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Survey of South Sudan Public Opinion April 24 to May 22, 2013

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Survey of South Sudan Public Opinion April 24 to May 22, 2013

Survey Methodology

• The International Republican Institute (IRI) undertook a public opinion poll in all 10 states of South Sudan. Training of the poll researchers was performed by Opinion Research Business (ORB), an international opinion research firm. Fieldwork management, analysis, supervision and execution were done by IRI under critical guidance of ORB.

• Data was collected via face-to-face interviews from April 24 – May 22, 2013.

• The population studied was adults ages 18 and older. A representative random sample was designed based on the latest population estimates reported in the 2010 Statistical Yearbook for South Sudan.

• The survey employed probability proportional to size (PPS) sampling methodology. The population of South Sudan was stratified first at the region level and then by the state level. Within each state, IRI and ORB then selected counties. This was done by creating a multi-stage probability sample. Enumeration areas within each county were selected using PPS; households within each enumeration area were then identified using a random walk method, the days code and a skip pattern; respondents were randomly chosen within households using a Kish grid. Every other interview was conducted with a female to try to achieve 50 percent gender parity.

• The questionnaire was translated into Bari, Classical Arabic, Dinka, English, Juba Arabic and Nuer (portions of the questionnaire were orally translated into other languages by the interviewer).

2

Survey Methodology

• The margin of error is +/- 1.9 percent. The margin of error for subsets (i.e. age/education/tribes/ etc.) is significantly higher and should be treated as indicative only.

• This report contains South Sudan’s data from IRI's September 2011 poll and IRI’s Equatoria May/June 2012 poll to provide comparison. The margin of error for the September 2011 and May/June 2012 data is +/- 2.1 percent and +/- 2.5 percent, respectively, unless otherwise stated.

• The overall response rate (defined as the number of successful interviews divided by eligible houses visited) is 74 percent. To complete 2,533 interviews, 3,422 households were contacted.

• Due to rounding and multiple response questions, not all percentages add up to 100. Unless otherwise stated, all questions n=2,533. Because the survey met key demographic indicators (county/state) and quotas (gender), no weighting was necessary during data analysis.

• The poll was conducted with funding from the U.S. Agency for International Development.

• The Institute acknowledges the helpful support of the South Sudan National Bureau of Statistics and the Government of the Republic of South Sudan during the process of this survey. The Institute also acknowledges the contributions from the following individuals throughout this project: Alfred Lokuji, University of Juba; Augustino Ting, The Sudd Institute; Leben Nelson Moro, University of Juba; Merekaje Lorna, South Sudan Democratic Engagement Monitoring and Observation Project; Samson Wasara, University of Juba; Stephen Omiri, Eye Radio Media Group; and Zahra Said, South Sudan Network for Democracy and Elections.

3

Survey Methodology

4

Region/State Sample Size Percent Margin of Error

Equatoria 782 31% 3.5

Central Equatoria 335 13% 5.4

Eastern Equatoria 272 11% 5.9

Western Equatoria 175 7% 7.4

Upper Nile 888 35% 3.3

Jonglei 408 16% 4.9

Unity 176 7% 7.4

Upper Nile 304 12% 5.6

Bahr el Ghazal 863 34% 3.5

Lakes 224 9% 6.6

Northern Bahr el Ghazal 224 9% 6.6

Warrap 304 12% 5.6

Western Bahr el Ghazal 111 4% 9.3

TOTAL 2,533 100% 1.9

General Environment

5

6

Do you feel that South Sudan is generally heading in the right direction or the wrong direction?

National By region

Region Year Right

direction Wrong

direction

Equatoria May-13 44% 54%

May-12 49% 50%

Sept-11 54% 45%

Change -10%

Upper Nile May-13 34% 65%

Sept-11 46% 52%

Change -12%

Bahr el Ghazal May-13 64% 35%

Sept-11 73% 26%

Change -9%

56% 47%

42% 52%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Sept 2011 May 2013

Right direction Wrong direction

Why do you say that South Sudan is heading in the right direction? Open-ended, top 10 responses, n=1,201

7

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

4%

4%

6%

65%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Independence / separation / freedom

Education

Management of the economy

Infrastructure / roads

Communications

Crime and security

Transportation

Water supply

Democracy / political rights

Health

Why do you say that South Sudan is heading in the wrong direction? Open-ended, top 10 responses, n=1,310

8

4%

5%

5%

5%

5%

6%

9%

12%

14%

15%

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16%

Crime and security

Food shortage / famine

Poverty / destitution

Infrastructure / roads

Health

Unemployment

Water supply

Corruption

Political instability / political divisions/ ethnic tensions

Management of the economy

9

Would you say your life today is better, worse or about the same as it was before Independence?

