repeat kiwi distribution survey, thames coast kiwi care...
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Repeat Kiwi Distribution Survey,
Thames Coast Kiwi Care 2006 to 2016.
CONTRACT REPORT 2016/1
Note that estimated kiwi locations are presented to show change in distribution over the period and should not be interpreted as exact locations due to the home ranges of kiwi which could be > 50ha and also the inherent inaccuracies of plotting specific locations based on night time auditory observations.
Disclaimer:
While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of information in this report, no liability is accepted for errors of fact or opinion, or for any loss or damage resulting from reliance on, or the use of, the information it contains. This report has been prepared for Thames Coast Kiwi Care Group and may only be disclosed to third parties with the prior consent of that organization.
Survey planned and supervised by Patrick (Paddy) Stewart for the Thames Coast Kiwi
Care. Field work competed by Inge Bolt, Nathan McCauley, Neil John, Sally Armstrong
and Paddy Stewart.
The survey was funded by Thames Coast Kiwi Care and Pub Charities.
May 2016
Red Admiral Ecology 450 Kapanga Road Coromandel 3506 www.redadmiral.co.nz
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Executive summary
An intensive listening distribution survey for Coromandel brown kiwi (Apteryx mantelli)
was completed on lands about the Tapu/Te Mata settlements on the west coast of the
Coromandel Peninsula between 1 and 9 May 2016. The survey detected at least 37 kiwi
from 18 listening stations. Of these, 23 birds were male (including one sub adult) and 14
female.
This report presents a direct comparison of kiwi survivorship between 2006 and 2016 (10
listening stations) and an estimate of the adult kiwi population within the greater Thames
Coast Kiwi Care project area (18 auditory stations). During the 2006 baseline survey 19 kiwi (8 male and 11 female) were detected from 10
listening stations. A follow up survey in 2011 detected 7 males and 4 females. In 2016
23 (16 male and 7 female) we heard from the same 10 stations. The addition of eight
supplementary listening stations in 2011 increased the overall sampling area to
approximately 2,257 ha and also intensified the sampling effort in line with best practice.
Kiwi have not been detected from the 5 listening stations in the Tapu Valley since the
baseline survey.
Since the 2011 survey the kiwi population appears to have been distributed in the Te
Mata and Waikawau Catchments (approximately 1,830 ha of the survey area). This
indicates that the distribution of this remnant population reduced over the initial five year
sampling period and that continues to be the case in 2016.
It is estimated that there are at least 24 pair of kiwi were present in 2016, equating to a
density of one pair/94 ha in the overall treatment area, which is considerably lower than
other projects on the Coromandel. The data also indicates that densities have increased
by 10 % per annum over the seven year period 2006 – 20141.
An index of kiwi calls, which can be used to infer the relative population density was
calculated from kiwi call count rates. In 2006 this was calculated to be 0.73, 0.55 in 2011
and 1.32 calls/hr in 2016.
1 The actual period is 10 years but birds would not have been detected for at least the first two years of their life and so the 2016 figures only represent productivity until 2014.
Contents
Introduction 1
1.1 Objectives 1 1.2 Background 1
2. Field method 3
3. Results 4
3.1 Change in numbers of kiwi – the comparison count 4 3.2 Population distribution and relative density 6 3.3 Call count data 8
4. Discussion 8
5. Recommendations 12
Acknowledgements 13
Appendix 1 15
Pattern of ferret detections across Northern Coromandel localities, 1995 to 2015. 15
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Introduction
1.1 Objectives
The objectives of this report are to assess changes at the Tapu/Te Mata area of the Thames Coast between 2006 and 2016 in:
the number of kiwi the distribution of those kiwi detected the relative population density of kiwi the call count rate of kiwi
1.2 Background
Kiwi are a recognised national symbol in contemporary New Zealand society and also as
a taonga (treasure) to Maori, who have strong cultural, spiritual and historic associations
with the bird. Brown kiwi (Apteryx mantelli) are an endemic long-lived nationally
threatened species considered to be in serious decline without management (Miskelly et
al. 2008). Kiwi on the Coromandel Peninsula are considered to be a genetically distinct
form of brown kiwi endemic to the Coromandel Ecological Region (Burbidge et al.
2003).
In 2008 the population was estimated to be 1,000 individuals and projected to increase to
about 2,000 by 2018 (Holzapfel et al. 2008). Several actively managed populations in the
north are flourishing. South of a line between Tapu and Tairua on the East Coast these
birds have disappeared from at least 40% of their known range in the last 20 years
(Stewart, 2013). Unmanaged mainland brown kiwi populations are presently declining at
an annual rate of 3%, primarily due to the predation of young kiwi by stoats (Toriura)
(Mustela erminea).
