seb debt investor presentation paris march 2009
DESCRIPTION
TRANSCRIPT
Debt Investor Presentation
Anders KvistHead of Group Treasury
March 2009
22
This presentation does not constitute an offer for sale of securities of Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (publ) (the “Company”) in the United States, Canada, Australia or Japan or other jurisdiction in which the distribution or release would be unlawful. Such securities have not been and will not be registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an applicable exemption from registration thereunder. No communication or information related to the capital increase of the Company with preferential subscription rights (“Rights”) for the Company shares (“Shares”) referred to herein may be disseminated to the public in jurisdictions other than Sweden (and any other jurisdiction into which the offering of such Rights is passported) where prior registration or approval is required for that purpose. No steps have been taken or will be taken relating to the offering of Rights or Shares outside of Sweden (and any other jurisdiction into which the offering of such Rights is passported) in any jurisdiction in which such steps would be required.The issue, exercise or sale of Rights and the subscription or purchase of Shares or Rights are subject to specific legal or regulatory restrictions in certain jurisdictions. The Company assumes no responsibility in the event there is a violation by any person of such restrictions.This document does not constitute an offering circular or prospectus in connection with an offering of securities of the Company. Investors must neither accept any offer for, nor acquire, any securities to which this document refers, unless they do so on the basis of the information contained in the applicable prospectus published or offering circular distributed by the Company. This document does not constitute an offer to sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy or subscribe for, any securities and cannot be relied on for any investment contract or decision.This document has not been approved by any regulatory authority. This document is an advertisement and not a prospectus and investors should not subscribe for or purchase any securities referred to in this document except on the basis of information provided in the prospectus to be published by the Company on its website in due course.
Forward-Looking StatementsThis document and any other materials distributed in connection with this document may contain certain forward-looking statements. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they reflect the Company’s current expectations and assumptions as to future events and circumstances that may not prove accurate. A number of material factors could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements.
3
Overview of the SEB Group
4
SEB has…an attractive platformhigh customer satisfactionresilient income generationseveral leading positions
...a strong customer base2,500 large companies and financial institutions customers 400,000 SME customers5 million private customers
4
SEB – the key to North-European markets
5
A diversified platformOperating profit before credit losses, Jan – Dec 2008
Geography – Adjusted for OtherDivisions – Adjusted for OtherSweden – adjusted for centralisation of investment portfolio
4%
5%
9%
6%
6%
5%
56%
9%
35%
6%11%
48%
Retail Banking
Wealth Management
Life Merchant Banking
Germany Sweden
Lithuania
Latvia
Estonia
Norway
Finland
Denmark
6
Capital adequacy SEB Group
7.9 8.0 7.8 7.5 8.29.9 10.1
12.1
10.5 10.2 10.3 10.8 11.512.6
14.6
12.8
Dec2002
Dec2003
Dec2004
Dec2005
Dec2006
Dec2007
Dec2008
Dec2008
Total capital ratio, %
Tier I capital ratio, %
SEK bnCapital base 52.7 54.7 58.7 76.2 85.8 93.0 100.3 121.0Risk-w. Assets 503 535 570 704 741 737 818 818
Basel I 9,3%
Basel I 7,3%
Basel I 1,127
Basel II(without transition rules)
*
* Proforma after capital measures
7
Ratings of Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken ABRating target set by SEB's board of directors at AA
Moody’s S&P Fitch DBRS
Bank Senior Rating
Short Term P-1 A-1 F-1 R-1 (middle)
Long Term Aa2 A A+ AA (low)
Outlook Negative Negative Stable Stable
Last Action Outlook change Outlook change Outlook change Unaffected rating
Date Dec-08 Mar-09 Jul-08 Jul-08
8
Capital Raising
9
Announced capital measuresof SEK 19.5 bn
