retirement planning. corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at...

57
Retirement Planning

Upload: nathan-sullivan

Post on 25-Dec-2015

215 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Retirement Planning

Page 2: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement
Page 3: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement
Page 4: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement
Page 5: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expensesCorpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Page 6: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement
Page 7: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement
Page 8: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Invest as much as you spend each month for retirement!

Page 9: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement
Page 10: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Current dateYears to retirement 24Age at the end of current year 40Years in retirement 26Total annual expenses 520000Annual expenses when you retire 44,42,903 Corpus required 14,70,12,786 Corpus accumulated so far (updated from mf holdings) 20,82,664 When you retire the corpus from other sources will grow to 98,46,585 When your retire the current mf corpus will grow to 2,05,13,686 If you were to retire today the current corpus will last for (years) 6.63If you were to retire as intended you will be financially independent for (years) 6.49Net corpus required 11,66,52,514.90 investment required each month 41,118 Provided this investment increases each year at the rate of 10.00%EPF or NPS divided by investment amount 54%

Page 11: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Financial Goal Tracking

• Be obsessed over goal planning entries not over mutual fund corpus

Page 12: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Essentials of a good portfolio

• Minimalist : We must be able to justify the presence of each asset class or instrument.

• Minimum number of asset classes

• Minimum number of stocks, equity funds or debt products

• This will typically make the folio diversified among and within asset classes

Page 13: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Simple portfolio ideas

Equity (60%) 10% return

1. Single Large Cap fund

2. One large cap +one mid/small cap fund

3. Single Large and mid-cap fund

4. Single equity oriented balanced fund

Debt (40%) 8% return (pre-tax)PPF for 15+ Y goals for options 1,2 & 3 (do not max!)

Ultra-short-term liquid funds for less than 15Y goalsBanking debt mutual funds

Long-term goals (10+ years)

Page 14: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Simple portfolio ideas

Equity (0-40%) 8% return

1. Single Large Cap fund

2. One large cap +one mid/small cap fund

3. Single Large and mid-cap fund

4. Single equity oriented balanced fund

5. Single debt oriented balanced fund

Debt (100-60%) 8% return (pre-tax)Ultra-short-term liquid funds for less than 15Y goalsBanking debt mutual funds

Medium-term goals (5-10 years)

Page 15: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Simple portfolio ideas

Equity (0-10%) expect nothing!

1. Single Large Cap fund

2. One large cap +one mid/small cap fund

3. Single Large and mid-cap fund

4. Single oriented debt balanced fund (5Y)

Debt (100-90%) 6-7% return (pre-tax)FDs, RDsUltra-short-term liquid funds for less than 15Y goalsBanking debt mutual funds

Short-term goals (0-5 years)

Page 16: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

How many funds should I hold?

• Minimum:

1 fund! (all goals combined into one)

• Maximum:

No of long-term goals (10Y+) x (1 or 2)

Page 17: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

How Important is

Mutual Fund Selection?

Page 18: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Large Cap Funds

Computed with SIP calculator, thefundoo.com

Page 19: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Large Cap & Large/Mid-Cap Funds

Computed with SIP calculator, thefundoo.com

Page 20: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Large Cap, Large/Mid-Cap & Mid/Small-Cap Funds

Computed with SIP calculator, thefundoo.com

Page 21: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Lump sum returns

Page 22: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Minimalist Portfolios

• Single Large Cap mutual fund (60%) + PPF (40% only!)

• Single Equity-oriented balanced mutual fund

• Single Large Cap or Large and Mid-cap fund with exposure to international stocks.

• Equity fof + Debt fund of fund

• Single portfolio fund of fund

Page 23: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

How to select an equity mutual fund?

• Decide on the strategy.

(1)Why are you investing?

(2) What kind of portfolio will you be using?

