the euro area sovereign debt crisis

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    `gr `dcdssfzko{ zddcr rmgsd gi rmd Dtzgxdf` Cd`rzfo Jf`l gz rmd Dtzgs{srde.

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    Fjsrzfcr

    Sk`cd rmd k`rd`skcfrkg` gi rmd czksks k` Sdxrdejdz :88=/ foo dtzg fzdf og`a%rdze agydz`ed`r jg`b {kdobs zdofrkyd rg rmd Adzef` Jt`b mfyd jdd` cmfz%

    fcrdzksdb j{ mkamo{ xdzsksrd`r xzgcdssds qkrm txqfzb rzd`bs igz cgt`rzkds qkrm

    qdfldz scfo it`bfed rfos. Ogglk`a fr rmd bfko{ xdzkgb 6 Sdxrdejdz :88= % 2

    Ftatsr :866/ qd `b rmfr rmzdd ifcrgzs cf` d}xofk` rmd zdcgzbdb bdydogxed`rs k`

    sgydzdka` sxzdfbs> -k+ f` faazdafrd zdakg`fo zksl ifcrgz/ -kk+ rmd cgt`rz{%sxdckc

    czdbkr zksl f`b -kkk+ rmd sxkoogydz ddcr izge Azddcd. Sxdckcfoo{/ mkamdz zksl

    fydzskg` mfs k`czdfsdb rmd bdef`b igz rmd Jt`b f`b rmks ks jdmk`b rmd xzkck`a gi

    foo dtzg fzdf sxzdfbs/ k`cotbk`a rmgsd igz Ftsrzkf/ Ik`of`b f`b rmd @drmdzof`bs.

    Cgt`rz{%sxdckc czdbkr zfrk`as mfyd xof{db f ld{ zgod k` rmd bdydogxed`rs gi rmd

    sxzdfbs igz Azddcd/ Kzdof`b/ Xgzrtafo f`b Sxfk`. Ik`foo{/ rmd zfrk`a bgq`azfbdk` Azddcd mfs cg`rzkjtrdb rg bdydogxed`rs k` sxzdfbs gi cgt`rzkds qkrm qdfldz

    scfo it`bfed`rfos> Kzdof`b/ Xgzrtafo/ Krfo{/ Sxfk`/ Jdoakte f`b Izf`cd.

    Ld{qgzbs> Sgydzdka` sxzdfbs/ czdbkr zfrk`as/ sxkoogydzs.

    NDO cofsskcfrkg`> A64/ I39

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    @g` Rdcm`kcfo Steefz{

    Sk`cd rmd k`rd`skcfrkg` gi rmd `f`ckfo czksks k` Sdxrdejdz :88= firdz rmd cgoofxsd

    gi Odmef`/ og`a%rdze agydz`ed`r jg`b {kdobs zdofrkyd rg rmd Adzef` Jt`b mfydjdd` zksk a firdz rd` {dfzs gi srfjkokr{ fr ydz{ ogq odydos. K` rmd zsr xmfsd/ rmd

    fssgckfrdb aogjfo t`cdzrfk`r{ f`b k` rmd dtzg fzdf rmd zdsctd gi rmd ofzadsr Kzksm jf`ls

    j{ rmd Kzksm agydz`ed`r ekamr mfyd xof{db f ld{ zgod k` rmd bdydogxed`rs gi rmd dtzg

    fzdf sgydzdka` sxzdfbs. Rmd skrtfrkg` srfzrdb rg kexzgyd k` rmd cgtzsd gi rmd sxzk`a

    f`b rmd steedz :88; fs aogjfo t`cdzrfk r{ zdcdbdb f`b firdz rmd f``gt`cded`r

    gi srzk`ad r scfo srfjkok~frkg` edfstzds j{ rmd Kzksm agydz`ed`r g` :: Idjztfz{

    :88;. G` 69 Gcrgjdz :88;/ rmd Azddl Xzked Ek`ksrdz Adgzad Xfxf`bzdgt k` mks zsr

    xfzokfed`rfz{ sxddcm bkscogsdb rmd cgt`rz{s sdydzd scfo xzgjodes f`b keedbkfrdo{

    firdz g` 4 @gydejdz :88; rmd Azddl agydz`ed`r zdydfodb f zdyksdb jtbadr bdckr gi

    6:.1$ gi ABX igz :88;/ qmkcm qfs rmd bgtjod gi rmd xzdykgts dsrkefrd. Sk`cd rmd`/

    rmd sgydzdka` sxzdfbs zgsd smfzxo{ igz egsr gi rmd dtzg fzdf cgt`rzkds/ cftsk`a rmd

    jkaadsr cmfood`ad igz rmd Dtzgxdf` eg`drfz{ t`kg` sk`cd krs czdfrkg`.

    Rmd rd`skg` ks itzrmdz kootsrzfrdb j{ rmd zdfcrkg` k` mkamo{ zfrdb sgydzdka` xfxdzs.

    Jd`cmefzl Izd`cm/ Btrcm/ Ftsrzkf`/ Ik``ksm f`b Adzef` {kdobs mfyd rtz`db zgt`b

    rg tcrtfrd qkrm f bdcok k`a rzd`b gydz rmd :88=%:866 xdzkgb. Mgqdydz/ rmd sxzdfbs

    yks%%yks rmd Adzef` Jt`b mfyd jdd` zksk`a fosg g` jg`b ksstdb j{ cgt`rzkds qkrm sgokb

    scfo it`bfed`rfos/ stcm fs Ftsrzkf/ Ik`of`b f`b rmd @drmdzof`bs. @g`d gi rmd efzldr

    xfzrkckxf`rs mfyd staadsrdb rmfr rmd bdydogxed`rs k` sgydzdka` jg`b {kdobs gi rmdsd

    cgt`rzkds qdzd rmd zdstors gi rmd efzldr xzkck`a zd%fssdssed`r gi rmd agydz`ed`r czdbkr

    zksl. K` ifcr/ rmd czdbkr zfrk`a fad`ckds bkb `gr egbki{ rmdkz czdbkr zksl fssdssed r

    fafk`sr rmd jg`bs ksstdb j{ rmdsd cgt`rzkds/ lddxk`a rmd rzkxod%F cofsskcfrkg`.

    Qm{ bkb rmd sxzdfbs gi cgt`rzkds qkrm sgokb scfo it`bfed`rfos zksd qkrm rmd

    `f`ckfo czksks7 Qm{ bkb rmd sxzdfbs gi cgt rzkds qkrm qdfl scfo it`bfed`rfos sl{%

    zgcldrdb qkrm rmd `f`ckfo czksks7 Ks rmdzd dykbd`cd gi sxkoogydz ddcrs gi sgydzdka`

    bgq`azfbds gi jg`b ksstdb j{ Azddcd/ Kzdof`b f`b Xgzrtafo g` grmdz dtzg fzdf cgt`%

    rzkds sxzdfbs7 Rmdsd fzd rmd rmzdd vtdsrkg`s k`ydsrkafrdb k` rmks xfxdz.Rmd ifcrgzs fdcrk`a rmd sgydzdka` jg`b {kdobs fzd fssgckfrdb rg faazdafrd zksl/

    cgt rz{%sxdckc zksl f`b cg`rfakg` zksl. Rmd faazdafrd zksl ks bzkyd` j{ cmf`ads k`

    eg`drfz{ xgokc{/ aogjfo t`cdzrfk`r{ f`b zksl fydzskg`/ qmkod rmd cgt`rz{%sxdckc zksl

    ks zdofrdb rg cmf`ads k` bdiftor xzgjfjkokrkds g` rmd sgydzdka` bdjr/ rmd fjkokr{ rg zfksd

    it`b k` rmd xzkefz{ efzldr f`b okvtkbkr{ ifcrgzs k` rmd sdcg`bfz{ efzldr.

    Sdxfzfrk`a rmd okvtkbkr{ d}xof`frkg` f`b cg`rfakg` zksl izge faazdafrd zksl f`b

    sgydzdka` bdiftor ks ydz{ kexgzrf`r izge f xgokc{ eflk`a xdzsxdcrkyd/ jdcftsd f`

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    k`rdzyd`rkg` j{ rmd cd`rzfo jf`l cf` jd stccdssito ki `f`ckfo efzldrs ifcd rdcm`kcfo

    okvtkbkr{ xzgjodes gz stjndcr rg cg rfakg`. Ki/ g` rmd cg`rzfz{/ rmd zksd k` sxzdfbs

    ks btd rg faazdafrd ifcrgzs f`b sgydzdka` bdiftor rmd` f cd`rzfo jf`l mfs g`o{ okrrod

    zgge igz ef`gdtyzd.

    Ogglk`a fr rmd bfko{ xdzkgb 6 Sdxrdejdz :88= % 2 Ftatsr :866/ qd `b rmfr rmzdd

    ifcrgzs cf` d}xofk` rmd zdcgzbdb bdydogxed`rs k` sgydzdka` sxzdfbs> -k+ f` faazdafrd

    zdakg`fo zksl ifcrgz/ -kk+ rmd cgt`rz{%sxdckc czdbkr zksl f`b -kkk+ rmd sxkoogydz ddcr

    izge Azddcd.

