questar 2 2010 final

Upload: hairymo

Post on 10-Apr-2018

229 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    1/34

    A Natural Gas-Focused Energy Company

    Credit Suisse Energy Summit 2010

    Vail, Colorado February 3-4, 2010

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    2/34

    62%

    11%

    9%

    10%

    8%

    2

    Questar Exploration &Production

    Wexpro

    (Exploration & Production)

    Questar Gas Management(Gathering and Processing)

    Questar Pipeline

    (Interstate Gas Transmission)

    Questar Gas(Distribution)

    EBITDA contributionTTM September 2009

    $9.8 Billion Enterprise Value

    Market

    Resources82%

    TTM 9/09 EBITDA $1.65B

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    3/34

    Questar E&P 2009 estimated production growth 7-9%,despite voluntary curtailments and deferred completions

    Increased Haynesville acreage 39% to 43,000 net acres incore of the play

    Continued success in Haynesville development drilling

    Over 95 new producing wells at Pinedale in 2009

    New growth opportunities in Woodford Shale, Granite Wash,

    and Bakken Visible 12-15% production growth potential for 2010 and

    beyond

    3

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    4/34

    0

    400

    800

    1,200

    1,600

    2,000

    2,400

    1998 00 02 04 06 08 2010

    50

    70

    90

    110

    130

    150

    170

    190

    210

    230

    4

    Proved YE reserves (Bcfe)*10-year (1999-2008) CAGR: 14%

    Production (Bcfe)*10-year (1999-2008) CAGR: 10%

    *excludes Wexpro reserves and production

    2009E183-186

    2010E210-215

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    5/34

    Questar E&P EBITDA($ millions)

    317.1

    452.3

    638.9749.8

    1,107.11,010.1

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 TTM 9/09

    5

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    6/34

    $0.00

    $2.00

    $4.00

    $6.00

    $8.00

    3Q09 production cash cost structureversus 40 E&P peers

    (LOE + production taxes + G&A + interest)

    6

    Source: Company data and Credit-Suisse E&P Stat Sort, December 8, 2009

    Average$2.99/Mcfe

    Questar E&P$1.67/Mcfe

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    7/34

    2009 CAPEX Forecast$1.50 Billion

    2010 CAPEX Forecast$1.58 Billion

    7

    Questar E&P*$1,088

    Wexpro$100

    Updated October 28, 2009

    Wexpro$120

    Gas Management$90

    Questar E&P*$895

    QuestarGas$84

    Pipeline$114

    Gas Management$290

    Pipeline

    $161

    QuestarGas$129

    *Includes exploration expense.

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    8/34

    Growth driven by two world-class assets

    - Pinedale and Haynesville

    Additional growth from emerging resource plays

    - Bakken, Granite Wash, Woodford / Cana

    2010 production guidance 210-215 Bcfe

    - Over 70% hedged and up 15% vs. 2009

    2010 EBITDA guidance $1.48-$1.58 billion

    Five-year Questar E&P production growth rate 12-15%

    High-quality, repeatable resource plays

    8

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    9/34

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    10/34

    10

    6 MilesUpdated October 20, 2009

    TX LA

    Reported initialproduction (IP) ratesfor Haynesville wells

    (MMcfd)

    Questar E&Pdrilling / completing

    Questar E&P leasehold(Haynesville or deeper)

    5

    >5-10

    >10-15>15-20

    >20

    7 Questar E&P-operated rigs in 2010

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    11/34

    11

    Reported initialproduction (IP) ratesfor Haynesville wells

    (MMcfd)

    Questar E&Pdrilling / completing

    5 >15-20

    >5-10 >20

    >10-15

    Questar E&P leasehold(Haynesville or deeper)

    6 Miles

    Only operated locations are shown for WOC and drilling wells

    Updated October 20, 2009

    Initial Production Rates (MMcfd)

