single –brand- grow portfolio in multi-brand strategy
• Domestic Fashion Retail
Groups (HK/China-based)
• Fashion house in-house
investment arms
Opportunity Value-add to Fashion Industry
Potential Players
“Platform already seeing major size transactions recently.. Investments in domestic & foreign brands..over just the past 6 months..(M&A also active in global fashion brands)
USD 200M
USD 58M
• Investment targets - luxury brands - Outdoor/sportswear - High-end RTW - fast fashion - fashion accessories
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Foreign Brands with strong heritage, design and gl obally known have penetrated the market successfully
Luxury Brands
Casual Wear Brands
Sports Brand
HK/China Contributes 30% of global revenues with highest
compstore growth
Fast Fashion Brands
BESTSELLER Fashion Group China
4,000 stores in over 300 cities- ONLY, VERO MODA, JACK& JONES are leading
brands
2,000 global stores with 500 cache-cache in China
China has 3,000+ out of 4,200 Global stores ; contributing
30%+ of total operating income
5,400 outlets across China
Expands to 42 cities in 2011 Expands to 59 stores in 2011
1
A
Close to 100 stores- the leading men’s luxury brand in
China
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Company Brand Country Description Acquirer Amount
Feb 2011 Tectron Moonbasa China B2C Mass market
Female Fashion
Fung Capital USD5.8M
Feb 2011 Ferragamo Ferragamo Italy Luxury Brand Peter Wu - 8% equity
Jun 2011 Miroglio Female Fast-fashion
Italy Female Fast Fashion
Mandarin Capital Partner
USD58M
Sep 2011 Delvaux Delvaux Belgian Luxury Leather Goods
Fung Capital
Dec 2011 Trendy International
Orchily 5 Plus
China Female Casual RTW
L Capital USD30M
Oct 2011 Xinhe
Anmani
China Female Highend RTW
L Capital
Dec 2011 Li Ning Sports China Sportswear TPG/ GIC
USD110M
1
A
Opportunities in Creative Industry centered on Educ ation, Beauty & Healthily Lifestyle, Travel, Fashion, Sports Entert ainment, Leisure-
Opportunity Value-add to Fashion Industry
Potential Players
• Investment Targets
-Young designers - New brands
Brand Investment Platform 1
B
Forming Fashion Incubators • Start-up
accelerators and incubation centres for young fashion brands
• Foreign/Domestic VC
Funds
Domestic governments –provide co-funding
• Fashion houses in-house
investment arms
• Retail Malls & Dept stores
• Nurturing centers for
young designers & brands
• Access to capital and
backend support i.e. manufacturing/logistics- focus on design
Creative Cluster and Retail Real Estate Platform
“Platform just beginning to gain appearance in China (although prevalent in high-tech industries) – globally successful models in Toronto, New York and recently Singapore
Opportunities in Creative Industry centered on Educ ation, Beauty & Healthily Lifestyle, Travel, Fashion, Sports Entert ainment, Leisure-
Opportunity Value-add to Fashion Industry
Potential Players
• Investment Targets Commercial & Retail Real estate in identified fashion cluster cities
Creative Cluster and Retail Real Estate Platform
Real Estate -Fashion Economic Cluster Platform
2
A
Fashion Real Estate Clusters • World-class
Fashion Design • Global fashion
shows • Shenzhen “Creative
City • Internet+
ecommerce hub • Fashion
Manufacturing h ub
• Infrastructure/Real Estate Fund
• Real Estate Developers – Foreign City planners + domestic RE players
• City Government
• World-class
Fashion Cluster to attract global talent, businesses and create hub for interaction & innovation
China’s Fashion Clusters have emerged from the textile manufacturing base- with cities like Humen, Foshan, Shanghai having a base. Global acknowledged fashion cluster cities – Barcelona, Milan, New York. Planned Fashion Cluster city will be the next step…
Opportunities in Creative Industry centered on Educ ation, Beauty & Healthily Lifestyle, Travel, Fashion, Sports Entert ainment, Leisure-
Opportunity Value-add to Fashion Industry
Potential Players
• Investment Targets Branded and Unique Outlets for Fashion Specialty Retailing; located outskirts of population centers
Creative Cluster and Retail Real Estate Platform
2
B
Real Estate –Specialty Retail Outlet Platform
Developing Niche Retail Real Estate • Luxury Designer
Outlets • Fashion Discount
Outlets • Mass-Market Mall
Outlets
• World-class Fashion
Outlets to enhance shopping experience bringing a unique environment plus multi-brands under one roof
• Large Outlet Multi-brand Retail Operators
• Real Estate Developers- Domestic /Foreign- Retail Outlet Developers
• Real Estate Fund
China’s outlet centres exist in places like Shanghai Quingpu, Beijing Scitech.. However global scale type outlet centers being developed in Changsha (Globe Outlet); Japanese developers (Mitsui Fudosan) also joining the outlet construction excitement
• City Government
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Differentiated Retail cum Leisure concepts targete d for families, tourists usually at the fringes of population cente rs
2
B
Europe’s Chic, Leisure cum Luxury Designer Retail Outlet Chains
19 Village-styled across Europe retailing collection of Designer brands; located outside of large cities – London,York, Milan, Rome, Hambury- 75M annual retail traffic
Europe’s leading Chic shopping village retailers- all at scenic/historical villages/towns – carrying range of luxury to highend brands
Italian Village in China
Italy’s Fingen Group
June 2011- Italy’s leading luxury real-estate developer and fashion retailer RDM (Fingen Group) –opened of 1st of series of USD80M Italian Villages for Discount luxury retailing in China’s Wuqing (60,000sq m retail+ 2,000parking)-between Tianjin and Beijing. 4 to 5 more of these villages expected over the next few years.
Europe’s award wining FLashion villages
Opportunities in Creative Industry centered on Educ ation, Beauty & Healthily Lifestyle, Travel, Fashion, Sports Entert ainment, Leisure-
Opportunity Value-add to Fashion Industry
Potential Players
• Investment Targets - Fashion Design houses - Retail software - Fashion education - Fashion ecommerce
Fashion Capabilities Platform 3
• Fashion Design, Retail
Consultancy, Branding & marketing
Investing in Fashion Capabilities
• Manufacturing
supply chain • Retail Management • Design technology • Fashion Education
• Access to core
components required to build sustainable globally competitive fashion industry
• Retail management / supply chain software players
• Global Fashion
Academy/Schools
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Despite rapid industry growth- core fashion & retail management skills in the Chinese industry still remains weak- especially in areas of Branding, Retail management know-how & technology + talent
Creation of Core Industry Creation of Core Industry Creation of Core Industry Creation of Core Industry Platforms Platforms Platforms Platforms ..
Address Identified Weaknesses & Facilitate Innovation + Global Knowledge & Talent Exchange ..
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Domestic
Fashion Industry
Access to Global Markets
Access to Global Capital
Access to Global Talent
Access to Global
Fashion Knowledge
Access to Domestic Industry
Resource
Platforms become fundamental base for the Globali sation of China’s Fashion Industry
Brands Investment Platform
Real Estate –Cluster & Retail Platform
Fashion Capabilities Platform
VALU
E-C
RE
ATIO
N
Access to Global Fashion knowledge, trends & talen ts major factor in “value-chain” upgrade
Outdoor & surf wear cluster (USA)
Luxury Brand Cluster (Italy) Global
Fashion City (Milan,
Italy)
Global Creative
City (Singapore)
Global Fashion
City (HK)
China Fashion Design Cluster (China)
China Fashion
Manufacturing Cluster (China)
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