rr 150420084

54
Sector Coverage April 15, 2008 Indian Processed Food Industry Opportunities Galore Industry Overview Global Processed Food Industry Indian Processed Food Industry Processed Food Industry - A Sunrise sector Where the opportunity lies- areas for investment Industry Analysis Driving Forces Major Challenges Indian Food Processing Industry by sectors Diar y Fruits and Vegetable Grain s Meat and Poultry Fis h Packaged/Convenience Food Aerated Soft Drinks, Packaged drinking water Export s FDI in Food Processing Government Regulation and support Regulatory framework Outlook Initiating Coverage Lakshmi Energy & Foods Ruchi Soya Analyst - Nisha Harchekar

Upload: hiral-parekh

Post on 10-Nov-2014

128 views

Category:

Documents


7 download

DESCRIPTION

mba

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Rr 150420084

Sector CoverageApril 15, 2008

Indian Processed Food Industry

Opportunities Galore

Industry OverviewGlobal Processed Food IndustryIndian Processed Food Industry

Processed Food Industry - A Sunrise sectorWhere the opportunity lies- areas for investment

Industry Analysis Driving Forces Major Challenges

Indian Food Processing Industry by sectorsDiar

yFruits and Vegetable

GrainsMeat and Poultry

FishPackaged/Convenience FoodAerated Soft Drinks, Packaged drinking water

Exports

FDI in Food Processing

Government Regulation and support

Regulatory framework

Outlook

Initiating CoverageLakshmi Energy & FoodsRuchi Soya

Analyst - Nisha Harchekar [email protected]

Sectors - FMCG, Pharma,

Page 2: Rr 150420084

Entertainment

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: [email protected] website: www.way2wealth.com

Page 3: Rr 150420084

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

Marketcap (Rscrores) 157

0PE (x) 6.8

Sector Coverage

Indian Processed Food Industry

Opportunities Galore

Executive Summary

FY09(E)

Ruchi Soya

The size of global processed food industry is estimated to be valued around US $3.6 trillion and accounts for three-fourth of the global food sales. Despite its large size, only 6% of processed foods are traded across borders compared to 16% of major bulk agricultural commodities. Indian food-processing industry is miniscule in comparison and is estimated to be US $40 billion and is likely to grow at over 10%, on the basis of an expected GDP growth rate of 8-8.5% p.a.

With enormous scope for value addition, increase in the consumption of processed food

CMP (Rs) 86

Mktcap/sales (x) 0.1EV/EBITDA (x) 5.3RoCE (%) 16.8RoNW (%) 15.0

Lakshmi Energy & Foods

FY09(E)CMP (Rs) 200Marketcap (Rscrores) 1200PE (x) 7.2Mktcap/sales (x) 0.9EV/EBITDA (x) 4.4RoCE (%) 29.3RoNW (%) 35.5

products in India and many fiscal incentives being planned by the government, this sector is poised to maintain the growth momentum in the future. Moreover, the advent of the WTO regime and the possibility of reduced subsidies in developed countries can add to India’s strengths in food production and processing industry.

India accounts for less than 1.5% of international food trade despite being one of the world’s major food producers, which indicates huge potential for both investors and exporters. With rapid increase in the per capita income and purchasing power along with increased urbanization, improved standards of living, there lies a large untapped opportunity to cater to 1000 million domestic consumers. It is estimated that 300 million upper and middle class consume processed food. With the convenience needs of dual income families, 200 million more consumers are expected to move to processed food by2010. The market size for the processed foods is thus bound to increase from US $102 billion currently to US $330 billion by 2014-15 assuming a growth of 10%. The share of the value added products in processed foods would almost double from US $44 billion currently to US $88 billion during the same period, growing at the rate of 15%. This presents enormous opportunities for investment in processed food sector.

Several global food giants and leading Indian industrial enterprises are already making their presence felt in a big way in the sector. Some of them are Nestle India, Cadbury's India, Kelloggs, Hindustan Unilever, ITC-Agro, Godrej Foods and MTR Foods.

It is estimated that the food production in India is likely to grow two-fold in the next ten years. Thus, there is ample of opportunities for investments in food and food-processing technologies, equipments, especially in areas of canning, dairy & food-processing, specialty processing, packaging, frozen food and thermo processing, cold chains and in the area of food retail.

Ministry of food processing in its Vision 2015 document has estimated the size of processed food sector to treble, processing level of perishable to increase from 6% to 20%, value addition to increase from 20 % to 35% and India’s share in global food trade to increase from 1.5 % to 3%.

The government’s focus towards food processing industry as a priority sector will ensure policies to support investment in this sector and attract more FDI. India with its vast pool of natural resources and growing technical knowledge base has strong comparative advantages over other nations. According to CII estimates,

Page 4: Rr 150420084

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

food-processing sector has the potential of attracting US $33 billion of investment in 10 years and generate employment of 9 million person-days. The food-processing sector in India is clearly an attractive sector for investment and offers significant growth potential to investors.

The report outlines the tremendous growth potential in the sector and various opportunities for investments. We initiate coverage on Ruchi Soya and Lakshmi Energy & Foods with a BUY recommendation.

Page 5: Rr 150420084

Sector Coverage

Indian Processed Food Industry

Opportunities Galore

Global Processed Food Industry

Size of global food- processing industry – US $3.6 trillion

The size of global processed food industry is estimated to be valued around US $3.6 trillion and accounts for three-fourth of the global food sales. Despite its large size, only 6% of processed foods are traded across borders compared to 16% of major bulk agricultural commodities. Over 60% of total retail processed food sales in the world are accounted by the U.S, EU and Japan taken together.

Japan is the largest food processing market in the Asian region, though India and China are catching up fast and are likely to grow more rapidly. Leading meat-importing countries namely Japan and South Korea have a developed processed food industry. One of the most technically advanced food-processing industry globally is Australia as the products produced are of international standards and at comparatively lower prices. Countries in the Sub-Sahara African region, Latin America and parts of Asia continue to be on the lower-end of technology competence in food items. However, Europe, North America, and Japan are on the higher-end of technology, with a sharper shift towards convenience and diet foods.

Indian Processed Food Industry

Food and Agriculture: An overview

India has the second largest arable land of 161 million hectares and has the highest acreage under irrigation. Next to China, India ranks second largest food producer in the world and has the potential to immerge the biggest with its food and agricultural sector. India accounts for less than 1.5% of international food trade despite being one of the world’s major food producers, which indicates huge potential for both investors and exporters.

India ranks second largest food producer in the world next to China

India’s GDP is expected to grow in the range of 8-8.5% in the coming fiscal year, fuelled by robust investments and buoyant consumer spending. According to Goldman Sachs projections, India’s GDP will exceed Italy’s in 2020, France’s in 2020, Germany’s in 2025 and Japan’s in 2035.

The growth estimated is

Year India’s GDP ($ billion)

2005 6042020 2014

2025 3174

2030 4935

2035 7854

Excessive controls, low public investment, inadequate infrastructure, poor agri-input management, distorted pricing and incentives structures, and inadequate credit weighed down India’s agricultural sector for several decades. The share of agriculture in India’s GDP has fallen by more than 60% in the past five decades.

Page 6: Rr 150420084

However, the policy environment is changing with increase in public investment, fading controls on product marketing and distribution, better price-discovery mechanisms and improvement in credit availability. Indian agriculture, particularly food processing and allied activities is thus going through a major transformation with the government targeting 4% growth for the agri-sector from2005-2020.

Page 7: Rr 150420084

Sector Coverage

Indian Processed Food Industry

Opportunities Galore

Agri GDP growth (%CAGR)

Agri GDP is expected to grow by 4% from 2005-2020, which will be beneficial for the food-processing sector

5

4

3

2 2.7 2.8

1

3.5

2.1

4.0

0Pre Green

Revolution 1951-65

Green Revolution1965-80

Wider Tech diffusion 1980-

95

Post economic reforms 1995-05

The Agri challenge 2005-

20

Source: RBI, Chand (2005): WTO & Indian Agriculture: Issues & Experience

With the upturn of the agriculture sector, lot of opportunities has opened up for players having strong linking with the entire agri-value chain and the food-processing sector will be one of the biggest beneficiaries. Supply chain management, cold storages, financing, retailing and exports are the areas where sizable opportunities are yet to be tapped. The Government is taking steps to liberalize the agri sector to encourage investments.

