regents retreat data

Utah System of Higher Educat ion

Context:Higher Education in Utah

Available online: http://higheredutah.org/news/presentations/

David L. BuhlerCommissioner of Higher Education

November 14, 2014


Contents

• 66 by 2020 Slide 3• High School Pipeline Slide 6• College Readiness Slide 10• USHE Students Slide 13• College Completion Slide 20• Cost & Efficiency Slide 24• Affordability Slide 30• Use of Technology Slide 34• Benefits of Higher Education Slide 40


66% by 2020


On TrackDegrees and Certificates awarded towards the 66% by 2020 Goal

2020 Goal:

336,950

2010-11:

29,981

2013-14

Actual: 125,552

Goal: 124,800

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000


Achieving the 2020 Goal

• The overall impact of 66by2020:

– $14.4 billion added to the economy over 30 years in wages (annual rate of $400 million)

– $1.4 billion in additional tax revenue over 30 years for the state of Utah.


THE HIGH SCHOOL PIPELINE


40,840

51,461

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

55,000

High School Senior

K-12 Population by Graduation Year

Utah State Office of Education, USHE, Office of Legislative Research and General Counsel

Projected +26% increase


A More Diverse Nation and StateMinority Share of the Population in Utah and the U.S.

Census Bureau, Perlich (2002), BEBR

1.9%

20.0%

11.4%

37.0%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

1960 2012

Utah U.S.


Projected

Utah Public High School GraduatesActual (2007-2012) and Projected (2013-2022)

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Hispanic (35% College Participation Rate)

Caucasian (50% College Participation Rate)


COLLEGE READINESS


ACT (http://www.act.org/newsroom/data/2014/states/pdf/Utah.pdf)

ACT Test 2010-2014Percent of H.S. Graduates in Utah Meeting ACT College Readiness Benchmarks**


College Readiness - Math

https://datagateway.schools.utah.gov/SAGEhttp://www.act.org/newsroom/data/2014/benchmarks.html

USHE

K-12 students proficient in math (via SAGE, 2013-14) 39%Students who met the ACT Math Benchmark for college readiness (2013-14) 39%USHE Students who successfully complete Math 1030 or higher in 1st year (2008-12 average) 43%2008 Utah High School graduates who were “math ready” (enrolled in college & completed math w/out remediation) 18%


USHE STUDENTS


USHE Students

Of Utah high school graduates who enroll in college, attend a USHE institution

Students in Fall 2014 (headcount)

8 out of 10

167,317

New freshmen in Fall 201421,152

Utah high school students enroll in college within 3 years of graduation

6 out of 10

Four out of five college students work an average of 19 hrs./week (U.S).

80%

USHECITI/Seventeen 2013 College Finance Survey (http://www.citigroup.com/citi/news/2013/130807a.htm)


126,379

177,665

208,448

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

Historical Projected

• Since 2000, enrollments have increased the equivalent of the current student bodies at USU and WSU combined.

• 2014-2021, enrollment growth will exceed the current student body at UU.

USHE Enrollments


Outpacing the U.S.

Projected (2010-2021)

+15% +23%National data: National Center for Education Statistics – Projections of Education Statistics to 2021 (http://nces.ed.gov/pubs2013/2013008.pdf)

Utah: USHE

Historical (1996-2010)

+46% +52%


College Participation Rates by Ethnicity2007 Utah High School graduates

USOE/USHE

52.5% 50.6%

42.8%

50.3%

31.6%35.3%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Caucasian Black Hispanic


College Participation Rates of Utah H.S. Graduatesby Gender

USOE/USHE

50.40% 50.10%49.60% 49.90%

40%

50%

60%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Female

Male


College Participation Rates of Utah H.S. Graduatesby Income (enroll within 3 years after high school graduation)

USOE/USHE

65% 63% 64% 66%

58%

44% 42%46%

49%45%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Above Low-Income Low-Income

• Low-income = Free/Reduced lunch eligible. • 37% of Utah public H.S. graduates were eligible for free/reduced lunch in 2012.


COLLEGE COMPLETION


Completions (4 year degrees)

63% (6 yr) 39% (6 yr)

51% (8 yr)

National data: National Student Clearinghouse Research Center (http://nscresearchcenter.org/signaturereport4/)http://nscresearchcenter.org/signaturereport6-statesupplement/

USHE

32,491 degrees and certificates awarded in 2013–14


College Graduation Rate by Ethnicity (6-year)2007 H.S. graduates

USOE/USHE

24.3% 24.5%

40.1%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

Hispanic Black Caucasian


College Graduation Rate by Gender2007 HS graduates

USOE/USHE

1.3%

53.5%

3.1%

35.8%

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

1st yr. 2nd yr. 3rd yr. 4th yr. 5th yr. 6th yr. 7th yr.