Thames Coast Kiwi Care (TCKC) was formed by Thames Coast Protection Society after
strong support for kiwi protection was indicated at a public meeting at Tapu on 26 May
2006 (Nanning, 2006). With the view of establishing a landscape scale kiwi protection
area, an assessment of the kiwi population on public and private lands was completed by
volunteers in May/June 2006 prior to landscape scale stoat control being initiated later
that year (ibid). Two sub-adult kiwi from Mt Moehau were also released in 2007 and
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2008, one having since been killed by a dog and the other taken residence in the northern
catchment. TCKC’s goal is to:
‘enhance the conditions for kiwi already living there to the point where they represent a
viable, self-sustaining population’.
The Thames Coast protection area lies within the Thames Ecological District between
Thames and Coromandel townships, on the west coast of the Coromandel Peninsula
(36°96’ S, 175°34’ E). The survey area is bounded by a semi-developed coastline to the
west and the Coromandel Ranges to the east. Coastal margins and valleys were initially
developed for farming but most have more recently been converted to productive forestry
or subdivided into lifestyle blocks.
The area covers three bio climatic zones. In general terms, common vegetation
associations grade from coastal pohutukawa cliffland and induced scrubland; through to
secondary forest and finally, logged podocarp/broadleaf forest on the flanks of the
Papakai Ecological Area.
Statutory agencies have controlled animal pests on public land known as Papakai
Ecological Area, and areas of private land around Te Mata; possums since 1995 and goats
since 1993 (Nanning, 2006). Possum control operations conducted in 1998/99 and
2002/03 were successful in meeting their Residual Trap Catch (RTC) target of < 5%
(cited in McLean, 2004). Some private landowners also have their own independent
animal pest management regimes. Possums were again targeted throughout much of the
area in 2009 with the application of 1080 by aerial and ground based operations.
Subsequent possum control about the Central Coromandel has not treated the stoat
control area.
Targeted landscape stoat control commenced in 2006 and the treatment area has since
been increased to about 2,500ha, utilising approximately 350 trap sets (one trap per
7.1ha) as prescribed by current best practice (D. Peters, pers. comm.). Some landowners
also independently trap stoats on their own properties at densities higher than prescribed
for landscape trapping. Several ferrets (Torihura) (Mustela putorius furo) have been
captured within the trapped area over the last five years.
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2. Field method
In 2006 10 listening stations (A – J) were selected within the survey area to provide
representative coverage of the kiwi habitat available (native forest, pine forest, scrub and
shrub-land). More resources were made available in 2011 and so a further eight
supplementary stations (1 – 8)2 were established to increase sampling density and also the
overall sampling area increased to approximately 2,257 ha. Automated recorders were
deployed at Stations 7 and 8 in 2016 and these resources used to sample Stations 9 and
10. This intensified sampling effort is in accordance with best practice (Robertson et al,
2003). One point of difference is that the manual specifies that male and female calls are
broadcast alternately every 15 minutes rather than in tandem (male and female together
every 15 minutes).
Another variation from best practice is that some listening stations were closer to each
other than the recommended one kilometre distance. The Thames Coast has a fragmented
coastal topography, therefore placing the listening stations on broad hilltops was deemed
impractical in 2006 and the paired stations (A and B, G and J in 2011, E and F in 2016)
were established either side of high points on spurs with optimal listening coverage into
separate catchments. Typically about 90% of resident males are detected after three
nights of solicited surveying at each site with the best practice survey method (Robertson
et al, 2003).
Observers completed three x 2 hour survey listening sessions at each station between
May 5 and 31, 2016. Surveys were not undertaken in strong winds or within five days of
a full moon. Each survey began at least 45 minutes after sunset and all were completed
prior to midnight. Time was synchronised to mobile phones.
Observers listened in silence for the first hour. For the second hour they broadcast a
recorded kiwi call (male then female) for approximately 20 seconds/gender every 15
minutes, to solicit calls from kiwi in the area. An estimate of the number of kiwi of each
sex heard was recorded on the Call Scheme Card). A procedure was used to verify all
kiwi calls recorded. This involved checking that kiwi heard were not other surveyors
2 7 and 8 converted to automated recording stations and effort transferred to 9 and 10 in 2016
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playing taped kiwi calls, and that each call heard was counted at only one listening station
if recorded from two or more. Several hours of daytime follow-up was required to tease
out each night’s fieldwork.