Indian agri-business: Key facts• Varied agro climatic zones

• 2nd largest arable land (161 million hectares) in the world

• Largest irrigated land (55 million hectares) in the world

• Largest producer of wheat (72 million tones), accounting for nearly 15% of global wheat production

• Largest producer of pulses (15 million tones), accounting for nearly 21% of global pulse production

• Largest producer of milk (96 million tons), accounting for nearly 17% of global milk production

• Largest producer and exporter of spices

• 2nd largest producer of tea, accounting for nearly 28% of the global tea production

• 2nd largest producer of rice (92 million tons), accounting for nearly 22% of global Rice production

• Largest exporter of the world's best basmati rice

• 2nd largest producer of fruits (50 million tons) and vegetables (100 million tons)

• 2nd largest producer of sugarcane (296 million tons), accounting for nearly 21% of the global sugarcane production

• 3rd largest producer of coarse grains (31 million tons), including maize, accounting for nearly4% of the global coarse grain production

• 3rd largest producer of edible oilseeds (25 million tons), accounting for nearly 7% of the global edible oilseed production

Source: FICCI, Ministry of Agriculture

Page 8: Rr 150420084

Sector Coverage

Indian Processed Food Industry

Opportunities Galore

Processed Food Industry: A sunrise sector

Introduction

Food-processing industry is significant for India’s development because it has important link and synergy with industry and agriculture, the two main support of the economy. Total size of food-processing industry is around US $40 billion growing at 10% and the size of processing sector is estimated to be US $2.53 billion. The industry is mainly unorganized with 75% of the processing units belonging to the unorganised category, the organised category though small, is growing fast. The food production is expected to double in the next 10 years and the consumption of value added food products is expected to grow at a much faster pace. This growth will benefit the economy, increase agricultural yields, create employment and raise the standard of living of various associated people. Rising consumer affluence and economic liberalization is opening up new opportunities in the sector.

Structure of Indian Food Processing Industry

The industry is unorganized with 75% of the processing units belonging to the unorganised category

Organised25%

Sm all ScaleIndustries

33%

Unorganised42%

Source: FAIDA / Ministry of Food Processing Industries

The food-processing industry has been identified as a focus area for development and has been included in the priority-lending sector. Most of the food-processing industries with the exception of beer & alcoholic drinks and items reserved for small scale sector, like vinegar, bread, and bakery have been exempted from the provisions of industrial licensing under Industries (Development and Regulation) Act, 1951. Automatic approval up to 100% of equity in case of foreign investment is available for most of the processed food items.

With over 1.10 billion consumers and fourth largest economy in terms of purchasing power parity, UNCTAD and AT Kearney has ranked India amongst the top three investment destinations in the world.

Low level of processing

Low level of processing leading to wastage

Page 9: Rr 150420084

The industry has very low processing level i.e 2.2% for fruits and vegetables, around 35% in milk, 21% in meat and 6% in poultry products, which is significantly lower by international standards. For e.g. processing of agriculture produce is around 40% in China, 30% in Thailand, 70% in Brazil, 78% in the Philippines and 80% in Malaysia. Value addition to agriculture produce in India is just 20% with wastage estimated to be valued at around US$13 billion.

Page 10: Rr 150420084

Sector Coverage

Indian Processed Food Industry

Opportunities Galore

Source: FICCI, KPMG report

Processing levels for key Segments in Indian food-processing industry

Fruits & vegetables have the lowest level of processing. Milk is the most processed food item

50 %

40 %

30 %

20 %

10 %

0% 2.2 %

35 .0 %

21.0%

6.0 %

Fru its an dVegeta bles

M ilk & D a iry M ea t P o u ltryPro d u cts

Source: Ministry of Food Processing Annual report 2005-06

Food-processing- a growing market

With 1000 million domestic consumers, there lies huge untapped opportunity

With rapid increase in the per capita income and purchasing power along with increased urbanization, improved standards of living, there lies a large untapped opportunity to cater to 1000 million domestic consumers. It is estimated that 300 million upper and middle class consume processed food. With the convenience needs of dual income families, 200 million more consumers are expected to move to processed food by 2010. The market size for the processed foods is thus bound to increase from US $102 billion currently to US $330 billion by 2014-15 assuming a growth of 10%. The share of the value added products in processed foods would almost double from US $44 billion currently to US $88 billion during the same period, growing at the rate of 15%. This presents enormous opportunities for investment in processed food sector.

Several global food giants and leading Indian industrial enterprises are already making their presence felt in a big way in the sector. Some of them are Nestle

Page 11: Rr 150420084

India, Cadbury's India, Kelloggs, Hindustan Unilever, ITC-Agro, Godrej Foods and MTR Foods.

Page 12: Rr 150420084

Indian Processed Food IndustrySector

CoverageAccording to Government estimates, Rs 1,000 billion investment is needed in this sector across all segments of the value chain, from agri inputs to logistics to front-end infrastructure and distribution, out of which bulk of investment will be from private sector. As a result, various private corporate houses like Reliance have ventured in this space with full vigor. Hence, there is immense potential for investment in this sector. To facilitate the prompt growth of food-processing industry, the Government has implemented the scheme for infrastructure development comprising a food park scheme, establishing packaging centers, integrated cold chain facility; value added centers and irrigation facilities.

Where the opportunity lies- areas for investment

It is estimated that the food production in India is likely to grow two-fold in the next ten years. Thus, there is ample of opportunities for investments in food and food-processing technologies, equipments, especially in areas of canning, dairy & food-processing, specialty processing, packaging, frozen food and thermo processing, cold chains and in the area of food retail.

Canning, specialty processing, packaging, frozen food and thermo processing, cold chains are attractive areas for investments

One of the key reasons for low levels of food processing is poor infrastructure for storage, marketing and distribution of food products. 25-40% of agri-produce is lost post harvest season. According to estimates, India’s marketable surplus is set to increase by 350 mtpa to870 mtpa by 2012. 40% of the increase (150 mtpa) would be accounted by perishable fruits and vegetables. The need for investments in the areas of infrastructure and supply chain is evident from the fact that India’s current storage infrastructure for all food items is only100 mtpa.

The Government has announced various policy and fiscal measures to expand the storage capacity. It has announced 15-25% capital subsidy scheme for facilitating construction of rural godowns and has also sanctioned 16 mt of new capacity the last five years.

Cold chainThe estimated cold-storage capacity at 19.5 mt is less than 15% of the annual horticulture production and is mainly dominated by potatoes (80% of capacity). The size of cold chain industry is estimated to be around US $2.2-2.7 billion and is expected to grow at 20-25% annually. FDI to the extent of 100% is allowed in the sector. With the rising focus on horticulture, increasing corporate participation and advent of food parks and agri export zones is likely to result in significant restructuring of cold storage infrastructure with an estimated investment of US $8-10 billion.

Voltas, Blue-Star and Kirloskar Pneumatic are some of the cold storage players and equipments. Radhakrishna Foodland and Snowman Frozen are major providers of cold storage facilities. Concor is setting up a countrywide network of 14 cold-chain complexes for horticulture in Delhi, Mumbai and Bangalore among other places.

Supply

Page 13: Rr 150420084

Indian Processed Food IndustrySector

CoveragechainAn efficient supply chain not only brings down the price of the end product but also eliminates intermediaries by connecting farmers directly to the super stores. It has thus become an important aspect of organised retail setup. The food supply chain in India is highly fragmented with numerous intermediaries and lack of economies of scale. Sophisticated applications such as demand forecasting, data integration, financial flow management, supply-demand matching, information sharing will enable it to become mature and efficient.

Page 14: Rr 150420084

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

Food safety management systemsThe tightening of restrictions and the introduction of the Sanitary and Phytosanitary Agreement by global industry bodies like the World Health Organisation (WHO), have led to increased adherence of safety norms and regulations. Indian companies will have to strictly adhere to international food safety standards in order to gain a larger share of world trade.

MachineryIn packaging, freshness and hygiene remains a key factor in determining buying by consumers. In recent times, a number of new technologies have emerged both in processing and packaging, which have made an impact on the shelf life of food products.