The capital increase will beachieved through:1. A fully committed and underwritten
rights issue of SEK 15 bn of A-shares2. No dividend payments for 2008
● 2008 YE pro forma Tier 1 Capital Ratio of 12.1% (Basel II without transition floor)
● New long-term Tier 1 Capital target of 10%
10
Background and rationale
Further enhances capital ratios in response to the changing environment
- provides a substantial capital buffer2
Enhances SEB’s ability to be a strong business partner for its customers
3
Addresses market expectations of higher levels of capital in the banking sector1
11
Addresses market expectations of higher levels of capital1
SEB FY’08 Tier 1 ratio vs. peers
12.111.5
10.810.710.7
10.19.99.89.89.79.6
9.49.39.39.29.1
8.88.5
7.97.9
6.96.5
13.3SEB Post-Cap Measures
SEB Pre-Cap Measures
SEB FY’08 Core Tier 1 ratio vs. peers
9.99.3
9.19.0
8.68.48.3
8.08.0
7.87.37.37.37.2
7.06.76.7
6.46.26.2
5.75.5
10.4SEB Post-Cap Measures
SEB Pre-Cap Measures
(1)
Rights issue positions SEB in the top quartile of capital ratios among European and Nordic peersSEB is acting pro-actively in addressing any concerns surrounding its capital position
(1)
Ratios are based on latest available company reports (presented on Basel II basis and, where available, without transitional floors) and adjusted pro forma for announced dividend cuts, capital injections, mergers and acquisitions. Peers include the top 20 Western European banks by market cap and the six largest Nordic banks by market cap as at 03/03/2009.Notes:(1) Pro forma for capital injection (2) Pro forma for acquisition (3) As of 30/06/2008 (4) As of 30/09/2009 (5) Based on Tier 1 capital of SEK82,463 M as of 31/12/08, less SEK4,500 M of dividend cancelled pursuant to capital measures announced by SEB, less reduction in Tier 1 capital contribution of SEK786 M from perpetual subordinated debts as a result of the decreased share capital level, divided by total risk-weighted assets of SEK 817,788 M (6) Based on Tier 1 capital of SEK98,666 M, as adjusted for the amount of net proceeds of the rights issue, divided by total risk-weighted assets of SEK 817,788 M (7) Tier 1 capital per footnote (5) less Tier 1 capital contributionof SEK 12,371M, divided by risk-weighted assets of SEK 817,788M (8) Tier 1 capital per footnote (6) less Tier 1 capital contribution of SEK 13,974M, divided by risk-weighted assets of SEK 817,788M.
(1)
(1)
(2)
(1)
(1)
(4)
(4)
(3)
(3)
(1)
(1)
(1)
(2)
(4)
(4)
(1)
(1)
(1)
(5)
(6)
(7)
(8)
Nordic banks Other Western European Banks
12
4.44.44.4
4.34.3
4.14.1
3.93.8
3.63.4
3.12.9
2.82.6
2.52.4
2.02.0
1.91.7
1.4
4.4
SEB Post-Cap Measures
SEB Pre-Cap Measures
Addresses market expectations of higher levels of capital1
SEB FY’08 Tier 1 capital / total assets vs. peers
Rights issue significantly improves leverage ratiosSEB’s lending to the public only constitutes half of the balance sheet *
(1)
Ratios are based on latest available company reports (intangible assets from most recent disclosure provided) and adjusted pro forma for announced dividend cuts, capital injections, mergers and acquisitions. Peers include the top 20 Western European banks by market cap and the six largest Nordic banks by market cap as at 03/03/2009.Notes:(1) Pro forma for acquisition (2) Pro forma for capital injection (3) As of 30/06/2008 (4) As of 30/09/2008 (5) Based on Tier 1 capital of SEK82,463 M as of 31/12/08, less SEK4,500 M of dividend cancelled pursuant to capital measures announced by SEB, less reduction in Tier 1 capital contribution of SEK786 M from perpetual subordinated debts as a result of the decreased share capital level, divided by total assets of SEK 2,510,702 M (6) Based on Tier 1 capital of SEK98,666 M, as adjusted for the amount of net proceeds of the rights issue, divided by total assets of SEK 2,525,302M, adjusted for SEK14,600M net proceeds of rights issue (7) Tangible equity based on total equity of SEK83,729M less intangible assets of SEK 19,395M, and tangible assets based on total assets of SEK2,510,702 less intangble assets of SEK19,395M (8) Based on tangible equity and tangible assets per footnote (7) adjusted for SEK14,600M of net proceeds of rights issue (9) Tangible equity is calculated as total shareholders’ equity plus minority interest less intangible assets, and tangible assets are calculated as total assets less intangible assets.