    Sxdckcfoo{/ mkamdz zksl fydzskg` mfs k`czdfsdb rmd bdef`b igz rmd Jt`b f`b rmks

    ks jdmk`b rmd xzkck a gi foo dtzg fzdf sxzdfbs/ k`cotbk`a rmgsd igz Ftsrzkf/ Ik`of`b f`b

    rmd @drmdzof`bs. Btzk`a rmd `f ckfo czksks/ rmd Adzef` Jt`b mfs jd`drdb izge

    rmd sfid mfyd` srfrts/ qmkcm mfs mksrgzkcfoo{ cmfzfcrdzk~db TS Rzdfstzkds/ rmd Sqkss

    izf`c/ rmd Nfxf`dsd [d` f`b agob.Cgt`rz{%sxdckc czdbkr zfrk`as mfyd xof{db f ld{ zgod k` rmd bdydogxed`rs gi rmd

    sxzdfbs igz Azddcd/ Kzdof`b/ Xgzrtafo f`b Sxfk`. Kr ks tsdito rg xgk r gtr rmfr k`%

    srkrtrkg`fo k`ydsrgzs/ stcm fs xd`skg` it`bs f`b k`stzdzs/ fzd gjokadb j{ ofq gz rmdkz

    gq` srfrtrds rg xtzcmfsd f`b mgob jg`bs qkrm f cdzrfk` ek`kete zfrk`a. Egzdgydz/

    czdbkr zfrk`as fzd tsdb j{ zdatofrgzs rg dsrfjoksm jf`ls cfxkrfo zdvtkzded`rs f`b cf`

    kexfcr jf`ls xgzrigokgs jdcftsd g`o{ mkam zfrdb fssdrs fzd dokakjod fs cgoofrdzfo rg

    gjrfk` czdbkr izge rmd cd`rzfo jf`l. Rmdzdigzd/ f bgq`azfbd cf` ad`dzfrd f xgzrigokg

    smkir/ qmkcm cf` ska`kcf`ro{ fdcr jg`b {kdobs.

    Ik`foo{/ rmd zfrk`a bgq`azfbd k` Azddcd mfs cg`rzkjtrdb rg bdydogxed`rs k` sxzdfbsgi cgt`rzkds qkrm qdfldz scfo it`bfed`rfos> Kzdof`b/ Xgzrtafo/ Krfo{/ Sxfk`/ Jdoakte

    f`b Izf`cd. Czdbkr zfrk`a fad`ckds mfyd jzgtamr rmd cg`rfakg` zksl rg rmd igzd. Igz

    d}fexod/ qmd` Eggb{s bgq`azfbdb rmd Xgzrtafos og`a%rdze agydz`ed r jg`b zfr%

    k`as j{ igtz `grcmds g` 4 Nto{ :866 izge Jff6 rg Jf: f`b fsska`db f `dafrkyd gtroggl/

    kr fzatdb rmfr f ygot`rfz{ zgoogydz gi Azddl bdjr qgtob kexo{ f zksk`a zksl rmfr xzk%

    yfrd sdcrgz xfzrkckxfrkg` cgtob jdcged f xzdcg`bkrkg` igz fbbkrkg`fo zgt`bs gi gckfo

    od`bk`a rg Xgzrtafo fs qdoo. Rmd bdjfrd fjgtr rmd ygot`rfz{ bdjr zgoogydz igz Azddcd

    mfs cg`rzkjtrdb rg f efngz zd%fssdssed`r gi rmd Xgzrtatdsd gtroggl f`b rzkaadzdb f

    ska`kcf r k`czdfsd k` {kdob sxzdfbs igz Xgzrtafo. K` grmdz qgzbs/ Xgzrtafo qfs `gr

    xzkefzko{ ntbadb g` rmd jfsks gi krs gq` it`bfed`rfos.

    Izge f xgokc{%eflk`a xgk`r gi ykdq/ rg sfidatfzb rmd srfjkokr{ gi rmd dtzg fzdf

    `f`ckfo s{srde/ rmd mkamdsr xzkgzkr{ ks rg zdbtcd rmd sgydzdka` sgoyd`c{ zksl f`b rfclod

    cg rfakg`. Qkoo xgokc{%efldzs cogsd rmd ofzad afx jdrqdd` sxd`bk`a f`b zdyd`tds7

    Qkoo rmd{ ctr sxd`bk`a f`b'gz zfksd rf}ds d`gtam rg efld rmd bdjr stsrfk`fjod7 Rmd

    cmfood`ad rmfr rmd xgokc{%efldzs ifcd ks rg zdbtcd k`dckd`r sxd`bk`a f`b fygkb f

    bdfrkg`fz{ sxdoo/ rmzgtam srztcrtzfo zdigzes. K` rmd og`a zt`/ f ld{ cmfood`ad ks rg

    d`mf`cd rmd xgokrkcfo t`kg` k` Dtzgxd xgsskjo{ qkrm f` k`srkrtrkg` rmfr atfzf`rdds

    og`a%rdze scfo bksckxok`d rg k`bkykbtfo dtzg fzdf cgt rzkds.

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    6 K rzgbtcrkg`

    Sk`cd rmd k`rd`skcfrkg` gi rmd `f`ckfo czksks k` Sdxrdejdz :88= firdz rmd cgoofxsd

    gi Odmef`/ og`a%rdze agydz`ed`r jg`b {kdobs zdofrkyd rg rmd Adzef` Jt`b mfyd

    jdd` zksk`a firdz rd` {dfzs gi srfjkokr{ fr ydz{ ogq odydos -sdd Xf`do F k` Ikatzd

    6+. K` rmd zsr xmfsd/ rmd fssgckfrdb aogjfo t`cdzrfk r{ f`b k` rmd dtzg fzdf rmd

    zdsctd gi rmd ofzadsr Kzksm jf`ls j{ rmd Kzksm agydz`ed`r ekamr mfyd xof{db f ld{

    zgod k` rmd bdydogxed rs gi rmd dtzg fzdf sgydzdka` sxzdfbs. Rmd skrtfrkg` srfzrdb

    rg kexzgyd k` rmd cgtzsd gi rmd sxzk`a f`b rmd steedz :88; fs aogjfo t`cdzrfk`r{

    zdcdbdb f`b firdz rmd f``gt`cded`r gi srzk`ad`r scfo srfjkok~frkg` edfstzds j{ rmd

    Kzksm agydz`ed`r g` :: Idjztfz{ :88;. G` 69 Gcrgjdz :88;/ rmd Azddl Xzked Ek`ksrdz

    Adgzad Xfxf`bzdgt k` mks zsr xfzokfed`rfz{ sxddcm bkscogsdb rmd cgt`rz{s sdydzd

    scfo xzgjodes f`b keedbkfrdo{ firdz g` 4 @gydejdz :88; rmd Azddl agydz`ed`r

    zdydfodb f zdyksdb jtbadr bdckr gi 6:.1$ gi ABX igz :88;/ qmkcm qfs rmd bgtjod gi

    rmd xzdykgts dsrkefrd. Sk`cd rmd`/ rmd sgydzdka` sxzdfbs zgsd smfzxo{ igz egsr gi rmd

    dtzg fzdf cgt`rzkds/ cftsk`a rmd jkaadsr cmfood`ad igz rmd Dtzgxdf` eg`drfz{ t`kg`

    sk`cd krs czdfrkg`.

    Rmd rd`skg` ks itzrmdz kootsrzfrdb j{ rmd zdfcrkg` k` egzd mkamo{ zfrdb sgydzdka`

    xfxdzs. Jd`cmefzl Izd`cm/ Btrcm/ Ftsrzkf`/ Ik``ksm f`b Adzef` {kdobs mfyd rtz`db

    zgt`b rg tcrtfrd qkrm f bdcok`k`a rzd`b gydz rmd :88=%:866 xdzkgb -sdd Xf`do J

    k` Ikatzd 6+. Mgqdydz/ rmd sxzdfbs yks%%yks rmd Adzef` Jt`b mfyd jdd` zksk a

    fosg g` jg`b ksstdb j{ cgt`rzkds qkrm sgokb scfo it`bfed rfos/ stcm fs Ftsrzkf/Ik`of`b f`b rmd @drmdzof`bs.6 @g`d gi rmd efzldr xfzrkckxf`rs mfyd staadsrdb rmfr

    rmd bdydogxed`rs k` sgydzdka` jg`b {kdobs gi rmdsd cgt`rzkds qdzd rmd zdstors gi rmd

    efzldr xzkck`a zd%fssdssed`r gi rmd agydz`ed`r czdbkr zksl. K` ifcr/ rmd czdbkr zfrk`a

    fad`ckds bkb `gr egbki{ rmdkz czdbkr zksl fssdssed r fafk`sr rmd jg`bs ksstdb j{ rmdsd

    cgt`rzkds/ lddxk`a rmd rzkxod%F cofsskcfrkg`.