    1. 24.8 14. WOC 27. Drilling

    2. 17.7 15. 24.4 28. Drilling

    3. 18 16. 22.1 29. Drilling

    4. 12.2 17. 22.6 30. 11

    5. WOC 18. 23.7 31. 13.96. 15.9 19. 21.7 32. 16.8

    7. 20.1 20. 20.9

    8. Drilling 21. WOC

    9. 25.2 22. Drilling

    10. 23.9 23. Drilling

    11. 21.5 24. Completing

    12. 25.1 25. Drilling

    13. WOC 26. Drilling

    23

    12

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    17

    12

    13

    15 16

    21

    18 19 2022

    2425

    26

    27

    28

    29

    3031

    32

    14

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    12/34

    12

    Concentrated asset

    Questar operated

    Proven play

    Low F&D and LOE

    Downspacing potential

    Developed infrastructure

    Gathering and processing

    QMR leasehold17,872 gross acres

    PinedaleField

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    13/34

    13

    * As of December 31, 2008

    Questar E&P net proved reserves: 1.16 Tcfe *

    Additional net probable reserves: 2.1 Tcfe

    Up to 1,400 remaining well locations oncombination of 5- and 10-acre density

    10-acre density wells likely recover< 50% of OGIP

    417 producing wells at 11/3/09

    400 Questar E&P PUDs booked oncombination of 5-,10- and 20-acre density *

    Anticipate 95-100 new well completions in2009

    6 Questar-operated rigs in 2010

    CurrentEconomic

    Limit

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    14/34

    14

    Updated October 19, 2009

    IPs MMcfd/bcd

    1. IP: 21/570

    2. IP: 25/1,900

    3. IP: 21/1,230

    4. IP: 21/0

    5. IP: 20/0 *

    6. Drilling *(QEP 1st

    operated HZ well)

    7. IP: 14/1,375 *

    8. IP: 12/280 *

    1

    23

    45*

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    Jan-04

    Jul-04

    Jan-05

    Jul-05

    Jan-06

    Jul-06

    Jan-07

    Jul-07

    Jan-08

    Jul-08

    Jan-09

    Jul-09

    Questar E&P Net production fromGranite Wash/Atoka

    MMcfed

    Currently drilling first Questar E&Poperated horizontal well

    $4.8 to $8.0 MM well cost

    EUR 3.5 to 6.0 Bcfe / well

    49,401 gross / 21,634 net acres

    2 Questar E&P-operated rigs in 2010

    6*

    7*

    * Questar E&Pworking interest

    8*

    6 Miles

    Questar E&P leasehold

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    15/34

    Recent Questar E&P Operated WellsInitial Production Rates:

    1. Leck 4-28H, IP: 4,900 Mcfd, 3 bcd

    2. Austin 1-23-H, IP: 7,615 Mcfd, 42 bcd

    3. White 1-24H, Drilling

    Updated October 12, 2009

    Woodford wells completed

    Woodford wells drilling & WOC

    6 Miles

    Questar E&P non-operated leasehold(Woodford or deeper)

    Questar E&P-operated leasehold(Woodford or deeper)

    Approx. 22,000 net acres in200 sections

    Over 700 horizontal locations

    17.35% avg. Questar E&Pworking interest (WI)

    11 WI wells drilling or WOC

    (1 QEP-operated rig) 45 WI wells completed (6 QEP-

    operated)

    Gross cost: $7 to $8 MM per well

    Est. gross avg. EUR 5 Bcfe / well

    1 Questar E&P-operated rig in 2010

    1

    2

    3

    15

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    16/34

    16

    Questar E&P leases or minerals

    Drilling wells other operators

    Lake Sakakawea

    USGS Eastern Expulsion Trend

    6 Miles

    80,000 net acres

    5,000+ horizontal laterals

    $5.5 to $6.5 MM well cost

    IPs from 500-3,000+ bod

    0.35 to 0.75 MMboe/well

    3rd Questar E&P-operated well

    currently drilling

    1 Questar E&P-operated rig in 2010

    0-500

    501-1000

    1001-2000

    Reported initial production (IP)rates for Bakken wells (BOED):