12%

20%

52%

11%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Much better Better Worse Much worse

10%

15%

10%

46%

49%

60%

20%

22%

17%

18%

8%

5%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Upper Nile

Bahr el Ghazal

Equatoria

National By region

52%

11%

12%

20%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

What do you think is the most important problem facing this country? Open-ended, top 10 responses

10

3%

7%

5%

9%

7%

8%

5%

5%

9%

8%

4%

5%

5%

6%

6%

7%

8%

8%

11%

11%

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%

Unemployment

Water supply

Corruption

Health

Education

Infrastructure / roads

Political instability / political divisions / ethnictensions

Poverty / destitution

Food shortage / famine

Crime and security

First response

Second response

What do you think is the most important problem facing this country? Open-ended, top 10 responses, tracked from 2011

11

4%

4%

5%

6%

6%

7%

7%

8%

11%

11%

5%

5%

4%

11%

9%

7%

6%

2%

10%

11%

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%

Unemployment

Water supply

Corruption

Health

Education

Infrastructure / roads

Political instability / political divisions / ethnictensions

Poverty / destitution

Food shortage / famine

Crime and security

Sept 2011

May 2013

What do you think is the biggest issue or concern that most impacts your daily life or family?

Open-Ended, top 10 responses

12

3%

3%

4%

8%

8%

9%

6%

13%

8%

13%

3%

3%

4%

6%

6%

7%

7%

7%

11%

28%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Wages / incomes / salaries

Farming / agriculture

Crime and security

Education

Water supply

Health

Unemployment

Sickness / disease

Poverty / destitution

Food shortage / famine

First response

Second response

What do you think is the next biggest issue or concern that most impacts your daily life or family?

Open-ended, top 10 responses, tracked from 2011

13

3%

3%

4%

6%

6%

7%

7%

7%

11%

28%

4%

3%

5%

9%

4%

11%

10%

5%

7%

19%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Wages / incomes / salaries

Farming / agriculture

Crime and security

Education

Water supply

Health

Unemployment

Sickness / disease

Poverty / destitution

Food shortage / famine

Sept 2011

May 2013

For each of the following issues, do you think the situation has gotten better, worse or stayed the same over the past year?

14

1%

3%

3%

9%

13%

10%

19%

27%

33%

36%

19%

21%

19%

17%

12%

29%

28%

25%

16%

18%

30%

28%

15%

16%

20%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Government corruption

Delivery of basic services

Relations with Sudan (Khartoum)

Freedom of speech and expression

Security (war, tribal conflict, etc.)

Much better

Better

Same

Worse

Much worse

Economy

15

16

Do you feel that the economy of South Sudan is generally heading in the right direction or the wrong direction?

16%

21%

27%

82%

75%

70%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Upper Nile

Equatoria

Bahr el Ghazal

National By region

21%

76%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Right direction Wrong direction

17

Why do you say that the economy of South Sudan is heading in the right/wrong direction? Top nine responses

Right direction (n=541) Wrong direction (n=1,917)

Trade, availability of

goods 20% Resource

management 10%

Oil, 10%

Inflation, 10%

Development, 8%

Security, 5%

Employment, 4%

Infrastructure, 4%

Stability, independence,

peace, 29% Inflation, 30%

Poverty, 20%

Resource management,

15%

Infrastructure, 10%

Trade, availability of

goods, 7%

Security, 6%

Oil shutdown,

6%

No development,

4%

Un-employment,

3%

18

Thinking about your local market, do you think there will be…six months

from now?

Thinking about your local market, do you think that goods will be…six

months from now?

