rnc health survey
TRANSCRIPT
National Voter SurveyHealth Care
June 15-17, 2009
2
Methodology
The following national survey was conducted by OnMessage Inc. Telephone interviews were conducted June 15-17, 2009. This presentation consists of two surveys each including 1,100 likely general election voters. Both surveys were stratified by state to reflect historic voter trends. The margin of error for both surveys is +/- 2.95%.
Political Environment
4
Generic BallotCongressional
5
Breakdown: Generic Congressional BallotParty Affiliation/Ticketsplitters
25%16%19%22%17%25%
6
Image TestsNational
Barack Obama Nancy Pelosi Harry Reid
Very FavSomewhat FavSomewhat UnfavVery Unfav
Never Heard OfNo Opinion
61 33 20
33 50 33Unf
avD
o yo
u…Fa
vor
7
Breakdown: Obama ImageParty Affiliation/Ticketsplitters
8
Job ApprovalObama
Overall Health Care
Strongly ApproveSomewhat ApproveSomewhat DisapproveStrongly Disapprove
DK/Refused
61 43
34 38
Net: +27 Net: +5
Dis
appr
ove
Do
you…
App
rove
9
Thinking about the elections next year which of the following candidates for congress would you most likely vote for?
A candidate who would be a check and balance to President Obama and the Democrats in congress.
…OR…A candidate who would help President Obama and the Democrats in congress pass
their agenda.
10
Breakdown: Check / BalanceParty Affiliation/Ticketsplitters
Health Care Overview
12
What is the biggest concern that you currently have regarding health care?
Health care in America costs too much…OR…
Too many Americans do not have access to health care…OR…
The quality of care in America is not good enough
13
Thinking about health care right now, which of the following statements comes closest to your opinion?
Access to affordable health care is a RIGHT of every American and the government should take a more active role to insure that every American has access to health care.
…OR…Government should take a more active role in lowering the cost of health care but the
government should not try to run our health care system.
14
Breakdown: Gov’t Not Run Or Active Role?Party Affiliation/Ticketsplitters
15
Disagree Do you… Agree
Strongly Disagree Somewhat Disagree Somewhat Agree Strongly Agree
America has the best health care in the world…
5442
16
Disagree Do you… Agree
Strongly Disagree Somewhat Disagree Somewhat Agree Strongly Agree
America’s health care system is broken and badly in need of reform.
7028
17
Democrats Do you trust… Republicans
Strongly Trust (D) Somewhat Trust (D) Somewhat Trust (R) Strongly Trust (R)
Which political Party do you trust more to fix the health care problem in America?
48 29
18
What is your biggest fear when thinking about the Republican health care reform plan?
1. Anything the Republicans pass will helpinsurance and drug companies more thanordinary people.
2. The Republican plan will leave too manyAmericans without health care coverage.
3. The Republicans would simply oppose anyplan that the president and the Democrats incongress put forward.
19
What is your biggest fear when thinking about the Democrats health care reform plan?
1. The Democrats would create a governmentrun system that will cost taxpayers trillions ofdollars.
2. The Democrats would create a system thatwill end up choosing what doctors you can seeand the type of care you can receive.
3. The Democrats would create a system thatwould lead to lengthy delays and denial ofcare for millions of Americans.
4. The Democrats would create a system thatwould reduce the quality of health careservices.
Health Care Policy Testing
21
Oppose Do you… Favor
Strongly Oppose Somewhat Oppose Somewhat Favor Strongly Favor
Make quality health care coverage affordable and accessible for every American and let Americans who like their health
care coverage keep it.
889
22
Health CareFavor | Solutions
Oppose Do you… Favor
Strongly Oppose Somewhat Oppose Somewhat Favor Strongly Favor
Insurance companies should be forced to give coverage to any American regardless of pre-existing medical conditions.
7122
23
Health CareFavor | Solutions
Oppose Do you… Favor
Strongly Oppose Somewhat Oppose Somewhat Favor Strongly Favor
Tax credits should be provided to help small businesses cover the administrative costs of establishing and maintaining health
coverage for their employees.
7915
Message Testing
25
Health CareAgree | Statements
Disagree Do you… Agree
Strongly Disagree Somewhat Disagree Somewhat Agree Strongly Agree
One way to help lower health care costs is to reform our legal system to cut down on frivolous lawsuits that cost hospitals
and doctors millions of dollars a year.
8114
26
Health CareAgree | Statements
Disagree Do you… Agree
Strongly Disagree Somewhat Disagree Somewhat Agree Strongly Agree
Americans should not be forced into a new government run health care plan that would eliminate the health coverage that
more than 100 million Americans currently receive through their job and limit their choice of doctors and medical
treatment options.
7318
27
Health CareAgree | Statements
Disagree Do you… Agree
Strongly Disagree Somewhat Disagree Somewhat Agree Strongly Agree
The American people want to reform health care but they don’t want a government bureaucracy that denies, delays, or rations health care. Americans don’t want the same system that runs the IRS and the Department of Motor Vehicles to
make life and death decisions for you and all the members of your family.
