the impacts of airbnb on housing markets in nsw · quantitative - utilising available data from...

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The Impacts of Airbnb on Housing Markets in NSW Laura Hodgson ARC Linkage Project: LP150100160 Twitter: @Lct.Hodgson Email: [email protected] What has been the impact of Airbnb on New South Wales housing markets between 2011 and 2017 and how has this impact been shaped by governments?’ Moonee Valley Workshop 1 May 2018

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Page 1: The Impacts of Airbnb on Housing Markets in NSW · Quantitative - Utilising available data from Inside Airbnb, ABS Census data and Core Logic housing data, analyse the measurable

The Impacts of Airbnb on Housing Markets in NSW

Laura Hodgson

ARC Linkage Project: LP150100160

Twitter: @Lct.Hodgson

Email: [email protected]

‘What has been the impact of Airbnb on New South Wales housing markets between 2011 and 2017 and how has this impact been shaped by governments?’

Moonee Valley Workshop1 May 2018

Page 2: The Impacts of Airbnb on Housing Markets in NSW · Quantitative - Utilising available data from Inside Airbnb, ABS Census data and Core Logic housing data, analyse the measurable

Airbnb a household name…

Short Term Rental Accommodation (STRA) or Short Term Holiday Letting (STHL)

Disintermediation

Disruption

Not the share or collaborative economy

Commercial enterprise

@Lct.Hodgson

Page 3: The Impacts of Airbnb on Housing Markets in NSW · Quantitative - Utilising available data from Inside Airbnb, ABS Census data and Core Logic housing data, analyse the measurable

Airbnb in Australia – does this sound like a share economy?

In the top 10 users globally, as guests and hosts.

Sydney is in the top 10 of global destinations.

30.1% of Sydney’s hosts have multiple listings.

Fitzroy, Melbourne, increased its visits of Airbnb guests by 770% from 2015-2016.

Airbnb has partnerships with Qantas and the Flight Centre Travel Group as part of its expansion into business travel.

Airbnb & Victorian Government have partnered for Airbnb to provide free accommodation in response to natural disasters.

@Lct.Hodgson

Page 4: The Impacts of Airbnb on Housing Markets in NSW · Quantitative - Utilising available data from Inside Airbnb, ABS Census data and Core Logic housing data, analyse the measurable

Key StakeholdersNeighborhood & Community

Airbnb Consumers Airbnb Guests

InvestorsAirbnb Hosts

Conventional Accommodation

Providers

Social Housing Agencies

Tourism Industry

Advocates

Government

@Lct.Hodgson

Page 5: The Impacts of Airbnb on Housing Markets in NSW · Quantitative - Utilising available data from Inside Airbnb, ABS Census data and Core Logic housing data, analyse the measurable

Research Questions

What is Airbnb and where does it fit within the current economic model?

What are the key housing affordability issues in NSW and in what areas and how may Airbnb be contributing to housing affordability factors?

How has Airbnb interacted with regulations and structures of government in NSW and what does this mean for the failure of housing affordability and this model of accommodation provision?

@Lct.Hodgson

Page 6: The Impacts of Airbnb on Housing Markets in NSW · Quantitative - Utilising available data from Inside Airbnb, ABS Census data and Core Logic housing data, analyse the measurable

Housing Market

Housing Market

Regulatory Pathways

Ignore/No Action

Control/Restrict

Enable

Arrival of

Stakeholders

Social Housing Agencies

Tourism Industry Advocates

Conventional Accommodation

Providers

Government

Consumers

Investors

Existing Home Owners

Neighbourhood & Community

@Lct.Hodgson

Page 7: The Impacts of Airbnb on Housing Markets in NSW · Quantitative - Utilising available data from Inside Airbnb, ABS Census data and Core Logic housing data, analyse the measurable

New State Spaces & Competing Government Interests

Federal Government

State Government

Local Government

Concerns of the impact on housing

Residential Tenants Legislation

Tourism

Economic development

Response to neighbourhood complaints

Rating implications

Tourism

Economic development

Tax

Consumer & Competition Law

Tourism

Economic development

@Lct.Hodgson

Page 8: The Impacts of Airbnb on Housing Markets in NSW · Quantitative - Utilising available data from Inside Airbnb, ABS Census data and Core Logic housing data, analyse the measurable

Research Design

Selected Local Government Case Studies

Northern Rivers Region

Sydney

Mixed Methods

Quantitative - Utilising available data from Inside Airbnb, ABS Census data and Core Logic housing data, analyse the measurable impact on housing markets 2011-2017.

Qualitative - Use of the Final Report - Adequacy of the Regulation of Short-Term Holiday Letting in New South Wales and related documents.

Qualitative – Semi-structured interviews with real estate agents and local and state government for their perspective on the impact.

@Lct.Hodgson

Page 9: The Impacts of Airbnb on Housing Markets in NSW · Quantitative - Utilising available data from Inside Airbnb, ABS Census data and Core Logic housing data, analyse the measurable

Inside Airbnb http://insideairbnb.com/sydney/?neighbourhood=&filterEntireHomes=false&filterHighlyAvailable=false&filterRecentReviews=false&filterMultiListings=false accessed 25 June 2017

Sydney

Data: 04 April 2017

Listings: 24,083

Red = entire homes 60.8%

Green = private rooms 37.8%

Blue = shared rooms 1.5%

Multiple Listings: 31.8%

@Lct.Hodgson

Page 10: The Impacts of Airbnb on Housing Markets in NSW · Quantitative - Utilising available data from Inside Airbnb, ABS Census data and Core Logic housing data, analyse the measurable

Inside Airbnb http://insideairbnb.com/sydney/?neighbourhood=&filterEntireHomes=false&filterHighlyAvailable=false&filterRecentReviews=false&filterMultiListings=false accessed 25 November 2017

Sydney

Data: 03 October 2017

Listings: 27,360

Red = entire homes 61.2%

Green = private rooms 37.2%

Blue = shared rooms 1.5%

Multiple Listings: 31.8%

@Lct.Hodgson

Page 11: The Impacts of Airbnb on Housing Markets in NSW · Quantitative - Utilising available data from Inside Airbnb, ABS Census data and Core Logic housing data, analyse the measurable

Northern Rivers

Data: 21 October 2017

Listings: 4256

Red = entire homes 75.4%

Green = private rooms 24.5 %

Blue = shared rooms 0.1%

Multiple Listing: 48.3%

Inside Airbnb http://insideairbnb.com/northern-rivers/ accessed 25 November 2017

@Lct.Hodgson

Page 12: The Impacts of Airbnb on Housing Markets in NSW · Quantitative - Utilising available data from Inside Airbnb, ABS Census data and Core Logic housing data, analyse the measurable

What’s next?

Attending an Affordable Housing Forum in Bellingen NSW.

Taking leave during May & June to undertake a Research Assistant Role with an EDA project.

Presenting at the AHURI PhD Symposium.

Presenting at the joint APNHR and AHRC.

Continue writing chapters 1-5.

Focus on part 1 - quantitative methods & analysis.

Prepare for part 2 - qualitative methods, including ethics approval.

Thank you for your time

@Lct.Hodgson