rrec – the public policy perspective mike lawlor, undersecretary

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RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary Criminal Justice Policy & Planning Division Office of Policy and Management 1

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RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary Criminal Justice Policy & Planning Division Office of Policy and Management. Connecticut’s prison population since February 2008. Average sentenced admits per month. Monthly Criminal Arrests in CT. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

1

RREC – The Public Policy PerspectiveMike Lawlor, Undersecretary

Criminal Justice Policy & Planning DivisionOffice of Policy and Management

Page 2: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

2

Connecticut’s prison population since February 2008

19,894

18,978

18,05317,746

17,02216,646

14,000

15,000

16,000

17,000

18,000

19,000

20,000

21,000

FEB '08M

ARAPRM

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DEC

JAN '09

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JULY

AUG

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DEC

JAN '10

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AYJU

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JULY

AUG

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JAN '11

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AYJU

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JULY

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JAN '12

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JULY

AUG

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Page 3: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

3

Average sentenced admits per month

435.8

425.2 426.8 423.3430.8

393.5384.9

389.5

350.0

360.0

370.0

380.0

390.0

400.0

410.0

420.0

430.0

440.0

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Avg. sentenced admits per month

Page 4: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

4

Monthly Criminal Arrests in CT

8,543

8,249

8,660

8,406

9,067

8,343

9,495

9,287

8,793 8,368

10,6319,866

10,372 10,8479,773

10,6179,792

9,072 8,6607,998

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

Criminal arrests, 2012

Criminal arrests, 2011

119,432 118,940115,601 115,337 114,011

117,196124,249

114,156

104,983

90,000

100,000

110,000

120,000

130,000

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Statewide criminal arrests - 2003 - 2011

Page 5: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

5

System Chart – Monthly Indicators Report, September 2012

Page 6: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

6

Releases and discharges – Monthly Indicators Report, Sept. 2012

Page 7: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

7

Average releases and discharges per month

1,773.11,789.6

1,798.8

1,728.8

1,780.9

1,703.3

1,720.11,706.5

1,640.0

1,660.0

1,680.0

1,700.0

1,720.0

1,740.0

1,760.0

1,780.0

1,800.0

1,820.0

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Average number of monthly release and discharges

Monthly Average = Annual monthly releases and discharges divided by 12. 2012 Figure calculated through August - total was divided by 8

Page 8: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

8

Imnate id NameTPAI

scoreSentence,

daysSuspended after, days

Date sentenced

Last DOC admit

Actual release

date

Estimated min. release

dateActual days incarcerated

Percent incarcera

ted Release type1 95277 WILSON,MARVIN 5 2920 2190 5/22/2003 3/18/2002 3/17/2008 3/16/2008 2,191 100% eos to SP2 302350 PHILLIPS,WADSWORTH F 5 6570 2190 4/30/2003 7/9/2002 7/8/2008 7/7/2008 2,191 100% eos - jamaican citizen3 268936 SALABERRIOS,NOEL 5 3650 365 9/19/2007 1/29/2007 1/29/2008 1/29/2008 365 100% eos4 306755 COLE,KEVIN 5 5100 2190 4/21/2004 12/4/2002 12/2/2008 12/2/2008 2,190 100% eos -jamaican citizen5 324484 PASCAL,BRENT 5 2555 1095 2/3/2006 2/2/2005 2/2/2008 2/2/2008 1,095 100% eos, dominican citizen6 338290 GUIRAND,FRITZ D 5 1460 365 7/9/2007 7/9/2007 7/8/2008 7/8/2008 365 100% eos7 306991 PADILLA,JIMMY JERRY 5 2920 1825 7/3/2003 6/30/2003 6/27/2008 6/28/2008 1,824 100% eos honduran citizen8 326259 ROBINSON,STEFAN N JR 5 3650 1460 11/4/2005 2/10/2005 12/15/2008 2/9/2009 1,404 96% parole9 297007 HARRISON,PAUL 5 4745 2555 2/14/2003 12/21/2001 7/29/2008 12/19/2008 2,412 94% parole

