russia crumb rubber market

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Demo-Version

Russia: Crumb

Rubber Market

Analysis and Forecast to 2017

November 2012

Marketing Research

http://www.russianmarketreport.com/

from 20 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Market Research Russia: Crumb Rubber Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)

Brief Overview

The report on the Russian crumb rubber market contains:

Analysis and forecast of market dynamics;

Structure of consumption by region;

Analysis of domestic production, market shares of the main market players;

Analysis of exports and imports;

Analysis of factors, influencing the development of the market;

Analysis of raw materials’ base;

Analysis of the state of the consuming industries;

Assessment and forecast of market development;

Financial and economic profiles of the leading companies in the industry.

Methodology:

Expert interviews with top managers of the largest players on the market;

Analysis of information, received from the main market participants;

An analysis of statistical information:

o Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat);

o The Federal Customs Service (FTS);

o The Ministry of Economic Development;

o The Federal Tax Service;

o Industry associations.

The report will allow you to:

1. Identify key indicators of the market, build your own business forecasts, based on

market data;

2. Evaluate the growth potential and threats in the market.

Key figures presented in the report on the Russian crumb rubber market:

Volumes of production, exports and imports;

Indicators of market development;

Consumption indicators.

The report contains 122 pages, 28 tables, 32 figures.

The report contains the consensus market forecast based on the average value of the

forecasts of market participants. As market experts are considered: manufacturers,

importers, wholesale distributors, high-volume consumers, professional associations and

unions, and trade publications. The experts, participating in the survey, are provided with

special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




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verify all secondary information used in the report.

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the economy. Cross-analysis of related industries enables our clients to get a

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Research Design

The purpose of the study is to analyze the state of the Russian crumb rubber market and

build a forecast of the industry in the medium term.

Geography of the research: Russia

Methodology

1. Analysis of secondary market data:

Secondary data refers to data from the Internet (industry portals, competitors’ sites,

shopping sites, articles and reviews, reference materials), specialized publications, state and

private media companies, marketing agencies, commercial databases, “IndexBox

Marketing” own research.

2. Analysis of Materials from Market Participants (price lists, brochures, etc.):

Data collection from market participants is needed to analyze the specifics of the market

and the parties involved in it, their pricing and assortment policy. Data on market

participants is gathered during the analysis of secondary information, and also by sending

requests for price lists and other presentation materials.

3. Expert Interviews with Market Participants

The analysis of secondary information is completed by expert interviews with

representatives of market participant companies – manufacturers and trading companies.

Our approach to the estimation

The consensus market forecast is the average value of the forecasts of market participants

(experts).

Experts

As market experts are considered: manufacturers, importers, wholesale distributors, high-

volume consumers, professional associations and unions, and trade publications. Expert

opinions are collected during telephone interviews conducted by IndexBox on a regular

basis (the standard is every six months, but can be more often, based on a special request

or under conditions of high volatility in the market). IndexBox has created an extensive

database of experts within key industries. The experts, participating in the survey, are

provided with special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




Accuracy of forecasts

The accuracy of forecasts is verified by experts in the given industry, based on the historical

period (3 years). In accordance with this accuracy, each expert weighs out the forecasts to

create the overall average forecast

Indicators

1. Consumption: Consumption is the main index estimated by our experts and features

the dynamics of consumption in real terms in the short to medium term. Experts give

an estimate of the potential volume of consumption in accordance with their

expectations and production plans (for manufacturers).

2. Internal production: It is based on the projected volume of consumption and production

capacity in any given industry, assessing, of course, and factoring in the dynamics of

domestic production.

3. Imports and Exports: Takes into account the retrospective dynamics of export-import

operations, strengths and weaknesses of the domestic production, changes in

legislation, the macroeconomic situation in the countries of the supplier (beneficiary) of

a product, an assessment of the dynamics of imports and exports.




Table of Contents 1. Executive summary

2. Research design

3. Classification of crumb rubber

4. Characteristics of the Russian crumb rubber market

4.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian crumb rubber market in 2008 – 2011.