    2001-3000

    3001-5000

    Questar E&PMHA 1-18H

    IP: 960 boed(4100 ft lateral)

    Questar E&PMHA 1-08H

    IP: 841 boed(4500 ft lateral)

    Parshall/Sanish FieldIPs: 750-3,000 bod

    EURs: 400-1,000 Mbo

    Bailey Field AreaIPs: 500-1,000 bod

    Questar E&P

    MHA 13-14HDrilling

    (9300 ft lateral)

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    17/34

    17

    CO

    UT

    WY

    Pinedale340 locations*

    Moxa Arch/Labarge Platform450 locations

    Vermillion/Powder Wash264 locations

    Uinta Basin148 locations

    Over 1,300 identified unrisked locations

    Over $1.4 B identified risked net CAPEX

    Successful-well costs added to investmentbase, dry holes excluded

    Investment base depreciated on units-of-

    production basis

    19-20% after-tax return on investmentbase

    Operating costs fully reimbursed

    Future development provides competitivecost-of-service gas supply for Questar Gas

    * based on 5 and 10-acre development

    QMR leasehold

    Gas fields

    Oil fields

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    18/34

    Net Income($ millions)

    35.3

    43.750.0

    59.2

    73.977.7

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 TTM9/09

    Investment Base($ millions)

    182.8206.3

    260.6

    300.4

    410.6 419.5

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 9/09

    18

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    19/34

    21.0

    35.742.6

    55.3

    81.5

    64.2

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 TTM9/09

    Questar Gas ManagementNet Income ($ millions)

    19

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    20/34

    20

    COUT

    WY

    W. Green River Basin HubCurrent processing/blending: 580 MMcfd

    QGM gathering: 650 milesRendezvous gathering: 325 milesRendezvous transmission: 20 milesQGM Operating income share: 64%Interstate pipeline connections: 6

    2010 projects include the addition of a 350MMcfd cryogenic processing plant

    Vermillion BasinCurrent processing/blending: 80 MMcfdGathering: 600 milesQGM Operating income share: 10%Interstate pipeline connections: 1

    Uinta Basin HubCurrent processing/blending: 380 MMcfdQGM gathering: 900 milesUBFS gathering: 80 milesThree Rivers gathering: 50 milesQGM Operating income share: 26%Interstate pipeline connections: 4

    2010 projects include the addition of a 150

    MMcfd cryogenic processing plant

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    21/34

    21

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    22/34

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009E 2010E

    Actual and Forecast EBITDA$ Billions

    $0.66

    $1.76

    $1.25

    $1.09

    $0.86

    $1.58-$1.63

    $1.48-$1.58

    22

    2010 guidance effective 10/28/09

    EBITDA $1.48B-$1.58B

    >75% of estimated productionhedged

    Assumptions for unhedgedproduction:

    - Gas: $5.50-$6.50/MMBtu NYMEX

    - Oil: $75-$85/bbl NYMEX

    - Rockies basis: $1.25-$0.50/MMBtu

    - Midcontinent basis: $0.75-$0.30/MMBtu

    210-215 Bcfe production

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    23/34

    $2,441 $2,628

    $3,273

    $3,961

    $5,800 $5,582

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 9/09

    Capitalization including short-term debt($ millions)

    Equity % Total Debt %

    23

    41%

    59%

    41%

    59%

    33%

    67%

    35%

    65%

    41%

    59%

    39%

    61%

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    24/34

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    25/34

    This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal

    securities laws. Such statements are based on management's current expectations, estimates

    and projections, which are subject to a wide range of uncertainties and business risks. Factors

    that could cause actual results to differ from those anticipated are discussed in the company's

    periodic filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its annual report on

    Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008. Questar undertakes no obligation to publicly

    correct or update the forward-looking statements in this presentation to reflect future events or

    circumstances. All such statements are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.

