the new silk presentation to shanghai new silk road academy conference 25 may 2015
TRANSCRIPT
© GERET 2015
What is the new silk?Creativity, Communication and Culture in the new world economy
Alan FreemanGeopolitical Economy Research Group
www.geopoliticaleconomy.ca
•Multipolar world (geopolitical economy)•New technology (creative industries)
Hence new evidence and new methods of study
What is the new silk?
•UK Department of Culture, Media, Sport (DCMS)•National Endowment for Science, Technology and
the Arts (NESTA)•Researchers• Hasan Bakhshi (UK)• Alan Freeman (UK, Canada)• Peter Higgs (Australia)
•These are the best data in the world
Sources
• Comparable data for US and Europe, from NESTA, available in July• International research project at www.geopoliticaleconomy.ca• Russia, China, Latin America initially
• We invite partners to join• They will have access to results• They can take part in creating new evidence
Sources
•Victorians: steam and trains•Early 20th Century: electricity and steel
•Postwar: oil and motor transport•21st Century: ICT and creative labour
A mass market in designed products
Each age has a characteristic technology
•Decisive feature of the modern economy•Cannot be replaced by a machine•Main driver of economic growth
Non-substitutable (high-end) labour
Financial and insurance
Construction
Creative Economy
Manufacturing
Science economy
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500
2013 jobs
Financial and insurance
Construction
Manufacturing
Creative Economy
Science economy
- 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000
2030 jobs
The changing structure of British Industry
Science already bigger than manufacturing; creative nearly as big
By 2030 both will be bigger
Total ‘intellectual labour-based’ will be bigger than all others by 2030
Creative workers in the creative industries
Non-creative workers in the creative industries
Creative workers outside the
creative industries
Creative Intensity = 2/(1+2) =52%Source: DCMS January 2015 Creative Industry Estimates, Figure 1 (page 3)
What are the creative industries?
Creative industries
1.7m
Science industries
2.4m
1.8m Creative workers
Science workers
1.6m
Creative and Scientific Economies
• Silk consumed by European nobility • Distinctive cloth• Art and spiced cooking • showed they were superior
• ICT creates a mass market in cultural products • One song can be heard by hundreds of millions of people
• Consumers use this freedom to exercise choice. • Choice is part of every product • Modern manufacturers incorporate design and cultural content
• This is why Samsung succeeded.
New mass markets
• Two new mass markets • Electronics, flexible manufacturing, to make the new consumer goods.
• For Russia and central Asia there is a special new challenge. • ‘Re-industrialise’. • Even the old technology must be rebuilt.
• Replace old, mechanical technology • with custom-designed, automated systems • High-Speed train is a classic example.
• High Technology with scientific labour is critical.
New production methods
• Not ‘age of the robots’ – human labour is decisive• Not ‘post-industrial’ – cannot do without the machinery• The machinery supports service delivery• Electronics, ICT, digitalization• Cities• Transport
• The machinery needs high-end labour• Software• Education• Content• Social consumption (aesthetics)
A new marriage of human and technology
What resources are needed?
Humans
Creativity
CitiesTrans-
portElectr-onics
Digitiz-ation
Educ-ation
Food
Society
Hous-ing
Obstacles
• It is a new challenge to ‘produce’ creative individuals• Human development is the principal productive resource• Education, artistic self-realisation, self-development• A technology of human development is self-contradictory• Humans are not machines
• Many resources are inherently collective• Cities• Transport• Software production
Join us!
Don’t worry about
robots imitating
people Stop m
aking
humans behave
like m
achines
Resource
decouple
Creativ
e human
growth
www.geopoliticaleconomy.org