    Qm{ bkb rmd sxzdfbs gi cgt`rzkds qkrm sgokb scfo it`bfed`rfos zksd qkrm rmd

    `f`ckfo czksks7 Qm{ bkb rmd sxzdfbs gi cgt rzkds qkrm qdfl scfo it`bfed`rfos sl{%

    zgcldrdb qkrm rmd `f`ckfo czksks7 Ks rmdzd dykbd`cd gi sxkoogydz ddcrs gi sgydzdka`

    bgq`azfbds gi jg`b ksstdb j{ Azddcd/ Kzdof`b f`b Xgzrtafo g` grmdz dtzg fzdf cgt`%rzkds sxzdfbs7 Rmdsd fzd rmd rmzdd vtdsrkg`s k`ydsrkafrdb k` rmks xfxdz.

    Rmd ifcrgzs fdcrk`a rmd sgydzdka` jg`b {kdobs fzd fssgckfrdb rg faazdafrd zksl/

    cgt`rz{%sxdckc zksl f`b cg`rfakg` zksl -sdd Ikatzd :+. Rmd faazdafrd zksl ks bzkyd` j{

    cmf`ads k` eg`drfz{ xgokc{/ aogjfo t`cdzrfk`r{ f`b zksl fydzskg`/ qmkod rmd cgt`rz{%

    sxdckc zksl ks zdofrdb rg cmf`ads k` bdiftor xzgjfjkokrkds g` rmd sgydzdka` bdjr/ rmd

    6 Fccgzbk a rg Dtzgsrfr/ rmd agydz`ed`r bdckr -%+ f`b bdjr rg ABX zfrkg k` :88; fegt`rdb

    zdsxdcrkydo{ rg %2.6 f`b 9;.9$ k` Ftsrzkf/ %:.9$ f`b 23.=$ k` Ik`of`b/ f`b %4.4$ f`b 98.=$ k`

    rmd @drmdzof`bs. Rmd sfed srfrksrkcs fegt`rdb rg %1.4$ f`b 1=.3$ k` Izf`cd/ %4.;$ f`b ;9.:$ k`

    Jdoakte/ %66.6$ f`b 43.3$ k` Sxfk`/ %4.2$ f`b 669.6$ k` Krfo{/ %68.6$ f`b =3$ k` Xgzrtafo/ %62.3$

    f`b 94.9$ k` Kzdof`b/ %64.2$ f`b 6:1.6$ k` Azddcd.

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    fjkokr{ rg zfksd it`b k` rmd xzkefz{ efzldr f`b okvtkbkr{ ifcrgzs k` rmd sdcg`bfz{

    efzldr. F` kexgzrf r ksstd gi f`{ xfxdz srtb{k a rmd bdrdzek`f rs gi jg`b {kdobs

    ks rmd kbd`rkcfrkg` gi rmd yfzkfjods rg jd tsdb fs f xzg}{.

    Ef`{ gi rmd zdofrkg`smkxs srtbkdb k` rmks xfxdz mfyd fozdfb{ jdd` k`ydsrkafrdb k`

    rmd okrdzfrtzd/ jtr rmd tsd gi mkam%izdvtd`c{ bfrf/ rmd igcts g` rmd czksks xdzkgb f`b

    rmd egbdook`a gi rmd mkam xdzsksrd`c{ efld rmd cg`rzkjtrkg` gi rmd xfxdz `gydo. Rmd

    d}ksrk`a dexkzkcfo egbdos/ sged gi qmkcm fzd zdykdqdb k` Sdcrkg` : -k.d. Ifydzg/ dr fo./

    :868< Adzofcm/ dr fo./ :868< Fzam{zgt f`b Lg`rg`klfs/ :868+/ cf``gr mdox d}xofk`k`a

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    Fzam{zgt f`b Lg`rg`klfs -:868+ fzatd rmfr rmd k`rdz`frkg`fo zksl ifcrgz -rmd oga

    gi YK]+ f`b rmd cgt`rz{ s cgexdrkrkyd`dss -rmd oga gi rmd zdfo ddcrkyd d}cmf`ad

    zfrd bdfrdb j{ rmd cg`stedz xzkcd k`bd}+ cf` d}xofk` rmd bdydogxed`rs k` sgydzdka`

    sxzdfbs gi foo dtzg fzdf cgt`rzkds gydz rmd eg`rmo{ xdzkgb Ftatsr :881%Fxzko :868.

    Xf`do C gi Rfjod 6 smgqs rmd zdstors gi rmd jfsdok`d egbdo sxdckcfrkg` staadsrdb j{

    Fzam{zgt f`b Lg`rg`klfs -:868+ dsrkefrdb j{ rmd STZ edrmgb. Rmd egbdo rflds rmd

    sxdckcfrkg` zdxgzrdb k` rmdkz Rfjod 4 -Fzam{zgt f`b Lg`rg`klfs -:868+/ xa. 2:+/ jtr

    qkrmgtr rmd cg`rdexgzf`dgts Azddl sxzdfb tsdb fs f zdazdssgz rg edfstzd cg`rfakg`/

    akyd` rmfr qkrmk f eg`drfz{ t`kg` sgydzdka` sxzdfbs rd`b rg cgegyd f`b/ rmdzdigzd/

    rmdzd ks f azdfr zksl gi sketorf`dkr{ jkfs/ qmkcm qgtob jkfs GOS dsrkefrdb cgdckd`rs

    f`b srf`bfzb dzzgzs. Egzdgydz/ zfrmdz rmf` tsk`a rmd cgt`rz{s oga zdfo d}cmf`ad zfrd/

    qd oggl fr rmd zdofrkg`smkx jdrqdd` sgydzdka` sxzdfbs f`b zdofrkyd cgexdrkrkyd`dss/

    `fedo{ rmd bkdzd`cd jdrqdd` rmd cgt`rz{s oga zdfo ddcrkyd d}cmf`ad zfrd f`b rmdAdzef` oga zdfo ddcrkyd d}cmf`ad zfrd/ -Vk

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    3.6 Jg`b {kdobs f`b CBS

    Qd tsd 4%{dfz f`b 68%{dfz agydz`ed`r jg`b {kdobs fs qdoo fs CBS g` 4%{dfz sd`kgz

    bdjr/ qmkcm cged izge Rmgesg` Zdtrdzs Bfrfsrzdfe. Rmd zfrds fzd sdcg`bfz{ efz%

    ldr {kdobs gi agydz`ed`r jg`bs qkrm f zdefk`k`a efrtzkr{ cogsd rg yd f`b rd` {dfzs.Rmd jg`b sxzdfbs fzd cgextrdb fs rmd bkdzd`cd jdrqdd` rmd sgydzdka` jg`b {kdob

    f`b rmd Adzef` agydz`ed`r jg`b qkrm rmd sfed zdskbtfo efrtzkr{. Rmd sxzdfbs fzd

    edfstzdb k` jfsks xgk`rs. Rmd bfrf fzd cgoodcrdb fr rmd d`b gi rmd bf{ -sdd Ikatzds

    6%:+. Rmd 4%{dfz {kdob f`b CBS fzd tsdb k` rmd zgjtsr`dss cmdcl sdcrkg`.

    3.: Faazdafrd zksl

    Qd tsd rmd 4%{dfz f`b 68%{dfz LiQ%Jt`b sxzdfbs/ qmkcm cged izge Joggejdza/

    cgextrdb fs f rmd bkdzd`cd jdrqdd` rmd LiQ jg`b {kdob f`b rmd cgzzdsxg`bk`aAdzef` agydz`ed r jg`b {kdob/ rg edfstzd rmd zdakg`fo faazdafrd zksl ifcrgz. Rmks

    sxzdfb cf` jd tsdb rg edfstzd kamr%rg%okvtkbkr{ f`b kamr%rg sfidr{/ jgrm xmd`ged`f

    ad`dzfoo{ fssgckfrdb qkrm mkamdz zksl fydzskg`.

    Sgydzdka` jg`b sxzdfbs ekamr fosg jd fdcrdb j{ aogjfo t`cdzrfk`r{/ qmkcm ks gird`

    xzg}kdb j{ rmd TS cgzxgzfrd jg`b sxzdfbs -Cgbga`g/ dr fo./ :883< Adzofcm/ :868+ gz

    rmd TS YK] -srgcl efzldr ygofrkokr{ k`bd}+. Rmd igzedz xdzigzes jdrrdz. Md`cd/ qd

    tsd rmd bkdzd`cd jdrqdd` rmd TS rzkxod%J cgzxgzfrd jg`b xzgykbdb j{ Edzzkoo O{`cm

    f`b TS Rzdfstz{ gi rmd sfed efrtzkr{ k` rmd efk` zdazdsskg`s f`b rmd YK] fs f

    zgjtsr`dss cmdcl.Rmd bfrf fzd fyfkofjod k` Rmgesg` BfrfSrzdfe f`b rmd sxzdfbs fzd edfstzdb k`

    jfsks xgk`rs. Rmd bfrf fzd cgoodcrdb fr rmd d`b gi rmd bf{ -sdd Ikatzd 2+.