(2)
(3)
(5)
(1)
(1)
(1)
(1)
(1)
(1)
(1)
Nordic banks Other Western European Banks
(6)
4.34.0
3.73.7
3.63.6
3.43.23.23.2
3.12.9
2.62.3
2.22.2
2.11.8
1.71.7
1.51.0
4.7
SEB Post-Cap Measures
SEB Pre-Cap Measures
SEB FY’08 tangible equity / tangible assets vs. peers
(4)
(1)
(3)
(1)
(4)
(1)
(1)
(1)
(1)
(1)
(1)
(7)
(8)
(9)
* The other half of balance sheet consists inter alia of insurance assets and liabilities on behalf of policy holders, covered bond funding with assets maintained on the balance sheet and derivatives.
13
The global credit crisis, recession and unprecedented market volatility have put significant strain on the banking sector
Capital measures create a substantial buffer of true loss absorbing capital
Enables SEB to create value and withstand a very significant deterioration in macroeconomic conditions
77.2
98.7
Tier I capital 31 Dec 2008 before capital measures (2)
Tier I capital 31 Dec 2008 pro
forma after capital measures
60.6
Tier I capital 31 Dec 2006
Further enhances capital ratios in response to the changing environment2Provides a substantial capital buffer
Note1. Numbers in SEK Bn2. Calculated based on Tier 1 capital of SEK82,463 M as of 31/12/08, less SEK4,500 M of 2008 dividend cancelled pursuant to capital measures announced by SEB, less reduction in Tier 1 capital
contribution of SEK786 M from perpetual subordinated debts as a result of the decreased share capital level
14
Sweden50%
Lithuania 5%Latvia 3%
Estonia 3%
Germany25%
Property mgmt14%
Banks15%
Households25%Corporates
40%
Public administration
6%
Norway 6%
Other 5%
Denmark 2%Finland 2%
Credit portfolio, SEK 1.9 trillion as of 31/12/2008
Further enhances capital ratios in response to the changing environment2SEB has a strong and diversified credit portfolio
85% of total credit exposure is in Nordics and Germany and only 10% in Baltics Credit portfolio is well diversified across types of borrowersCorporate portfolio has a pre-dominance of large corporate clients
NoteThe chart above show the distribution by industry and location of SEB’s credit portfolio as of 31/12/08, which does not include SEB’s fixed-income investment portfolio.
15
Note1. As of 31/12/20082. Approximate relation to rating agency scales
Total credit portfolio excl. Households (%) (SEK 1,449bn)
Of which, Corporates (%)(SEK 782bn)
Swedish Households (%)(SEK 269bn)
Risk Class
S&P
39.4
18.9
35.0
4.1 2.5
'1 - 4 '5 - 7 '8 - 10 '11 - 12 '13 - 16AAA/A- BBB BB B+/B B-/D
Risk Class
S&P
20.3 26.045.3
5.6 2.9
'1 - 4 '5 - 7 '8 - 10 '11 - 12 '13 - 16AAA/A- BBB BB B+/B B-/D
7.5 6.0 8.9
0.9 0.3 0.3
30.743.8
1.6
0 - 0.2 0.2 - 0.4 0.4 - 0.6 0.6 - 1.0 1.0 - 5.0 5.0 - 10.0 10.0 - 30.0 30.0 - 50.0 50.0 - 100.0PD (%)
Investment grade Watchlist
Further enhances capital ratios in response to the changing environment2Highly rated credit portfolioHigh grade lending with investment grade in total portfolio ex. households accounting for 58%Similarly, 82% of Swedish household lending is investment gradeWatchlist is only 2.5% of portfolio ex. households and 1.5% of household portfolio
(1) (1)
(1)
(2) (2)
16
Asset quality deterioration driven by BalticsFurther enhances capital ratios in response to the changing environment2
Net credit loss level, %
0.10 0.120.08
0.13 0.13
0.15
0.27
0.63
0.17
0.19
0.30
0.130.110.100.100.10
Q12007
Q22007
Q32007
Q42007
Q12008
Q22008
Q32008
Q42008
Quarterly, annualised YTD, annualised
Impaired loans as % of Credit Portfolio
0.75 0.69 0.65 0.64 0.64 0.650.84
0.65
Q12007
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12008
Q2 Q3 Q4
Credit losses ex-Baltics largely in line with Management expectations, sharp rise in net credit losses in Baltics in Q4 2008Ex-Baltics reserve ratio at 73%
Impaired Loans by Credit Portfolio, %
Impaired Loans/ Credit Portfolio Reserve Ratio
Ex-Baltics 0.6%
2.8%
0.8%
73%
Baltics 56%
Total 66%
(1)
Note1. Calculated by dividing impaired loans (before netting off loan loss reserves) by credit portfolio, credit portfolio is after excluding exposure to banks and does not include fixed-income investment portfolio. 2008 ratio of 0.84% calculated by
dividing impaired loans of SEK13,911M by credit portfolio of SEK 1,649Bn, net of credit exposure to banks of SEK 286Bn.
