realtors confidence index 2015-07-22
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TLEJROTQ® AOKI@BLKAL @KBLX Q\TYLPTlport ok thl Cukl 475< Qurvly
Rhl TLEJROTQ® Aoki`blkal @kblx ( TA@ ) Tlport prov`bls nokthjy `kiornet`ok edout rlejlstetl nerflt aokb`t`oks ekb lxplatet`oks, duylr/sljjlr treii`a, pr`al trlkbs, duylrs‐ahereatlr`st`as, ekb `ssuls eiilat`km rlej lstetl deslb ok e nokthjy survly oi TLEJROTQ®.
Rhl Cukl 475< rlport `s deslb ok thl rlspoksls oi 4,075 TLEJROTQ® edout joaej nerfltaokb`t`oks `k Cukl. Oi thosl who rlspokblb, 5,81< rlspokblkts ajoslb e sejl ekb wlrl esflb`kiornet`ok edout thl ahereatlr`st`as oi thl`r jest ajoslb trekseat`ok `k Cukl. Rhl bete aojjlatlbiron e rekbon senpjl oi TLEJROTQ® `s v`lwlb to dl rlprlslktet`vl oi thl sejls ior thlnokth.5 Rhl okj`kl survly wes aokbuatlb iron Cujy 5-8, 475
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Redjl oi Aoktlkts
Qunnery .................................................................................................................................................... 1
@. Nerflt Aokb`t`oks ................................................................................................................................. 2
TLEJROTQ® Droebjy Tlportlb Qtrokm Nerflts .................................................................................... 2
TLEJROTQ® Tlne`k Mlklrejjy Aoki`blkt Edout thl Outjoof ̀ k thl Klxt Q`x Nokths ....................... 2
TLEJROTQ® Mlklrejjy Tlportlb @nprov`km Duylr ekb Qljjlr Rreii`a ................................................. 8
95 Wlralkt oi TLEJROTQ® Tlportlb H`mhlr Wr`als iron e Pler Emo ................................................ 57
TLEJROTQ® Lxplat Wr`als to @karlesl Noblstjy ̀ k Klxt 54 Nokths ................................................. 55
Wroplrt`ls Qteylb ok thl Nerflt ior Jlss R`nl et 12 Beys .................................................................... 54
@@. Duylr ekb Qljjlr Ahereatlr`st`as ......................................................................................................... 52
Qejls to I`rst R`nl Duylrs3 17 Wlralkt oi Qejls ..................................................................................... 52
Qejls ior @kvlstnlkt Wurposls3 54 Wlralkt oi Qejls ............................................................................... 5=
B`strlsslb Qejls3 8 Wlralkt oi Qejls ........................................................................................................ 58
Aesh Qejls3 44 Wlralkt oi Qejls .............................................................................................................. 47
@ktlrket`okej Rrekseat`oks3 Jlss thek Rwo Wlralkt oi Tls`blkt`ej Nerflt ............................................ 44
Tlkts Aokt`kul to @karlesl ..................................................................................................................... 41
@@@. Aurrlkt @ssuls .................................................................................................................................... 42
Arlb`t Aokb`t`oks .................................................................................................................................... 42 Aoktreat Qlttjlnlkt @ssuls ...................................................................................................................... 4
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Qunnery
Rhl `kiornet`ok prov`blb dy TLEJROTQ® deslb ok thl`r aj`lkt `ktlreat`oks `kb`aetlsthet thl rlej lstetl nerflt rlne`klb droebjy ‚strokm„ `k neky joaej nerflts `k Cukl 475
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@. Nerflt Aokb`t`oks
TLEJROTQ® Droebjy Tlportlb Qtrokm Nerflts
TLEJROTQ® mlklrejjy aokt`kulb to rlport ‚strokm„ joaej nerflt aokb`t`oks `k Cukl
475< ior s`kmjl-ien`jy ekb towkhonl proplrt`ls, w`th thl aoki`blkal `kb`als slttj`km et h`mhlrjlvljs aonperlb to thl senl plr`ob jest yler ekb et edout thl senl jlvljs es `k Ney 475
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Quste`klb cod arlet`ok et e peal oi 447 thousekb cods plr nokth `k 475
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aokbon`k`uns ekb towkhonls wes ‚strokm„ `k Aej`iork`e, Orlmok, ekb ]esh`kmtok whlrltlahkojomy-rljetlb cods hevl dllk mrow`km rodustjy. TLEJROTQ® aokt`kulb to hevl ‚strokm„outjoof `k Rlxes blsp`tl thl sjunp `k o`j pr`als. @k Y`rm`k`e ekb ]lst Y`rm`ke, thl jlvljs oiaoki`blkal wlrl droebjy ‚noblretl.„ Enokm ejj proplrty typls, thl aokbon`k`un nerflt `s thlwleflst, w`th TLEJROTQ® rlport`km edout aokbon`k`un i`keka`km `ssuls ior doth IHE-
`ksurlb ekb thl MQL-deaflb joeks.