10 57999 CIANCI,RICHARD 5 3650 1825 5/28/2004 9/14/2003 5/27/2008 9/12/2008 1,717 94% parole11 267655 DONNELLY,MICHAEL 5 2190 2190 6/26/2003 4/10/2003 11/12/2008 4/8/2009 2,043 93% parole12 283901 RESTO,FRANKIE 5 4745 2250 1/23/2007 7/31/2006 4/12/2012 9/27/2012 2,082 93% eos, RREC13 218881 ARRIAGA,ANGEL 5 5110 2190 7/17/2003 9/30/2002 4/14/2008 9/28/2008 2,023 92% parole14 300392 EVANS,ALEX GODFREY 5 4380 2555 7/21/2003 4/29/2002 9/19/2008 4/27/2009 2,335 91% eos15 319251 ROSS,NNAMDII R 5 3650 1350 7/20/2005 11/8/2004 3/25/2008 7/20/2008 1,233 91% parole16 329194 SCOTT,BERNARD 5 2555 1260 9/16/2005 3/3/2005 4/18/2008 8/14/2008 1,142 91% CR17 291885 GARDNER,DERMAINE D 5 3650 1825 7/1/2004 3/18/2004 9/15/2008 3/17/2009 1,642 90% CR18 275238 PETTWAY,MARQUIS 5 6570 3560 9/6/2000 7/6/1999 4/10/2008 4/4/2009 3,201 90% parole19 309283 BANTON,STEVE ANTHONY 5 1980 1980 11/14/2003 10/18/2003 7/8/2008 3/20/2009 1,725 87% CR20 290232 QUINONES,ALEXIS 5 2555 2555 4/1/2002 5/22/2001 5/10/2007 5/20/2008 2,179 85% parole21 13239 BURNEY,LEONARD 5 3650 3650 9/10/1998 2/9/1998 8/17/2006 2/7/2008 3,111 85% CR22 316012 KRASOWSKI,THOMAS J 5 3650 1825 10/7/2004 8/26/2004 11/14/2008 8/25/2009 1,541 84% CR23 316759 JACKSON,ERICK 5 3650 1825 4/30/2004 11/21/2003 1/28/2008 11/19/2008 1,529 84% CR24 56811 DAVENPORT,DAVID 5 3650 3650 5/26/2000 3/12/1999 7/10/2007 3/9/2009 3,042 83% CR25 316046 HENNEBERRY,MATTHEW 5 4380 1825 10/22/2004 4/3/2004 5/14/2008 4/2/2009 1,502 82% CR26 180152 DIAZ,SIGFREDO 5 5840 2920 6/7/2002 9/4/2001 3/31/2008 9/2/2009 2,400 82% CR27 326633 GREENE,DONALD L 5 2920 1825 9/2/2005 11/22/2004 10/10/2008 11/21/2009 1,418 78% CR28 307859 MARTIN,KENNETH JAQUIN 5 3650 1825 4/12/2004 12/15/2003 10/29/2007 12/13/2008 1,414 77% CR29 334848 GARAY,JOEL 5 2555 1095 5/25/2006 10/3/2005 1/17/2008 10/2/2008 836 76% CR30 323836 RICHARDSON,STEVEN 5 4830 1825 11/21/2005 8/17/2004 6/4/2008 8/16/2009 1,387 76% CR31 323923 CLARK,MATTHEW T 5 4830 1825 5/16/2005 12/16/2004 9/24/2008 12/15/2009 1,378 76% CR32 319304 JOYCE,ROBERT 5 4380 1620 12/6/2004 3/20/2004 7/26/2007 8/26/2008 1,223 75% CR33 326299 JOHNSON,TYRON 5 3650 1095 11/4/2005 2/10/2005 5/8/2007 2/10/2008 817 75% CR34 318864 SMITH,STEVEN T 5 3650 1825 11/3/2004 9/28/2004 6/17/2008 9/27/2009 1,358 74% CR35 332067 LEE,DAVID 5 3650 1460 6/24/2005 6/24/2005 5/28/2008 6/23/2009 1,069 73% CR36 276654 HARRELL,JAMES C 5 6570 1825 11/10/2005 5/25/2003 1/19/2007 5/23/2008 1,335 73% CR37 325118 VILLEGAS,RAFAEL 5 2920 1260 2/4/2005 9/28/2004 3/22/2007 3/11/2008 905 72% CR38 348087 ARCE,LUIS 5 2920 730 2/9/2007 2/9/2007 7/9/2008 2/8/2009 516 71% CR39 343504 PASK,BENJAMIN 5 3650 1095 8/30/2006 8/30/2006 8/21/2008 8/29/2009 722 66% CR40 323818 HANSON,JEROME 5 2555 1460 7/8/2005 8/16/2004 2/19/2007 8/15/2008 917 63% CR41 349906 MOISE,JOHN 5 4380 900 12/20/2007 4/26/2007 10/10/2008 10/12/2009 533 59% CR