Forecast for 2012 - 2017

4.2. Structure of the crumb rubber market: production, exports, imports, consumption

5. Characteristics of the domestic production of crumb rubber in 2005 – August

2012

5.1. Volume and dynamics of the production of crumb rubber in 2005 – August 2012

5.2. Structure of production of crumb rubber by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation

5.3. Main manufacturers of crumb rubber and their corresponding market shares

5.3.1. OJSC "CHRZ"

5.3.2. OJSC “Slantsevskiy factory “Polymer”

5.3.3. OJSC “Balakovorezinotekhnika”

5.3.4. CJSC "VRSHRZ"

5.3.5. OJSC "Saransk factory “Rezinotekhnika”

5.3.6. LLC "Etalon-Plus"

5.3.7. OJSC “EKO-RTI-Holding”

5.3.8. LLC “KST Ecologia”

5.3.9. LLC “KamEchoTech”

5.3.10. LLC “Nizhegorod factory for processing RTI”

5.4. Investment projects in the industry

6. Characteristics of the imports of crumb rubber to the Russian market

6.1. Volume, dynamics and structure of the imports of crumb rubber

6.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the imported crumb rubber on the

territory of the Russian Federation

6.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the crumb rubber, imported in the Russian

Federation

6.4. Russian companies, recipients of the imports of crumb rubber

6.5. Structure of the imports of crumb rubber by regions of the Russian Federation

7. Characteristics of the Russian exports of crumb rubber

8. Factors, influencing the development of the market in Russia crumb rubber

8.1. Commissioning of new automobile roads

8.2. Production of rubber technical products

8.3. Production of tyres

9. Characteristics of the consumption of crumb rubber

9.1. Volume and dynamics of the consumption of crumb rubber in 2008 – 2011.

Forecast for 2012 - 2017

9.2. Volume and structure of the consumption of crumb rubber by Federal Districts of




the Russian Federation

9.3. Structure of consumption of crumb rubber by industries in 2009 – 2011. Forecast

for 2012 - 2017

9.4. Balance between production and consumption of crumb rubber

10. Forecast for the development of the crumb rubber market in 2012 - 2017

10.1. Evaluation of the potential volume of supply of crumb rubber in 2012 - 2017

10.2. Scenarios for development of the world economy

10.3. Scenarios for development of the crumb rubber market

Appendix1. Financial and economic indicators of the industry

Appendix2. Profiles of the leading manufacturers

CJSC "VOLGA REGENERATNO-SHINOREMONTNIY ZAVOD "

OJSC "CHRZ"

OJSC "Polymer"

OJSC "BRT" ("BALAKOVOREZINOTECHNKA")

OJSC "Саранский завод "Rezinotekhnika"

LLC "Etalon-Plus"

LLC "EKOLOGIA-REZINOTECHNICHESKIE IZDELIYA-HOLDING"




List of tables

Table 1. Classification of crumb rubber by different indicators

Table 2. Volume and dynamics of the crumb rubber market in 2008 - 2011 and forecast for

2012 - 2017, in tons

Table 3. Production of crumb rubber in January 2005 – August 2012, in tons

Table 4. Production of crumb rubber by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in 2005 -

August 2012, in tons

Table 5. Dynamics of the production of crumb rubber by manufacturers in 2005 - 2011, in

tons

Table 6. Dynamics of the production of crumb rubber by the OJSC “CHRZ” in 2005 - 2011,

in tons

Table 7. Structure of the imports of crumb rubber in 2011, including Belarus and

Kazakhstan

Table 8. Volume of the imports of crumb rubber by manufacturing countries in 2011, in tons

Table 9. Volume of the imports of crumb rubber by manufacturing countries in 2011, in

thousands of USD

Table 10. Volume of the imports of crumb rubber by manufacturing companies в 2011, in

tons

Table 11. Volume of the imports of crumb rubber by manufacturing companies в 2011, in

thousands of USD

Table 12. Volume of the imports of crumb rubber in the Russian Federation by recipient

companies in 2011, in tons

Table 13. Volume of the imports of crumb rubber in the Russian Federation by recipient

companies in 2011, in thousands of USD

Table 14. Volume of the imports of crumb rubber by regions of the Russian Federation в