71%

21%

5% 0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

More expensive Less expensive

About the same price

60%

28%

7% 0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Less goods More goods About the same

19

Thinking about the amount of money your family spends per month, please tell me

which of the following phrases best suites your household situation?

Do you think your household will have more income, less income or about the

same amount of income six months from now?

80%

13%

5% 1% 0.4%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Unable to meet basic needs

Able to meet basic needs

Able to meet basic needs with some non-essential goods

Able to purchase most non-essential goods

Plenty of disposable money

13%

29%

48%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Less income About the same More income

20

Did you support the national government’s decision to stop oil production in January

2012?

Do you think the shutdown had a significant effect on your life?

44%

53% Yes

No

82% 16%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Yes No

Do you think your life will improve when oil production resumes?

90% 7%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

42% 43% 46%

54% 53% 51%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Equatoria Bahr el Ghazal Upper Nile

Yes

No

By region

Service Delivery

21

Various development projects or programs are being implemented in different areas of the country. In the past year, have you heard of any project or

program in this location for the following?

22

36%

46%

53%

56%

61%

62%

62%

53%

47%

42%

39%

37%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Agricultural services (provision of seeds, training)

Building roads and bridges

Health services

Disarmament

Water for drinking (building boreholes)

Education (school opening, teachers)

Yes No

Who do you think was primarily responsible for providing that project? Local government, state government, national government, foreign organizations or

somebody else?

23

Local Gov’t State Gov’t Nat. Gov’t Foreign Orgs Community

Disarmament (n = 1,157) 4% 20% 68% 4% <0%

Education (school opening, teachers) (n = 1,536)

6% 29% 32% 24% 3%

Water for drinking (building boreholes) (n = 1,337)

4% 17% 19% 52% 2%

Agricultural services (provision of seeds, training) (n = 1,568)

3% 12% 19% 56% 2%

Health services (n = 1,414) 3% 18% 24% 44% 1%

Building roads and bridges (n = 920)

6% 23% 38% 21% 2%

For projects or programs that are being implemented by other countries, which country do you think has provided the most assistance towards those projects

or programs in this location? Top eight responses

24

2%

2%

3%

4%

7%

9%

31%

36%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Don’t Know

United States

No Response

Uganda

Kenya

Norway

South Sudan

United Kingdom

How satisfied are you with the performance of the national government in the following areas?

25

4%

4%

4%

7%

6%

13%

10%

12%

17%

17%

26%

28%

31%

32%

39%

41%

42%

26%

44%

50%

39%

34%

26%

31%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Fighting corruption

Reducing hunger

Improving the healthcare system

Building roads and bridges

Providing education

Reducing conflict and insecurity

Very satisfied Satisfied Not satisfied Not at all satisfied

26

Have you ever heard about the Constituency Development Fund (CDF)?*

26%

68%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Yes No

National By region

32%

26%

22%

66%

68%

72%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Equatoria

Upper Nile

Bahr el Ghazal

*The CDF is a government program signed into law in 2007 that designates three percent of government revenue to be shared equally between all constituencies each year.

45% 50%

Yes No

27

Are you aware of any CDF projects in your area? n=669

36%

44%

58%

60%

48%

38%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Equatoria

Upper Nile

Bahr el Ghazal

National By region

28

Please tell me whether you strongly agree, agree, disagree or strongly disagree with the following statements.

The CDF in my constituency is managed in a

transparent and open way. n=669

The CDF has had a large impact on my constituency. n=669

17%

27%

19%

24%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Agree Disagree

28% 26%

18% 19%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Agree Disagree

Strongly agree Agree Disagree Strongly disagree

Attitudes Towards

Government

29

Now, I’m going to read you a list of institutions and individuals. For each one, please tell me whether you think very favorably, favorably, unfavorably or very unfavorably about

them.