Page 9: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

9

93%

59%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

32625929700757999267655F. RESTO2188813003923192513291942918852752383092833092832902321323931601231675956811316046180152326633307859334848323836323923319304326299318864332067276654325118348087343504323818349906

Page 10: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

10

Risk Reduction Earned Credits (RREC):a preliminary review of implementation and

performance issues

Karl Lewis – Director of Offender Classification and Population Management , The Connecticut Department of Correction

&Ivan Kuzyk, Director, Statistical Analysis Center

The Office of Policy & Management

Page 11: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

11

Purpose of this analysis by OPM

OPM has been tracking RREC discharges since they were implemented last year.

This is the first opportunity OPM has had to summarize the impact of RREC on recidivism among offenders discharging from prison

Purpose of this analysis is both to: clarify the operations with respect to RREC, and to report preliminary findings with respect

to offender recidivism

Page 12: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

12

Discretionary releases are a time-tested, widely used tool in correction systems in every U.S. state.

In October 2010, one year before the RREC began, 1,604 offenders were released or discharged from state prisons. 747 of these offenders (43%) left prison through some

discretionary release mechanism. In October 2010, the DOC released prisoners through 6

discretionary release programs. By September 2012, the DOC has expanded the number

of discretionary release programs to 7 DUI Home confinement was introduced in March 2012

In October 2011, 1,722 offenders were released or discharged from DOC facilities

Discretionary Release Mechanisms at DOC

Page 13: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

13

Discretionary release mechanisms: Parole Transitional Supervision Transfer Parole Transfer Placement DUI Home Confinement Re-entry Furlough Halfway Houses

Each mechanism provides an alternative pathway to completing a prison sentences in lieu of incarceration.

Discretionary Release Mechanisms at DOC (2)

Page 14: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

14

Between October 5, 2011 and September 5,2012, 8,941 offenders were eligible to earn RREC only 8,700 were awarded at least one day of

RREC.

Discharges

177

600455

327 303 354 306 309 343 334 393

22

77

501584

493 507 512408 466 440 393

431

220

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Oct. 2011

Nov. 2011

Dec. 2011

Jan. 2012

Feb. 2012

Mar. 2012

Apr. 2012

May 2012

Jun. 2012

Jul. 2012

Aug. 2012

Sept.2012

Other From facilities From community

Page 15: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

15

The average offender who was granted RREC earned 60.4 days.

The median offender earned 32 days of RREC 79% earned under 3 months

RREC receivers

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

1 8 15 22 29 36 43 50 57 64 71 78 85 92 99 106113120127134141148155162169176183190197204211218225232239246254261269276283290297304311318326333340347354363376

Off

ende

rs re

ceiv

ing

RREC

RREC days awarded

Average RREC awarded: 60.4 days

Median RREC awarded: 32.0 days

0 to < 1 month, 50%

1 to <2 months, 19% 2 to <3 months,

10%

3 to < 6 months, 13%

6 to < 9 months, 5%

9 to < 1 year, 3%

Page 16: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

16

RREC and discretionary releases

In April 2012, 84% of offenders who discharged from prison, discharged with less than 90 days of RRECIn August 2012: – the average offender discharged from prison earned 49.3 days of RREC – the average offender discharged in the community earned 89.5 days.

734

200 234100 74 37 28 19 8 11 6 5 11

0

160

320

480

640

800

APRIL MAY JUN JUL AUG SEPT OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR

April prison and community discharges

RREC discharge

Discharge w/o RREC

408

161138

43 27 14 7 7 2 2 2 1 40

90

180

270

360

450

APRIL MAY JUN JUL AUG SEPT OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR

April discharges from prison

RREC discharge

Discharge w/o RREC

Page 17: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

17

Measuring recidivism (2)Between October 5, 2011 and September 5, 2012, 8,941 offenders discharged from prison having earned RREC of these, 8,700 were awarded RREC

By September 5, 2012, there were 1,403 readmits to DOC facilities by these 8,941 men.

These 1,403 admits were made by 1,202 offenders

So, can we compute the recidivism rate of these offenders from this data?