8
TLEJROTQ® Aoki`blkal @kblx3 Outjoof Ovlr thl Klxt Q`x Nokths ior Q`kmjl-Ien`jy Honls
Epr`j -Cukl 475<
8 IHE ekb thl MQLs hevl i`keka`km lj`m`d`j`ty ar`tlr`e rljet`km to owklrsh`p oaaupekay rlqu`rlnlkts, blj`kqulkt buls, proclatepprovej proalss, ekb usl ior aonnlra`ej speal. Qll thl Qtetlnlkt oi KET Qudn`ttlb ior thl Tlaorb to thl Qlketl Aonn`ttll
Hous`km ekb Dekf`km Eiie`rs ok Blalndlr 0, 4752 et http3//www.fslioaus.aon/d`jjbetedesl/aj`lkti`jls/5=4/5/4587.pbi
http://www.ksefocus.com/billdatabase/clientfiles/172/1/2180.pdfhttp://www.ksefocus.com/billdatabase/clientfiles/172/1/2180.pdfhttp://www.ksefocus.com/billdatabase/clientfiles/172/1/2180.pdfhttp://www.ksefocus.com/billdatabase/clientfiles/172/1/2180.pdf
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TLEJROTQ ® Aoki`blkal @kblx3 Outjoof Ovlr thl Klxt Q`x Nokths ior Rowkhonls
Epr`j-Cukl 475<
TLEJROTQ® Aoki`blkal @kblx3 Outjoof Ovlr thl Klxt Q`x Nokths ior Aokbon`k`uns
Epr`j-Cukl 475
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TLEJROTQ® Mlklrejjy Tlportlb @nprov`km Duylr ekb Qljjlr Rreii`a
TLEJROTQ® mlklrejjy rlportlb ‚strokm„ duylr treii`a `k thl`r joaej nerflts `k Cukl475
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TLEJROTQ® Duylr Rreii`a @kblx
Epr`j-Cukl 475<
TLEJROTQ® Qljjlr Rreii`a @kblx
Epr`j-Cukl 475<
KET ejso treafs bete ok thl kundlr oi proplrt`ls showk dy TLEJROTQ® us`kmQlktr`joaf, JJA bete. Ioot treii`a aokt`kulb to show strlkmth `k Cukl, thl s`xth aokslaut`vl
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nokth oi lxpeks`ok. Ejthoumh show`kms bo kot klalsser`jy treksjetl `kto sejls, ioot treii`a hes estrokm aorrljet`ok w`th iuturl aoktreats ekb honl sejls.57
95 Wlralkt oi TLEJROTQ® Tlportlb H`mhlr Wr`als iron e Pler Emo
Honl pr`als hevl r`slk et ek `karles`kmjy iestlr peal `k 475
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TLEJROTQ® Lxplat Wr`als to @karlesl Noblstjy ̀ k Klxt 54 Nokths
TLEJROTQ® who rlspokblb to thl Cukl 475< survly lxplat pr`als to `karlesl dy 1.2
plralkt ovlr thl klxt 54 nokths (1.9 plralkt `k Ney 475
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Epr`j 475
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Epprox`netljy 2= plralkt oi proplrt`ls wlrl ok thl nerflt ior jlss thek e nokth whlksojb (2< plralkt `k Ney 475
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Nlb`ek Beys ok Nerflt ior Qejls Tlportlb dy TLEJROTQ®, Dy Qtetl
Epr`j-Cukl 475<
@@. Duylr ekb Qljjlr Ahereatlr`st`as
Qejls to I`rst R`nl Duylrs3 17 Wlralkt oi Qejls
I`rst-t`nl honl duylrs nebl up 17 plralkt oi lx`st`km honl sejls `k Cukl 475
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edout $1< ior e $477,777 nortmeml. TLEJROTQ® hevl ejso rlportlb thet honls erl`karles`kmjy dlaon`km ukeiiorbedjl, ekb thet sljjlrs erl rljuatekt to novl dlaeusl thly aek‐t
i`kb eiiorbedjl honls. Rhl nlb`ek honl pr`al ior e s`kmjl-ien`jy honl rosl dy k`kl plralkt `kNey 475< iron e yler emo, wh`jl thl nlb`ek houslhojb `kaonl `karleslb dy two plralkt.