Female Male


COST EFFICIENCY


Share of State Budget

27% 28%

11%12%

17%

9%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

K-12 Higher Ed Medicaid Transportation


Utah State Tax Funding to Higher Ed

$691,631,000

$694,331,000

$400,000,000

$500,000,000

$600,000,000

$700,000,000

$800,000,000

$900,000,000

Current Dollars Constant Dollars (2013)


Source: NCHEMS Information Center

Utah (2nd)

Second in Number of Degrees per $100K SpentCredentials & Degrees Awarded per $100,000 of Education & Related Expenditures


Tax Funds vs. Tuition per FTE Student

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000F

Y01

FY

02

FY

03

FY

04

FY

05

FY

06

FY

07

FY

08

FY

09

FY

10

FY

11

FY

12

FY

13

FY

14

Tax Funds Per FTE

Tuition Per FTE

• Nationally, tuition rates have increased by 80%.• FY Actuals


FY2008

Tax Funds

63%

Tuition

37%

FY2013

Tax Funds

48%

Tuition

52%

Utah Average Tuition & State Funding SupportFunding per Student FTE

FY2015*

Tax Funds

51%

Tuition

49%

*Budgeted


AFFORDABILITY


Tuition & Fees3rd lowest in-state tuition and fees for 4-year public institutions (2014-15)

Utah (3rd)

College Board (http://trends.collegeboard.org/sites/default/files/college-pricing-2013-full-report.pdf)


Student Debt – Utah vs. U.S.

Source: Project on Student Debt

52% of Utah college students borrow for college.

3rdlowest student debt as percentage of cost of living.

Average Student Loan Debt $29,400 $21,520


Source: NCHEMS Information Center

Pell Grants Awards - Utah

-

50,000

100,000

150,000

$0

$100,000,000

$200,000,000

$300,000,000

$400,000,000

$500,000,000

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Recip

ients

Tota

l Volu

me

*54% of Pell Grant Awards are at USHE Institutions


USE OF TECHNOLOGY


21,878

45,178

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

• 27% of all USHE students enroll in at least one online class in Fall 2014(up from 20% in 2012)

Headcount of USHE Students Enrolled inOnline Courses


Headcount of USHE Students Enrolled inOnline Courses – by institution

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

UU

USU

WSU

SUU

Snow

DSU

UVU

SLCC


Certificates

18

AAS

8

Associate

10

Bachelors

20

Masters

19

PhD

3Licensure

2Minor

2

81 Certificates and Degrees Available Entirely Online


Hybrid/Blended Headcount(different than online)

424

9,263

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

2011 2012 2013 2014


But…

• More than 85% of students who enroll in online courses take a majority of their courses on campus.

• Less than 3% of full-time students are enrolled totally online.

• Most “100%” online students are part-time and >25 years old.

Despite availability of online courses/degrees, a major majority of students prefer using

online courses to augment a traditional on-campus schedule.


BENEFITS OF HIGHER EDUCATION


The ROIDifference in median annual earnings of college and high school graduates ages 25 to 32 in U.S. (in 2012 dollars)

Source: Pew Research Center, February 2014. “The Rising Cost of Not Going to College” (http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2014/02/11/the-rising-cost-of-not-going-to-college/)

$7,499

$9,690

$14,245 $15,780

$17,500

1965 1979 1986 1995 2013

A college graduate will earn $830,000 more over a lifetime than someone with only a high school diploma.


*Unemployment and Poverty rates for Graduate or Professional Degree are USHE estimates.Source: USHE, US Census (American Communities Survey), Department of Workforce Services, 2013.

$22,290

$27,868$31,843

$44,668

$61,774

4.2% 4.3%

2.4% 2.2%

1.8%

24%

12% 8%

5%

2%

$0

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

$60,000

$70,000

Less Than HighSchool

High School Some College orAssociate Degree

Bachelor's Degree Graduate orProfessional

Degree*

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

Median Wages Unemployment Poverty

The ROIUtahns’ Wage Earnings & Unemployment by Educational Attainment (2013)


Source: Building Utah’s Wealth through Higher Education, USHE 2014

61

124

97

75

132

9582

141

102113

183

132

Employed Unemployed or Not in the

Labor Force

All

Min

ute

s/D

ay

Employment Status

Less than a High School Diploma High School Diploma

Some College or Associate Degree Bachelor's Degree and Higher

Amount of Time (mins/day) Mothers Spend with Children under age 18 by Employment Status & Education Level, 2003 – 2012

The ROIIncreased Attention to Children


Source: Building Utah’s Wealth through Higher Education, USHE 2014

9%

17%

29%

42%

Less than a High School

Diploma

High School Diploma Some College or

Associate Degree

Bachelor's Degree and

Higher

Volunteer Rates by Educational Attainment, Age 25 & Over

The ROIIncreased Volunteerism


Conclusions

• Continued enrollment growth

• College readiness an issue

• More diverse but persistent achievement gap

• Completion needs continued focus

• State support crucial to maintaining affordability

• Increasing use of technology

• Economic & social benefits


Opening Graphic

regents retreat data

Education

state of utah

utah available

utah high school students

college students

high school pipelineslide

college readinessslide

college completionslide

college finance survey