020406080

100120140

10/5/2011

10/12/20…

10/19/20…

10/26/20…

11/2/2011

11/9/2011

11/16/20…

11/23/20…

11/30/20…

12/7/2011

12/14/20…

12/21/20…

12/28/20…

1/4/2012

1/11/2012

1/18/2012

1/25/2012

2/1/2012

2/8/2012

2/15/2012

2/22/2012

2/29/2012

3/7/2012

3/14/2012

3/21/2012

3/28/2012

4/4/2012

4/11/2012

4/18/2012

4/25/2012

5/2/2012

5/9/2012

5/16/2012

5/23/2012

5/30/2012

6/6/2012

6/13/2012

6/20/2012

6/27/2012

7/4/2012

7/11/2012

7/18/2012

7/25/2012

8/1/2012

8/8/2012

8/15/2012

8/22/2012

8/29/2012

9/5/2012

FACILITY COMM

Page 18: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

18

Measuring recidivism (1)

Recidivist: a convicted criminal who reoffends

By extension, recidivism rates explain how and how long it takes for groups of criminals to reoffend

There are two main concerns: What events constitute recidivism, and How long should you wait before calculating

rates.

Page 19: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

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Measuring recidivism (3)

020406080

100120140

10/5/2011

10/12/20…

10/19/20…

10/26/20…

11/2/2011

11/9/2011

11/16/20…

11/23/20…

11/30/20…

12/7/2011

12/14/20…

12/21/20…

12/28/20…

1/4/2012

1/11/2012

1/18/2012

1/25/2012

2/1/2012

2/8/2012

2/15/2012

2/22/2012

2/29/2012

3/7/2012

3/14/2012

3/21/2012

3/28/2012

4/4/2012

4/11/2012

4/18/2012

4/25/2012

5/2/2012

5/9/2012

5/16/2012

5/23/2012

5/30/2012

6/6/2012

6/13/2012

6/20/2012

6/27/2012

7/4/2012

7/11/2012

7/18/2012

7/25/2012

8/1/2012

8/8/2012

8/15/2012

8/22/2012

8/29/2012

9/5/2012

FACILITY COMM

020406080

100120140

05-Oct-11

12-Oct-11

19-Oct-11

26-Oct-11

02-Nov-11

09-Nov-11

16-Nov-11

23-Nov-11

30-Nov-11

07-Dec-11

14-Dec-11

21-Dec-11

28-Dec-11

04-Jan-12

11-Jan-12

18-Jan-12

25-Jan-12

01-Feb-12

08-Feb-12

15-Feb-12

22-Feb-12

29-Feb-12

07-Mar-12

14-Mar-12

21-Mar-12

28-Mar-12

04-Apr-12

11-Apr-12

18-Apr-12

25-Apr-12

02-May-12

09-May-12

16-May-12

23-May-12

30-May-12

06-Jun-12

13-Jun-12

20-Jun-12

27-Jun-12

04-Jul-12

11-Jul-12

18-Jul-12

25-Jul-12

01-Aug-12

08-Aug-12

15-Aug-12

22-Aug-12

29-Aug-12

05-Sep-12

FACILITY COMM

To compute recidivism rates you require a fixed time component and a meaningful cohort

Six months

Six months

Six months

Page 20: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

20

Measuring recidivism (2) OPM had been publishing annual recidivism

studies of state prisoners for almost a decade. OPM uses:

Data from the Dept. of Correction, the State Police and the Judicial Branch (CSSD)

We apply a consistent methodology to our studies based on US DOJ practice

We track four measures New arrests New convictions Reincarceration events, and Returns to prison with a new sentence

Page 21: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

21

Measuring recidivism (3) In recent years OPM has published recidivism

studies based on 2-year, 3-year and 5-year outcome data.

We have tracked recidivism among sex offenders, high risk offenders, career criminals and gun felons.

Our reports are available on the OPM website.

OPM has developed excellent benchmark recidivism data for cohorts of offenders who were released in 2004, 2005 and 2008.