Food parks30 mega food parks with investments of around US $110 million are coming up across the country to attract FDI in the food-processing sector. The food parks will have facilities ranging from cold storage, sorting, grading, food-processing, packaging and quality control, and R&D laboratories. The government for these food parks has identified Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh, Punjab and Jharkhand and one Northeast region.

Food retailFood and groceries form major portion (75%) of the retail pie. However, it has the lowest level of penetration of 1% in organized retail. Branded foods market size is growing at 15-20%. Players have outlined major expansion plans recognizing the opportunity.

Player expansion plans

Big names in the retail industry have outlined huge plans in food & groceries segment

Page 15: Rr 150420084

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

Player Format Current Expansion

Expected outlets Plans year

More (Supermarket) 14 1000 2010Aditya Birla Group

Trinethra Super Retail 1 4 na

Bharti Wal-Mart Wholesale Stores - 15 2012

Express Retail Services Big Apple/Big Apple Fresh 16 100 na

Godrej Group Aadhar 31 1000 na

Heritage Foods Fresh (Flagship

Stores,Daily Stores 12 100 na

Big Bazar 62 100 na

Pantaloon Food Bazar 95 na na

KB’s Fairprice Value tores - 1500 2009

Reliance Fresh 240 471 2010

Reliance Retail Hypermarket 2 500 2010

Reliance Town Centres - 784 2010

RPG Spencer’s (Fresh, Express,

Daily, Super, Hyper) 200 5000 2011

Sahakari Bhandar Sahakari Bhandar 18 na na

Subhiksha Subhiksha 870 150 2009

Wadhan Food Retail(Spinach)

Super Local, Express 84 1500 2010

Source: Media report

Page 16: Rr 150420084

India- Competitive edgeShare in global production Global

India (%) Rank

Arable Land (million hectare) 161 2

Irrigated Land (million hectare) 55 1

Coast line (km) 8,000 19

Major Food Crops (MT) 35 4 3

Fruits (MT) 50 10 2

Vegetables (MT) 100 10 2

Rice/Paddy (MT) 92 22 2

Wheat (MT) 72 15 1

Milk (MT) 90 17 1

Sugarcane (MT) 296 21 2

Pulses (MT) 31 4 3

Tea (MT) 28 2

Edible Oil seed (MT) 25 7 3

Cattle (million) 485 16 1

Source: FICCI, Ministry of Agriculture

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

Industry Analysis

Driving Forces

Abundant availability of raw materialIndia has varied agro climatic conditions; it has a wide-ranging and large raw material base suitable for food-processing industries. It has a vast coastline of 8000 km, vast marine land with 10 major ports. India produces annually 90 million tones of milk (highest in the world),150 million tones of fruits and vegetables (second largest), 485 million livestock (largest),204 million tones food grain (third largest), 6.3 million tones fish (third largest), 489 million poultry and 45,200 million eggs. India's agricultural production base is huge.

With huge agriculture production base, cheap labour force, lower cost of production, India has a competitive edge over others

Low cost production base for domestic and export market can be set up considering India’s comparatively cheap labour force and lower cost of production. India has access to significant investments to facilitate food-processing industry.

Demographic trends

Favorable

demographic environment works in favour of theindustry

Page 17: Rr 150420084

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

The food-processing industry has a bright future due to demographic environment in India, which is a key positive.

Rising income levels leading to large customer

baseIndia with its population of more than 1 billion accounts for close to 17% of the global population. It is one of the most attractive consumer markets in the world with the increase in income levels across the population segments. Food and grocery comprise thelargest share of the spending pie followed by personal care items, thus offering a lot ofscope for the food-processing industry. According to NCAER data, the consuming class, with an annual income of US $980 (Rs 45,000) or above, is growing and is expected to constitute over 80% of the population by 2009-10. The increase in income levels and higher tendency to spend provides great opportunities for companies across various sectors.

Page 18: Rr 150420084

200

150

100

50

33.0

44.0

54.1

32.5

23.4

28.1

71.6

54.6

12.815.3

74.1

90.9

Destitutes (<$327)

Aspirants ($327-$449)

Climbers ($449-$915)

Consumers ($915-

$4388) Very Rich

(>$4388)

0 1.0 2.0

6.0

1997-98 2000-01 2006-07

Growing consuming class (million households-annual income)

Food and grocery takes away 57% from the consumer’s wallet

The Rupee Spending

6% 3% 4%

3%7%

5%

57%

9%1%

5%Food and grocery Personal Care items Home Textiles Savings & Investments Clothing, Footwear and Accessories Consumer Durable/ Appliances vacation Eating outMovies and Entertainment Books and Music

Source: NCAER

Relatively young populationIndia has a relatively young population with close to 55% of population in the age group of20- 59 years. This group is also high in consumption and therefore, this trend is expected to provide a further boost to the growth of consumption in India.

Changing lifestylesIncrease in literacy and exposure to western lifestyles by more and more urban consumers have led to change in mindset and preference. Increase in the population of working women and increase in nuclear double income families in urban areas are some of the other factors that are influencing the lifestyles. As a result, there has been an increase in demand for processed, ready-to-cook

Page 19: Rr 150420084

and ready-to-eat food. According to Euromonitor, money spend by Indians on meals outside the home has more than doubled in the past decade to about US $5 billion a year, and is expected to further double in the next 5 years. Thus, there lies significant growth potential for the sector and its investment attractiveness.

Page 20: Rr 150420084

Indian Processed Food IndustrySector

Coverage

Rural areas cannot be ignored as it accounts for 50% of India’s consumption

Increase in consuming class in rural areasNearly 70% of India’s population resides in rural areas and account for nearly 50% of India’s consumption. Even with increasing urbanization and migration it is estimated that 63% of India's population will continue to live in rural areas in 2025. Average income levels for rural India will increase with higher agri-incomes and a gradual shift from farm to non-farm employment. 37% of rural households could move into the middle income-and-above consuming class by 2010 according to NCAER survey from just 15-17% in the late 1990s. This will result in a consuming class of 56 million rural households by 2010 more than half of India's overall estimated middle class by this time. This will open up vast and relatively unexplored section of India to companies.

Major Challenges for the Indian Food Industry

The industry needs to overcome various challenges if it has to grow to the estimated levels.

Food-processing industry is facing constraints like non-availability of adequate infrastructural facilities, lack of adequate quality control & testing infrastructure, inefficient supply chain, seasonality of raw material, high inventory carrying cost, high taxation, high packaging cost, affordability and cultural preference of fresh food. Unprocessed foods are prone to spoilage by biochemical processes, microbial attack and infestation. Good processing techniques, packaging, transportation and storage can play an important role in reducing spoilage and extending shelf life. The challenge is to retain the nutritional value, aroma, flavour and texture of foods, and presenting them in near natural form with added conveniences. Processed foods need to be offered to the consumer in hygienic and attractive packaging, and at low incremental costs.

Major Challenges for the Indian Food Processing Industry are:

• Consumer education on nutritional facts of processed foods• Low price-elasticity for processed food products• Need for distribution network and cold chain• Backward-forward integration from farm to consumers• Development of marketing channels• Development of linkages between industry, government and institutions• Taxation in line with other nations• Streamlining of food laws

Indian Food Processing Industry by sectors

India's food-processing sector covers fruit and vegetables; meat and poultry; milk and milk products, alcoholic beverages, fisheries, plantation, grain processing and other consumer product groups like confectionery, chocolates and cocoa products, soya-based products, mineral water, high protein foods etc. The most

Page 21: Rr 150420084

Indian Processed Food IndustrySector

Coverage promising sub-sectors includes- soft-drink bottling, confectionery manufacture, fishing, aquaculture, grain-milling and grain-based products, meat and poultry processing, alcoholic beverages, milk processing, tomato paste, fast food, ready-to-eat breakfast cereals, food additives, flavors etc. Health food and health food supplement is another rapidly rising segment of this industry, which is gaining vast popularity amongst the health conscious.

The dairy sector has an estimated consumer demand for milk and milk products at Rs 1,400 billion, growing at about 8% p.a. Poultry meat is estimated to have production of 1.8 million tones, growing at a CAGR of 11%. Besides, ready-to-eat (RTE) industry, still nascent in India, is estimated to be about Rs 5 billion growing at 30% p.a and expected to cross Rs15 billion by 2010. The wine sector, is growing at about 50% p.a is expected to have a market size of Rs 20 billion by 2010.