30

13%

15%

14%

17%

24%

24%

27%

19%

22%

42%

32%

32%

50%

59%

24%

36%

38%

36%

34%

34%

33%

41%

41%

29%

40%

45%

32%

28%

21%

20%

23%

20%

20%

18%

20%

13%

18%

13%

14%

14%

9%

7%

16%

9%

10%

11%

16%

7%

11%

7%

8%

13%

8%

6%

5%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Opposition political parties

The National Legislature

Your state’s assembly

Your member of parliament

Your state’s governor

Women politicians

Vice President (Riek Machar)

Speaker of National Legislative Assembly (Wani Igga)

Judges and the courts

President (Salva Kiir)

County commissioners

The police

South Sudan Armed Forces (SPLA)

Your chief / tribal leader

Very favorably Favorably Unfavorably Very unfavorably

Now, I’m going to read you a list of institutions and individuals. For each one, please tell me whether you think very favorably, favorably, unfavorably or very unfavorably about

them.

The President (Salva Kiir), tracked from 2011

31

Region Year Favorably and very favorably

Equatoria May 2013 65%

Sept 2011 80%

Bahr el Ghazal May 2013 94%

Sept 2011 96%

Upper Nile May 2013 52%

Sept 2011 73%

National By region

42% 50%

29%

32%

13%

10% 13%

4%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

May 2013 Sept 2011

Very favorably Favorably

Unfavorably Very unfavorably

32

Now I am going to read you two statements. Please tell me whether you strongly agree, agree, disagree or strongly disagree with each of them.

I don’t think the government cares much about what people like me think.

It is generally not acceptable to talk negatively about the government in public.

42%

8%

29%

17%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Agree Disagree

30%

15%

28%

22%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Agree Disagree

Strongly agree Agree Disagree Strongly disagree

33

How safe do you feel to speak openly about your ideas in public?

16% 18%

30% 31%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Safe Not safe

Very safe Not at all safe Not safe Safe

19%

15%

13%

18%

34%

39%

27%

31%

35%

30%

11%

11%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Upper Nile

Bahr el Ghazal

Equatoria

National By region

34

How familiar are you with the idea of democracy?

In your opinion, how much of a democracy is South Sudan today?

n=1,503

Very familiar,

26%

Partly familiar,

22% Not really familiar,

11%

Not at all familiar,

29%

Don’t know, 11%

7%

10%

19%

21%

44%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%A democracy, with major problems

A democracy, but with minor problems

Not a democracy

A full democracy

No response / don't know

Country Perceptions

35

Now, I’m going to read you a list of countries. For each one, please tell me whether you think very favorably, favorably, unfavorably or very unfavorably

about them.

36

3%

6%

8%

6%

13%

24%

19%

28%

26%

34%

33%

59%

12%

24%

22%

29%

33%

29%

36%

34%

37%

43%

45%

23%

15%

17%

21%

19%

11%

5%

7%

6%

11%

6%

6%

4%

30%

17%

40%

18%

11%

2%

5%

3%

7%

6%

4%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Somalia

Eritrea

Sudan (Khartoum)

Egypt

China

Norway

South Africa

United Kingdom

Ethiopia

Uganda

Kenya

United States

Very favorably Favorably Unfavorably Very unfavorably

Peace and Security

37

38

In some areas of South Sudan, violence is a major concern for people. What type of violence concerns you the most in your daily life?

Equatoria

Upper Nile

Bahr el Ghazal

Cattle raiding 23% 48% 29%

Local crime 23% 12% 14%

Domestic crime 13% 8% 9%

Conflict between two parties or ethnic groups

12% 18% 22%

I am not affected by any kind of violence

8% 1% 6%

Gender violence 5% 3% 5%

Invasion from foreign armies

5% 2% 6%

Armed militias or terrorists

5% 8% 8%

Land grabbing 1% 0% 0%

National, tracked from 2011 By region

4%

4%

5%

7%

10%

16%

18%

34%

2%

5%

5%

12%

7%

23%

19%

25%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Invasion from foreignarmies

Gender violence

I am not affected by anykind of violence

Armed militias or terrorists

Domestic crime

Local crime

Conflict between twoparties or ethnic groups

Cattle raiding

Sept 2011 May 2013

39

Do you think South Sudan should improve relations with Sudan

(Khartoum)?

How satisfied are you with the government’s efforts to…

50%

42%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

No Yes

13%

24%

33%

46%

24%

18%

16%

6%

11%

1%

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Resolve localconflicts in

different areas ofthe country

Improve relationswith Sudan?