3. Results
3.1 Change in numbers of kiwi – the comparison count
The number of kiwi detected from the original 10 listening stations has fluctuated over
the ten year period. A very low ratio of males to females were detected in 2006 (TABLE
1).
TABLE 1: CHANGE IN NUMBERS OF KIWI DETECTED, THAMES COAST KIWI CARE 2006 to 2016 FROM THE ORIGINAL 10 STATIONS (A – J).
YEAR
TOTAL
NUMBER OF
KIWI
MALE
FEMALE
PROPORTION
OF MALES
TO FEMALES
2006 19 8 11 0.7 : 1
2011 11 7 4 1.8 : 1 2016 22 16 7 2.3 : 1
The change in numbers of kiwi detected from the original 10 listening stations over the
10 year period is shown below in FIGURE 1.
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FIGURE 1: CHANGE IN NUMBERS OF MALE AND FEMALE KIWI DETECTED, THAMES COAST KIWI CARE 2006, 2011AND 2016 FROM THE ORIGINAL 10 STATIONS
The number of males detected from Stations A – J increased substantially over the 2011 – 2016
period (FIGURE 2). The data indicates that densities have increased by 10 % per annum
over the seven year period 2006 – 20143.
FIGURE 2: CHANGE IN NUMBERS OF MALE KIWI DETECTED, THAMES COAST KIWI CARE 2006, 2011 AND 2016 FROM THE ORIGINAL 10 STATIONS
3 The actual period is 10 years but birds would not have been detected for at least the first two years of their life and so the 2016 figures only represent productivity until 2014.
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
A B C D E F G H I J
Nu
mb
er o
f ki
wi
Listening stations
2011 versus 2006 2016 versus 2006
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
2006 2011 2016
Nu
mb
er o
f m
ale
kiw
i
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3.2 Population distribution and relative density
In 2016 kiwi were detected from 70% of the original 10 listening stations compared with
70% in 2006. FIGURE 3 shows distribution constricted and density increased over the
2006 – 2016 period.
FIGURE 3: CHANGE IN KIWI DISTRIBUTION, THAMES COAST KIWI CARE 2006 TO
2016 (FROM THE ORIGINAL 10 LISTENING STATIONS)
In 2011 eight supplementary stations were added to improve sampling coverage. It can
be seen in FIGURE 4 that the population distribution is concentrated from the Te Mata
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River northwards. A total of 37 kiwi (22 adult male and 14 female)4 were detected and
this total is called the ‘distribution result’. A ‘population estimate’ in 2016 of 24 pairs
was also calculated (22 males x 1.1) by using the ‘distribution result’ (22 males) plus a
factor of 10% which represents the likely proportion of the male calling population not
detected by this methodology This equates to a theoretical density of one pair/94 ha.
FIGURE 4: KIWI DISTRIBUTION, THAMES COAST KIWI CARE 2006 & 2016 (ORIGINAL 10 LISTENING STATIONS IN 2006 (LETTERS) & 18 STATIONS IN 2016 (LETTERS + NUMBERS)). 4 Calculations do not include the sub adult male detected from station H.
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3.3 Call count data
Call count data collected at the original 10 listening stations during the first and second
hours (unsolicited and solicited) was combined (total of 60 hrs/year) to calculate call
count rates for each survey. Mean call count rates recorded during the 2006 survey were
0.73 calls per hour (SE ± 0.26), 0.55 calls per hour (SE ± 0.23) in 2011 and 1.32 calls per
hour (SE ± 0.54) during the 2016 survey (see FIGURE 5).
FIGURE 5: MEAN KIWI CALL RATES RECORDED IN 2006, 2011 AND 2016 AT THE ORIGINAL 10 LISTENING STATIONS, BARS SHOW STANDARD ERROR).
4. Discussion
Population distribution and relative density
The good news is that kiwi numbers have increased since the last survey in 2011.
Densities remain much lower than other kiwi protection areas and so there is still some
way for the TCKC to go before it attains the goal of a self-sustaining population.
Fragmented clusters of birds appear to me more evenly distributed throughout the Te
Mata Catchment, stable in Waikawau, but they continue to be absent from the Tapu
Valley.
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2006 2011 2016
Mean
call r
ate
per
ho
ur
± S
td.
Err
or
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Relative to the 2006 baseline survey there was a marked divergence in the number of
birds detected in the 2011 and 2016 surveys (TABLE 1 and FIGURES 1 and 2). The
overall low number of birds detected in 2011 contrasts with a higher number of
detections in 2006 and 2015. One possibility is that the 2011 survey simply did not
detect some of the birds heard in 2006. This is always possible with auditory surveys, but
there is a clear pattern of non-detection across the landscape in the 2011 survey and so
missing a few individuals should not have skewed the 2011 result so severely.