7714
28
Health CareMore Favorable | Obama / Dem. Plan
Less Favorable Do you… More Favorable
Much Less Somewhat Less Somewhat More Much More
The health care reform plan put forth by the President and the Democrats in Congress will cost over a trillion dollars in
additional federal spending. That’s $7,199 for every taxpayer in America today.
2265
President’s Plan
30
Health CareFavor | Obama Plan
Oppose Do you… Favor
Strongly Oppose Somewhat Oppose Somewhat Favor Strongly Favor
Now, I am going to read you a short description of President Obama’s proposed plan for health care reform. Please tell me whether you favor or oppose this plan: President Obama has proposed a comprehensive health care reform plan that will
create a government run health care insurance agency competing with private health insurers. Health care insurance will be required for everyone. People who cannot afford it will receive a government subsidy and be placed in a government run plan. The president’s plan will fine businesses that do not provide health care for their employees and will require private insurance companies to cover people with pre-existing conditions. Finally, the president says his plan will not raise the deficit because it will be paid for with a number of new or increased federal taxes.
4648
31
Health CareFavor | Obama Plan
Oppose Do you… Favor
Strongly Oppose Somewhat Oppose Somewhat Favor Strongly Favor
President’s Plan: Creating a government run health insurance agency that will compete with private insurance companies.
5835
32
Health CareFavor | Obama Plan
Oppose Do you… Favor
Strongly Oppose Somewhat Oppose Somewhat Favor Strongly Favor
President’s Plan: Requiring everyone to buy health insurance either through your employer or with government help if you
can’t afford it.
5735
33
Health CareFavor | Obama Plan
Oppose Do you… Favor
Strongly Oppose Somewhat Oppose Somewhat Favor Strongly Favor
3063
President’s Plan: The government’s effort to control health care costs by setting pricing for services and deciding what
treatments it will and will not cover.
34
Health CareFavor | Obama Plan
Oppose Do you… Favor
Strongly Oppose Somewhat Oppose Somewhat Favor Strongly Favor
President’s Plan: Fining companies that do not provide health care for their employees through higher federal taxes.
3854
35
Health CareFavor | Obama Plan
Oppose Do you… Favor
Strongly Oppose Somewhat Oppose Somewhat Favor Strongly Favor
President’s Plan: Paying for this reform by raising $600 billion dollars in new taxes and cutting $400 billion dollars from
Medicare & Medicaid.
1971
36
Breakdown: Cuts To Medicare & Medicaid Party Affiliation/Ticketsplitters
37
In addition to the trillion dollar stimulus package, the $700 billion dollar corporate and auto company bailout, and the $3.5 trillion dollar budget, the president now says that his
$1.5 trillion dollar health care reform plan will not increase the national debt. Knowing this, please tell me which of the
following statements come closest to your opinion.
I believe President Obama when he says that his $1.5 trillion dollar health care
reform plan will not increase the national debt.
ORI do not believe President Obama when he says that his $1.5 trillion dollar health care reform plan will not increase the national
debt.
38
As you may know, President Obama and the Democrats in congress are rushing to pass a $3.5 trillion dollar budget,
bailouts for corporations, a national energy tax, confirmation of a new supreme court nominee, and now they say we should
pass extensive health care reform all within the next few months. With this in mind, please tell me which of the
following comes closest to your opinion?Some people say considering how quickly President Obama and congress passed the
trillion dollar stimulus package they should take time to evaluate all the options
before rushing to pass comprehensive health care reform.
OROther people say the health care system is broken and needs to be fixed now. They
say President Obama and congress should move quickly to pass comprehensive
health care reform.
39
Breakdown: Take Time Or Broken / Fix Now?Party Affiliation/Ticketsplitters
Overwhelming Majority Wants HC Reform
Out Of Position…Must Be For Reform
Consumer Cost, Not Access, Is The Driver
Government Control Unacceptable
The Party That Harms Quality Loses
40
Crucial Strategic Takeaways…
Price Tag For Government Plan Unacceptable
Strong Resistance To Tax Increases
Voters Demand Control Of Their HC
41
Crucial Strategic Takeaways…
Obama’s PR…Republicans Against HC Reform
HC Reform Will Be Budget Neutral
Public Plan = Fair Competition
Public Plan = Reduced HC Costs
“If You Like Your Plan You Can Keep It”
If Obama Is Allowed To Sell This…He Wins
42
Reduce & Control Individual Costs
Protect The Doctor Patient Relationship
Preserve & Improve Quality & Choice
End Lawsuit Abuse In Order To Reduce Costs To Consumers
Responsibly Reform Without Further Bankrupting The Country
Republicans Should Pursue Policies That…
43
Decline In Quality Of Care -- Government Controlled Health Care
Tax Hikes To Pay For Obama’s Risky & Expensive Plan
Cutting Medicare & Medicaid To Pay For Obama’s Risky & Expensive Plan
More Debt & More Spending Which Will Prolong The Recession
Republicans Should Oppose:
44
Rushing Another Flawed Bill That Will Cost Trillions…& Hurt Your Health Care
Government Deciding What Treatments You Can Have
Fining Small Businesses In This Time Of Unprecedented Unemployment
“Public Plan” – First Step Of Government Takeover Of Health Care
Republicans Should Oppose:
45