    3.3 Cgt`rz{%sxdckc zksl

    3.3.6 Sgydzdka` bdiftor zksl

    Agydz`ed`r jtbadr bdckr. Dtzgsrfr xtjoksmds rqkcd f {dfz f `dqs zdodfsd qkrm

    rmd jtbadr jfof`cd%ABX zfrkg gi foo Dtzgxdf` cgt`rzkds igz rmd xzdykgts {dfz. Qd

    tsd rmks bfrf k` zdfo rked rg fssdss rmd kexfcr gi agydz`ed r bdckr g` sxzdfbs

    f`b CBS. Rmd bfrf fzd bksczdrd rked xzgcdssds f`b fzd cfod`bfzdb g` rmd bf{ gi

    rmd xzdss zdodfsd -sdd Ikatzd 4+. Akyd rmd czdbkjkokr{ gi rmd czdbkrqgzrmk`dss gi rmd

    Adzef` agydz`ed`r/ kr cgtob jd fzatdb rmfr k`ydsrgzs bdckbd rmdkz xgzrigokg srzfrdakds

    jfsdb g` rmd faazdafrd jtbadr bdckr skrtfrkg` k` rmd cgt`rz{ f`b `gr zdofrkydo{ rg

    bdydogxed`rs gi rmd Adzef` jtbadr bdckr. Qd cg`skbdz jgrm cfsds f`b rmd zdstors

    bg `gr cmf`ad d}cdxr igz Krfo{/ qmdzd rmd sxzdfbs fzd cgzzdcro{ `dafrkydo{ zdofrdb

    rg rmd Krfokf` jtbadr jfof`cd/ jtr xgskrkydo{ zdofrdb rg rmd bkdzd`rkfo jdrqdd` rmd

    Krfokf` f`b rmd Adzef` jtbadr jfof`cds. Rmd gydzfoo zdstors g` foo grmdz yfzkfjods

    fzd `gr egbkdb< rmdzdigzd rg sfyd sxfcd qd smgq g`o{ rmd `bk`as t`bdz rmd zsr

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    m{xgrmdsks.62

    Sgydzdka` zfrk`as. Czdbkr zfrk`as xzgykbd f` fssdssed`r gi rmd okldokmggb gi bd%

    iftor/ qkrm rmd czkrdzkf igz f zfrk`a fssdssed`r igz f`{ sgydzdka` jfsdb g` f ofzad

    sdr gi k`bkcfrgzs/ qmkcm k`cotbd rmd fssdssed`r gi rmd xtjokc `f`cd skrtfrkg` -xfsr

    b{`fekcs rmzgtam bdjr odydos/ ctzzd`r b{`fekcs rmzgtam jtbadr bdckr f`b itrtzd

    b{`fekcs rmzgtam d.a. rmd xd`skg` okfjkokrkds+/ k`rdzdsr zfrd odydos/ azgqrm xzgsxdcr/

    f`b rmd agydz`ed`rs cgeekred`r rg zdxf{.

    Rmd{ cf` fdcr `f`ckfo efzldrs/ fs rmd{ xggo rmd k`igzefrkg` g` rmd czdbkrqgz%

    rmk`dss gi rmd cgt`rz{. Egzdgydz/ k`srkrtrkg`fo k`ydsrgzs/ stcm fs xd`skg` it`bs f`b

    k`stzdzs/ fzd gjokadb j{ ofq gz rmdkz gq` srfrtrds rg xtzcmfsd f`b mgob jg`bs qkrm f

    cdzrfk` ek`kete zfrk`a. Skekofzo{/ jf`ls xgzrigokgs bdxd`b txg` rmd czdbkr zfrk`as

    g` rmd fssdrs rmd{ mgob btd rg zdatofrgz{ zdvtkzded`rs. Rmdzdigzd/ rmdkz bdckskg`s cf`ad`dzfrd f ska`kcf`r xgzrigokg smkir/ qmkcm cf` rzkaadz f zdfcrkg` g` sxzdfbs.

    Rmd rmzdd efk` zfrk`a fad`ckds/ S)X/ Eggb{s f`b Ikrcm/ tsd skekofz zfrk`a scfods

    qkrm rmd jdsr vtfokr{ ksstdzs zdcdkyk`a f rzkxod%F `grfrkg`. Fs gird` cfzzkdb gtr k`

    rmd okrdzfrtzd -sdd igz d}fexod Af`bd f`b Xfzsod{/ :884< f`b Fig`sg dr fo./ :866+/

    qd rzf`sigze rmd sgydzdka` czdbkr zfrk`a k`igzefrkg` k`rg f bksczdrd yfzkfjod rmfr

    cgbkds rmd bdckskg` gi rmd zfrk`a fad`ckds tsk`a f ok`dfz scfod fs bdxkcrdb k` Rfjod F6

    k` rmd Fxxd`bk}. Rmd zfrk`as fzd azgtxdb k`rg :: cfrdagzkds izge 6 -rzkxod%F+ rg ::

    -bdiftor+. Qd fosg rfld k`rg cg`skbdzfrkg` rmd cmf`ads k` rmd czdbkr gtroggl f`b czdbkr

    qfrcm. Zfrk`a fad`ckds sgedrkeds ogqdz rmd czdbkr gtroggl f`b rmd` xtr f cgt`rz{t`bdz czdbkr qfrcm/ sgedrked bg rmd gxxgskrd. Rmd sdcg`b egyd mfs ad`dzfoo{ ogqdz

    kexfcr zdofrkyd rg rmd zsr egyd. Rmdzdigzd/ rmd zsr `dafrkyd `dqs -dkrmdz gtroggl gz

    qfrcm+ ks sdr dvtfo rg ,8.4/ qmkod rmd sdcg`b jfb `dqs ks sdr dvtfo rg ,8.:4< skekofzo{/

    rmd zsr xgskrkyd `dqs -dkrmdz gtroggl gz qfrcm+ ks sdr dvtfo rg %8.4/ qmkod sdcg`b aggb

    `dqs ks sdr dvtfo rg %8.:4. Rmd bfrf fzd bksczdrd rked xzgcdssds.

    Fs bdxkcrdb k` Ikatzd 9/ rmd czdbkr zfrk`a k`igzefrkg` igz Azddcd qgzsd`db bzf%

    efrkcfoo{ gydz rmd dsrkefrkg` xdzkgb -:88=%:866+ igoogqdb j{ Kzdof`b f`b Xgzrtafo.

    Sxfk` fosg stdzdb izge sdydzfo bgq`azfbds g` krs bdjr/ qmkod Krfo{ f`b Jdoakte

    zdcdkydb g`o{ g`d `dafrkyd czdbkr gtroggl gydz rmd sfexod xdzkgb.

    3.3.: Okvtkbkr{ f`b it`bk a zksls

    Rg fssdss rmd zgod gi okvtkbkr{ zksl ifcrgzs/ qd tsd fs f xzg}{ gi okvtkbkr{ zksl rmd jg`b%

    sxdckc jkb%fsl sxzdfbs gi rmd cgzzdsxg`bk`a efrtzkr{ -Ifydzg/ dr fo./ :868< Adzofcm/

    dr fo./ :868+. Rmd bfrf fzd cgoodcrdb fr rmd d`b gi rmd bf{ tsk`a Rmgesge Zdtrdzs

    Bfrfsrzdfe -sdd Ikatzd F6 k` rmd Fxxd`bk}+.

    62 Foo rmd zdstors qkrm jtbadr jfof`cd bkdzd`rkfos f`b zgjtsrd`dss cmdcls bksctssdb f`b zdxgzrdb

    k` rmd `d}r Sdcrkg` fzd fyfkofjod txg` zdvtdsr.

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    Fs f` fordz`frkyd edfstzd gi okvtkbkr{ zksl/ qd fosg tsd rmd fcrtfo rzfbk`a ygoted

    g` rmd dodcrzg`kc xofrigze ERS/ qmkcm cgydzs fjgtr 64%:8$ gi rmd dtzg fzdf sgydzdka`

    jg`b efzldr/ xzgykbdb j{ DtzgERS.64

    Rg fssdss rmd zgod gi it`bk`a zksl/ qd tsd rmd `dq ksstf`cd gi agydz`ed`r og`a%

    rdze jg`b xzgykbdb g` f eg`rmo{ jfsks j{ rmd Dtzgxdf` Cd`rzfo Jf`l -sdd Ikatzd

    F: k` rmd Fxxd`bk}+.

    Rmd jkb%fsl sxzdfb bkdzd`rkfos fzd cgextrdb fs rmd bkdzd`cd jdrqdd` rmd jkb%

    fsl sxzdfb gi cgt`rz{ k f`b Adzef`{. Fs zdafzb rmd ygoteds/ akyd` rmfr rmd{ fzd gq

    edfstzds/ qd tsd rmd zfrkg jdrqdd` rmd rzfbk`a ygoted gi sgydzdka` k f`b Adzef`{.

    3.2 Cg`rfakg` zksl

    Cg rfakg` ks f skrtfrkg` qmdzdj{ k`srfjkokr{ k` f sxdckc efzldr ks rzf`sekrrdb rg g`d

    gz sdydzfo grmdz efzldrs. Igoogqk`a Af`bd f`b Xfzsod{ -:884+/ qd fssdss qmdrmdz f

    zfrk`a cmf`ad k` Azddcd/ Kzdof`b f`b Xgzrtafo mfs f ska`kcf`r ddcr g` sgydzdka`

    czdbkr sxzdfbs gi grmdz cgt`rzkds.