Page 22: Rr 150420084

Production and Per capita availability of milk

Per capita availability(grams / day)

Production in million tonnesYear

1950-51 124 171960-61 124 201970-71 112 221980-81 128 31.61990-91 176 53.92000-01 220 80.62001-02 225 84.42002-03 230 86.22003-04 231 88.12004-05 233 92.52005-06 241 97.12006-07 245 100

* Provisional

Segmentation of various sectors in the industrySectors Products

Dairy Whole milk powder, skimmed milk powder, condensed milk, ice cream, butter and ghee, cheese

Fruits &Vegetables

Beverages, juices, concentrates, pulps, slices, frozen &dehydrated products, potato wafers/chips, etc

Grains &Cereals

Flour, bakeries, starch glucose, cornflakes, malted foods,vermicelli, beer and malt extracts, grain based alcohol

Fisheries Frozen & canned products mainly in fresh form

Meat & Poultry Frozen and packed - mainly in fresh form, Egg Powder

ConsumerFoods

Snack food, namkeens, biscuits, ready to eat food, alcoholicand non-alcoholic beverages

Dairy

Milk and milk products is rated as one of the most promising sectors in the processed food industry. India is the largest producer of milk in the world with production of 97.1 million tones in 2005-06, growing at a CAGR of 4%. According to estimates by Dairy India, the size of the Indian dairy market is Rs 2,27,340 crores, which is expected to more than double to Rs 5,20,780 crores by 2011. India’s total milk production is projected to cross 100 million tones by end of 2007 according to the tenth five-year plan estimates. Milk and milk products account for a significant 17% of India’s total expenditure on food. India is on the verge of assuming an important position in the global dairy industry.

Milk and milk products is rated as the most promising sectors and is expected to more than double by 2011.

Source: department of Animal Husbandary and dairying

Page 23: Rr 150420084

About 35% of milk produced in India is processed. The organized sector comprising of large dairy plants processes about 13 million tones, whereas the unorganised sector (halwaiis and vendors) process about 22 mtpa.

Page 24: Rr 150420084

Milk Uses in India

22% Value Added (Unorganised)

63%

Vlaue Added (organised)

7%Packed liquid Milk

8%Unprocessed

Source: Cygnus

The traditional dairy products are India’s largest selling and profitable segment and accounts for more than 50% of milk and dairy products. With liberalisation, the import of technology and machinery has effected modernization and technological breakthrough in production of traditional milk products and this has encouraged the growth of the organized sector in the dairy segment.

Big names like Reliance, Walmart, Dabur are entering the private diary sector through tie ups with farmers

As per estimates by dairy India 2007, by 2011 private dairies are slated to outpace the co- operative sector and become the largest producers of milk in the industry. Private dairies are likely to contribute double the quantity of milk that would be contributed by co- operatives in 2011. Many corporates are planning a foray into the dairy business sensing the big opportunity. Reliance and Walmart have already made an entry into this business by signing deals with farmers to procure 7 lakh litres and 15 lakh litres of milk per day. Dabur India is exploring the possibility of entering into the milk-based drink segment. Yakult Danone plans to launch health drinks and yoghurts based on probiotics bacteria. Amul has also forayed into the flavored yoghurt segment.

The 55,000 tpa branded butter market, valued at US $133 million is estimated to be growing at 8-10% pa. The cheese market is estimated to be US $110 million in value terms and an estimated 54,000 tones in volume terms, and has been growing at a CAGR of 8-9% during 1999- 2003. The ice-cream market in India is estimated to be about US $199 million pa.

Major PlayersThe packaged milk segment is dominated by the dairy cooperatives. Gujarat Co-operative Milk Marketing Federation (GCMMF) is the largest player. All other local dairy cooperatives have their local brands (For e.g. Gokul, Warana in Maharashtra, Saras in Rajasthan, Verka in Punjab, Vijaya in Andhra Pradesh, Aavin in Tamil Nadu, etc). Other private players include J. K Dairy, Heritage Foods, Indiana Dairy, Dairy Specialties, etc.

Page 25: Rr 150420084

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

Company Brands Major Products

Milkmaid, Cerelac, Sweetened condensedNestle India Lactogen, Milo, milk, malted foods, milk

Everyday powder and Dairy whitenerButter, Ghee, milk powder,

Milkfood Milkfood ice cream, and other milkproductsMalted Milkfood, ghee,

GlaxoSmithKline Horlicks, Boost, butter, powdered milk,Consumer Healthcare Maltova, Viva milk fluid and other milk

based baby foodsSkimmed milk powder,

Kwality Dairy (India) Indana, Kream

whole milk powder, dairyKountry

milk whitener, GheeGujarat Co-operative Milk, Butter, cheese, Ghee,Milk Marketing Amul Ice cream and other milkFederation products

Farex, Complan,Infant Milkfood, maltedH.J. Heinz Glactose, Bonniemix,MilkfoodVitamilk

Heritage Foods HeritageMilk, Curd, Ghee, Butter

Britannia Milkman Flavoured milk, cheese,

Milk Powder, Ghee

Sector Coverage

Indian Processed Food Industry

Opportunities Galore

Some of the major dairy products manufacturers in the country

Milk

Cadbury Bournvita Malted food

Mother Dairy Mother Dairy Milk, Ice Cream, milk

productsSource: Company website

Fruits and Vegetable Processing

F&V processing is still at its nascent stage with processing level of only 2.2% of total output

India is the 2nd largest producer of fruits (50 million tones) and vegetables (100 million tones). The installed capacity of fruit and vegetable processing industry has increased from11.08 lakh tones in 1993 to 21.18 lakh tones in 2006. The industry is still nascent and just about 2.2% of the total output of fruits and vegetables is processed as per estimates. Thecountry's share in the world trade of processed fruits and vegetables is still less than 1%.Likewise, the consumption of value added fruits and vegetables are also low compared to the primary processed food in general and fresh fruits and vegetables in particular. This throws up a huge opportunity for the sector through increased penetration in the domestic market. The government expects the processing in this sector to grow to 10% in 2010 and25% of the total produce by 2025.

Page 26: Rr 150420084

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

Sector Coverage

Indian Processed Food Industry

Opportunities Galore

Fruit & Vegetable exports (Rs crores)

18001600140012001000800600400200

0

2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2005-06

Source: APEDA

Major players

Company Brands Products

HULKissan, Knorr, Annapurna,

Jams, Ketchups, wheat flour, Fruit Beverages, soups

Dabur India

Mother Dairy (Safal)

Real, Real Activ,Coolers

Safal

Fruit Beverages

Frozen processed fruits and vegetables, Jam, Pickle

Temptation Foods Godrej F&B Capital Foods

Pure Temptation

Private Label

IQF fruits and vegetables,Fruit Juices, Fresh F&V (Retail) Frozen Foods, IQF Vegetables

MafcoPriya Foods

MafcoPriya

Frozen fruits and vegetablesPickles, Fruit Juices

MTR Foods

Allana Cold Storage

MTR

Allana

Frozen Foods, Pickles, spices &masalaFrozen Foods

Grains

India produces more than 200 million tones of different food grains every year. All major grains like rice, wheat, maize, barley and millets like jowar (great millet), bajra (pearl millet) & ragi (finger millet) are produced in India. About 15% of the annual production of wheat is converted into wheat products. There are 10,000 pulse mills in the country with a milling capacity of 14 million tones, milling about 75% of annual pulse production of 14 million tones.

Branded rice is growing at 15% in domestic market and25% in

international market

Page 27: Rr 150420084

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

Rice- most processed grain

India is the second largest rice producer in the world with a 20% share in world rice production. The total rice market in India is estimated to be worth around Rs 1,00,000 crores (growing at 3-4% annually) of which only 10% of the rice is branded. The branded rice sales have taken off in recent years and have been growing at around 15% in the domestic market compared to 5% for unbranded rice. The branded rice sales growth is an impressive 25% in the international market as

compared to stagnant sales of unbranded rice. Added to this, of the Rs 3,500 crores worth of basmati rice produced, only around Rs500 crores worth is sold in branded form.

