the 18-23 year old population demographic trends

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The 18-23 Year Old The 18-23 Year Old Population Population Demographic Trends

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Page 1: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

The 18-23 Year Old The 18-23 Year Old PopulationPopulationDemographic Trends

Page 2: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

Population SizePopulation Size

Page 3: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

• 1980 -- 25.9 million

• 1995 -- 20.8 million

• 2010 -- 26.1 million (projected)

Population Aged 18-23: 1980 to 2010Population Aged 18-23: 1980 to 2010

Page 4: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

74%

10%

13%

1%

2%

WhiteBlackAmer. Ind.AsianHispanic

67%

14%

4%1%

14%

Population Aged 18-23, by Population Aged 18-23, by Race: United StatesRace: United States

1985 199523.8 million 20.8 million

Page 5: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

62%

17%

5%

1%

15%

67%

14%

14%

1%4%

WhiteBlackAmer. Ind.AsianHispanic

Population Aged 18-23, by Population Aged 18-23, by Race: United StatesRace: United States

2000 2010

22.8 million 26.1 million

Page 6: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

Population Aged 18-23: 2000 to Population Aged 18-23: 2000 to

20102010

20002002

20042006

20082010

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

Mill

ion

s

Year

Amer. Ind.

Asian

Hispanic

Black

White

Page 7: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

• The Hispanic population will grow faster than any other group.

• The White population’s share of this age group will decline.

• Hispanics will outnumber Blacks beginning in 2002.

Population Aged 18-23: 2000 to Population Aged 18-23: 2000 to

20102010

Page 8: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

Percent Non-Citizens Percent Non-Citizens Among Population Aged 18-24, by RaceAmong Population Aged 18-24, by Race

96 4

4340

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Per

cen

t

White Black Amer. Ind. Asian Hispanic

1997

Page 9: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

Region and RaceRegion and Race

Page 10: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

Population Aged 18-23, by Region: Population Aged 18-23, by Region: 19971997

*Alaska and Hawaii are included in figures for the West

West *• 23 percent

• 4.9 million

Midwest• 24 percent

• 5.1 million

South• 36 percent

• 7.8 million

Northeast• 17 percent

• 3.7 million

U.S. 21.5 million

Page 11: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

Population Aged 18-23, by Region: Population Aged 18-23, by Region: 20102010

*Alaska and Hawaii are included in figures for the West

West *• 25 percent

• 6.5 million

Midwest• 21 percent

• 5.6 million

South• 36 percent

• 9.3 million

Northeast• 18 percent

• 4.6 million

U.S. 26.1 million

Page 12: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

34%27%

19%20%

Population Aged 18-23,Population Aged 18-23,by Race and Region: 1997 and 2010by Race and Region: 1997 and 2010

55%

16%

11%

18%

19%

33%

19%

29%Northeast

Midw est

South

West19%

13%

18%

50%

White, 1997: 14.3 million

Asian, 1997: 0.8 million Asian, 2010: 1.3 million

White, 2010: 16.3 million

Page 13: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

15%

19%

57%

9%

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

Population Aged 18-23,Population Aged 18-23,by Race and Region: 1997 and 2010by Race and Region: 1997 and 2010

14%

8%

31%

47%

15%

8%

29%

48%

56%

19%

16%9%

Hispanic, 1997: 3.1 million Hispanic, 2010: 4.4 million

Black, 2010: 3.8 millionBlack, 1997: 3.1 million

Page 14: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

• Whites are more evenly spread throughout the United States than are other race groups.

• 57 percent of 18-23 year-old Blacks live in the South.

• 50 percent of 18-23 year-old Asians live in the West.

• 47 percent of 18-23 year-old Hispanics live in the West.

Population Aged 18-23, by Race and RegionPopulation Aged 18-23, by Race and Region

Page 15: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

White Population, Aged 18-23: 1997White Population, Aged 18-23: 1997

Page 16: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

Black Population, Aged 18-23: 1997Black Population, Aged 18-23: 1997

Page 17: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

Hispanic Population, Aged 18-23: Hispanic Population, Aged 18-23: 19971997

Page 18: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

Asian Population, Aged 18-23: 1997Asian Population, Aged 18-23: 1997

Page 19: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

American Indian Population, American Indian Population, Aged 18-23: 1997Aged 18-23: 1997

Page 20: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

Socioeconomic Socioeconomic CharacteristicsCharacteristics

Page 21: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

39%

24%

32%

5%

No Diploma

High School GraduateSome College

Bachelor's Degree

Population Aged 18-23,Population Aged 18-23,by Educational Attainment: 1998by Educational Attainment: 1998

Page 22: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

Population Aged 18-23, by High Population Aged 18-23, by High School Graduation Rate, Gender and School Graduation Rate, Gender and

RaceRace

1990 White Black Hispanic AsianMale 78% 64% 47% 79%Female 84% 73% 58% 80%

1998 White Black Hispanic AsianMale 78% 65% 50% 87%Female 83% 77% 62% 88%

Page 23: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

Unemployment Rate, by Age: Unemployment Rate, by Age: 1973 to 1998 1973 to 1998

0

5

10

15

20

25

1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998

Pe

rce

nt

Age 18-19

Age 20-24

Page 24: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

Population Aged 18-23,Population Aged 18-23,by School Enrollmentby School Enrollment

33% 57%

10%

Not in School

In High School

In College orUniversity

36%52%

12%

1990 1998

Page 25: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Pop

ulat

ion

in m

illio

ns

1990

1998

Population Aged 18-23 Not Enrolled in Population Aged 18-23 Not Enrolled in SchoolSchool

with a High School Degree Only, by with a High School Degree Only, by EarningsEarnings

Page 26: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

Civilian Population Aged 18-23 Living with a Civilian Population Aged 18-23 Living with a Veteran or Member of the Armed Forces, Veteran or Member of the Armed Forces,

by Race and Region: 1998by Race and Region: 1998

WhiteBlack

Hispanic

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Page 27: The 18-23 Year Old Population Demographic Trends

Population Aged 18-23: SummaryPopulation Aged 18-23: Summary

• Although this age group declined before 1995, it has increased since then and will continue to do so.

• Hispanics, primarily located in the South and West, are the fastest growing segment of this age group.

• Hispanics have high rates of non-citizenship and low high school completion rates.