    3.4 Fbbkrkg`fo bfrf igz zgjtsr`dss

    Jg`b {kdobs cgtob jd bzkyd` j{ d}xdcrdb k`frkg` f`b zdfo ABX azgqrm -Oftjfcm/

    :88;+. Akyd` rmd okekrdb bfrf fyfkofjkokr{ fr cgt`rz{ odydo igz og`a%mgzk~g`/ qd dexog{

    rmd g`d%{dfz%fmdfb cg`sd`sts igzdcfsr gi k`frkg` f`b zdfo ABX azgqrm rg cg`rzgo igz

    rmd ddcrs gi rmd jtsk`dss c{cod.Dtzgsrfr xtjoksmds rqkcd f {dfz f `dqs zdodfsd qkrm rmd agydz`ed`r bdjr gi foo

    Dtzgxdf` cgt`rzkds igz rmd xzdykgts {dfz. Qd tsd rmks bfrf k` zdfo rked rg fssdss rmd

    kexfcr gi agydz`ed`r bdjr. Rmd bfrf fzd bksczdrd rked xzgcdssds f`b fzd cfod`bfzdb

    g` rmd bf{ gi rmd xzdss zdodfsd.

    Qd fosg cg`skbdz rmd Dtzgxdf` Cgeeksskg` atzds/ qmkcm xtjoksmds igzdcfsrs

    fjgtr scfo bdckr igz foo Dtzgxdf` cgt`rzkds rqkcd f {dfz k` sxzk`a f`b k` ftrte`.

    Izge rmd sxzk`a zdodfsd/ qd tsd rmd fydzfad xzdbkcrkg` igz rmd ctzzd`r {dfz f`b rmd

    igoogqk`a {dfz< izge rmd ftrte` zdodfsd/ qd tsd fydzfad xzdbkcrkg` igz rmd ctzzd`r

    {dfz f`b rmd `d}r rqg igoogqk`a {dfzs.

    Rmd zdfo ddcrkyd d}cmf`ad zfrds bdfrdb j{ rmd cg`stedz xzkcd k`bd} f`b rmd

    jf`l fssdrs rg ABX zfrkg tsdb k` rmd xzdykgts sdcrkg` fzd xzgykbdb j{ rmd Dtzgxdf`

    Cd`rzfo Jf`l.

    2 Srtb{k`a rmd odydo gi sgydzdka` {kdob sxzdfbs

    Dtzg fzdf og`a%rdze agydz`ed`r jg`b {kdobs zdofrkyd rg rmd Adzef` Jt`b fzd cmfz%

    fcrdzk~db j{ mkamo{ xdzsksrd`r xzgcdssds btzk`a rmd `f`ckfo czksks -sdd rmd dsrkefrdb64 Bfrf cf``gr jd smgq` k` fazdded`r qkrm DtzgERS.

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    cgdckd`rs g` rmd gq` ofa zdxgzrdb k` Rfjod 6+ qkrm f codfz txqfzb rzd`b igz egsr

    gi sgydzdka` sxzdfbs -sdd Xf`do F gi Ikatzd 6+.

    Ki qd dexog{db rmd srf`bfzb fxxzgfcm gi rmd okrdzfrtzd zdxgzrdb k` rmd xzdyk%

    gts sdcrkg`/ qmkcm cg`sksrs gi dsrkefrk`a f` ftrgzdazdsskyd xzgcdss qkrm ifcrgzs rmfr

    smgtob cfxrtzd faazdafrd zksl/ czdbkr zksl f`b okvtkbkr{ zksl/ qd qgtob zt` rmd zksl gi

    dsrkefrk`a sxtzkgts zdofrkg`smkxs. Azf`adz -:886+ f`b Azf`adz/ dr fo. -:886+ mfyd

    dexmfsk~db rmfr sxtzkgts dsrkefrdb zdofrkg`smkxs cf` gcctz fosg jdrqdd` srfrkg`fz{/

    jtr mkamo{ ftrgcgzzdofrdb yfzkfjods.

    Dckd`r k`idzd`cd k` rked%sdzkds dcg`gedrzkcs zdvtkzds rflk`a k`rg fccgt`r gi rmd

    sxdckc xmd`ged`g` kootsrzfrdb k` Xf`do F gi Ikatzd 6. Rmks foogqs igz rmd xgsskjkokr{

    rmfr rmd odydo gi sgydzdka` {kdob sxzdfbs ef{ jd ok`ldb rg rmd zksl ifcrgzs/ kexo{k`a

    rmfr ok`dfz cgejk`frkg`s gi rmde fzd cgk`rdazfrdb. K` grmdz qgzbs/ qd fke fr `bk`a

    rmd dvtkokjzkte zdofrkg`smkx jdrqdd` {kdob sxzdfbs f`b zksl ifcrgzs/ stcm rmfr fcrtfogjsdzyfrkg`s bdykfrd izge rmks dvtkokjzkte k` f ~dzg%edf` srfrkg`fz{ xzgcdss.

    Cmdt`a f`b Ofk -6;;3+ xgk`r rg sdydzfo `krd sfexod smgzrcgek`as g` rmd okld%

    okmggb zfrkg rdsrs igz cgk rdazfrkg` staadsrdb j{ Ngmf`sd` -6;==+. Rmd{ igt`b rmfr

    Ngmf`sd`s rdsrs fzd jkfsdb rgqfzbs `bk`a cgk`rdazfrkg` egzd gird` rmf` qmfr fs%

    {exrgrkc rmdgz{ staadsr. Rmdzdigzd/ qd rdsr qmdrmdz rmd yfzkfjods mfyd f cgeeg`

    rzd`b zt``k`a Xmkookxs%Gtokfzks -6;;8+ cgk`rdazfrkg` rdsrs g` rmd zdazdsskg` dzzgzs/ ts%

    k`a bfko{ gjsdzyfrkg`s gydz rmd `f`ckfo czksks xdzkgb srfzrk`a izge 6 Sdxrdejdz :88=

    tx rg 2 Ftatsr :866.

    Egzdgydz/ rmd `krd sfexod xdzigzef`cd gi b{`fekc gzbk`fz{ odfsr svtfzds -BGOS+/fs staadsrdb j{ Srgcl f`b Qfrsg` -6;;3+/ ks igt`b rg jd s{srdefrkcfoo{ jdrrdz rmf`

    grmdz dsrkefrgzs -Eg`rfoyg/ 6;;4+. Rmdzdigzd/ qd dexog{ rmd BGOS edrmgb rg dsrk%

    efrd rmd cgdckd`rs f`b srf`bfzb dzzgzs.

    Rmks sdcrkg` cg`rfk`s igtz stjsdcrkg`s. Qd jdak` j{ bksxof{k`a rmd t`kr zggr rdsrs.

    Rmd`/ qd bdsczkjd rmd cgk`rdazfrkg` rdsrs. K` rmd rmkzb stjsdcrkg` qd dsrkefrd rmd

    xfzfedrdzs qkrm rmdkz zgjtsr srf`bfzb dzzgzs tsk`a BGOS. K` rmd igtzrm stjsdcrkg`/

    qd srtb{ cftsfokr{ jdrqdd` zfrk`a f`b {kdob sxzdfbs j{ edf`s gi kextosd zdsxg`sd

    it`crkg`s.

    2.6 T kr zggr rdsrs

    Rfjod : zdxgzrs yfotds igz rmd k`rdzcdxr f`b sogxd cgdckd`rs izge f` gzbk`fz{ odfsr

    svtfzds -GOS+ zdazdsskg` gi dfcm yfzkfjod g` f cg`srf`r f`b krs gq` ofaadb yfotd/ rg%

    adrmdz qkrm rmd Xmkookxs%Xdzzg` -6;;=+ rdsr srfrksrkcs/ qmkcm cgzzdcrs rmd cg`yd`rkg`fo

    r%srfrksrkcs igz rdsrk`a rmd `too m{xgrmdsks gi f t`kr zggr igz sdzkfo cgzzdofrkg` k` rmd

    zdazdsskg` dzzgz tsk`a @dqd{%Qdsrs -6;=1+ dsrkefrgz gi rmd dzzgz yfzkf`cd. Rfjod :

    fosg zdxgzrs rmd E^AOS srfrksrkc izge @a f`b Xdzzg` -:886+/ qmkcm ks bdska`db rg

    mfyd jdrrdz sk~d f`b xgqdz xzgxdzrkds rmf` rmd igzedz.Rmd srf`bfzb t`kr zggr rdsrs/ stcm fs Xmkookxs%Xdzzg` f`b @A%Xdzzg` rdsrs -jtr

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    fosg rmd ftaed`rdb Bkcld{%Itoodz rdsr+/ fxxokdb rg dfcm gi rmd yfzkfjods rfld` k`rg

    cg`skbdzfrkg`/ k`bkcfrd rmfr rmd `too m{xgrmdsks gi f t`kr zggr fxxokdb gydz rmd Sdx%

    rdejdz :88= % Ftatsr :866 xdzkgb cf``gr jd zdndcrdb/ d}cdxr igz rmd okvtkbkr{'it`bk`a

    edfstzds -rmd jkb%fsl sxzdfbs/ ERS rzfbk`a ygoteds f`b rmd `dq ksstf`cd gi agy%

    dz`ed`r bdjr+ f`b rmd TS srgcl efzldr kexokdb ygofrkokr{.69 Rmdsd zdstors xfyd rmd

    qf{ igz rdsrs gi cgk`rdazfrkg` jdrqdd` rmd fxxfzd`ro{ `g`srfrkg`fz{ yfzkfjods.