(1)
17
131
168202
2006 2007 2008Estonia Latvia Lithuania
31% 30% 28%26% 25% 25%43%
45%47%
Credit Exposure growth rate in local currency
Further enhances capital ratios in response to the changing environment2
More limited organic growth in 2008 in local currency termsKey credit issues centered around Property Management and certain Corporate segments
Baltics: Proactively managing growth and focusing on key risk areas
Baltic Portfolio as % of Total, as of 31 Dec 2008
Estonia Latvia
0% 1%
13%
4%
0%
Households 11% 8% 14% 33%
Total 28% 25% 47% 100%
11%
4%
1%
Banks
Corporates
PropertyManagement
PublicAdministration
Lithuania Total
0% 1%
47%
16%
3%
23%
8%
2%
Credit Exposure, SEK Bn
Estonia 17% -2%
Latvia18% 5%
Lithuania30% 8%
2007 2008
18
2006 2007 2008Increased capitalisation
Tightening of credit policy
ROE priority > volume
18
Continued integration
Further tightening of credit policy
Volume caps
Collective provisioning
Preparation for crisis scenario
Re-allocation of resources
Work-out units
High Risk Committees
Baltic SPVs
Dialogue with authorities
Further enhances capital ratios in response to the changing environment2Managing Baltics: measures taken
Baltics have been one of SEB’s core markets since acquisitions in 1998-2000SEB has been proactive in recognising and taking actions to deal with imbalances and risksNonetheless, there are substantial near- to mid-term challenges
19
2586
168
30
195154
51-9
347 334252
-217
166
202 61
83
3947
171
18 35139
191
288
229
113
234201
222246
365 369391
343
560
255
Pre-Tax Profit Credit Losses Pre-Provision Profit
Impaired loans as % of credit exposure¹
Further enhances capital ratios in response to the changing environment2Sharp increase in credit losses in Baltics
Acceleration of deterioration in Lithuania during Q4 2008 after lower losses than other Baltic countries during Q1-Q3 2008
Baltic Loss Absorption, SEK mLatvia
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2008
Notes1. Excluding banks
3.0
2.3
1.6
2.0
0.7
2.8
1.6
1.10.81.21.10.9
2.8
1.51.2
0.8
Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2008
Estonia Latvia Lithuania Baltics
Estonia Lithuania
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2008
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2008
Impaired Loans as % of Credit Portfolio (1)
Pre-provision profit
Estonia 821
(512)
309
Credit losses
Latvia903
(512)
391
Lithuania1,468
(752)
716Pre-tax profit
Full Year 2008 (SEK m)
20
Average year-end 2007
Net negative risk migration
Effect from new volumes
Average year-end 2008
Further enhances capital ratios in response to the changing environment2Loan book quality improved despite challenging environment
IRB reported credit exposures 31 Dec 30 Sep 30 Jun 31 March 31 DecAverage risk weight for Corporate credit exposures 2008 2008 2008 2008 2007
Corporate credit exposures as reported by SEB 56.2% 53.3% 53.9% 51.0% 53.4%excluding addition of Baltic IR B exposures during 2008 53.5% 50.9% 52.0% 48.3% 53.5%excluding addition of Baltic IR B exposures during 2008 and repos 54.7% 55.5% 54.9% 56.7% 56.4%
* Based on SEK 778bn of Exposure at Default (EAD) included in the IRB reported RWA calculation and where exposures existed at the end of Q3 and Q4 2008. As such, 94% of the Group’s corporate EAD for IRB is included. The remainder is explained by the inclusion of additional volumes in IRB during the quarter.