Another possibility is that the fragmented population was in advanced stages of collapse.
The detected number of females relative to males in 2006 was three times higher
(TABLE 1) than would be expected (Robertson, 2004) and this points to an adult male
survivorship issue. It is possible that ferrets have targeted males on nests. Even if this is
not the case, ferret control should be re-evaluated due to the risk they pose.
The population was observed to contract from the south of the trapping area post 2006
(FIGURE 1). This decline was confirmed by the non detection of kiwi from the three
new supplementary stations that were established in the Tapu Valley (stations 5, 7 and 8
in FIGURE 4). Kiwi were not detected across the landscape in 2011 and 2016 from all
five stations5 to the south and so it would appear that the Tapu catchment is currently the
southern distribution limit of resident kiwi in the TCKC trapping area.
TCKC kiwi protection efforts in the Tapu catchment also presently represent the southern
limit of formal kiwi protection inputs for the Coromandel taxon on the west coast of the
Coromandel Peninsula. If the project is not successful then the birds range on the
peninsula will continue to contract northwards. This would continue the pattern of
decline which has resulted in the extirpation of the bird from 85, 000 ha of habitat in the
southern Coromandel6 over 20 years (Stewart, 2013).
The number of calling male kiwi in the TCKC northern treatment area has doubled over
the sampling period. The 10% p.a. estimated increase of calling males is similar to other
5 Includes automated recorders deployed at 7 and 8 in 2016. 6 This area accounts for approximately half of the Coromandel Peninsula ER north of the Karangahake Gorge
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recovering fragment populations on the Coromandel that have benefited from best
practice predator control networks (E.g. Moehau and Whenuakite).
The 2011 report recommended a target of 30 pair to produce a genetically viable founder
population by 2015. Our estimate of 24 pair may slightly under represent the actual
numbers, as there are reports of some other birds to the east of the treatment area (N. John
pers comm). Irrespective of the actual numbers the result shows a good platform for
further recover has been established.
The theoretical density figure of one pair/96 ha is lower than other projects on the
Coromandel Peninsula (Moehau 46 ha in 2009 and Whenuakite 24 ha in 2015) (Stewart
et al. 2010 and 2015), but similar to those projects at their inception. There should be
carrying capacity for densities to increase at least threefold on the Thames Coast and so it
seems reasonable to aim for at least 50 pair within the next 10 years. Presently we
estimate there are at least 24 pair and on present growth rates this should be attainable in
seven years.
In summary our best interpretation of the results is that the baseline survey captured the
population on the brink of extirpation and that subsequently that densities have increased
about local fragments in the Te Mata and Waikawau catchments
Call count rate
Statistical analysis on this not yet completed. While academic this could be useful in the
future if densities recover to levels too high for effective distribution surveys.
Threats
Dogs and stoats
The threat posed by these predators to kiwi is well documented are not addressed here.
Sub adult dispersal
Kiwi have been shown to prosper in large (>10,000 ha) protection areas such as at
Moehau, but what does the future hold for smaller areas such as Thames Coast. Sub
adult dispersal out of managed areas where the probability of predation is higher (Forbes,
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2009 & Hunt, 2009) has been found to contribute to serious population bottlenecks (E.g.
Central North Island) and needs to be considered.
This survey has detected an increase in kiwi numbers and we assume this is due to
recruitment from within the local population. The proportion of young birds that leave
the area is not able to be determined from auditory surveys, but the upcoming release of
young birds from Rotoroa Island back to the mainland is a very valuable opportunity to
find out if funding can be obtained to complete a limited transmitter study of dispersal
patterns.
Rates of sub adult dispersal for North Island brown kiwi have been estimated to vary
between 7% (Moehau - de Monchy unpubl. data) and 10% (Tongariro – Hunt, 2009).
They are likely to be higher in the smaller TCKC area where they cannot be assessed as
there is no dispersal data. Modelling completed in 2003 by Basse & McLennan (cited in
Forbes, 2009) indicated that for small projects of around 2000ha at least 50% of sub-
adults would need to remain in the ‘source’ area to increase recruitment).
Mean dispersal distances from the Moehau project where a distribution survey estimated
densities were lower (46 ha/pair in 2009 c.f. 24 ha/pair at Whenuakite in 2015) indicate
that most sub adults would only disperse to nearby areas (Forbes, 2009). Where practical
it would make sense to increase the network area some further buffering to help prevent
young kiwi encountering stoats in neighbouring areas, as stoats have been shown to have
large home ranges (Gillies et al, 2007).