    2.: Cgk rdazfrkg` rdsrs

    Qd srtb{ rmd cgk rdazfrk`a zdofrkg`smkx jdrqdd` dtzg fzdf sgydzdka` sxzdfbs/ rmd

    LiQ%Jt`b sxzdfb -zdakg`fo faazdafrd zksl ifcrgz+/ rmd TS cgzxgzfrd jg`b sxzdfb

    -k`rdz`frkg`fo faazdafrd zksl ifcrgz+/ rmd cgt`rz{s scfo bdckr f`b rmd czdbkr zfrk`a

    zdykdqs -cgt`rz{s czdbkr zksl ifcrgzs+ f`b rmd czdbkr zfrk`a zdykdqs izge srzfk`db

    cgt`rzkds -rmd sxkoogydz ddcr+.

    Foo sxdckcfrkg`s k`cotbd f btee{ yfzkfjod g` Eg`bf{ 68 Ef{ :868/ akyd` rmd

    kexfcr g` sxzdfbs g` rmfr bf{ zdstork`a izge rmd DCJ Agydz`k`a Cgt`cko f``gt`cd%

    ed`r btzk`a rmd qddld`b gi rmd Sdctzkrkds Efzldrs Xzgazfeed -SEX+/ cg`rdexofrk`a

    xtzcmfsds gi dtzg fzdf agydz`ed`r jg`bs qkrm rmd fke gi d`mf`ck`a bdxrm f`b okv%

    tkbkr{ k` b{sit`crkg`fo efzldrs f`b zdsrgzk`a f` fxxzgxzkfrd eg`drfz{ rzf`seksskg`

    edcmf`kse. Mgqdydz/ rmd zdstors fzd k`bdxd`bd`r izge rmks fbbkrkyd yfzkfjod.

    Rmd Xmkookxs%Gtokfzks -6;;8+ rdsr igz cgk`rdazfrkg` ks jfsdb g` rmd zdskbtfos gi

    f` GOS zdazdsskg` ok`lk a rmd `g`srfrkg`fz{ -xgsskjo{ cgk rdazfrdb+ yfzkfjods. Egzd

    xzdcksdo{/ kr ks jfsdb g` rmd sogxd cgdckd r izge f` GOS zdazdsskg` gi rmdsd zdskbtfos

    g` rmdkz gq` ofaadb yfotds. Ki rmd `too m{xgrmdsks gi f t`kr zggr k` rmd zdazdsskg` dzzgz

    cf` jd zdndcrdb/ rmd` rmd t`bdzo{k`a dvtfrkg` zdxzdsd`rs f cgk`rdazfrk`a zdofrkg`smkx>

    f srfrkg`fz{ ok`dfz cgejk`frkg` gi rmd mkamo{ ftrgcgzzdofrdb yfzkfjods.

    Rfjod 3 bksxof{s rmd zdstors fssgckfrdb qkrm rmdsd Xmkookxs%Gtokfzks rdsrs> rmd k`%

    rdzcdxr f`b sogxd cgdckd`rs izge f ok`dfz zdofrkg`smkx gi 68%{dfz sgydzdka` sxzdfbs

    f`b yfzkgts yfzkfjods/ rmd sogxd cgdckd`r -FZ6 sogxd+ izge zdazdsskg` gi rmd dzzgz

    rdze g` krs gq` ofaadb yfotd -qkrmgtr f cg`srf`r sk`cd rmd dzzgz mfs edf` ~dzg+/ f`b

    rmd Xmkookxs%Gtokfzks srfrksrkc ^r igz yfotds gi rmd @dqd{%Qdsr -6;=1+ ofa rzt`cfrkg`xfzfedrdz sdr dvtfo rg sk}.61

    Xf`do F gi Rfjod 3 bksxof{s rmd Xmkookxs%Gtokfzks rdsrs/ qmd` zdazdssk`a rmd 68%

    {dfz sgydzdka` sxzdfbs fafk`sr rmd agydz`ed`r jtbadr jfof`cd%ABX zfrkg. Rmd dzzgz

    rdzes fzd `g`srfrkg`fz{.

    Ki k`srdfb rmd 68%{dfz sgydzdka` sxzdfbs fzd zdazdssdb fafk`sr rmd 68%{dfz LiQ%

    Jt`b sxzdfb/ rmd dzzgz rdzes zdefk` `g`srfrkg`fz{ igz rmd cgt`rzkds qkrm qdfl s%

    69 Rmd sgtzcd gi `g`%srfrkg`fzkr{ igz sged yfzkfjods cgtob jd cfxrtzdb j{ f bdrdzek`ksrkc it`crkg`

    gi rked. Qd mfyd fosg rdsrdb igz rzd`b srfrkg`fzkr{ k` rmd bfrf/ jtr rmd t`kr zggr rdsrs cf``gr jd

    zdndcrdb.61 Rmd zdstors fzd k`yfzkf`r rg grmdz ofa rzt`cfrkg` xfzfedrdz yfotds.

    69

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    cfo it`bfed`rfos -sdd Xf`do J+< qmkod rmd{ fzd srfrkg`fz{ fccgzbk`a rg rmd Xmkookxs%

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    zdofrkg`smkx jdrqdd` 68%{dfz sgydzdka` sxzdfbs igz rmdsd cgt`rzkds f`b rmd zdakg`fo

    zksl ifcrgz.

    Xf`do C bksxof{s rmd Xmkookxs%Gtokfzks rdsrs/ qmd` zdazdssk`a rmd 68%{dfz sgydzdka`

    sxzdfbs fafk`sr rmd agydz`ed`r jtbadr jfof`cd%ABX zfrkg f`b rmd 68%{dfz LiQ%

    Jt`b sxzdfb. Rmd dzzgz rdzes jdcged srfrkg`fz{ igz Izf`cd/ jtr `gr igz foo grmdz

    cgt`rzkds qkrm qdfl scfo it`bfed`rfos.

    Xf`do B bksxof{s rmd Xmkookxs%Gtokfzks rdsrs/ qmd` zdazdssk`a rmd 68%{dfz sgydzdka`

    sxzdfbs fafk`sr rmd agydz`ed`r jtbadr jfof`cd%ABX zfrkg/ rmd 68%{dfz LiQ%Jt`b

    sxzdfb/ rmd cgt`rz{s czdbkr zfrk`as -d}cotbk`a Ftsrzkf/ Ik of`b/ Izf`cd f`b rmd

    @drmdzof`bs/ qmkcm bkb `gr sdd rmdkz zfrk`as cmf`ad gydz rmd sfexod xdzkgb+ f`b

    rmd Azddl czdbkr zfrk`as. Rmd yfotds gi rmd Xmkookxs%Gtokfzks rdsrs jdcged srzg`ao{`dafrkyd f`b rmd dzzgz rdzes gi rmd cgk`rdazfrk`a zdofrkg`smkx igz Azddcd/ Kzdof`b/

    Xgzrtafo/ Jdoakte/ Krfo{ f`b Sxfk` jdcged srfrkg`fz{. Fosg rmd Xmkookxs%Gtokfzks

    rdsrs igz Izf`cd kexzgyds izge %2.41; rg %4.=62/ jtr rmd srfrkc cgdckd`r g` rmd scfo

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    d}cdxr Azddcd -sdd Xf`dos A%K+< formgtam rmd `too m{xgrmdsks cf` jd zdndcrdb fosg k`

    rmd cfsd gi Azddcd ki tsk`a Eggb{s bdckskg`s.

    Ik`foo{/ rmd zdstors fzd `gr bksskekofz qmd` stjsrkrtrk`a rmd dtzg fzdf faazdafrd

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    ifcrgz/ qkrm rmd d}cdxrkg` gi Azddcd f`b Sxfk` qmdzd jgrm ifcrgzs xof{ f zgod.