(Filtered, n=1,072)

Very satisfiedSatisfiedNot satisfiedNot at all satisfied

How much trust do you have in the following security forces?

40

47%

66%

31%

19%

15%

9%

6%

5%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

South Sudan Police Service

SPLA

A lot of trust Some trust Little trust No trust at all

Attitudes Towards Women

41

42

Compared to men, do you think women living in your country have more, less or equal rights?

15% 17%

66% 62%

17% 20%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Female Male

Equal rights More rights Less rights

64%

18% 16%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

National By gender

Do you think that political leadership positions should be mostly filled by men, mostly by women or split between men and women?

43

5%

27%

67%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Mostly filled by women

Mostly filled by men

Split between men and women

How much do you agree or disagree with the following statements?

44

Strongly agree Strongly disagree Agree Disagree

53%

57%

55%

21%

21%

20%

14%

13%

12%

12%

8%

12%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

All women should be given equal access to own land likemen.

A widow should have the right of inheritance withoutbeing disturbed by her brothers-in-law.

It is a problem when a woman is married without herconsent.

At what age should it be acceptable to get married? Top nine responses

45

31%

23%

8% 7% 6%

6% 4%

3% 2%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

18 20 25 19 15 17 16 22 21

Constitutional Development

46

61%

59%

56%

29%

27%

25%

3%

5%

3%

2%

3%

2%

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Equatoria

Upper Nile

Bahr el Ghazal

None of these Heard Read Seen

47

Have you ever read, seen or heard about the Transitional Constitution of the Republic of South Sudan?

59%

27%

4% 3%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

National By region

48

Thinking about current political developments in Juba, how much have you heard about…

Region Political

development A lot Some

A little

Nothing

Equatoria Constitutional

process 8% 12% 14% 59%

NCRC 8% 9% 12% 64%

Upper Nile Constitutional

process 11% 10% 16% 53%

NCRC 10% 10% 15% 54%

Bahr el Ghazal

Constitutional process

8% 10% 11% 56%

NCRC 7% 7% 9% 60%

National By region

59% 56%

12% 14%

9% 11%

8% 9%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

The NationalConstitutional

ReviewCommission

(NCRC)?

The nationalconstitutional

process to draft apermanent

constitution forSouth Sudan?

A lot

Some

A little

Nothing

Our country will spend the next two years drafting a permanent constitution, a document that establishes the rules and regulations that will govern the nation. Who do you think is the most

important body to consult for the development of our constitution?

49

9%

9%

10%

11%

14%

27%

15%

2%

2%

3%

4%

13%

20%

49%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Academics

Civil society

Elders

Church leaders

Traditional leaders

Government officials

Citizens

Most important

Second most important

50

Do you think our constitution should be adopted through a…

Neither of the above,

2%

Vote by the National

Legislature and

signature by

president, 21%

Vote by citizens,

70%

77%

64%

68%

18%

28%

17%

2%

3%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Equatoria

Upper Nile

Bahr el Ghazal

Vote by citizens

Vote by the National Legislature and signature bypresident

Neither of the above

National By region

Constitutional Issues

51

What do you think should be the official language or languages of South Sudan?

52

53%

30%

11%

2% 1% 1% 0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

English only English and Arabic Local language English and local laguage Arabic only Others

53

How much do you agree or disagree with the following statements?

Strongly agree, 56%

Agree, 29%

Strongly disagree,

7%

Disagree, 8%

People of all religions should be treated equally.

Strongly agree, 33%

Agree, 34%

Strongly disagree,

12%

Disagree, 11%

Opposition political parties should be allowed to speak out to citizens in public.

54

In your opinion, should the President of South Sudan have the power to remove from office….in the event of crisis?

65%

29%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

49%

43%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Yes No

Your state governor Your state assembly

In your opinion….

55

Yes, 55%

No, 36%

Should the National Legislature have the power to remove from office the president in the event of a crisis?

Yes, 56%

No, 35%

Should your state legislature have the power to remove from office your governor in the event of a crisis?

Yes, 25%

No, 68%

Should a current member of parliament have the right to hold another government position at the same time?