6.95
+0.15
-0.30
6.81
SEB Group Average risk class(Excl households and banks)
In 2008, ratings migration of non-retail exposure is estimated to have increased RWA net by SEK 23bn, 2.8%.
Average risk class of corporate book improved in 2008Limited impact of risk class migration New lending to high grade customers more than offset risk class migration in 2008
0.4% 0.3% 1.4% 1.1% 4.9%
90.4%
1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
>-4 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 >+4 # of internal risk class rating notches up- or down-rated
Down-Rated Up-Rated
Corporate risk class migration during Q4 2008*
21
v
Ratings migration from AAA tranche during 2008
% of ratings 31 Dec 2007
99.6%
0.4%
0%
0%
0%
100%
%Upgraded
%Downgraded
AAA 0%
0% 3.1%
1.8%
1.2%
0.5%
% of ratings 31 Dec 08
6.6%
0%
0%
0%
0%
93.0%
AA/A 3.5%
BBB 1.8%
BB/B 1.2%
CCC/CC 0.5%
Total 100%
0%16.5%16.0%ABS
93.0%
6.4%
4.2%
18.6%
12.8%
35.0%
AAA
Ratings breakdown by structured credit category as of 31 Dec 2008
Non-Investment Grade
Investment-Grade
98.30%
6.9%
6.4%
18.6%
12.8%
37.1%
1.70%Total
0%CMBS
0.3%CDO
0%CLO
0%CMO
1.4%RMBS
Further enhances capital ratios in response to the changing environment2High quality structured credit bookHigh degree of high grade assets (93% AAA as of 31/12/2008) due to investment portfolio strategy since 1998Limited exposure to real problem areas Limited impact of ratings migration
Product breakdown as of 31 Dec 2008 - SEK 68bn Volume breakdown by structured credit type as of 31 Dec 2008SEK Bn
67.71.514.74.13.24.94.811.023.6
1.61.6SubPrime
4.60.21.60.22.6CDO
4.63.00.20.20.80.4CMBS
8.78.7CMO
11.11.84.11.62.30.60.7ABS
12.60.55.61.15.4CLO
24.60.72.71.44.62.58.44.2RMBS
TotalOtherEuroDenItalyNLSpainUKUS
RMBS36%
CMO13%
CMBS7%
CDO7%
Subprime2%
ABS16%
CLO19%
22
Overview methodology:
We apply a “bottom-up” approach to stress testing, utilizing all our areas of expertise We have estimated the impact of a range of GDP scenarios, including a severe worsening, in each of our core markets on
revenues and expenses
loan losses
capital and capital requirementsWe have modelled scenarios, taking into account a range of GDP scenarios and drawing upon our experience of the Swedish banking crisis in the early 1990’s and past crises comparable to the one in Baltics
Further enhances capital ratios in response to the changing environment2Robustness of our capitalisation confirmed by severe stress testing
Overview worst case scenario:
Extreme stress scenario – significantly more conservative than our base case
very low probabilityScenario with simultaneous severe recessions with significant contraction in all SEB’s geographic markets for 3 consecutive yearsSignificant decline in pre-provision earningsSignificant increase in RWAs from risk class migration, more than offsetting the effects of full implementation of Basel IIIn all scenarios that SEB has tested, SEB expects its capital ratios (assuming successful completion of the Offering and non-payment of the 2008 dividend) would be above the level determined by the Swedish National Debt Office as a prerequisite to participation in the Swedish Government Guarantee program, which is a minimum Tier I capital ratio of 6%
23
Enhanced ability to be a strong business partner for our customersB
Strengthened ability to act as market counterpartyC
Capital strength is key competitive advantageA
Enhances SEB’s ability to be a strong business partner for our customers3Rights issue provides opportunities for SEB
24
Cash management globallyScandinavian currencies globallyNordic stock brokerNordic and Baltic investment bankCustody Nordics and BalticsNordic asset managementSMEs Sweden