Page 28: Rr 150420084

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

MM

T

Sector Coverage

Indian Processed Food Industry

Opportunities Galore

While the total rice market is growing at 3-4% p.a, the basmati rice category is growing at6%, indicating a latent robustness in the country’s consumption. India is the largest producer and exporter of basmati rice accounting for around 74% of the global production. Indian basmati rice commands premium over its traditional rivals in terms of prices and quality. India produces around 2 million tones of basmati p.a, around 50% of India’s total basmati production is consumed within, while the rest is exported.

0 . 70 . 60 . 50 . 40 . 30 . 20 . 1

0

In d ian B asm a t i R ic e E x p o r t D es t in a t io n s

Sau d iA r a b i a

Ku w a i t UA E U K U S A O t h e r s

Source: Rice India January 2006

India exports around one million tones of basmati rice every year. Saudi Arabia comprises60% of the exports. Pakistan is India’s sole basmati competitor in the international market. The country wise breakup of exports is given in the figure below.

Outlook

The demand for basmati rice is expected to grow for the following reasons:

™ Growth in world population from 6.2 billion in 2002 to more than 8 billion in 2030;growth in the Indian population from 1.1 billion in 2005 at 1.7% p.a

™ Growing per capita incomes, rising disposable surpluses, increasing consumerism and increase in the share of organised retail. The Indian retail space is also experiencing enormous growth in retail chains and malls

™ Rising disposable incomes are growing branded volumes. Demand for branded rice is likely to grow at around 15%

™ Basmati accounts for only 2% of India’s Rs 1,000 billion rice market by volume and about 5% by value, signifying a huge growth potential

™ The median age of the Indian population is one of the youngest in the world, averaging around 24, complemented by an increase in income levels, which could translate into encouraging spending patterns

™ A rising number of Indian expatriates as well as a growing preference for basmati in theMiddle East are likely to keep demand on the boil

Page 29: Rr 150420084

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

™ Recent projections made by the IMPACT model developed at the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) indicate that the demand for rice will increase by 1.1% annually over the next three decades

™ Branded rice is becoming popular in both the domestic as well as the export market. Indian Basmati rice commands a premium in the international market. This segment thus offers opportunities in marketing of branded grains, as well as grains processing.

™ The global rice trade is expected to grow at 2-3% p.a over the next 10 years, strengthening production to around 34 million tones by 2014. Basmati is expected to maintain a robust growth of over 6% in the medium-to-long term.

Page 30: Rr 150420084

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

KRBL

LT

Ric

Sector Coverage

Indian Processed Food Industry

Opportunities Galore

Major playersCompany Brands Products

India Gate, Lion, Doon, Bemisal, NurJahan, Rice King, Taj Mahal

Rice

Kohinoor Foods Kohinoor, Rice, Convenience

FoodDaawat, Heritage, Orange, Josh,Apsara,

Rice, Wheat

Lakshmi Energyand Foods

Lakshmi Foods Rice, Wheat

Usher Agro Rasoi Raa Rice, Cereals

REI Agro Kasauti, Real Magic, Mr Miller,

Hungama, Ikon, Hansraj, Rain Drop

Meat and poultry processing

Low preference level for frozen meat has resulted in only 6% of poultry meat sold in processed form

At 485 million India has the world’s largest livestock population- accounting for over 55% and 16% of the world’s buffalo and cattle populations respectively (the world’s largest bovine population). It ranks second in goats, third in sheep and camels, and seventh in poultry populations in the world.

Processing of meat products is licensed under Meat Food Products Order, (MFPO), 1973. Total meat production in the country is estimated at 5 million tones annually. Indian consumer prefers to buy freshly cut meat, rather than processed or frozen meat. A mere6% of production of poultry meat is sold in processed form. Of this, only about 1%undergoes processing into value added products (Ready-to- eat/ Ready-to-cook). Processing of large animals is largely for the purpose of exports. This is because of low processing of value added meat products and consumer preference for fresh meat. The total processing capacity in India is over 1 million tones p.a of which 40-50% is utilized.

In meat & meat processing sector, poultry meat is the fastest growing animal protein inIndia. The estimated production is 15,00,000 tones growing at CAGR of 13% through 1991-2005. India ranks among the top six egg producing countries and ranks among the top five chicken producing countries. Per capita consumption has grown from 870 grams in 2000 to about 1.68 kg in 2005. This is expected to grow to 2 kg in 2009. Growth in Buffalo meat production has been less rapid (CAGR of 5% in the last 6 years). The current production levels are estimated at 1.9 million mt. Of this about 21% is exported. Mutton and lamb is relatively small segment where demand is outstripping supply, which explains the high prices in domestic market. The production levels have been almost constant at 950,000 mt with annual exports of less than 10,000 mt. This has restricted large processing companies from developing business interests in this sector.

Details of exports in terms of quantity and value of meat products are given below:

Quantity in mts and value in Rs crores

Items 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05

Qty. Value Qty. Value Qty. Value Qty. Value

Page 31: Rr 150420084

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

Buffalo meat 243355.58 1144.42 297897.3 1305.45 343817.1 1536.77 306970.81 1615.59

Sheep/ Goat meat 3915.06 33.07 4973.55 39.95 16820.53 110.39 8885.28 79.36

Poultry Products 19876.02 130.07 26450.01 156.47 415228.2 202.4 264607.54 154.11

Animal casings 464.28 9.63 8296.17 140.27 732.84 12.43 552.33 12.57

Processed Meat 267.13 1.29 669.48 4.8 986.13 7.63 107.45 1.57

Page 32: Rr 150420084

Indian Processed Food IndustrySector

Coverage

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

Country-wise Exports of Meat Products in Value Terms (April 06-March 07)

8%

54%

8%

7%

14%

9%

Philippines

Saudi Arabia

UAE

Malaysia

Angola

Others

Processed meat has huge potential with rising number of fast food outlets and is expected to double in next 10 years

Source: CMIE

India exports more than 5,00,000 mt of meat of which major share is buffalo meat. Indian buffalo meat is witnessing strong demand in international markets due to its lean character and near organic nature.

The total processed meat production in India is likely to double in the next 10 years and has a huge potential with the growing number of fast food outlets in the country. With the rise in per capita incomes and busy lifestyles, the demand for processed meat products, which can be quickly cooked, has been rising. Most of the production of meat and meat products continues to be in the unorganised sector. Branded products like Venky’s and Godrej’s Real Chicken are, however, becoming popular in the domestic market.

Fish Processing

India is the third largest fish producer in the world and is second in inland fish production. Fish production in the country has increased from 0.75 mt in 1950-51 to 6.50 mt in 2005-06. In 2005-06, it contributed about 1% of the total GDP and 5.3% of the GDP from agriculture sector. The geographic base of Indian marine fisheries has 8,118 km. coastline, 2.02 million sq.km. of exclusive economic zone including 0.5 million sq. km. of continental shelf, and3,937 fishing villages. India is endowed with rich fishery resources and has vast potential for fishes from both inland and marine resources.

Processing of fish into canned and frozen forms is carried out almost entirely for the export market. It is widely felt that India’s substantial fishery resources are under-utilised and there is tremendous potential to increase the output of this sector. The potential could be gauged by the fact that against fish production potential in the exclusive economic zone of3.9 million tones, actual catch is to the tune of 2.87 million tones. Harvesting from inland sources is around 2.7 million tones. In last six years there was substantial investment in fisheries to the tune of Rs 3,000 crores of which foreign investments were of the order of Rs 700.