34%

36%

49%

17%

31%

24%

13%

20%

16%

34%

12%

9%

0% 50% 100%

Upper Nile

Equatoria

Bahr el Ghazal

Strongly support Support Oppose Strongly oppose

56

Do you support or oppose the death penalty for murder?

40%

24%

19%

16%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

National By region

Would you prefer the following to be handled in the traditional courts, the government courts, neither or both?

57

Traditional courts

Government courts Neither Both

Rape 29% 57% 2% 12%

Defilement 21% 68% 2% 9%

Tribal conflict 23% 62% 2% 13%

Murder 12% 77% 1% 9%

Marriage / divorce 63% 20% 2% 14%

Small theft 62% 26% 4% 8%

Large theft 13% 74% 2% 11%

Land dispute 26% 53% 2% 17%

Political Parties

58

59

How satisfied are you with Sudan People’s Liberation Movement’s (SPLM) performance as the ruling party?

Very satisfied Not at all satisfied Unsatisfied Satisfied

Region Year Satisfied Not

Satisfied

Equatoria May-13 77% 22%

May-12 73% 25%

Sept-11 75% 20%

Change 1%

Upper Nile May-13 49% 47%

Sept-11 51% 42%

Change -2%

Bahr el Ghazal May-13 80% 16%

Sept-11 80% 16%

Change 0%

National By region

30% 35%

37% 33%

7%

18%

20%

11%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Sept 2011 May 2013

60

Why do you say that (you are satisfied/not satisfied) with the SPLM’s performance?

Satisfied, top four responses (n=1,724)

Not satisfied, top five responses (n=720)

Corruption 48%

Security 29%

Development 14%

Governance 7%

Economy 6%

Peace / independence

70%

Security 10%

Development 10%

Governance 8%

How favorable are you towards the following political parties? For each one, please tell me whether you think very favorably, favorably, unfavorably or very

unfavorably about them.

61

3%

3%

4%

3%

3%

4%

3%

3%

4%

4%

45%

6%

5%

6%

7%

8%

7%

8%

8%

9%

11%

34%

13%

13%

11%

15%

11%

12%

12%

13%

13%

16%

9%

31%

14%

14%

13%

14%

14%

14%

14%

20%

13%

7%

45%

60%

61%

57%

61%

59%

58%

59%

50%

54%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

National Congress Party

United Democratic Salvation Front-Mainstream

United South Sudan Party

United Democratic Salvation Front

United Sudan African Party (USAP)

South Sudan Democratic Forum (SSDF)

African National Congress (ANC)

Sudan African National Union (SANU)

Sudan People's Liberation Movement-Democratic Change (SPLM-DC)

United Democratic Front (UDF)

SPLM

Very favorably Favorably Unfavorably Very unfavorably Don’t Know

62

If a presidential election were held today, would you most likely vote for a candidate from the SPLM or another political party?

67%

19%

7% 4%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

SPLM Don’t know Another political party

I will not vote

51%

72%

79%

30%

17%

9%

7%

4%

2%

8%

6%

8%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Upper Nile

Equatoria

Bahr el Ghazal

National By region

63

Do you think political parties in South Sudan represent the needs of….

In your opinion, how often do political parties represent the views of

citizens?

14%

16%

23%

33%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Most of the time

All the time

Never

Some of the time

The needs of the

country as a whole,

33%

Tribal interests,

21%

Interest of elites / leaders,

16%

Corporate interests,

11%

Regional / state

interests, 6%

64

Are you a member of a political party? If you are a member of a political party, which party?

Open-ended, top six responses (n=961)

Yes, 38%

No, 61%

32%

38%

44%

66%

58%

55%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Equatoria

Upper Nile

Bahr el Ghazal

National

By region

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

93%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

ANC

SSDF

USAP

No response

SPLM-DC

SPLM

65

Do you feel there is at least one political party that represents your

views? (n=1,506)

If you feel there is at least one political party that represents your views,

which party is it?