Page 22: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

22

Measuring recidivism – Typical analysis

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36

Cu

mu

lati

ve p

erce

nt

of

coh

ort

Months since 2005 release/discharge

3-Year Recidivsm Rates for CT Offenders Released in 2005

New Arrest

Return to Prison

New Conviction (CCH)

New Prison Sentence

Page 23: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

23

Measuring recidivism – Data Required + Time

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36

Cu

mu

lati

ve p

erce

nt

of

coh

ort

Months since 2005 release/discharge

3-Year Recidivsm Rates for CT Offenders Released in 2005

New Arrest

Return to Prison

New Conviction (CCH)

New Prison Sentence

DOC Data

Judicial, State Police data

Time to gather data

Page 24: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

24

Measuring recidivism – 4 measures over time

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36

Cu

mu

lati

ve p

erce

nt

of

coh

ort

Months since 2005 release/discharge

3-Year Recidivsm Rates for CT Offenders Released in 2005

New Arrest

Return to Prison

New Conviction (CCH)

New Prison Sentence

67.5%

53.6%53.7%

36.6%

Predictive and stable

Page 25: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

25

Recidivism – Return to prison w/in 6 months

3,279 offenders who had earned RREC were released or discharged between October 1, 2011 and January 31, 2012 . 3,178 were awarded at least one day of RREC

During the 6-month period following their discharge dates, 420 offenders were returned to prison (12.8%)

By September 9, 2012 – 628 offenders in the group of 3,279 had returned to prison 769 times.

1.7%3.6%

6.3%8.8%

10.7%12.8%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12Months since release or discharge

Recidivsm - Return to prison

Page 26: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

26

Recidivism – Return to prison w/in 6 months

12.8%

21.2%

33.5%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12Months since release or discharge

Recidivsm - Return to prison

RREC Cum. %

2008 Cohort, Cum. %

In 2008, 16,286 offenders were discharged or released from prison.

In the 6 months follow there releases, 21% were returned to prison

Offenders receiving RREC during October through January returned to prison at considerably lower rates than offenders in 2008.

Page 27: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

27

Recidivism – Return to prison w/in 6 months

12.8%

20.7%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Months since release or discharge

Recidivsm - Return to Prison

RREC Cum. %

2008 Cohort, Cum. %

2005 Cohort, Cum. %

16,241 offenders were discharged or released from prison during 2005. These offenders returned to prison at rates similar to the rate for offenders in 2005.

Offenders receiving RREC during October 2011 through January 2012 returned to prison at considerably lower rates than offenders in 2005 or 2008.

Page 28: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

28

RREC – The Numbers (3)3-year 6-month 6-month

Cohort 2008 2008 RREC*New admits 4,897 1,521 339Other** 110 116 13New sentences 783 169 23Tech/criminal violations 2,613 1,640 45Returned to prison 8,403 3,446 420Cohort 16,286 16,286 3,279Rate 52% 21% 13%Recidivism, rate by typeRecid New admits 30% 9% 10%Recid Other 1% 3% 3%Recid New sentences 5% 1% 1%Recid for Tech/criminal violations 16% 10% 1%Recidivism, distribution by typeNew admit 58% 44% 81%Other 1% 3% 3%New sentence 9% 5% 5%Crim. & tech. violations 31% 48% 11%Recid RTP 100% 100% 100%*RREC - Releases and discharges, Oct. 1, 2011 through Jan. 31, 2012

** Other includes non-prejudical returns and other jurisdictions

Page 29: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

29

3-year 6-month 6-monthCohort 2008 2008 RREC*New admits 4,897 1,521 339Other** 110 116 13New sentences 783 169 23Tech/criminal violations 2,613 1,640 45Returned to prison 8,403 3,446 420Cohort 16,286 16,286 3,279Rate 52% 21% 13%Recidivism, rate by typeRecid New admits 30% 9% 10%Recid Other 1% 3% 3%Recid New sentences 5% 1% 1%Recid for Tech/criminal violations 16% 10% 1%Recidivism, distribution by typeNew admit 58% 44% 81%Other 1% 3% 3%New sentence 9% 5% 5%Crim. & tech. violations 31% 48% 11%Recid RTP 100% 100% 100%*RREC - Releases and discharges, Oct. 1, 2011 through Jan. 31, 2012

** Other includes non-prejudical returns and other jurisdictions

Page 30: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

30

3-year 6-month 6-monthCohort 2008 2008 RREC*New admits 4,897 1,521 339Other** 110 116 13New sentences 783 169 23Tech/criminal violations 2,613 1,640 45Returned to prison 8,403 3,446 420Cohort 16,286 16,286 3,279Rate 52% 21% 13%Recidivism, rate by typeRecid New admits 30% 9% 10%Recid Other 1% 3% 3%Recid New sentences 5% 1% 1%Recid for Tech/criminal violations 16% 10% 1%Recidivism, distribution by typeNew admit 58% 44% 81%Other 1% 3% 3%New sentence 9% 5% 5%Crim. & tech. violations 31% 48% 11%Recid RTP 100% 100% 100%*RREC - Releases and discharges, Oct. 1, 2011 through Jan. 31, 2012