Page 33: Rr 150420084

Production and export of marine products

Fish production Export of marineYear (million tones) products

MarinQuantity

('000 Value tones) (Rs crores)e Inland Total

1950-51 0.5 0.2 0.7 20 2

1960-61 0.9 0.3 1.2 20 4

1970-71 1.1 0.7 1.8 40 351980-81 1.5 0.9 2.4 80 235

1990-91 2.3 1.5 3.8 140 893

2000-01 2.8 2.8 5.6 503 6288

2002-03 3 3.2 6.2 521 6793

2003-04 3 3.4 6.4 412 6086

2004-05 3.52 2.78 6.3 482 6460

2005-06(P) 3.76 2.81 6.57 551 7019

Source: Department of Animal Husbandry, Dairying and Fisheries

Major players in meat, poultry and fisheriesCompany Brands Products

Arambagh Hatcheries Arambagh Meat, Poultry

Hind Industries Sibaco,Eatco Frozen buffalo meat, Chilled/

Frozen sheep and Goat meatVenkateshwaraHatcheries

Venky's Poultry products

Alkabeer ExportsLimited

Alkabeer Frozen buffalo meat, Chilled/

ASF Seafoods ASF Seafoods SeafoodBell Foods Bell Foods Marine foodsFrigo Refico Allana Allana Frozen buffalo and other meatGodrej Agrovet Real Good Chicken Poultry productsMAFCO, Mumbai MAFCO Pork and other meat products

Packaged/Convenience Food

This segment mainly comprise of pasta, breads, cakes, pastries, rusks, buns, rolls, noodles, corn flakes, rice flakes, ready to eat and ready to cook products, biscuits etc. Bread and biscuits constitute the largest segment of consumer foods. The annual production of bakery products, which includes bread, biscuits, pastries, cakes, buns, rusk etc, is estimated to be50 lakh tones in 2004-05 with estimated value of Rs 69 billion. The two major bakery industries, viz., bread and biscuit account for about 82% (4 million tones) of the total bakery products. The organised sector has a market share of 45% and the balance 55% is with the unorganised sector in the baked products. The sectors that are projected to achieve high growth between 10-20% in 2005-06 in bakery segment include bread, cakes, pastry which is expected to achieve up to 11% growth and biscuits over 13%.

Page 34: Rr 150420084

BiscuitsThe size of biscuits market in India is Rs 5,000 crores of which Rs 3,000 crores is accounted for by the organised sector. Glucose and milk biscuits account for 25% each and Marie biscuits 20% of the biscuits market.

The biscuit industry in India witnessed annual growth as below:

2003-04 15%

2004-05 14%

2005-06 14%

2006-07 13%

Growth rate of biscuits is expected to pick up from 13-15% during2003-07 to 17-18% in2007-08

While the growth rate has been stagnating during last 4 years, momentum is expected to pick up during 2007-08, mainly on account of exemption from central excise duty on biscuits with MRP up to Rs 100/per kg, as per Union Budget for 2007-08. Indian Biscuit Manufacturers’ Association (IBMA), instrumental in obtaining the excise duty exemption, estimates annual growth of around 17-18% in 2007-08. Growth in biscuit marketing has been achieved, mainly due to improvement in rural market penetration.

The per capita consumption of biscuits in our country is only 2.1 kg compared to more than10 kg in the USA, UK and West European countries and above 4.5 kg in South East Asian countries like Singapore, Hong Kong, Thailand, Indonesia etc. China has a per capitaconsumption of 1.9 kg while in the case of Japan it is estimated at 7.5 kg. This shows thehuge untapped potential of biscuit industry in India. Exports of Biscuit is estimated to around 10% of the annual production during the year 2006-07

With the entry of big players, the domestic biscuit manufacturing sector is to see a healthy competition that would ensure good quality products at affordable prices to the consumer. Exports of biscuits would also pick up. It has already increased with Indian biscuits turning favourite choice in several Middle East markets. The export of high end products (like cream biscuits) to former East European countries has also begun to rise. Thus, the biscuit- manufacturing segment is poised for a stronger growth in the coming days.

BreadThe bread industry with estimated production of 27 lakh tones in 2004-05 is represented by both the organised and unorganised sectors with 55% and 45% contribution to production. The overall market size for bread in India is a little over 36 lakh loaves a day, and only one- third of this is from the organised sector.

The large organised sector players who are prominent in the high and medium-price segments include Britannia, Modern Industries. Brands like Modem and Britannia are major players in the bread market and together they account for 90% of the organised bread market. Local manufacturers with numerous local brands cater to populous segment and contribute considerably in the bread segment. Low margins, high level of fragmentation are the main features in

Page 35: Rr 150420084

the bakery industry. Volumes, brand loyalty and strong distribution networks are the main drivers of growth.

Page 36: Rr 150420084

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

Sector Coverage

Indian Processed Food Industry

Opportunities Galore

Major players- Bread, Biscuits

Company Brands ProductsModern Foods Inds Bread

Parle Parle-G, Krackjack,Manaco, Hide & Seek

Biscuits

Priya Food Products Surya Foods and Agro Britannia Industries ITC

Priya PriyaGold Britannia Sunfeast

BiscuitsBiscuitsBiscuits, Bread, CakesBiscuits

Confectionery

Sugar confectionery market is projected to expand at a CAGR of 8% until 2011

The organised market for confectionery estimated at Rs 2,000 crores is growing at around7-8% p.a. The retail value of the Indian sugar confectionery market, which includes products such as sweets, jellies and gums, is estimated to be US $461 million in 2007 and is projected to reach US $498 million in 2008. The yearly growth rate from 2002 to 2006 was7.2%. The Indian candy market is currently valued at around US $664 million, with about70% in sugar confectionery and the remaining 30%, in chocolate confectionery. The Indian sugar confectionery market is projected to expand at a CAGR of 8% until 2011, according to a study by Euromonitor International. Two major players namely Cadbury India and Nestle India, which together account for about 90% of the total chocolate market, dominate the chocolate market in India.

Increase in affluent consumers who show a tendency for impulse purchases of products such as sugar confectionery, the development of supermarkets, hypermarkets and convenience stores coupled with the trend towards higher allowances for children are likely to be the primary growth drivers for sugar confectionery.

Major players

Company Brands

Cadbury India Dairy Milk, Eclairs,

Gems,Temptations,Celebrations, NuttiesCandico (I) Loco Poco, Koffi Toffi, Gumbo JumboLotte India Corp Coffee bite, Lacto King, Caramilk, Coconut PunchNestle India Kit Kat, Milky BarParle Melody, Poppins, Kismi, Mangobite

PerfettiMentos, Centerfresh, Alpenliebe, Chlormint, Happydent

Ravalgaon Sugar Farms Coffee break, Mango Moods, Pan Pasand, Klearmint

ITC Mint-o, Candyman

Ready-to-eat foods

Page 37: Rr 150420084

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

Ready-to-eat foods market in India is expected to reach Rs 2,900 crores by 2015 from its present size of Rs 128 crores (2006). The factors contributing to this growth would be changes like cold chain development, disintermediation, streamlining of taxation, economies of scale on the supply side, coupled with increasing disposable incomes, diminishing culinary skills and the rising need for convenience on the demand side. The ready-to-eat foods market in India has remained under-penetrated owing to factors like consumers’ penchant for freshness, low affordability and the Indian housewife’s preference for home cooked food. Packaged foods in India have grown at approximately 7% p.a

Page 38: Rr 150420084

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

Capital

Sector Coverage

Indian Processed Food Industry

Opportunities Galore

RTE foods is expected is growing at CAGR of73% and is the fastest growing category inpackaged food segment

between 2000-2005, with ready-to-eat foods (RTE) being the fastest growing category at CAGR 73%. The Indian RTE foods market, canned/preserved segment is more popular, contributing to approximately 90% of the market and growing at a CAGR of 63% between2001 and 2006. The chilled and dried ready meal segments are non-existent. The packaged foods industry in India has not experienced significant growth due to inadequate demandarising from low household incomes and consumer preference for fresh and home-cookedfood. There is thus a huge untapped market opportunity arising due to rapid demographic shifts in income, urbanization and proportion of urban working women in India. The industry needs to concentrate on broadening the market and increasing penetration amongst Indian consumers.

Major playersCompany Brands ProductsDabur India Hommade

Priya Foods Priya Instant mixes, Puries, Pulihora

paste, Ready to EatChing’s Secret, Smith& Jones

Cooking Paste, Sauce & Ketchups

Packaged bhel puri chats, chanaHaldirams Haldirams

ITC Aashirvaad Atta, Bingo,

masala, samosa, pakoras, among others.

Kitchens of India Ready to eat/cook foods.