1%

2%

2%

4%

10%

73%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

UDF

DUP

SANU

SPLM-DC

ANC

SPLM

Open-ended, top six responses (n=621)

Yes, 41%

No, 41%

No response,

8%

Don't know, 10%

Demographics

66

Gender, Age, Education and Religion

67

44%

31%

17%

7% 0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

18-29 30-39 40-51 52 andolder

Age

49%

28%

16% 2% 1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Education

No schooling

Only primaryschool

Only secondaryschool

University school

Still in university

51% 49%

Gender

Male

Female

Religion Percentage

Christian (Unspecified) 38%

Catholic 27%

Protestant 13%

Episcopalian Church of Sudan 9%

Traditional 7%

Muslim 2%

Non-religious 1%

Seventh Day Adventist 1%

Jehovah Witness 1%

African Inland Church 1%

Evangelist <1%

Baptist <1%

Which of the following statements most applies to you? Tracked from 2011

68

3%

7%

22%

24%

42%

3%

6%

18%

23%

49%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

I consider myself only as (TRIBE).

I feel more (TRIBE) than South Sudanese.

I feel as much South Sudanese as (TRIBE).

I feel more South Sudanese than (TRIBE).

I consider myself only as South Sudanese.

Sept 2011

May 2013

What is your present occupation? Top 10 responses

69

2%

2%

2%

2%

5%

5%

10%

10%

10%

18%

30%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Academic / teachers

Nongovernmental organization worker

Community leader

SPLA / military / police/ security

Civil servant / government

Herder

Student

Unemployed

Self-employed (small business)

Housewife / homemaker

Farmer

70

What is your primary source of news and information?

Upper Nile

Bahr el Ghazal

Equatoria

Radio 43% 48% 63%

Word of mouth 39% 34% 13%

Community meetings (village / tribal chief)

5% 7% 15%

Television 3% 1% 1%

SMS / cell phone 2% 1% 1%

Church / mosque 2% 2% 5%

Internet 2% 0% 0%

Newspapers 1% 1% 1%

National, tracked from 2011 By region

1%

1%

1%

2%

3%

9%

29%

51%

2%

2%

2%

4%

7%

16%

61%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Newspapers

Internet

SMS / cell phone

Television

Church / mosque

Community meetings(village / tribal chief)

Word of mouth

Radio

Sept 2011 May 2013

Which radio station do you listen to most often for news and information? Open Ended, top 11 responses

71

National Equatoria Upper Nile Bahr el Ghazal

Miraya FM 47% Miraya FM 42% Miraya FM 62% Miraya FM 38%

BBC 6% Voice of Kajo Keji 12% BBC 10% Rumbek FM 17%

Rumbek FM 5% Radio Juba 10% Radio Jonglei 7% Kwajok FM 10%

Voice of Kajo Keji 4% Yambio FM 7% Bentiu FM 4% Nyomlau FM 8%

Radio Juba 4% BBC 5% Radio Malakal 3% Mayardit FM 7%

Kwajok FM 3% Voice of Freedom 4% Naath FM 3% Weerbei FM 7%

Nyomlau FM 3% Emmanuel FM 3% Eye Radio 3% Good News FM 5%

Yambio FM 2% Yei Spirit FM 3% SS TV 3% BBC 4%

Mayardit FM 2% Grace FM 2% Nasir FM 2% Voice of Hope 1%

Radio Jonglei 2% Anisa FM 2% Sout al Mahabba 1% Wanjok FM 1%

Weerbei FM 2% Eye Radio 2% Radio Juba <1% Wau FM <1%

How often do you get your news and information from the following sources? Tracked from 2011

72

Year Never Less than once a

month A few times a

week Every day

Radio May 2013 42% 4% 19% 33%

Sept 2011 28% 4% 16% 48%

Television May 2013 87% 4% 5% 3%

Sept 2011 69% 5% 12% 8%

Newspapers May 2013 87% 4% 5% 1%

Sept 2011 73% 7% 8% 4%

SMS / cell phone May 2013 80% 3% 7% 6%

Sept 2011 62% 5% 9% 17%

Internet May 2013 88% 2% 3% 2%

Sept 2011 82% 4% 4% 3%

73

Do you own a mobile phone?

Yes No

32%

67%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

38%

33%

27%

62%

67%

73%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Equatoria

Upper Nile

Bahr el Ghazal

National By region