supplements – hlhow low can you go? - university of...
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Supplements H l ?– How low can you go?
John RochePrincipal Scientist, Animal SciencePrincipal Scientist, Animal ScienceManaging Director, Down to Earth Advice Ltd.
Annual meeting of single, good looking, straight, emotionally stable, financially-secure nutritionists aiming to make you money, y g y y
How low can you go?How low can you go?
How low can you go?How low can you go?
“It all depends on the point of viewIt all depends on the point of viewand who tells the story!”
-Aesop Maxim
Are youAre you
• A vet/animal scientistA vet/animal scientist─All about cow efficiency
• A farmer driven by vanity and what others thinky y─My herd average production must be greater than X
• Profit-focussed farmer but loves cows─Operating profit/acre important but cow focussed
• A pragmatic, profit-focussed farmerCost of production Operating profit/acre and ROA─Cost of production, Operating profit/acre and ROA focussed
Why feed supplementsWhy feed supplements• Increase milk productionp
─Dilution of maintenance and increased productivity
• Reduce BCS loss/increase BCS gain─BCS important for getting cows in calf
• Get more cows in-calfP t t ffi i t ►S l t i DMI─Pasture not sufficient ►Supplements increase DMI
• Not enough pasture─Genuine feed restrictionGenuine feed restriction
“About almost anyysubject, there are the facts‘everyone knows’ andthen there are the realthen there are the realones”ones
-Ernest G. Ross
Supplements and milk production
The older I get, the better I was!
Starch
Fibre
Carbohydrate Metabolism
Fibre Non-fibre
But, what about the “whoof” factor
The “whoof” factor!
Urea VFA Energy
Feed: ProteinFeed: ProteinCH2O NH3, AA,
peptidesCH2O
peptides
Microbial proteinEscape
feed protein
“Whoof” factor = speed of CH2O release
Carbohydrate %/hrCorn 10 to 20Barley 20 to 30Wheat 35 to 45
High quality 12 to 16Pasture
Molasses 250+
Sniffen et al., 1992; Kolver, 1997
“Whoof” factor = speed of CH2O release
Carbohydrate %/hr Protein %/hrCorn 10 to 20Barley 20 to 30
Rapid 250+
Wheat 35 to 45
High quality 12 to 16Pasture
Slow 20 to 25
Molasses 250+
Sniffen et al., 1992; Kolver, 1997
• 100% pasture or 85% pasture +15% supplement─Replacement (Isoenergetic)
OrOr• 100% pasture +10-15% supplement
Extra─Extra
• No increase in efficiency of ruminal N utilisation.• No increase in microbial protein• No increase in microbial protein.
Pasture Conc Replace Conc ExtraPasture Conc. Replace Conc. Extra
Milk, lb/d 48.2 47.5 49.3
Fat % 4 74 4 51 4 46
Experiment 1Fat, % 4.74 4.51 4.46
Protein, % 3.37 3.39 3.42
Pasture Conc. Replace Conc. Extra
Milk, lb/d 22.7 24.0 25.5Experiment 2Fat, % 5.08 4.83 4.80
Protein, % 3.53 3.51 3.55
p
• Isoenergetic diets─Replaced pasture energy with concentrate energy (12.5 lb/d)p p gy gy ( )
Pasture Concentrates
NEL Intake, MCal/d 12 12
Milk, lb/d 50.4 53.2
Fat, % 4.99 4.40
Protein, % 3.48 3.53
Supply and DemandF d P t iFeed Protein Urine,
MilkUrea
NH3, AA,
MicrobialCH2OEscape
f d t i
3peptides AA synthesis
Protein turnoverMicrobial protein
AA oxidationGluconeogenesis Protein synthesis
feed protein
ExportyAA use
EndogenousTissues
Rumenpo
Endogenous protein
Undigested
CH2O
Digested Protein
AA
Large IntestinegProteinSmall Intestine
Courtesy of M.B. Hall, 2007
Supplements only increase milk production if theymilk production if they increase energy intake.
There is nothing magicalThere is nothing magical happening.
Let’s assume energy intake is i dincreased.
What is the milk production response to supplements?response to supplements?