Page 24: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Equity mutual funds: How to select/evaluate

Page 25: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Equity mutual funds: How to select/evaluate

Page 26: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Equity mutual funds: How to select/evaluate

Upside Capture ratio: When the benchmark has given a positive return (> 0), has the fund outperformed it?Higher (> 100%)  the upside capture ratio, the better. 

UPC = 120% => 20% out-performance during up-market

Downside Capture Ratio: When the benchmark recorded a loss, that is a negative return (< 0), did the fund record a lower or higher loss?Lower the downside ratio (<100%), the better. 

DCP = 85% => 15% out-performance during down-market

Page 27: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Upside Capture ratio: When the benchmark has given a positive return (> 0), has the fund outperformed it?Higher (> 100%)  the upside capture ratio, the better. 

Downside Capture Ratio: When the benchmark recorded a loss, that is a negative return (< 0), did the fund record a lower or higher loss?Lower the downside ratio (<100%), the better. 

Equity mutual funds: How to select/evaluate

Page 28: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Rolling returns analysis

3YFund (blue)

Vs benchmark

5Y

Page 29: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement
Page 30: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

How to select a debt mutual fund?

Use only if •your goal is more than 3 years away •and less than 15 years away

Understand risks• interest rate risk capital gain/loss• credit risk accrual

Page 31: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

How to select a debt mutual fund?

Interest rate risk

Creditrisk

Page 32: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

How to select a debt mutual fund?

Page 33: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

How to select a debt mutual fund?

Page 34: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

How to select a debt mutual fund?

Page 35: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Gold Fever!

Page 36: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Gold Rolling Returns

Page 37: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Gold vs. Stocks

Page 38: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

An all-weather portfolio?

Page 39: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

33% gold, 33% equity, 33% debt

Source: Value Research

Page 40: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

33% gold, 33% equity, 33% debt

Source: Value Research

Page 41: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

33% gold, 33% equity, 33% debt

Source: Value Research

Page 42: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Portfolio RebalancingIntended Asset allocation: 60% Equity 40% DebtSIP with annual increase in monthly investment = 10%

Page 43: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Portfolio RebalancingIntended Asset allocation: 60% Equity 40% DebtSIP with annual increase in monthly investment = 10%

Page 44: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Portfolio RebalancingIntended Asset allocation: 60% Equity 40% DebtSIP with annual increase in monthly investment = 10%Difference between the corpuses ~ 7%

Page 45: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Portfolio Rebalancing

Page 46: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Portfolio Rebalancing

Page 47: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

What does it take to do your own financial planning?

Confidence: to DIY. Doing it yourself, means

doing it yourself.

Inclination: to take control. 

Clarity: investing with priorities, something I would like to call contented investing

Recognition: Portfolio management of long term financials goal is the most important task of financial planning.

Page 48: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Keep it Simple• Discipline!

• Monthly review of investment schedule

• Annual review of value

• Rebalance periodically after several years!

• Manage risk close to due date

Page 49: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Winning in personal finance

123

Page 50: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement
Page 51: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Retirement Planning:Inflation-protected Income

Strategies

Page 52: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

The Income drawdown strategy

Decreasing CorpusDrawback: Large initial corpus

Page 53: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Retirement Bucket Strategy

5Y

10Y

15Y

20Y

6%

8%

10%

12%

Page 54: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Real-life Example• Couple both aged 60• Monthly expenses 10K• Both diabetic, no mediclaim• ~ 35 L corpus

Bucket 1: 5-6L for medical corpus + emergencies

Bucket 2: income ladder for 5Y with 6.5L using FD  

Bucket 3: Invest 6.5L in a banking debt fund

Bucket 4: 6.5L in a monthly income plan

Bucket 5: About 9.5L in a balanced fund

Page 55: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Planning for our children’s future

Page 56: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Freefincal – Child Planner

Page 57: Retirement Planning. Corpus ~ 300 times current annual expenses Corpus ~ 38 times annual expenses at retirement

Freefincal – Child Planner