MTR MTR Indian curries,

gravies and rice.Satnam Overseas Ltd Kohinoor Ready to eat Indian delicacies. Gits Gits Variety of ethnic Indian cuisine

Aerated Soft Drinks, Packaged drinking water

Aerated soft drinksThe soft drinks constitute the 3rd largest packaged food regularly consumed after packed tea and packed biscuits. The aerated soft drinks industry in India comprises over 100 plants across all states. It provides direct and indirect industry related employment to over1,25,000 employees. It has attracted one of the highest foreign direct investments in the country. It has strong forward and backward linkages with glass, plastic, refrigeration, sugar and transportation industry. Installed capacity of sweetened/aerated water as on January 2006 is reported to be 29.60 lakh tons p.a.

Soft drink market overview: Indian soft drink market is valued to be Rs 6,000 crore. The soft drink market can be broadly divided into two major segments- carbonated soft drink and non-carbonated soft drink. The carbonated drinks are the mainstay and accounts for85% of the total soft drink market, however the growth rate has been stagnant and in fact on declining trend on account of controversial issue of pesticide. Non-

Page 39: Rr 150420084

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

carbonated soft drinkcategory includes sub category like fruit drink, juices, dairy drinks and more. Thepreparatory soft drink market is around Rs 250 crores, out of which Rasna has almost 90%volume share.

Packaged drinking waterThere are 218 companies, which have been granted licence for manufacturing packaged drinking water and packaged natural mineral water. There has been a spurt in growth for the last 3-4 years, which can largely be attributed to a range of various packaged sizes to suit the consumers. 80% of the packaged water sale comes from the bulk containers (5 litres and above).

Page 40: Rr 150420084

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

Sector Coverage

Indian Processed Food Industry

Opportunities Galore

Major PlayersCompany Brands Products

Pepsi & Co

Coke

Pepsi, Miranda, Mountain Dew, 7up, Lehar, Duke’s, Aquafina Coca Cola, Fanta,Sprite, Thumps Up, Limca, Kinley

Soft Drink, Packaged drinking water

Soft Drink, Packaged drinking water

Exports

The Ministry of Food Processing Industries has been encouraging the new processing capacities for agro-food products through its various policy initiatives and plan schemes providing financial incentives for setting up of new units and modernization of existing units. The export of processed food items has been as under:

Export of processed food products

Items 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06

Qty. Value Qty. Value Qty. Value Qty. Value Qty. Value

Processed Fruits & Vegetables

Dried & PreservedVegetables

209157.78 537.15 216640.2 561.03 211160.1 520.49 351034.32 765.75 566238 1459.17

Mango Pulp 76735.18 241.34 96107.31 297.01 89514.84 241.99 90988.6 300.86 134613 364.24

Pickle & Chutney 38758.97 120.34 56384.37 154.16 63052.73 119.75 67193.29 120.58 135382 260.98Other ProcessedFruits & Vegetables

61332.36 201.74 54792.77 194.73 66070.26 243.58 80760.5 275.53 107335 370.21

Total 385984.29 1100.57 423925 1206.93 429798 1125.81 589976.71 1462.72 501826 1359.54

Animal Products

Buffalo Meat 243355.58 1144.42 297897.3 1305.45 343817.1 1536.77 306970.81 1615.59 459938 2629.57

Sheep/Goat Meat 3915.06 33.07 4973.55 39.95 16820.53 110.39 8885.28 79.36 7177.51 80.37

Poultry Products 19876.02 130.07 26450.01 156.47 415228.2 202.4 264607.54 154.11 145889 167.58

Dairy Products 24774.13 182.45 21439.81 153.59 15882.67 155.19 48426.79 389.14 76515 668.5

Animal Casings 464.28 9.63 8296.17 140.27 732.84 12.43 552.33 12.57 1125 .82 17.51

Processed Meat 267.13 1.29 669.48 4.8 986.13 7.63 107.45 1.56 256.04 2.43

Total 292652.2 1500.93 359726 1800.53 793467 2024.81 629550.2 2252.33 690901 3566.96

Other Processed Foods

Page 41: Rr 150420084

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

Groundnuts 112812.81 250.94 67889.75 178.3 176109.3 544.3 177114.96 503 190053 513.69

Guargum 117883.03 403.09 111948.4 486.74 120561.3 507.9 129648.47 664.28 186718 1049.23Jaggery &Confectionery

365893.44 436.49 191522.5 212.98 295013.3 331.48 35549.29 77 107197 227.57

Cocoa Products 1293.38 12.87 1235.21 11.94 1688.37 16.15 2273.85 27.3 2147.09 21.83CerealPreparations

38087.17 224.67 51809.74 268.83 46275.35 241.71 49486.85 277.77 76880.6 393.96

Alcoholic & NonAlch. Beverages

49671.86 118.29 26164.58 102.47 28964.09 108.62 30045.49 113.78 49587.9 117.2

MiscellaneousPreparations

23189.16 137.33 38687.41 170.2 65252.02 210.33 52513.73 224.36 49606.7 225.77

Milled Products 322346.5 196.39 499692.8 288.65 545755.4 355.95 140123.27 144.85 50901.5 64.68Total for otherProcessed Foods

1031177.35 1780.07 988950.4 1720.11 1279619 2316.44 616755.91 2032.34 713092 2613.93

Grand Total 1709813.8 4381.57 1772601 4727.57 2502884 5467.06 1836282.82 5747.39 1905819 7539.43Source: APEDA

Page 42: Rr 150420084

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

1500

1250 1036.11000

750

Rs

cro

res

Sector Coverage

Indian Processed Food Industry

Opportunities Galore

FDI

According to industry estimates, the food-processing sector needs investment of about US$28-35 billion to meet the changing food demands in India. The outlay for the food- processing segment has been increased from US $19.5 million in 2004-05 to US $41.4 millionnext year, more than twice the earlier amount.

FDI in the country's food sector is poised to hit the US $3-billion mark. In the last one-year alone, FDI approvals in food-processing has doubled. Add to this the US $55 million that has been invested in sugar and cooking oil companies.

The food-processing sector continues to attract FDI. Details of FDI inflow Since 2000-01 is as under:

FDI

500

250

0

198.1 176.5

510.9

174.1 182.9

441.0

26.0

Source: MOFPI

2000-01(Apr-

Mar)

2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 (Apr- Mar)

Maharashtra was among the front-runners to receive the highest share of FDI in food processing during the last five years. The dairy and consumer industries received FDI worth Rs 2.7 billion each as foreign investment. Nearly 30% of FDI in the food-processing sector comes from EU countries such as Netherlands, Germany, Italy and France.

Government Regulation and Support

Since liberalisation several policy measures have been taken with regard to regulation & control, fiscal policy, export & import, taxation, exchange & interest rate control, export promotion and incentives to high priority industries. Food-processing and agro industries have been accorded high priority with a number of important relieves and incentives. Some of the important policy changes are as follows

Regulation and Control

™ As per extant policy, FDI up to 100% is permitted under the automatic route in the food infrastructure (food park, cold chain/warehousing).

Page 43: Rr 150420084

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

™ Automatic approval to FDI up to 100% equity in FPI sector excluding alcoholic beverages and a few reserved items.

™ Foreign investments are allowed in SSI reserved items under an export obligation

(pickles, chutneys, bread, pastry, hard-boiled sugar candy, rapeseed oil, sesame oil, groundnut oil, sweetened cashew nut products, ground and processed spices other thanspice oil and oleoresin, tapioca sago and its flour).

™ FDI up to 100% is permitted on the automatic route for distillation & brewing of alcohol subject to licensing by the appropriate authority.

Page 44: Rr 150420084

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

Sector Coverage

Indian Processed Food Industry

Opportunities Galore

™ No industrial license is required for almost all of the food & agro processing industries except for some items like: beer, potable alcohol & wines, cane sugar, hydrogenated.

™ Animal fats & oils etc. and items reserved for exclusive manufacture in the small-scale

sector.™ Up to a maximum of 24% foreign equity is allowed in SSI sector

Fiscal policy and taxation:

™ Rupee is now fully convertible on current account and convertibility on capital account with unified exchange rate mechanism is foreseen in coming years.

™ Repatriation of profits is freely permitted in many industries except for some, where there is an additional requirement of balancing the dividend payments through exportearnings.

™ Liberal corporate tax policy is applicable for export and domestic earnings, income tax rebate allowed (100% of profits for five years and 25% of profits for the next five years)for setting up of new agro-processing industries to process and package fruits &vegetables.