** Other includes non-prejudical returns and other jurisdictions

Page 31: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

31

6-month rate: 13% vs. 21%

12.8%

20.7%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12Months since release or discharge

Recidivsm - Return to Prison

RREC Cum. %

2005 Cohort, Cum. %

Comparing the recidivism rates for 2005 and RREC receivers, OPM tested what would happen if technical violations were not counted in the 2005 rate.

Page 32: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

2005 recidivism w/o technical violations

12.8%

20.7%

14.3%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12Months since release or discharge

Recidivsm - Return to prison

RREC Cum. %

2005 Cohort, Cum. %

2005 Cohort - No TV, Cum. %

When technical violation were not added in, the 2005, 6-month recidivism rate for returns to prison dropped from 20.7% to 14.3%. Criminal violations in 2005 were still counted.

32

Page 33: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

Nine month rates – 18% vs. 28%

33

20.7%

28.1%

12.8%

18.4%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12Months since release or discharge

Recidivism - Return to prison

2008 Cohort, Cum. %

2005 Cohort, Cum. %

RREC Cum % 9 month

020406080

100120140

05-Oct-11

12-Oct-11

19-Oct-11

26-Oct-11

02-Nov-11

09-Nov-11

16-Nov-11

23-Nov-11

30-Nov-11

07-Dec-11

14-Dec-11

21-Dec-11

28-Dec-11

04-Jan-12

11-Jan-12

18-Jan-12

25-Jan-12

01-Feb-12

08-Feb-12

15-Feb-12

22-Feb-12

29-Feb-12

07-Mar-12

14-Mar-12

21-Mar-12

28-Mar-12

04-Apr-12

11-Apr-12

18-Apr-12

25-Apr-12

02-May-12

09-May-12

16-May-12

23-May-12

30-May-12

06-Jun-12

13-Jun-12

20-Jun-12

27-Jun-12

04-Jul-12

11-Jul-12

18-Jul-12

25-Jul-12

01-Aug-12

08-Aug-12

15-Aug-12

22-Aug-12

29-Aug-12

05-Sep-12

FACILITY COMM

Nine months

Nine months

Page 34: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

34

Summary of the analysis 6-month recidivism rates for offenders discharged with

RREC were significantly lower than the rates for offenders discharged during 2005 and 2008.

The difference in rates appears to be largely accounted for by the drop in the number of returns-to-prison for technical violations.

When technical violations were removed – the recidivism

rates for both 2005 and 2008 cohorts declined to the near the level of RREC offenders.

Page 35: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

35

Sentence Credits: The Historical Perspective

Connecticut’s sentencing structure has evolved greatly over the past three decades.

Currently, sentencing credits are more restrictive than at any time that these credits have been available.

Page 36: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

36

Connecticut’s prison population 1973-2012

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

1973

1974

1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

prison population

Indeterminate sentencing,to 10/1976

Determinate sentencing,from 7/1981

Definite,Indefinite &

Indeterminate sentencing

7/1983 – 10/199410 days per month for first 5 years. 12 days for sixth and

subsequent years.

10/1976 – 7/198110 days per month for first 5 years. 15 days for sixth and subsequent years

Prior to 10/1976

60 days for first 5 years.

90 days for sixth and

subsequent 7/1981 – 7/198310 days per month for first 5 years. 12 days for sixth and subsequent years

7/20115 days per month

Between 10/1975 and 10/1994, offenders also earned good time credit for pre-trial incarceration.

Page 37: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

37

Connecticut’s prison population 1973-2012

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

1973

1974

1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

prison population

Violent crimes in CT

Indeterminate sentencing,to 10/1976

Determinate sentencing,from 7/1981

Definite,Indefinite &

Indeterminate sentencing

7/1983 – 10/199410 days per month for first 5 years. 12 days for sixth and

subsequent years.

10/1976 – 7/198110 days per month for first 5 years. 15 days for sixth and subsequent years

Prior to 10/1976

60 days for first 5 years.