Ruakura Farmers Conference, 1999
Farms stocked at 1.8 cows/ac
1.17 lb milk/lb fed
1.17 lb milk/lb fed
Multiyear project → System response (BCS included)• 929, 2,002, or 3,807 lb concentrates/yeary• 14,000 to 18,000 lb milk/cow/year
• Medium Merit = 0.6 to 0.7 lb milk/lb concentrates fed
• High Merit = 0.8 to 1.0 lb milk/lb concentrates fedg
• High Merit and Low merit cows• 1 6 or 12 lb concentrates/cow/d1, 6 or 12 lb concentrates/cow/d
• Medium merit response = 0.90 lb milk/lb concentrates fed
• High merit response = 0.95 lb milk/lb concentrates fed
• NA-type HF and NZ HF cows• either 900 or 3 600 lb/coweither 900 or 3,600 lb/cow
• NA HF response = 0.99 lb milk/lb concentrates fed
• NZ HF response = 0.51 lb milk/lb concentrates fed
• NA HF and NZ HF cows•0 2076 or 4 077 lb/cow0, 2076, or 4,077 lb/cow•0, 7, or 14lb/cow/d
NA HF 1 1 lb ilk/lb t t f d• NA HF response = 1.1 lb milk/lb concentrates fed0.8 lb milk/lb concentrates fed
• NZ HF response = 0 8 lb milk/lb concentrates fed• NZ HF response = 0.8 lb milk/lb concentrates fed0.3 lb milk/lb concentrates fed
20000969 t 3 478 y = 1.16x + 12573
R² = 0.9917500k/
cow
• 969 to 3,478 lb supplement13 724 t
15000
Lb m
ilk• 13,724 to 16,647 lb/cow
12500- 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000
Lb concentrates/cowLb concentrates/cow
• 0, 7, and 14 lb conc/cow/d• 1 ton or 2 ton/cow/yr• 12,000 to 15,000 lb milk/cow
• 1.0 lb and 0.34 lb/lb fed
• Supplementation reduced grazing time by 12 min/kg concentrateconcentrate
• Response to supplements = 0.9 lb milk/lb concentrate
Response to supplementsResponse to supplementsResidual Response
1 200 to 1 350 1 0 to 1 2
lb/ac Lb milk
1,200 to 1,350 (6.0 to 7.0 clicks)
1 350 to 1 800 0 5 to 1 0
1.0 to 1.2
1,350 to 1,800 (7.0 to 9.5 clicks)
0.5 to 1.0
>1,800 (>9.5 clicks)
neg to 0.5
But what about the 1 in 200 rule
Expense Free
1.16 lb milk/lb concentrates
Cows supplemented for 12 Wk
90Response: 0.75 lb/lb concentrate
607080
w, l
b/d
30405060
yiel
d/co
w
Pasture
102030
Milk
y
7 lb concentrates/d
14 lb concentrates/d
00 10 20 30 40
W k f l t ti
Roche et al., unpublished
Week of lactation
Well that’s research trials.Wh t b t fWhat about on-farm responses.
Average: 0.4 to 0.5 lb/lb supplement fed
Canterbury data: Average response to supplements per ha
2000
supplements per haApprox:0.4 to 0.5 lb milk/lb concentrate
y = 41x + 1590R² = 0.04
17501750
g M
S/ha
1500kg
12500 0 0 5 1 0 1 5 2 00.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0
Tonnes of feed imported/ha
“The problem with facts is that you can proveis that you can prove anything with facts!”
-Homer J Simpson
So: what’s your response rate?
Body condition scoreBody condition score
Effect of concentrates on BCSEffect of concentrates on BCS4.00 Pasture
7 lb concentrates/d = 1 ton/year
3.50
cale
7 lb concentrates/d = 1 ton/year
14 lb concentrates/d = 2 ton/yearX
3.00
S, 1
to 5
sc
X
X
2.50BC
S
1 ton concentrates = ¼ BCS units
In NZ cows2.00
0 50 100 150 200 250 300D i ilk
In NZ cows
Days in milk
Effect of concentrates on BCSEffect of concentrates on BCS4.00 Pasture
7 lb concentrates = 1 ton/year
3.50
cale
7 lb concentrates = 1 ton/year
14 lb concentrates = 2 ton/year
3.00
S, 1
to 5
sc
X
XX2.50B
CS XX
2 ton concentrates = ¼ BCS units in US HF
2.000 50 100 150 200 250 300
D i ilkDays in milk
Every 1/8 BCS increase at nadir: 1% better PFS, 1% better 6-wk in calf1% better 12-wk in calf
2 1 2 3 2 4 2 6 2 8 2 9 3 010-point scale
5 point scale 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.8 2.9 3.05-point scale
But, don’t I need concentrates to get cows in calfcows in calf
Supplements not required to get cows in calf(f M d ld 1999)
Optimal Pasture + Pasture + Pasture +
(from Macdonald 1999)
all-pasture maize grain maize silage balanced ration
SR, cows/ac 1.35 1.8 1.8 1.8Supplement, lb DM/cow 409 3,069 2,814 3,208
Days to first heat 42 42 45 46Services/conception 1.62 1.63 1.63 1.60pAI pregnancy rate, % 76 80 81 80In-calf rate, % 91 93 92 91 Cows not cycling at PSM % 11 11 13 17Cows not cycling at PSM, % 11 11 13 17
InCalf Project: Supplements not associated with reproduction
(Morton 2001)
37 Australian herds with low and high levels of supplementation on pasture had the same:supplementation on pasture had the same:
3-week submission rates (76%)3 ee sub ss o ates ( 6%)First insemination conception rates (50%)6 week in calf rate (66%)6-week in-calf rate (66%)21-week in-calf rate (92%)
What about profit?What about profit?
“Those engaged in the productionof milk for human consumption area peculiar people - hard toa peculiar people - hard tounderstand. They very seldom takeinto consideration the cost ofproduction ”production…..