    2.3 B{`fekc GOS

    Akyd` rmd stccdss gi rmd sxdckcfrkg`s bksxof{db k` Rfjod 3/ qd srtb{ rmd cgk`rdazfrk`a

    zdofrkg`smkx jdrqdd` rmd `g`%srfrkg`fz{ yfzkfjods. Rmd BGOS edrmgb k`ygoyds fta%

    ed`rk`a rmd cgk`rdazfrk`a zdazdsskg` qkrm ofas f`b odfbs gi]k

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    zdazdssgz k``gyfrkg`s>

    [nk

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    Rmd dsrkefrdb LiQ%Jt`b sxzdfb dofsrkckrkds bkdz ska`kcf`ro{ izge ~dzg. Rmks

    dofsrkckr{ edfstzds rmd sd`skrkykr{ rg xgzrigokg smkirs egrkyfrdb j{ rmd `ddb igz

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    izge rmd Dtzgxdf` sgydzdka` bdjr czksks/ igoogqdb j{ Krfo{ -6.4+ f`b Sxfk` -6.2+ S)Xs czdbkr zfrk`as igz Azddcd/ S)Xs czdbkr zfrk`as igz

    rmd cgt`rz{/ 68%{dfz LiQ%Jt`b sxzdfb f`b 68%{dfz sgydzdka` sxzdfb. Rmd gzbdzk`a

    srztcrtzd gi rmd yfzkfjods igz Izf`cd ks fs igoogqs> S)Xs czdbkr zfrk`as igz Azddcd/

    agydz`ed`r jtbadr bdckr igz rmd cgt`rz{/ 68%{dfz LiQ%Jt`b sxzdfb f`b 68%{dfz

    sgydzdka` sxzdfb. Qd tsd f YFZ qkrm igtz yfzkfjods igz foo cgt`rzkds igz cg`sksrd`c{.

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    bgq`azfbd g` rmd Azddl sgydzdka` bdjr kexokds f` fcctetofrdb zksd k` {kdob sxzdfbsfirdz sk}r{ jtsk`dss bf{s fegt`rk`a zdsxdcrkydo{ rg fjgtr 28 jfsks xgk`rs k` Xgzrt%

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    Kr ks fosg tsdito rg xgk`r gtr rmfr rmd dsrkefrdb s{srdes fzd srfjod fs rmd dzzgz

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    YFZ gz ki qd cmf`ad rmd gzbdzk`a srztcrtzd gi rmd yfzkfjods.

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    4 Cg`cotskg`s

    Rmd dtzg fzdf sgydzdka` bdjr czksks jzgtamr igzqfzb k` rmd bdjfrd rmd kexgzrf`cd gi

    rmd sfid fssdrs/ rmd sgydzdka` sgoyd`c{ zksl k` cgt`rzkds qkrm qdfl scfo it`bfed`rfos

    f`b rmd zksl gi cg`rfakg` feg`a dtzg fzdf cgt`rzkds sgydzdka` sxzdfbs.

    Rmd dexkzkcfo egbdo foogqs rg vtf`rki{ rmd zgod gi zdakg`fo ydzsts k`rdz`frkg`fo

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    cgt`rzkds.

    Ikzsr/ qd smgq rmfr sxzdfbs igz Ftsrzkf/ Ik`of`b f`b rmd @drmdzof`bs bdxd`bs

    ofzado{ g` rmd mkamdz bdef`b igz Adzef` sgydzdka` jg`bs btzk`a rmd czksks. Rmks ke%

    xokds rmfr rmdkz sxzdfbs qgtob jdcged egzd srfjod/ fs rmd zdakg`fo `f`ckfo rtzjtod`cd

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    sxzdfbs -sxkoogydz ddcr+ qkrm qdfl scfo it`bfed`rfos/ formgtam rmd sxkoogydz ddcr

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    f`b zdfo ABX azgqrm/ cgt rzkds okvtkbkr{ zksl ifcrgzs/ zdakg`fo f`b k`rdz`frkg`fo

    faazdafrd zksl ifcrgzs. Rmd sgydzdka` sgoyd`c{ zksl ddcr f`b rmd sxkoogydz ddcr izge

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    bksczdrd/ qmkcm kexokds rmfr qd ef{ t`bdzdsrkefrd rmd zdofrkyd kexgzrf`cd gi czdbkr

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    k` sgydzdka` sxzdfbs. Gydzfoo/ mgqdydz/ qd `b rmfr zfrk`a zdykdqs mfyd srzg`ao{

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    fdcrdb rmd dtzg fzdf sgydzdka` bdjr efzldr.

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    rg rfclod cg`rfakg`.

    Zdidzd`cds

    \6U Fig`sg/ F./ Itzcdzk/ B. f`b X. Ageds/ :866. Sgydzdka` czdbkr zfrk`as f`b %

    `f`ckfo efzldrs ok`lfads> fxxokcfrkg` rg Dtzgxdf` bfrf. DCJ Qgzlk`a Xfxdz

    Sdzkds/ `. 6321.

    \:U Fk~d`ef`/ N./ Mtrcmksg`/ E. E./ f`b [. Nk nfzfl/ :866. Qmfr ks rmd zksl gi

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    \2U Feksf`g/ A. f`b G. Rzksrf`k/ :866. Bksd rf`aok a it`bfed`rfos f`b cg`rfakg`

    k` dtzg fzdf sgydzdka` jg`b sxzdfbs/ Dtzgxdf` Cd`rzfo Jf`l/ ekedg.

    \4U Fzd~lk/ Z./ Cf`bdog`/ J. f`b F. S{/ :866. Sgydzdka` zfrk`a `dqs f`b `f`ckfo

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    bfed`rfos/ d}xdcrfrkg`s f`b cg`rfakg`. Cfzbk Dcg`gekcs Qgzlk`a Xfxdz/ @.

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    dtzg fzdf sgydzdka` sxzdfbs btzk`a rmd `f`ckfo czksks gi :881%8;7 DCJ Qgzlk`a

    Xfxdz Sdzkds/ `. 6636.

    \=U Jfzzkgs/ S./ Kydzsd`/ X./ Odqf`bgqslf/ E. f`b Z. Sdr~dz/ :88;. Bdrdzek`f`rs gi

    k`rzf%dtzg%fzdf agydz`ed`r jg`b sxzdfbs btzk`a rmd `f`ckfo czksks. Dtzgxdf`

    Cgeeksskg`/ Bkzdcrgzfrd Ad`dzfo igz Dcg`gekc f`b Ik`f`ckfo Ffkzs/ Dcg`gekc

    Xfxdzs/ @. 3==.

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    okvtkbkr{7 Dykbd`cd izge rmd dtzg%fzdf jg`b efzldr. Zdykdq gi Ik`f`ckfo Srtb%

    kds/ ::> ;:4%;41.

    :1

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    \68U Jg`afdzrs/ B./ Czdedzs/ L.N.E. f`b Q.@. Agdr~ef``/ :88;. Rkdjzdfldz> Cdz%

    rkcfrkg` f`b etorkxod czdbkr zfrk`as. @JDZ Qgzlk`a Xfxdz Sdzkds/ `. 64336.

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    fjkokr{/ bdiftor zksl f`b dtzg fzdf sgydzdka` jg`b sxzdfbs. Jf`vtd bd Izf`cd

    Qgzlk`a Xfxdz Sdzkds/ `. 348.

    \6:U Jgsd/ F./ 6;==. Dbadqgzrm cgzzdcrkg` j{ jggrsrzfx k` ftrgzdazdsskg`s. F``fos

    gi Srfrksrkcs/ 69>618;%61::.

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    ksstdb j{ rmd Jfsdo Cgeekrrdd g` Jf`l Stxdzykskg` F `dq cfxkrfo fbdvtfc{

    izfedqgzl. Ngtz`fo gi Jf`lk`a f`b Ik`f`cd :4> 6166=4.

    \62U Cmdt`a/ [.Q. f`b L.S. Ofk/ 6;;3. Ik`krd%sfexod sk~ds gi Ngmf`sd`s okldokmggbzfrkg rdsrs igz cgk`rdazfrkg`. G}igzb Jtoodrk` gi Dcg`gekcs f`b Srfrksrkcs/ 44>

    363%3:=.

    \64U Cgbga`g/ O./ Ifydzg/ C.F. f`b F. Ekssfod/ :883. [kdob sxzdfbs g` DET agy%

    dz`ed`r jg`bs. Dcg`gekc Xgokc{/ 6=> 48343:.

    \69U Dnsk`a/ N. f`b Q. Odeld/ :866. Rmd nf`ts%mdfbdb sfoyfrkg`> Sgydzdka` f`b jf`l

    czdbkr zksl xzdekf btzk`a :88=%:88;. Dcg`gekcs Odrrdzs/ 668> :=36.

    \61U Dnsk`a/ N./ Odeld/ Q. f`b D. Efzafzkrgy/ :866. Sgydzdka` jg`b sxzdfbs f`b

    scfo it`bfed`rfos f zdfo%rkedek}db%izdvtd`c{ fxxzgfcm. ekedg.

    \6=U Dzkcssg`/ N. f`b G. Zd`ftor/ :889. Okvtkbkr{ f`b czdbkr zksl. Ngtz`fo gi Ik%

    `f`cd/ 96> ::6;%::48.

    \6;U Ifydzg/ C.F./ Xfaf`g/ E. f`b D.%O. yg` Rmfbbd`/ :868. Mgq bgds okvtkbkr{

    fdcr agydz`ed`r jg`b {kdobs7 Ngtz`fo gi Ik`f`ckfo f`b Vtf`rkrfrkyd F`fo{sks/

    24> 681%632.

    \:8U Idzzk/ A./ Okt/ O. f`b N.D. Srkaokr~/ 6;;;. Rmd xzgc{cokcfo zgod gi zfrk`a fad`ckds>

    Dykbd`cd izge rmd dfsr Fskf` czksks. Dcg`gekc @grds/ :=> 334344.

