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Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd Fellow, Centre for Management Development, London Business School

TheFutureofAlmostEverythingGlobaltrendsandtheirimpactonKohlerGroup

$20,000Challenge

4wordphrasewillbethebasisofallleadership,innova:on,

marke:ng,mo:va:onandisTHEkeytostrongcorporateimage

Complexity and scale create

risks

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Panama

Strategies often overtaken by events World can change faster than you can hold a board meeting

Agility

Yet many trends changing more slowly

than people think

Cash growing - bank branches continue -

music, fashions, food, hotel rooms and

homes very similar

What is the future of the global

ECONOMY

WGP2005-2014(%,constantprices)

VietnamGDP1985-2011

$3.4trillion($50trillionby2020globally)

$2.4trillion

Reserves

One word will dominate ALL

FUTURE

The future is aboutEMOTION

85% of world population will be living in emerging

markets in 10 years

50% of global wealth is owned by 1%

1 billion will migrate over next 30 yearsAstonishing growth in middle class

Science,technologyengineering,maths

MostSTEMgraduatesinemergingmarkets

ChinaandIndiadominate

STEMdegreesincludingpost-graduate/PhDs

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1 billion over 60 year olds in 10 years

Europe Dying 4 couples to produce single great-grand child

1 million over 90 year olds in Italy in 12 years time

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!53

Older Customers

Huge New Markets

following coronary, stroke or sight loss using adult stem cells

Repair Heart / Brain / Eyes with stem cells

Rod photoreceptors (in green) within a "mini retina" derived from human induced Pluripotent Stem Cells in the lab. Courtesy of Johns Hopkins Medicine

Re:natransplantscanrestoresight

We can print layers of living cells....

Life expectancy will grow much

faster than forecast

Slow or no ageing is a Rockfish, Turtles, some Whales

No signs of getting

Rougheye rockfish (Sebastes aleutianus) 205 years Aldabra Giant Tortoise 255 years Lobsters are believed to live 100 or more years Ocean Quahog clam 405 years

Some animals do not age in normal way

Read your genes in 2 hours for

$2000

1trillionpagesamonth

People love Cities and Offices

Teleworking Only 2.5% of US workers are exclusively home-based

90% all global data

generated in last 2 years

BigDataandLiZleData

Big Data = Pattern

Little Data = Person

missing you

Night Flight or Day Flight Going out or coming home? work, food, drink,

chat, party, unwind, dark, quiet, sleep, leave

BestforBusiness?

Chicago Honolulu

Talking to each customer on journey of life

Globalised+BarriersIncreasingScale

VW mega platformVWMegaPla]orm-basisfor1mcars

World too small for more than:2 airline manufacturers

3 mobile operating systems10 large pharma

5 large auto companies

With rapid growth of niche manufacturing

10%wageinfla:oninChina

NearshoringBoom

InmanyEUna:ons,upto70%ofretailspendingisin

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TurnretailstoreintoLeisure

Experience

Beingavailabletoeachcustomer

ontheirjourney

MOBILE More than 50% of online sales in some nations

Loca:onMarke:ng

reallymaZers

Over4000roadhauliersinEU

105

Goldstandard:

10amordersfor3pmDelivery

107

Internet of Things

$12bn security and controlhome automation market by 2018

$40 Trillion Green Tech Boom driven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism

Shale gas 33% US supplies

3.3m US jobs $468bn pa + more oil

produced than Saudi by 2020

200 years global supply Up from 60 years in 5 years

Expect large energy and commodity

booms and busts over 30 years

75% global growth in green energy was in China in 2014

120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day 7,000 times total global power use Power Moscow from Libyan Desert

120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day 7,000 times total power useQUEBECfromARIZONAMOSCOWfromSAHARA

SolarCells$/waZ1990-2015

subsidies

PriceParity

InJune2013electricitypricesinGermanybecamenega:ve-EU150/MWhr

SameinQueenslandAustraliaforaweekin2014

SurplusPowertoGas:13EUplants/26planned

New Street Lamps save 3%

national energy

4 year payback for smart buildings

!126

1 billion need clean water 2.3 billion at risk of drought

4.5 billion at risk by 2050

4.6tonsperpersoneachdayinEU

13litrestogrowatomato146litrestolayanegg

2400litrestomakeahamburger4000litrestomakecoZonteeshirt11,000litresforapairofjeans

Image running tap Russia hot water story....

Next-generation water-saving devices

Consumers need to understand the reality

!133

IntelinChandlerCity 1.5m gallons a day into $19m desalination plant Pumped into sandstone acquifer Replaces 75% of water used by factory

Beyond Compliance

IntegrityisIntegralLongstanding traditions of high moral

conduct and ethical standards are basic to our conduct of business. Honesty and integrity are core values that we

must observe in all business activities.

do things you really believe in Life is Short

AllleadershipcomesfromVISIONofabeZerfuture

Thecorpora:onandeachassociatehavethemissionofcontribu:ngtoahigherlevelofgraciouslivingforthosewhoaretouchedby

ourproductsandservices.

Graciouslivingismarkedbyquali:esofcharm,goodtasteandgenerosityofspirit.Itisfurthercharacterizedbyself-fulfillmentand

theenhancementofnature.

LessonfromNon-ProfitsandAc:vists

Connectwithallthepassionspeoplehaveandtheywillfollowyoutothe

endsoftheearth,promotewhatyoudowithpride,andmayevenbewillingto

workforyoufornexttonothing

.andthefourwordphraseis.

BuildingaBeZerWorld

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Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd

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