Duylrs eml 12 ekb ukblr eaaouktlb ior 48 plralkt oi sejls rlportlb dy thl rlspokblkts,up iron edout 42 plralkt `k Cujy 4752 (th`s qulst`ok wes kot esflb `k thl Cukl 4752 survly).
17%
7%
57%
47%
17%
27%
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Tlktlrs eaaouktlb ior 27 plralkt oi sejls, up iron 19 plralkt `k Eumust 4752 whlk thlqulst`ok wes i`rst esflb `k thl TA@ survly. Ejthoumh rlkts erl r`s`km iestlr thek nortmeml peynlkts, thl rlktlrsh`p retl hes rlne`klb ljlvetlb, j`fljy bul to e n`x oi ieators rljetlb toj`ilstyjl aho`al, houslhojb iornet`ok, i`keka`ej aokstre`kts ior youkmlr houslhojbs, ekb t`mhtlrukblrwr`t`km stekberbs.
Qejls bete aonp`jlb ior thl Cekuery-Cukl 475< t`nlirenl showlb thet enokm duylrs 12ylers ekb ukblr, 89 plralkt puraheslb s`kmjl-ien`jy honls, aonperlb to thl == plralkt retl ior duylrs
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Qejls ior @kvlstnlkt Wurposls3 54 Wlralkt oi Qejls
Epprox`netljy 54 plralkt oi TLEJROTQ® rlportlb thet thl`r jest sejl wes ior`kvlstnlkt purposls (52 plralkt `k Ney 475
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B`strlsslb Qejls3 L`mht Wlralkt oi Qejls
]`th r`s`km honl vejuls ekb ilwlr iorlajosurls, thl sherl oi sejls oi b`strlsslb proplrt`ls aokt`kulb to blaj`kl. @k Cukl 475
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Iorlajoslb proplrty sojb et e 5< plralkt evlreml b`saoukt, wh`jl short sejls sojb et ekevlreml oi 58 plralkt b`saoukt. Ior thl pest 54 nokths, b`strlsslb proplrt`ls `k ‚edovl evlreml„aokb`t`ok wlrl b`saouktlb dy ek evlreml oi 57-55 plralkt, wh`jl proplrt`ls `k ‚dljow evlreml„aokb`t`ok wlrl b`saouktlb et ek evlreml oi 5=-50 plralkt.
7%
57%
47%
17%
27%
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Aesh Qejls3 44 Wlralkt oi Qejls
Rhl sherl oi aesh sejls to thl nerflt hes blaj`klb aonperlb to thl jlvljs sllk `k 4757-4752. Epprox`netljy 44 plralkt oi TLEJROT® rlspokblkts rlportlb thet thl`r jest trekseat`okwes e aesh sejl (42 plralkt `k Ney 475
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Enokm nortmeml sejls rlportlb dy thl rlspokblkts, 10 plralkt heb e bowkpeynlkt oi etjlest 47 plralkt, edout thl senl s`kal 4755 whlk KET stertlb aojjlat`km th`s bete. Enokmnortmeml sejls ior i`rst-t`nl honl duylrs, 99 plralkt heb bowkpeynlkt tlrns oi zlro to s`x plralkt, bowk iron == plralkt oi `k 4770. Rhl blarleslb sherl oi jow bowkpeynlkt joeks `s okl`kb`aetor thet eaalss to arlb`t hes dlaonl norl b`ii`aujt ior dorrowlrs who aekkot eiiorb to put`k e h`mhlr bowkpeynlkt.
9=% 99%
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@ktlrket`okej Rrekseat`oks3 Jlss thek Rwo Wlralkt oi Tls`blkt`ej Nerflt
Jlss thek two plralkt plralkt oi rlspokblkts rlportlb thl`r jest sejl wes e purahesl dy eiorl`mklr kot rls`b`km `k thl \.Q. @ktlrket`okej duylrs irlqulktjy pey aesh ekb hevl typ`aejjy puraheslb proplrt`ls edovl thl nerflt nlb`ek pr`al. Deslb ok KET‐s 475< Wroi`jl oi Honlduy`km Eat`v`ty oi @ktlrket`okej Aj`lkts, Ijor`be, Aej`iork`e, Rlxes, ekb Er`zoke erl thlnecor blst`ket`oks.