2011, in tons

Table 15. Volume of the imports of crumb rubber by regions of the Russian Federation в

2011, in thousands of USD

Table 16. Volume of the Russian exports of crumb rubber by recipient countries в 2011, in

tons

Table 17. Commissioning of automobile roads with hard surgace by Federal Districts of the

Russian Federation in 2005 – 2009, in kilometers

Table 18. Commissioning of automobile roads in January - March 2011, in kilometers

Table 19. Production of rubber products by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in

2008 - 2010, in tons

Table 20. Balance between supply and demand on the crumb rubber market in 2008 - 2011

and forecast until 2017, in tons

Table 21. Forecast of development of Russian crumb rubber market in 2012 - 2017, in tons

Table 22. Base scenario for the development of the crumb rubber market in 2011 - 2017, in

tons

Table 23. Conservative scenario for the development of the crumb rubber market in 2011 -

2017, in tons




Table 24. Pessimistic scenario for the development of the crumb rubber market in 2011 -

2017, in tons

Table 25. Revenues (net) from sales of goods, products, works, services (less value added

tax, excise duties and other similar charges), on January 1 of this year, in thousands of RUR

Table 26. Management expenses for the production of other rubber products on January 1,

in thousands of RUR

Table 27. Cost of goods sold for the production of other rubber products, on January 1, in

thousands of RUR

Table 28. Profit (net) from sales from the production of Production of other rubber products,

on January 1, in thousands of RUR




List of Figures

Fig. 1. Ratio between imported and domestically produced products on the crumb rubber

market in 2011, in physical terms

Fig. 2. Volume of supply on the crumb rubber market in 2008 - 2011 and forecast for 2012

- 2017, in tons

Fig. 3. Dynamics and structure of the crumb rubber market in 2008 - 2011 and forecast

until 2017, in tons

Fig. 4. Production of crumb rubber in January 2011 - August 2012, in tons and in %

Fig. 5. Production of crumb rubber in January 2010 - August 2012, in %, to the analogical

period of the previous year

Fig. 6. Production of crumb rubber in 2005 - 2011, in tons

Fig. 7. Structure of production of crumb rubber by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation in January - August 2012, in physical terms

Fig. 8. Structure of production of crumb rubber by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation in 2007 - 2011, in physical terms

Fig. 9. Structure of production of crumb rubber in the Russian Federation by manufacturers

in 2005 - 2011, in physical terms

Fig. 10. Annual dynamics of the imports of crumb rubber in the Russian Federation in 2008

- 2011, in tons

Fig. 11. Dynamics of the imports of crumb rubber in the Russian Federation in January 2011

- July 2012, in tons

Fig. 12. Dynamics of the imports of crumb rubber in the Russian Federation in January 2011

- July 2012, in thousands of USD

Fig. 13. Structure of the imports of crumb rubber in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing countries in 2011, in physical terms


manufacturing countries in 2011, in value terms


manufacturing companies in 2011, in physical terms


manufacturing companies in 2011, in value terms

Fig. 17. Structure of the imports of rezinovovy crumbs in the Russian Federation by

recipient companies in 2011, in physical terms

Fig. 18. Structure of the imports of rezinovovy crumbs in the Russian Federation by

recipient companies in 2011, in value terms

Fig. 19. Structure of the imports of crumb rubber by regions of the Russian Federation in

2011, in physical terms

Fig. 20. Structure of the imports of crumb rubber by regions of the Russian Federation in

2011, in value terms

Fig. 21. Annual dynamics of the Russian exports of crumb rubber in 2008 - 2011, in tons

Fig. 22. Commissioning of automobile roads with hard surface by Federal Districts of the