Cost of production is the No 1 driver of profit in NZNo. 1 driver of profit in NZ
3,500 2005/06
y = -908.1x + 4249.R² = 0 722 000
2,5003,000,
t $/h
a
2005/06
R 0.72
1,0001,5002,000
ng P
rofit
-5000
500
Ope
rati
-1,000500
2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 5.50
Source: DairyNZ Economics Group, 2005-06 DairyBase Economic Survey
Operating Expenses $/Kg MS
Cost of production is the No 1 driver of profit in NZNo. 1 driver of profit in NZ
2006/072006/07
y = -878.6x + 4177.R² = 0 703 000
3,5004,000
/ha
R² = 0.70
1 5002,0002,5003,000
Prof
it $/
0500
1,0001,500
pera
ting
-1,000-500
0
2 00 2 50 3 00 3 50 4 00 4 50 5 00 5 50
Op
Source: DairyNZ Economics Group, 2005-06 DairyBase Economic Survey
2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 5.50Operating Expenses $/Kg MS
Cost of production is the No 1 driver of profit in NZNo. 1 driver of profit in NZ
2007/088000 2007/08
y = -979.7x + 7678.600070008000
$/ha
yR² = 0.54
40005000
ng p
rofit
100020003000
Ope
ratin
01000
2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 5.50 6.00 6.50 7.00 7.50 8.00
Source: DairyNZ Economics Group, 2005-06 DairyBase Economic Survey
Operating Expenses per kg MS
Operating expenses explain more than 50% operating profitmore than 50% operating profit in on-farm Canterbury study
9000
7500800085009000
$/ha
650070007500
g Pr
ofit
y = -1426.x + 12642500055006000
Ope
ratin
y 6 6R² = 0.53
40004500
$2 50 $3 00 $3 50 $4 00 $4 50 $5 00 $5 50
O
$2.50 $3.00 $3.50 $4.00 $4.50 $5.00 $5.50Operating Expense $/kg MS
What about milk yield/cowWhat about milk yield/cow
Milk yield vs Profit in the USAMilk yield vs Profit in the USA
Operating profit vs Milk yield/cow
y = 4 9x 660 43,500
y = 4.9x - 660.4R² = 0.14
2 0002,5003,000
t $/h
a
1,0001,5002,000
ng p
rofit
5000
500
0 100 200 300 400 500 600
Ope
rati
-1,000-500 0 100 200 300 400 500 600
kg MS/cow
ROA vs Milk yield/cowROA vs Milk yield/cow7.0%
Source: David Beca, RedSky, Australia
R² = 0.73
5 0%
6.0%
4.0%
5.0%
RO
A
%
3.0%
2.0%3500 4500 5500 6500 7500 8500 9500 10500
Milk yield/cow, kgy , g
Core per cow costs vs Milk Yield/cow
$700 Source: David Beca, RedSky, Australia
R² = 0.97$600
w c
osts
$500
e pe
r cow
$300
$400
Cor
e
$3003500 4500 5500 6500 7500 8500 9500
Milk yield/cow, kg
Labour use efficiency vs Milk yield/cowSource: David Beca RedSky AustraliaSource: David Beca, RedSky, Australia
R² = 0.95140
150
FTE
120
130
y, c
ows/
F
100
110
ffici
ency
80
90
Labo
ur e
f
60
70
3,500 4,500 5,500 6,500 7,500 8,500 9,500
L
Milk yield/cow, Litres/Cow
The more pasture in the diet, the lower the costof milk productionof milk production
6
8
/kgM
S
NLUKUS Confinement
US GrazingDK
GER
4
6
oduc
tion,
$/
IRE
FR
2
t of m
ilk p
ro
NZ
IRE
AU
00 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Cos
t
Dillon, P., et al. 2005.
Proportion of grazed grass in the diet
Supplements vs. Op. Profit
9000
in on-farm Canterbury study
y = -8318.x + 7990.R² = 0.448000
9000
$/ha
6000
7000
ng p
rofit
5000
6000
Ope
ratin
40000.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0%
% of Total feed offered as purchased supplements
To concludeTo conclude
How low can you go?How low can you go?
Are youAre you• A vet/animal scientist 10+lb/d
─ All about cow efficiency
• A farmer driven by vanity and what others think─ My herd average production must be greater than X
8 to 10 lb/d
• Profit-focussed farmer but loves cows─ Operating profit/acre important but cow focussed
• A pragmatic profit-focussed farmer
4 to 6 lb/d
<0 lb/dA pragmatic, profit focussed farmer─ Cost of production, Operating profit/acre and ROE focussed
<0 lb/d
“Milk yield is vanity. Profit is sanity!”-Michael Murphy
“He who doesn’t learn from history is doomed to repeat it.” Old Chi P b– Old Chinese Proverb
“Many receive advice. Only the wise profit from it”– Old Roman Proverb
“Supplements will fill the bucket and empty the wallet”– New Irish Proverb