==%
99%
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Tlkts Aokt`kul to @karlesl
Tlkts aokt`kul to `karlesl. Edout 95 plralkt oi TLEJROT® rlspokblkts rlportlb r`s`kmrlkt, (
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@@@. Aurrlkt @ssuls
Arlb`t Aokb`t`oks
TLEJROTQ® hevl rlportlb thet arlb`t aokb`t`oks rlne`k mlklrejjy t`mht, w`th
s`mk`i`aekt joek proalss`km bljeys. Okl `kb`aetor oi arlb`t t`mhtklss `s thl b`str`dut`ok oi I@AOsaorls ok epprovlb joeks.
Edout
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Aoktreat Qlttjlnlkt @ssuls
@k rlport`km ok thl`r jest aoktreat bur`km thl thrll nokth t`nl plr`ob Epr`j-Cukl 475< thetwlkt `kto slttjlnlkt or wes tlrn`ketlb, TLEJROTQ® rlportlb thet 91 plralkt oi aoktreats wlrlslttjlb ok t`nl, 40 plralkt heb bljeylb slttjlnlkt, ekb slvlk plralkt wlrl tlrn`ketlb.
Oi ejj aoktreats slttjlb/tlrn`ketlb, 20 plralkt iealb sonl typl oi `ssul3 59 plralkt hebi`keka`km `ssuls, k`kl plralkt heb eppre`sej `ssuls, ekb k`kl plralkt heb honl `ksplat`ok `ssuls.
Enokm aoktreats thet heb e bljeylb slttjlnlkt (40 plralkt), i`keka`km `ssuls wlrl thl pr`nery aeusl oi aoktreat bljeys et 10 plralkt.
Enokm aoktreats thet wlrl tlrn`ketlb (slvlk plralkt), i`keka`km ekb honl `ksplat`ok`ssuls wlrl thl necor aeusls et 15 plralkt ekb 4< plralkt rlsplat`vljy.
1%
5=%42% 4
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9
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10%
59%
55%
0%
8%
9%
4%
7%
4
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Rhl KER@OKEJ EQQOA@ER@OK oi TLEJROTQ®, ‚Rhl Yo`al ior Tlej Lstetl,„ `sEnlr`ae‐s jermlst trebl essoa`et`ok, rlprlslkt`km ovlr 5 n`jj`ok nlndlrs, `kajub`km KET‐s`kst`tutls, soa`lt`ls, ekb aouka`js, `kvojvlb `k ejj esplats oi thl rlej lstetl `kbustry. KET
nlndlrsh`p `kajubls droflrs, sejlsplopjl, proplrty nekemlrs, eppre`slrs, aouksljors ekb
othlrs lkmemlb `k doth rls`blkt`ej ekb aonnlra`ej rlej lstetl. Rhl tlrn TLEJROT® `s erlm`stlrlb aojjlat`vl nlndlrsh`p nerf thet `blkt`i`ls e rlej lstetl proilss`okej who `s e
nlndlr oi thl Ket`okej Essoa`et`ok oi TLEJROTQ® ekb sudsar`dls to `ts str`at Aobl oi
Lth`as. ]orf`km ior Enlr`ae's proplrty owklrs, thl Ket`okej Essoa`et`ok prov`bls e iea`j`ty
ior proilss`okej blvljopnlkt, rlslerah, ekb lxahekml oi `kiornet`ok enokm `ts nlndlrs,ekb to thl pudj`a ekb movlrknlkt ior thl purposl oi prlslrv`km thl irll lktlrpr`sl systln ekb
thl r`mht to owk rlej proplrty.
Rhl N`ss`ok oi thl KER@OKEJ EQQOA@ER@OK oi TLEJROTQ® Tlslerah B`v`s`ok `s to
aojjlat ekb b`ssln`ketl t`nljy, eaauretl, ekb aonprlhlks`vl rlej lstetl bete ekb to aokbuat
laokon`a ekejys`s `k orblr to `kiorn ekb lkmeml nlndlrs, aoksunlrs, poj`ay neflrs, ekbthl nlb`e `k e proilss`okej ekb eaalss`djl nekklr.
Ro i`kb out edout othlr probuats iron KET‐s Tlslerah B`v`s`ok, v`s`t
www.TLEJROT.orm/rlslerah-ekb-stet`st`as
Ejso iojjow KET Tlslerah ok
https3//tw`ttlr.aon/ker_rlslerah
https3//www.iealdoof.aon/kerrlslerahmroup
https3//www.p`ktlrlst.aon/kerrlslerah/
https3//`kstemren.aon/kerrlslerah/
KER@OKEJ EQQOA@ER@OK oi TLEJROTQ®
Tlslerah B`v`s`ok