Russian Federation in 2005 - 2009, in %




Fig. 23. Commissioning of automobile roads with hard surface in January - March 2011 by

Federal Districts, in %

Fig. 24. Commissioning of not common automobile roads with hard surface in January -

March 2011 by Federal Districts, in %

Fig. 25. Commissioning of common automobile roads with hard surface in January - March

2011 by Federal Districts, in %

Fig. 26. Production of rubber products by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in

2008-2010, in tons

Fig. 27. Production of automobile tires in 2008-2011, forecast until 2017, in millions of units

Fig. 28. Structure of production of tires by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in

2005-2011, in physical terms

Fig. 29. Dynamics of consumption of crumb rubber in the Russian Federation in 2008-

2017F, in tons

Fig. 30. Consumption of crumb rubber by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in 2008

– 2011. Forecast for 2012 - 2017, in physical terms

Fig. 31. Structure of consumption of crumb rubber by industry in 2009 – 2011. Forecast for

2012 - 2017, in physical terms

Fig. 32. Balance between supply and demand on the crumb rubber market in 2008 - 2011

and forecast until 2017, in tons




Executive Summary

…

The volume of supply on the Russian crumb rubber market in 2012 was almost … tons,

which is …% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume

of imported products on the crumb rubber market was …%.

The volume of production of crumb rubber in 2012 was … tons, which is …% higher than the

volume of production in 2011.

The largest share (…%) of all crumb rubber manufactured in the Russian Federation in 2012

belongs to the … Federal District.

In 2012, the import volume of crumb rubber in Russia amounted to … tons in physical terms

and to … thousand USD in value terms.

…

Key figures and

conclusions

about the market




4. Characteristics of the Russian

crumb rubber market

...

4.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian crumb rubber

market in 2007 - 2012. Forecast for 2012 – 2017

The volume of supply on the Russian crumb rubber market in 2012 was almost … tons,

which is …% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume

of imported products on the crumb rubber market was …% of the total market.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 1. Volume of the supply of crumb rubber in 2008 - 2012 and forecast for

2013 - 2017, in thousands of tons and percentage




4.2. Structure of the crumb rubber market in Russia: production,

exports, imports, consumption

The volume of imports of crumb rubber in 2012 was about … tons, which was …% of the

total market volume. A more detailed analysis of the imports and exports is presented

below.

Table 1. Volume and dynamics of the market of crumb rubber in Russia in

2008 – 2012 and forecast until 2017, in tons

2009 2010 2011F 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F

Volume of production

In tons … … … … … … … … …

In %, to

the previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of

exports In tons

… … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of imports

In tons … … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of total supply

In tons … … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)




5. Characteristics of the domestic

production of crumb rubber in Russia

in 2007 - 2012

…

5.1 Volume and dynamics of the production of crumb rubber in

2007 - 2012

In 2011, the volume of production was higher than for the analogical period of the previous

year.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 6 Production of crumb rubber in 2007 - 2011, in thousands of tons

Characteristics of domestic production

- Volume and dynamics by type of

product

- Production capacities

- Structure of production

- Main producers and their market shares




5.3 The main manufacturers of crumb rubber and their

corresponding market shares

Table 4. Manufacturers of crumb rubber and their corresponding market shares in

2011

Manufacturer Region

Production

of crumb

rubber, in

tons

Market

share

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

OTHERS … …

TOTAL … …

Source: Data (Company data), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

…




6. Characteristics of the imports of

crumb rubber into the Russian market 6.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of crumb rubber

…

The volume of imports of crumb rubber in 2011 was … tons. The largest amount of crumb

rubber was imported in …, when were imported … tons.

Table 8. Volume and dynamics of the imports of crumb rubber in 2012, in

thousands of tons

Month Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous month

January …

February … …%

March … …%

April … …%

May … …%

June … …%

July … …%

August … …%

September … …%

October … …%

November … …%

December … …%

Total …

Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)




Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 30. Dynamics of the imports of crumb rubber in Russia in 2012, in thousands

of tons and in %

…




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