rural transformation in india - rimisp · a feature of india’s rural transformation: those in...

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Page 1: Rural transformation in India - RIMISP · A feature of India’s rural transformation: those in agriculture are falling behind but the rural economy is becoming less agricultural

IN INDIA RURAL IS DEFINED AS NOT “URBAN”

AND

URBAN IS DEFINED AS:

(A) ALL PLACES SO ADMINISTRATIVELY NOTIFIED

(B) OTHER PLACES WHICH SATISFY ALL THE FOLLOWING:

� MINIMUM POPULATION OF 5,000

� AT LEAST 75% OF MALE WORKERS IN NON-AGRICULTURE

� A DENSITY OF POPULATION OF AT LEAST 400 SQ. KM.

Rural transformation in IndiaStrategic vision from the Eleventh Plan

Page 2: Rural transformation in India - RIMISP · A feature of India’s rural transformation: those in agriculture are falling behind but the rural economy is becoming less agricultural

India is urbanising, but rather slowly and in a concentrated way.

� Currently about 30% of India’s population is in urban areas, up from 17% in 1951 and 23% in 1981. � 70% of current urban population live in about 400 towns of

above 100,000 population size. Such towns numbered 76 and 218 in 1951 and 1981, accounting for 45% and 60% of urban population. Towns less than 100,000 population increased from 2767 in 1951 to 3987 in 2001 but their share in India’s population has actually declined.� Urban growth is mainly through natural increase, boundary

changes or areal reclassification. Rural-urban migration has accounted for less than 30% of urban population increase since 1981, and less than 20% of the rural natural increase. � India’s rural population is now about 830 million, living in

about 600,000 villages. In 2001, 54% of the rural population lived in the 17% of villages with more than 2000 population.

Page 3: Rural transformation in India - RIMISP · A feature of India’s rural transformation: those in agriculture are falling behind but the rural economy is becoming less agricultural

Rural-Urban Disparities are large

� 55% of rural females and 36% of rural males are illiterate, as compared to 30% and 19% in urban.

� Infant mortality is 61 in rural against 37 in urban.

� 46% of rural children are underweight and 41% of rural women have low BMI, against 33% and 25% in urban areas.

� Only 50% of rural people have pucca houses and 60% electricity, compared to over 90% in urban. 78% of rural households still use firewood for cooking.

� Less than 10% of rural households own mechanised transport as compared to over 30% in urban.

Page 4: Rural transformation in India - RIMISP · A feature of India’s rural transformation: those in agriculture are falling behind but the rural economy is becoming less agricultural

Income and Consumption Data also show large and growing disparity, but there are optimistic signs as well

� Latest data show urban per capita NDP 2.8 times rural and urban private consumption 1.9 times rural, with both ratios up significantly since 1980.

� What this means in terms of relative welfare and poverty depends on urban-rural price differentials, and there is some controversy.

� However, interestingly, these ratios have stabilised in most recent years when overall GDP growth increased.

� Ratio of urban to rural

Page 5: Rural transformation in India - RIMISP · A feature of India’s rural transformation: those in agriculture are falling behind but the rural economy is becoming less agricultural

A feature of India’s rural transformation: those in agriculture are falling behind but the rural economy is becoming less agricultural

� Agriculture Share in Overall Income and Employment

� Agriculture Share in Rural Income and Employment

Page 6: Rural transformation in India - RIMISP · A feature of India’s rural transformation: those in agriculture are falling behind but the rural economy is becoming less agricultural

The rural economy diversified most during a period when agriculture decelerated hugely

� A combination of factors caused agricultural growth to decelerate sharply during the decade from mid-1990s to mid-2000s

� During this period, considerable farmer distress and also diversification out of agriculture by the young and relatively rich. Interestingly, more of the poor took to cultivation

� Although considerable rebound in agricultural growth since then, concerns remain regarding future sustainability

Page 7: Rural transformation in India - RIMISP · A feature of India’s rural transformation: those in agriculture are falling behind but the rural economy is becoming less agricultural

This particular phase of rural diversification may be quite different from past patterns

� In the past, it was agricultural growth and demands emerging from this that had spurred rural diversification, with expansion of the public sector into rural areas also playing a major role.� Between 1993-2005, agriculture slowed down sharply and

public employment in rural areas contracted.� The growth of rural non-agriculture during this period was

strongest in mining, manufacturing, construction, trade and transport and weakest in community, social and personal services.� Moreover, regional patterns of rural growth appear to have

got more correlated with urban growth and less with agriculture. � Cheap labour and land and appear to be attracting into rural

areas investment that had earlier gone mainly to urban areas.

Page 8: Rural transformation in India - RIMISP · A feature of India’s rural transformation: those in agriculture are falling behind but the rural economy is becoming less agricultural

While clearly increasing rural incomes, this development almost certainly increased inequalities within rural areas

� During the period before 1993-94, the Gini coefficient of rural consumption was decreasing. This was reversed thereafter.

� Inequalities in rural areas are even more in the social and agro-climatic dimensions than in the income/ consumption dimension.

� Tribal populations are locked in small settlements with poor infrastructure and competing demand for natural resources affects their livelihood.

� Scheduled castes, some religious minorities and women clearly face discrimination and are also likely to have less education.

� Infrastructure and agro-climatic deficits cause about a third of the districts in India to be much poorer than the rest.

Page 9: Rural transformation in India - RIMISP · A feature of India’s rural transformation: those in agriculture are falling behind but the rural economy is becoming less agricultural

In 2004, the UPA government came to power, defeating the “Shining India” slogan of the BJP

The UPA/11th Plan architecture:� Bharat Nirman� Backward Regions Grants Fund� Integrated Watershed Development� Horticultural & Food Security Missions � Rastriya Krishi Vikas Yojana� Sarva Siksha Abhiyan

Panchayati Raj as an agencyEnactments:� National Rural Employment Guarantee� Right to Information� Tribal and Forest Dwellers Act� Right to Education

This is an ongoing vision that has its critics and needs to be compared in detail with other types of Rural Development Interventions.