90 days for sixth and

subsequent 7/1981 – 7/198310 days per month for first 5 years. 12 days for sixth and subsequent years

7/20115 days per month

Between 10/1975 and 10/1994, offenders also earned good time credit for pre-trial incarceration.

Page 38: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

38

Incentives and disincentives

Inmate-on-inmate assaults declined by 11% from FY 10-11 to FY11-12.

Disciplinary reports declined by 6% during the same period.

Anecdotal evidence indicates that program participation is up significantly and programs waiting lists have been reduced.

Page 39: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

39

RREC – The Details (1) The Risk Reduction Earned Credit (RREC) was

implemented in accordance with Public Act 11-51.

Purpose: to provide an incentive for sentenced offenders to act in accordance with Department rules, and participate in programming that will reduce

the likelihood of re-offense. The Commissioner of Correction is authorized to

award up to five days per month credit for good behavior combined with adherence to rehabilitative programming recommendations.

Page 40: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

40

RREC – The Details (2) Only inmates sentenced to a crime committed on

or after October 1, 1994 are eligible to earn RREC. Accused prisoners may not earn RREC regardless of whether they accrue Jail Credit.

An inmate shall not earn credit, and may forfeit any or all credit earned (or credit that might be earned in the future), for: institutional misconduct refusing needed programming refusing to provide DNA being on escape or absconder status, or placement on a restrictive status.

Page 41: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

41

RREC – The Details (3)

The maximum amount of days earned per month is five. Thus, the maximum number of days that can be earned for a year is 52.

Inmates convicted of the following crimes are not eligible to receive RREC: 53a-54a – Murder 53a-54b – Capital Felony 53a-54c – Felony Murder 53a-54d – Arson Murder 53a-70a – Sexual Assault, First Degree with a

Firearm 53a-100aa – Home Invasion

Page 42: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

42

RREC – The Details (4)

RREC shall not reduce the mandatory portion of a sentence. There are more than 60 criminal statutes that carry mandatory minimums of this type in Connecticut.

Inmates earn credit on each separate sentence; however, an aggregate sentence will be reduced by no more than five days per month.

Page 43: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

43

RREC – The Details (5)

Retroactive credit at the rate of 5 days per month may have been applied if an inmate was serving a continuous sentence from April 1, 2006 or later through October 1, 2011 and met the conduct and programmatic criteria outlined above. By statute, the Department of Correction had until June 30, 2012 to complete the implementation of retroactive credit.

Credits that are forfeited due to a disciplinary finding may be restored after a prolonged period of good behavior and program participation.

Page 44: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

44

RREC – Implementation (1)

The Department implemented the RREC program in October, 2011 and had until June 30, 2012 to complete implementation, including application of retroactive credits as authorized by the Public Act.

Application of retroactive credit within the implementation period was prioritized, with the lowest level offenders evaluated first and the highest level offenders last.

Page 45: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

45

RREC – Implementation (2)

Approximately 4000 manual reviews for application of retroactive credit were completed.

Implementation presented considerable logistical challenges which were compounded by an antiquated information system and the fact that our central inmate records remain paper- based.

For example, because the Department’s computer system cannot docket full statute numbers, DOC staff had to manually review about 9,500 files to determine which sentences met mandatory-sentence criteria.

Page 46: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

46

RREC – Implementation (3)

To accomplish the implementation in the given time frame, the Department diverted resources at the Correctional Counselor and Records ID Specialist levels and utilized overtime.

In order to increase the number of class sessions available and reduce inmate waitlists for recommended programs, the Department utilized overtime, generally on second shift, and redeployed resources from two correctional facilities that closed. This practice has reduced waitlists substantially.

Page 47: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

47

RREC – Implementation (4)

The Department is establishing a Discharge Review Board that will: Review all inmates discharging from facilities

two weeks before discharge. Ensure all credit has been applied correctly. Ensure all programs have been accurately

credited. Ensure all non-compliance and disciplinary

action has resulted in appropriate penalties Review relevant victim impact information and

suspend or reduce credit as appropriate.

Page 48: RREC – The Public Policy Perspective Mike Lawlor, Undersecretary

48

RREC – Implementation (5)

The Department is establishing a Discharge Review Board that will: Ensure that dangerous offenders who are not

in compliance with an Offender Accountability Plan, or who present a continued threat to public safety, receive negative RREC adjustments.

Integrate the new state-of the-art risk assessment tools (SCORES) into the discharge review process.