Ferrets
These predators are a serious issue for kiwi restoration projects. At the 20, 000 ha
Tongariro Forest Kiwi Sanctuary (TFKS) the population target of 200 pair of kiwi has
recently been reduced to 100. Established in 2000 the research project utilizes BNZ
Operation Nest EggTM (O.N.E) and aerial 1080. The population has increased at only
0.6% p.a. over the 2000 – 2014 period. The primary issue is that ferrets reintroduce into
the treatment area and eat the birds in years outside of aerial 1080 treatment. There is no
trapping network to protect the kiwi at this project (Guillotel et al, 2014).
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Ferrets appear to be distributed at low densities across the northern Coromandel
Peninsula (Appendix 1) and individual projects employ their own site specific protection
measures. Most of the detections have been in the southern Coromandel, and historically
there were Fitch farms near Waihi, Hikuai and Mill Creek south of Whitianga (T.
Harrison, pers comm).
Previous records of ferrets in forested habitat include a personal observation on the main
range at 600 m elevation and capture in a possum trap near Kakatarahae several
kilometres to the north of the treatment area (E. Murphey, pers comm). Importantly three
of the five ferrets caught to date at Thames Coast have been in forested habitat.
In light of the threat posed, it would make sense to evaluate ferret control policy and
options about farm forest margins over the entire northern Coromandel7, especially the
remaining 27% of the peninsula containing managed kiwi populations. This is an
important ‘sleeper’ issue for all Coromandel Projects.
Recommendations
1. Ensure best practice stoat trapping continues.
2. Increase the number of pairs in the project area to 50 by 2021.
3. Repeat this distribution survey in 2021 and if the 50 pair target has not been met then look to further replenish the local population with excess birds from other sites.
4. Monitor selected hot spots annually to detect any wholesale declines due to localized issues such as dog or ferret predation.
5. Establish ‘lead in lines’ to the north and northeast to further enhance chick protection. Advocate for the establishment of predator control networks to the north and south of the treatment area to minimize reinvasion.
6. Re-assess the projects ferret trapping capacity.
7 North of the nominal line between Tairua and Tapu.
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Acknowledgements
The survey was funded by Pub Charities and Environment Waikato. Survey teams were:
2006: Carol Nanning, Paul White, Shelley Carr, Louise Deane, Fin Buchanan, Robert Efford, Wayne Lincoln, Bill and Catherine Bedford, Anne Boyle, Warwick Reed, Joanne Richards, Lisa Ballantyne, Ian Stewart and Bob Carr.
2011: Carol Nanning, Hamish Kendal, Wendy Hare, Tony Harrison, Peter Novis, Bob Carr and Patrick Stewart.
Landowners who helped make the survey a success were John and Rosemary Roper, Des and Tiny Veal, Paul and Missy Veal, Bill and Marie Bedford, Paul White, Ian Stewart and Louise Dean, Fin Buchannan and Carol Nanning, David and Tania Lyons, Grant Tollison, Mathew Gillard and Leanne Brown, Berry Zondag and Jim Glenn of Te Mata Forestry.
References
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Forbes, Y. 2009. Natal Dispersal, Habitat Selection and Mortality of North Island Brown Kiwi (Apteryx mantelli) at the Thames Coast Kiwi Sanctuary, Coromandel. A thesis submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for a Master of Applied Science Environmental Studies, Auckland University of Technology.
Gillies, C.A.; Graham, P.J.; Clout, M.N. 2007. Home ranges of introduced mammalian carnivores at Trounson Kauri Park, Northland, New Zealand. New Zealand Journal
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McLean, S. 2004. Central Coromandel Forest Condition Report: Assessment of Possum and Goat Impacts in the Central Coromandel Management Unit. Unpublished report prepared for the Department of Conservation, Waikato Conservancy, Hamilton, New Zealand.
Thames Coast Kiwi Care Repeat Distribution Survey, Winter 2016
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Nanning, C. 2006. Te Mata/Tapu Volunteer Baseline Kiwi Survey: May and June 2006. Unpublished Report for Thames Coast Kiwi Care. R. D 5, Thames
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Renwick, N.; Craig, E.; Sporle, W. 2010. Draft Taxon Plan for Northland brown kiwi (Apteryx mantelli) Strategic Plan for the recovery of Northland North Island Brown kiwi for the (ten year) period 2010 – 2019 and beyond, including key actions required for their recovery. Department of Conservation Northland Conservancy, Whangarei.
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Appendix 1
Pattern of ferret detections across Northern Coromandel localities, 1995 to 2015.