Strong customer base Product excellence
700
400,000
5 million
1,800
Large companies
Financial institutions
SMEs
Private individuals
24
Enhances SEB’s ability to be a strong business partner for our customers3SEB – built on long-term customer relationships and leading market positions in core business areas
25
Funding & Liquidity Management
26262626
400600800
1 0001 2001 400
Q12005
Q2Q3Q4Q12006
Q2Q3Q4Q12007
Q2Q3Q4Q12008
Q2Q3Q4
Lending to the publicSEKbn
Deposits from the publicSEKbn
Deposit Development
Deposits to loans ratio
400500600700800900
Q12005
Q2Q3Q4Q12006
Q2Q3Q4Q12007
Q2Q3Q4Q12008
Q2Q3Q4
30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Deposits to loans ratio
2727
A range of short and long term funding options
CP Programmes– Sweden– France– Global CP
ECP
USCP
US Extendible
CD’s– Yankee CD– London Branch
CD’s– Yankee CD– London Branch
Senior unsecured bonds– Germany – Sweden
Structured bonds
Covered bonds– Germany
Public (Pfandbriefe)Mortgage (Pfandbriefe)
– Sweden (Säkerställda Obligationer)
Subordinated debt/Hybrid Tier 1
Short Term Funding programmes Long Term Funding programmes
28
Deposits - General Public42%
Deposits - Interbank
15%
Deposits - Central Banks
7%
CPs/CDs8%
Schuldscheins and Reg Bonds2% Mortgage Covered
Bonds Sweden10%
Mortgage Covered Bonds Germany3%
Public Covered Bonds Germany7%
Senior debt3%
Subordinated debt3%
Funding structureSEB Group, Dec 2008SEK 1,787bn
* Over collateral within covered pools SEK 48bn
29
Schuldscheins and Reg Bonds, 4%
Subordinated debt, 8% CPs/CDs, 24%
Senior debt, 9%
Public Covered Bonds Germany, 20%
Mortgage Covered Bonds Germany, 7% Mortgage Covered
Bonds Sweden, 28%
Funding structure – Issued SecuritiesSEB Group, Dec 2008SEK 634 bn
30
* Issued in Dec 2007
Funding raised with original maturity > 1 yearJan – Dec 30th 2008, SEK bn
Instrument Total Q4 YCD 5,9 2,9Senior unsecured Germany 2 0,3Senior unsecured Sweden 37,4 1,4Structured bonds 13,4 0,2Covered bonds Germany 29,7 0,6Covered bonds Sweden 72,9 8,7Hybrid tier 1* 4,7 0Total 166 14,1
31
Funding raised with original maturity > 1 yearJan – Feb 2009, SEK bn
Instrument Total Jan + FebYCD 0 0Senior unsecured Germany 0.02 0.02Senior unsecured Sweden 0 0Structured bonds 1.26 1.26Covered bonds Germany 4.05 4.05Covered bonds Sweden 4.18 4.18Hybrid tier 1 0 0Total 9.51 9.51
32
Loan/Deposit Ratio OverviewSelected European Bank Q4 2008
Financial Institutions Loans/Deposits
117%
75%
73%
68%
62%
58%
52%
51%
50%
49%
46%
42%
41%
38%
38%
37%
36%
34%
33%29%
Intesa Sanpaolo*
SocGen*
Lloy ds*
KBC
SEB
Santander
Handelsbanken
Erste Bank*
Bank of Ireland*
Commerzbank
Nordea
Barclay s
Sw edbank
Danske Bank
RBS*
UniCredit*
BNP Paribas*
AIB*
DnB NOR
HBOS*
Total Loans/Deposits
191%172%
161%
154%
144%142%
133%
128%123%
123%
120%115%
113%
109%
104%99%
96%
96%84%
71%
Handelsbanken
Sw edbankDnB NOR
HBOS*
NordeaBank of Ireland*
Santander
Lloy ds*SEB
AIB*
RBS*
CommerzbankBarclay s
Danske Bank
SocGen*BNP Paribas*
Erste Bank*
Intesa Sanpaolo*UniCredit*
KBC
Customer Loans/Deposits
253%
200%
178%
177%
167%
159%
155%
154%
153%
151%
148%
142%
138%
132%
116%
113%
98%
95%
71%
272%Handelsbanken
Sw edbank
DnB NOR
Nordea
HBOS*
Commerzbank
Bank of Ireland*
Danske Bank
SEB
Allied Irish*
Santander
RBS*
Lloyds TSB*
Barclays*
BNP Paribas*
SocGen*
Erste Bank
UniCredit
Intesa Sanpaolo
KBC
9
*H1 2008/Q3 figures due to non-disclosure of Q4 data by the respective institutions
Note: Analysis based on headline numbers for ”loans to customers”, ”loans to banks/financial institutions”, deposits from customers” and ”deposits from financial institutions”
Source: Goldman Sachs
33
Recap of 2008 Results
34
Annual accounts 2008
012345
Q106
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q107
