the 18-23 year old population demographic trends
TRANSCRIPT
The 18-23 Year Old The 18-23 Year Old PopulationPopulationDemographic Trends
Population SizePopulation Size
• 1980 -- 25.9 million
• 1995 -- 20.8 million
• 2010 -- 26.1 million (projected)
Population Aged 18-23: 1980 to 2010Population Aged 18-23: 1980 to 2010
74%
10%
13%
1%
2%
WhiteBlackAmer. Ind.AsianHispanic
67%
14%
4%1%
14%
Population Aged 18-23, by Population Aged 18-23, by Race: United StatesRace: United States
1985 199523.8 million 20.8 million
62%
17%
5%
1%
15%
67%
14%
14%
1%4%
WhiteBlackAmer. Ind.AsianHispanic
Population Aged 18-23, by Population Aged 18-23, by Race: United StatesRace: United States
2000 2010
22.8 million 26.1 million
Population Aged 18-23: 2000 to Population Aged 18-23: 2000 to
20102010
20002002
20042006
20082010
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Mill
ion
s
Year
Amer. Ind.
Asian
Hispanic
Black
White
• The Hispanic population will grow faster than any other group.
• The White population’s share of this age group will decline.
• Hispanics will outnumber Blacks beginning in 2002.
Population Aged 18-23: 2000 to Population Aged 18-23: 2000 to
20102010
Percent Non-Citizens Percent Non-Citizens Among Population Aged 18-24, by RaceAmong Population Aged 18-24, by Race
96 4
4340
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Per
cen
t
White Black Amer. Ind. Asian Hispanic
1997
Region and RaceRegion and Race
Population Aged 18-23, by Region: Population Aged 18-23, by Region: 19971997
*Alaska and Hawaii are included in figures for the West
West *• 23 percent
• 4.9 million
Midwest• 24 percent
• 5.1 million
South• 36 percent
• 7.8 million
Northeast• 17 percent
• 3.7 million
U.S. 21.5 million
Population Aged 18-23, by Region: Population Aged 18-23, by Region: 20102010
*Alaska and Hawaii are included in figures for the West
West *• 25 percent
• 6.5 million
Midwest• 21 percent
• 5.6 million
South• 36 percent
• 9.3 million
Northeast• 18 percent
• 4.6 million
U.S. 26.1 million
34%27%
19%20%
Population Aged 18-23,Population Aged 18-23,by Race and Region: 1997 and 2010by Race and Region: 1997 and 2010
55%
16%
11%
18%
19%
33%
19%
29%Northeast
Midw est
South
West19%
13%
18%
50%
White, 1997: 14.3 million
Asian, 1997: 0.8 million Asian, 2010: 1.3 million
White, 2010: 16.3 million
15%
19%
57%
9%
Northeast
Midwest
South
West
Population Aged 18-23,Population Aged 18-23,by Race and Region: 1997 and 2010by Race and Region: 1997 and 2010
14%
8%
31%
47%
15%
8%
29%
48%
56%
19%
16%9%
Hispanic, 1997: 3.1 million Hispanic, 2010: 4.4 million
Black, 2010: 3.8 millionBlack, 1997: 3.1 million
• Whites are more evenly spread throughout the United States than are other race groups.
• 57 percent of 18-23 year-old Blacks live in the South.
• 50 percent of 18-23 year-old Asians live in the West.
• 47 percent of 18-23 year-old Hispanics live in the West.
Population Aged 18-23, by Race and RegionPopulation Aged 18-23, by Race and Region
White Population, Aged 18-23: 1997White Population, Aged 18-23: 1997
Black Population, Aged 18-23: 1997Black Population, Aged 18-23: 1997
Hispanic Population, Aged 18-23: Hispanic Population, Aged 18-23: 19971997
Asian Population, Aged 18-23: 1997Asian Population, Aged 18-23: 1997
American Indian Population, American Indian Population, Aged 18-23: 1997Aged 18-23: 1997
Socioeconomic Socioeconomic CharacteristicsCharacteristics
39%
24%
32%
5%
No Diploma
High School GraduateSome College
Bachelor's Degree
Population Aged 18-23,Population Aged 18-23,by Educational Attainment: 1998by Educational Attainment: 1998
Population Aged 18-23, by High Population Aged 18-23, by High School Graduation Rate, Gender and School Graduation Rate, Gender and
RaceRace
1990 White Black Hispanic AsianMale 78% 64% 47% 79%Female 84% 73% 58% 80%
1998 White Black Hispanic AsianMale 78% 65% 50% 87%Female 83% 77% 62% 88%
Unemployment Rate, by Age: Unemployment Rate, by Age: 1973 to 1998 1973 to 1998
0
5
10
15
20
25
1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998
Pe
rce
nt
Age 18-19
Age 20-24
Population Aged 18-23,Population Aged 18-23,by School Enrollmentby School Enrollment
33% 57%
10%
Not in School
In High School
In College orUniversity
36%52%
12%
1990 1998
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
Pop
ulat
ion
in m
illio
ns
1990
1998
Population Aged 18-23 Not Enrolled in Population Aged 18-23 Not Enrolled in SchoolSchool
with a High School Degree Only, by with a High School Degree Only, by EarningsEarnings
Civilian Population Aged 18-23 Living with a Civilian Population Aged 18-23 Living with a Veteran or Member of the Armed Forces, Veteran or Member of the Armed Forces,
by Race and Region: 1998by Race and Region: 1998
WhiteBlack
Hispanic
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Population Aged 18-23: SummaryPopulation Aged 18-23: Summary
• Although this age group declined before 1995, it has increased since then and will continue to do so.
• Hispanics, primarily located in the South and West, are the fastest growing segment of this age group.
• Hispanics have high rates of non-citizenship and low high school completion rates.