™ Fruits & vegetables, and dairy machineries are completely exempt from central excise duty. Central excise duty on preparation of meat, poultry and fish, pectin, pats andyeast is also completely exempt.

™ Quantity restrictions on all food products have been removed. Peak rate of customs duty has been reduced from 30% to 25% (excluding agricultural and dairy products) andduty structure on designated items has been rationalized.

™ Customs duty on refrigerated goods transport vehicles has been reduced form 20% to

10%.™ Excise Duty of 16% on dairy machinery has been fully waived off and excise

duty on meat, poultry and fish products has been reduced from 16% to 8%.

Export promotion:

™ Food-processing industry is one of the thrust areas identified for exports. Free Trade Zones (FTZ) and Export Processing Zones (EPZ) have been set up with all infrastructures. Also, setting up of 100% Export Oriented Units (EOU) is encouraged in other areas. They may import free of duty all types of goods, including capital foods.

™ Capital goods, including spares up to 20% of the CIF value of the capital goods may be imported at a concessional rate of customs duty subject to certain export obligationsunder the EPCG scheme. Export linked duty free imports are also allowed.

™ Units in EPZ/FTZ and 100% EOUs can retain 50% of foreign exchange receipts in foreign currency accounts.

™ 50% of the production of EPZ/FTZ and 100% EOU units is saleable in domestic tariff

area.

Page 45: Rr 150420084

WAY2WEALTH Securities Pvt. Ltd.,15/A Chander Mukhi, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. Tel: +91 22 4019 2900

email: r e s e a r c h @ w a y 2 we a l t h. c o m website: www . w a y 2 w e a l t h . c o m

™ All profits from export sales are completely free from corporate taxes. Profits from such exports are also exempt from MAT.

™ Agri export zones and food parks™ Setting up of 60 agri zones for end-to-end development for export of specific

product from geographically contiguous areas.™ 53 food parks approved to enable small and medium food and beverage units

to set up and to use capital intensive common facilities such as cold storage, warehouse, qualitycontrol labs, effluent treatment plant, etc.

Page 46: Rr 150420084

Indian Processed Food IndustrySector

Coverage

Regulatory Framework

There are different laws that govern the food-processing sector in India. The prevailing laws and standards adopted by the Government to verify the quality of food and drugs is one of the best in the world. Multiple laws/regulations prescribe varied standards regarding food additives, contaminants, food colours, preservatives and labeling. In order to rationalize the multiplicity of food laws, a Group of Ministers was recently set up to suggest legislative and other changes to formulate a modern, integrated food law, which will be a single reference point in relation to the regulation of food products. The food laws in India are enforced by the Director General of Health Services, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Government of India (GOI).

Various food laws applicable to food and related products in India are:

™ Prevention of Food Adulteration Act (PFA), 1954 and Rules (Ministry of Health & Family Welfare): Covers specifications related to food colour, preservatives, pesticide residues, packaging and labeling, and regulation of sales. The Standards of Weights and Measures Act, 1976, and Standards of Weights and Measures (Packaged Commodities) Rules, 1977: Designed to establish fair trade practices with respect to packaged commodities

™ Agriculture Produce (Grading & Marking) Act (Ministry of Rural Development).™ Essential Commodities Act, 1955 (Ministry of Food & Consumer Affairs).™ Fruit Products Order (FPO), 1995: Specifications and quality control

requirements regarding the production and marketing of processed fruits and vegetables, sweetenedaerated water, vinegar, and synethic syrups.

™ Meat Food Products Order, 1973 (MFPO): Administers the permissible quantity of heavy metals, preservatives, and insecticide residues for meat products

™ Milk and Milk Products Order, 1992: Regulates the production, distribution, and

supply of milk products; establishes sanitary requirements for dairies, machinery, and premises; and sets quality control standards for milk and milk products.

™ The Food Safety and Standards Act, 2006: In August 2006, the Government of India had passed a new legislation Food Safety and Standards Act. The Act proposesestablishment of a new authority, the Food Safety and Standards Authority, reorganisation of scientific support pertaining to the food chain through theestablishment of an independent risk assessment body and a new Food Law, merging eight separate Acts.

• The Infant Milk Substitutes, Feeding Bottles and Infant Foods (Regulation of

Production, Supply and Distribution) Act, 1992 and Rules 1993.

Page 47: Rr 150420084

Indian Processed Food IndustrySector

Coverage • The Insecticide Act, 1968.• Export (Quality Control and Inspection) Act, 1963.• Environment Protection Act, 1986.• Pollution Control (Ministry of Environment and Forests).• Industrial Licenses.• BIS Act, 1986.• VOP (Control) Order – 1947.• SEO (Control) Order -1967.

Page 48: Rr 150420084

Indian Processed Food IndustrySector

Coverage

Major Food Processing Companies in India

Major MNCs Major Indian companies Indian MNCs likely to

enterNestle, Pepsi, Coke, Kellogs, Conagra, Unilever, Perfetti, Glaxo Smithkline, Heinz, Wyeth, Ajinomoto, Nissinmet, Walmart.

IT, Dabur, Britannia, Parle, Amul, Haldiram, Godrej, Venky's

Reliance, Bharti Group, Tatas, Wipro, thapars etc.

Outlook

With the success of Green and White Revolution, India is now poised for the Food Revolution. Entry of multinationals, low cost of technology and rise in commodity branding has resulted in a change in the Indian food industry.

Vision 2015 adopted by this Ministry of Food Processing envisages

- Trebling the size of the processed food sector- Increasing level of processing of perishables from 6 % to 20 %.- Value addition to increase from 20 % to 35%- Share in global food trade to increase from 1.5 % to 3%

Vision Document Projections2003-04 ($

2014-15 ($

Total food consumption 205Processed foods 126 274Primary processed food 79 136Value Added Food 48 138

Indian food-processing industry is poised for explosive growth driven by changing demographics, growing population and rapid urbanization along with increased government support. These factors will increase the demand for value added products and thus improve the prospects of food-processing industry in India. The government’s focus towards food- processing industry as a priority sector will ensure policies to support investment in this sector and attract more FDI. India with its vast pool of natural resources and growing technical knowledge base has strong comparative advantages over other nations. According to CII has estimates, food-processing sector has the potential of attracting US $33 billion of investment in 10 years and generate employment of 9 million person-days. The food- processing sector in India is clearly an attractive sector for investment and offers significant growth potential to investors.

Page 50: Rr 150420084

Disclaimer, Disclosure and Copyright Notice

The contents of this material are general and are neither comprehensive nor appropriate for every individual and are solely for the informational purposes of the readers.This material does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or needs of an individual/s or a Corporate/s or any entity/s.All investments involve risk and past performance does not guarantee future results. Investigate before you invest. You are strongly cautioned to verify any information before using it for any personal or business purpose.

Way2wealth Brokers (P) Limited (herein after called Way2Wealth) does not guarantee the accuracy, quality or completeness of any information. Much of the information is relevant only in India. Way2wealth makes no warranties, either express or implied, including, but not limited to warranties of suitability, fitness for a particular purpose, accuracy, timeliness, completeness or non-infringement.

In no event shall Way2Wealth be liable for any damages of any kind, including, but not limited to, indirect, special, incidental, consequential, punitive, lost profits, or lost opportunity, whether or not Way2Wealth has been advised of the possibility of such damages.

This material contains statements that are forward-looking; such statements are based upon the current beliefs and expectations and are subject to significant risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ from those set forth in the forward-looking statements.

These uncertainties include but are not limited to: the risk of adverse movements or volatility in the securities markets or in interest or foreign exchange rates or indices; adverse impact from an economic slowdown; downturn in domestic or foreign securities and trading conditions or markets; increased competition; unfavorable political and diplomatic developments; change in the governmental or regulatory policies; failure of a corporate event and such others.

This is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security or instrument or to participate in any particular trading strategy. No part of this material may be copied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the written consent of Way2Wealth. In no event shall any reader publish, retransmit, redistribute or otherwise reproduce any information provided by Way2Wealth in any format to anyone. Way2Wealth and its affiliates, officers, directors and employees including persons involved in the preparation or issuance of this report may from time to time have interest in securities thereof, of companies mentioned herein