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q108
Q2 Q3 Q4
Operating profitExcluding one-offs and portfolio losses
Operating profit, SEK bn
Operating income, SEK bn
048
12
Q106
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q107
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q108
Q2 Q3 Q4
Operating IncomeExcluding one-offs and portfolio losses
Higher operating income ● Strong net interest income● Lower commission income ● Strong customer-driven foreign exchange and
M-t-M valuation losses of SEK 1bn
Flat underlying costs● Redundancy costs SEK 1bn● Variable salaries -30%(1)
● Pension provisions SEK 0.7bn
Increased provisions for credit losses● Mainly driven by the Baltic development
Resilient business activity● Lending to the public +21%
● Deposits from the public +12%
● Strong sales in several distribution channelsNotes1. Decrease in variable salaries driven by decrease in short-term and long-term incentive compensation
2006 2007 2008Operating income 38.7 40.4 41.1
2006 2007 2008Operating profit 15.6 17.0 12.5
35
2008 2007Operating income 41,140 40,440Operating expenses -25,407 -23,194Operating profit 12,471 17,018Net profit 10,050 13,642
Return on Equity, % 13.1 19.3Cost / income ratio 0.62 0.57Credit loss level, % 0.30 0.11
Basel II* Tier I capital ratio, % 10.1 9.87
Key figures
SEK mStrong revenues in Merchant Banking division in Q4 2008, driven by
financing activitieshigh foreign exchange transaction revenues improved fixed-income investment portfolio performance
Merchant Banking income supported by market share gains and weakened competition
*Without transition floors
36
Deposits from public, SEK bn
628 643 626 644 700 707 750 765 758 794 841715
Q12006
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12007
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12008
Q2 Q3 Q4
Continued growth of Net interest income
Loans to public, SEK bn
916 921 926 951 1,017 1,021 1,067 1,099 1,1321,205
1,297
1,048
Q12006
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12007
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12008
Q2 Q3 Q4
15,99818,709
2007 2008
Net interest income development 2008
Total NII
795
217
1,699
2,711Total NII growth
Volume Growth
Margin Development
Other
+17%
Net interest income, SEK m
Customerdriven
37
Gross development Jan-Dec 2008 vs. Jan-Dec 2007, SEK m
Fee and commission income holding up
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
Q1 2006 Q1 2008050100150200
Assets under custodyTransactions/day
1,808
4,114
1,0041,290648
7,3097,1657,547
7,022
3,370
New issues &advisory
Secondarymarket &
derivatives
Custody &mutual funds
Payment,cards, lending,
deposits,guarantees
Other
Jan – Dec 07Jan – Dec 08
-29%
-18%
-2% +3%
3.9%
4.3%
5.2%
5.4%
9.2%
Source: The Nordic stock exchanges
Market shares Nordic stock exchangesTurnover 2008
Assets under custodySEK bn ‘000s
38
-2,000
-1,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
FX Equities Capital Markets Other incl Treasury
Net financial income holding upFull-year breakdown over business areas, 2006 – 2008 (1)
SEK m
Client-driven FX business●No.1 Nordic and No. 12 globally
●Underpinned by strong corporate relationships
●Highly efficient trading platform
MB investment portfolio ●SEK 133bn (31 Dec 2008)●Structured credits 93 % AAA-rated
(31 Dec 2008)
Notes1. Net financial income reflects the net financial income of the Foreign Exchange, Equities and Capital Markets business units within the Trading & Capital Markets business area of Merchant Banking
as well as the net financial income generated outside these three business units which largely is derived from the Merchant Banking Investment Portfolio and Group Treasury.