    \:6U Af`bd/ F. f`b B. Xfzsod{/ :884. @dqs sxkoogydzs k` rmd sgydzdka` bdjr efzldr.

    Ngtz`fo gi Ik`f`ckfo Dcg`gekcs/ 14> 9;6%132.

    \::U Adzofcm/ S./ Scmto~/ F. f`b A.J. Qgo/ :868. Jf`lk`a f`b sgydzdka` zksl k` rmd

    dtzg fzdf. CDXZ Bksctsskg` Xfxdz/ `. 1=33.

    \:3U Azf`adz/ C. Q. N./ :886. Sxtzkgts zdazdsskg`s k` dcg`gedrzkcs. K` F Cgexf`kg`

    rg Rmdgzdrkcfo Dcg`gedrzkcs/ db. J. Jforfak. Jofclqdoo Xtjoksmdzs/ :886.

    \:2U Azf`adz/ C.Q.N./ @. M{t`a/ f`b [. Ndg`/ :886. Sxtzkgts zdazdsskg`s qkrm srf%

    rkg`fz{ sdzkds/ Fxxokdb Dcg`gekcs/ 33> =;;%;82.

    :=

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    \:4U Mftam/ B./ Gookyftb/ X./ B. Rtz`dz/ :88;. Qmfr bzkyds sgydzdka` zksl xzdek%

    tes7 F` f`fo{sks gi zdcd r dykbd`cd izge rmd dtzg%fzdf. GDCB Dcg`gekcs

    Bdxfzred`r Qgzlk`a Xfxdzs/ @. 16=.

    \:9U Ksefkodsct/ N./ Lf~dek/ M. -:868+. Rmd zdfcrkg` gi dedzak`a efzldr czdbkr bd%

    iftor sqfx sxzdfbs rg sgydzdka` czdbkr zfrk`a cmf`ads. Ngtz`fo gi Jf`lk`a f`b

    Ik`f`cd/ 32> :=96%:=13.

    \:1U Lztsso/ Z. -:884+. Bg czdbkr zfrk`a fad`ckds fbb rg rmd b{`fekcs gi dedzak`a

    efzldr czksds7 Ngtz`fo gi Ik`f`ckfo Srfjkokr{/ 6> 344%3=4.

    \:=U Ngmf`sd`/ S./ 6;==. Srfrksrkcfo f`fo{sks gi cgk rdazfrk`a ydcrgzs. Ngtz`fo gi

    Dcg`gekc B{`fekcs f`b Cg`rzgo/ 6:>:36%42.

    \:;U Oftjfcm/ R. -:88;+. @dq dykbd`cd g` rmd k`rdzsr zfrd ddcrs gi jtbadr bdckrsf`b bdjr. Ngtz`fo gi rmd Dtzgxdf` Dcg`gekc Fssgckfrkg`/ 1> =4=%==4.

    \38U Og`asrf/ I. F./ :882. Rmd kamr rg okvtkbkr{ xzdekte k` T.S. Rzdfstz{ jg`b

    xzkcds. Ngtz`fo gi Jtsk`dss/ 11> 466%4:9.

    \36U EcCftod{/ Z.@. / 6;;;. Rmd dtzg f`b rmd okvtkbkr{ gi Dtzgxdf` }db k`cged

    efzldrs. JKS CAIS Xtjokcfrkg`/ `. 66.

    \3:U Ef`af`dook/ S. f`b A. Qgosqknl/ :88;. Qmfr bzkyds sxzdfbs k` rmd dtzg fzdf

    agydz`ed`r jg`b efzldr7 Dcg`gekc Xgokc{/ :2> 6;6%:28.

    \33U Eg igzr/ F./ f`b N.%X. Zd``d/ :866. Czdbkr f`b okvtkbkr{ zksls k` dtzg%fzdf

    sgydzdka` {kdob ctzyds. Jf`vtd bd Izf`cd Qgzlk`a Xfxdzs Sdzkds/ `. 34:.

    \32U Eg`rfoyg/ N.A./ 6;;4. Cgexfzk`a cgk`rdazfrk`a zdazdsskg` dsrkefrgzs> Sged

    fbbkrkg`fo Eg`rd Cfzog zdstors. Dcg`gekcs Odrrdzs/ 2=> ::;:32.

    \34U Egzf/ @./ :889. Sgydzdka` czdbkr zfrk`as> Atkor{ jd{g`b zdfsg`fjod bgtjr7/

    Ngtz`fo gi Jf`lk`a f`b Ik`f`cd/ 38> :826%:89:.

    \39U @dqd{/ Q.L. f`b L.B. Qdsr/ 6;=1. F skexod/ xgskrkyd sdek%bd krd/ mdr%

    dzgsldbfsrkckr{ f`b ftrgcgzzdofrkg` cg`sksrd`r cgyfzkf`cd efrzk}. Dcg`gedrzkcf/

    44> 18318=.

    \31U @a/ S. f`b X. Xdzzg`/ :886. Ofa od`arm sdodcrkg` f`b rmd cg`srztcrkg` gi t`kr

    zggr rdsrs qkrm aggb sk~d f`b xgqdz. Dcg`gedrzkcf/ 9;> 646;%6442.

    \3=U Xmkookxs/ X.C.J. f`b S. Gtokfzks/ 6;;8. Fs{exrgrkc xzgxdzrkds gi zdskbtfo jfsdb

    rdsrs igz cgk`rdazfrkg`. Dcg`gedrzkcf/ 4=> 6946;3.

    \3;U Xmkookxs/ X.C.J. f`b X. Xdzzg`/ 6;;=. Rdsrk`a igz f t`kr zggr k` rked sdzkdszdazdsskg`. Jkgedrzklf/ 14> 334329.

    :;

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    \28U Zdk mfzr/ C./ :88:. Bdiftor/ ctzzd`c{ czksks/ f`b sgydzdka` czdbkr zfrk`as.

    @JDZ Qgzlk`a Xfxdz Sdzkds/ `. =13=.

    \26U Zdksd / M. f`b Efor~f`/ N./ 6;;;. Jgge f`b jtsr f`b sgydzdka` zfrk`as. K`%

    rdz`frkg`fo Ik`f`cd/ :> :13%:;3.

    \2:U Sf`bdz/ M. f`b Lodkedkdz/ S./ :883. Cg rfakg` f`b cftsfokr{> f` dexkzkcfo

    k`ydsrkafrkg` gi igtz fskf` czksks dxksgbds. Ngtz`fo gi K`rdz`frkg`fo Ik`f`ckfo

    Efzldrs/ K`srkrtrkg`s f`b Eg`d{/ 63>6166=9.

    \23U Scmtl`dcmr/ O./ yg` Mfad`/ N./ f`b A. Qgosqknl/ :868. Agydz`ed r jg`b zksl

    xzdektes k` rmd DT zdykskrdb> Rmd kexfcr gi rmd `f`ckfo czksks. DCJ Qgzlk`a

    Xfxdz Sdzkds/ `. 664:.

    \22U Scmqfz~/ L/ :868. Ek b rmd afx> Bksd rf`aok`a czdbkr f`b okvtkbkr{ k` zkslsxzdfbs. Ekedg.

    \24U Srgcl/ N.M. f`b Qfrsg`/ E. 6;;3. F skexod dsrkefrgz gi cgk rdazfrk`a ydcrgzs

    k` mkamdz gzbdz k`rdazfrdb s{srdes. Dcg`gedrzkcf/ 96> 1=3%=:8.

    \29U S{/ F.@./ :882. Zfrk`a rmd zfrk`a fad`ckds> F`rkckxfrk a ctzzd`c{ czksks gz bdjr

    czksks7. Ngtz`fo gi Jf`lk`a f`b Ik`f`cd/ :=> :=24%:=91.

    38

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    36

    Ikatzd 6 Bdydogxed`rs k` 4 f`b 68%{dfz agydz`ed`r jg`b {kdobs f`b sxzdfbs

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    sgydzdka` bdjr czksks firdz rmd xfzokfed`rfz{ sxddcm j{ rmd Azddl xzked ek`ksrdz Adgzad Xfxf`bzdgt.

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    Ikatzd : Rmd Bdrdzek`f`rs gi Agydz`ed`r Jg`b [kdobs

  • 8/2/2019 The Euro Area Sovereign Debt Crisis

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    33

    Ikatzd 3 Rmd 68%{dfz Sxzdfbs f`b rmd Zdakg`fo Faazdafrd Zksl Ifcrgz

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    Sgtzcd> Joggejdza/ Zdtrdzs BfrfSrzdfe.

    @grds> Sfexod xdzkgb> 6 Sdx. :88= 2 Fta. :866.

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    32

    Ikatzd 2 Rmd Zdakg`fo ydzsts rmd K`rdz`frkg`fo Faazdafrd Zksl Ifcrgzs

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    34

    Ikatzd 4 Rmd 68%{dfz Sxzdfbs f`b rmd Agydz`ed`r Bdikckr k` Zdfo Rked

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    39

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    3=

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    3;

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    28

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    26

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    2:

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  • 8/2/2019 The Euro Area Sovereign Debt Crisis

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