39
2,2693,114
1,416
86
454
1,776
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2006 2007 2008
Operating ResultSEK m
4,081
5,695 5,671
1,7262,127
2,479
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2006 2007 2008
C/I 0.42 0.37 0.44 Operating Result Credit losses
Income Cost
Income and costSEK m
Financial Development: Baltics
Note: Result excluding net gains
40
A diversified platformOperating profit before net credit losses, Jan - Dec 2008
Geography - Adjusted for Other, including eliminationsDivisions - Adjusted for Other, including eliminationsSweden - adjusted for centralisation of investment portfolio
4%
6%
6%
5%
9%
5%
56%
9%
35%
5%11%
49%
Retail Banking
Wealth Management
Life Merchant Banking
Germany Sweden
Lithuania
Latvia
Estonia
Norway
Finland
Denmark
41
Strategic goals
The leading bank in Northern Europe
Customer satisfaction: No 1 in chosenmarkets
Sustainable profit growth
Highest Return on Equity AA-rating
Grow revenues with existing customers through high interaction and increased share of wallet
Cost management
Risk management - Credit quality and work-out activities
Maintain a strong capital and liquidity positions
Long-term
Long
-term
Shor
t-to
med
ium
-term
42
Focus on Baltics
43
SEBLending totalSEB Lending
SEB’s Baltic lending relative the market Per cent, Q2 2005 – Q4 2008
EURbn EURbnEstonia Latvia
Excluding Leasing portfolioSource: Central Banks and SEB
EURbnLithuania
0
10
20
30
40
Q205
Q4 Q206
Q4 Q207
Q4 Q208
Q40%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0
10
20
30
40
Q205
Q4 Q206
Q4 Q207
Q4 Q208
Q40%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0
10
20
30
40
Q2 -05
Q4 Q206
Q4 Q207
Q4 Q208
Q40%
10%
20%
30%
40%
44
17 22 23 18 21 25 34 39 468 8 94 5
78
1316
1419 23
1014
1613
22
29
95,2
76,4
56,349,8
41,433,6
56,650,0
40,7
Dec'06
Dec'07
Dec'08
Dec'06
Dec'07
Dec'08
Dec'06
Dec'07
Dec'08
Banks
PublicAdministrationHouseholds
PropertyManagementCorporate
SEB Estonia SEB Latvia SEB Lithuania
Growth rates in local currency+38% +17% +40% +18% +47% +30%
2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007
-2%
2008 YTD
+5% +8% 2008 YTD 2008 YTD
Baltic countries – credit exposure On and off balance, SEK bn
45
Asset quality Baltics
0,0%1,0%2,0%3,0%4,0%5,0%6,0%
dec-07 mar-08 jun-08 sep-08 dec-08
Estonia Latvia Lithuania
Impaired loans gross% of credit exposure excl. banks
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2007 2008
Specific Collective
Provisioning to build up reservesSEK m
Provisions for Net Credit Losses% of lending
*Annualised figures
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
1,60
1,80
2006 2007 2008
Germany BalticsNordics SEB Group
Estonia 1.17Latvia 1.43Lithuania 1.26Baltics 1.28*
46
Baltic countries - asset quality
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Estonia Latvia Lithuania
Net credit losses Q1 2007 – Q4 2008, SEK m
Impaired Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4loans, % 2007 2008 2008 2008 2008
Estonia 0.4 0.7 1.6 2.0 2.3Corporate 0.2 0.5 2.0 2.2 2.5Private 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.8 2.1
Latvia 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.6 2.8Corporate 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.0 2.2Private 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.8 3.9
Lithuania 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 3.0Corporate 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.1 3.8Private 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.7
Corporate including Property Management
Impaired loans gross
47
Estonia Latvia Lithuania Total %
Net write-offs & actual losses 0 -13 -1 -15 0.8
Net new specific provisions -323 -142 -357 -822 46.3
Net new collective provisions -184 -352 -376 -912 51.4
Change in value of seized assets -4 -4 -18 -26 1.5
Net credit losses -512 -512 -752 -1,775
Baltic countries – net credit losses Jan – Dec 2008, SEK m
4848