    Management defines EBITDA as Net Income before mark-to-market gains and losses on basis-only swaps,gains and losses on asset sales, interest and other income, interest expense, DD&A, abandonments,

    impairments, exploration expense and income taxes.

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    26/34

    26

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    27/34

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    28/34

    28

    Gas and oil hedges as of 10/22/09(Volumes and net-to-well prices)

    2010

    2011

    2012

    4 Bcfe oil collars$47.60-$105.15 / bbl5 Bcfe oil

    $60.66 / bbl

    102 Bcf gas$4.91 / Mcf

    37 Bcf gas

    $5.92 / Mcf4 Bcfe oil collars$47.60-$96.10 / bbl

    151Bcf gas$5.26 / Mcf

    21 Bcf gas collars$4.22-$6.51 / Mcf

    7 Bcf gas collars$4.65-$6.51 / Mcf

    Hedged Gas Hedged Oil Unhedged

    Gas Collar Oil Collar

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    29/34

    Hedge discipline added $465 MM pre-tax income YTD 9/30/2009

    from cash settlements

    Focused CAPEX on higher-margin Pinedale and Haynesville plays

    De-risking Granite Wash, Bakken, Woodford/Cana

    Questar E&P forecast 2009 production growth 7-9%

    Businesses excluding Questar E&P likely generate $240 MM net

    income, $630 MM EBITDA in 2009

    Strong balance sheet & liquidity / demonstrated access to capital

    29

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    30/34

    30

    Total system: 2,533 miles

    Total daily capacity: 4,155 Mdth

    Storage capacity: 53.1 Bcf

    Rate base (1/1/09): $866 MM

    27.634.8*

    45.4 45.0

    58.0 57.8

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 TTM9/09

    * before $10.4 MM Southern Trails writedown

    Net Income ($ millions)2008 growth due to expansion

    projectsOverthrust Pipeline

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    31/34

    31

    Opal

    Roberson Creek

    Blacks Fork

    Kanda

    Rock SpringsCompression

    Point of RocksCompression

    WamsutterRoberson

    Compression

    Cabin 31

    Ruby

    REX

    REX

    WIC

    Overthrust Loop

    ExpansionFacilities: 44 miles 36 pipeCapacity: 600 Mdth/dInvestment: $100 millionIn-service: 3/1/2011

    Overthrust Compression

    ExpansionFacilities: 32,000 hpCapacity: 300 Mdth/dInvestment: $42 millionIn-service: 2/15/2010

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    32/34

    31.5

    36.0 37.037.4

    40.242.1

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 TTM9/09

    32

    Cities served: 277

    Customers (+ 1.7%): 888,000

    2008 deliveries: 176 MMdth

    Rate base (1/1/09): $845 MM

    Net Income ($ millions)

    Questar Gas

    Major cities served

    Questar Pipeline

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    33/34

    33

    Return on capital

    Efficiency

    Overall ratesCustomer growth

    Revenue decoupling

    Test year

    Weather normalization

    Market penetrationGas cost pass-through

    Bad debt expense

    Earned allowed return past 4 years

    Ranks 3rd of 73 in O&M / customer

    Among lowest in U.S.Above U.S. average

    Pilot program in effect

    Future test year now allowed

    In place since 1995

    > 95%Covered in rates

    Gas cost portion covered in rates

    Key Metrics

  • 8/8/2019 Questar 2 2010 Final

    34/34

    $0.35 $0.36$0.39

    $0.43 $0.45$0.47 $0.49

    $0.49 $0.51

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    Quarterly dividend$0.13 per share

    36 increases in 37 years

    $0.52 annualized dividend

    1.2% yield on ~$43.00stock price *

    Dividends / payout ratio / yield

    PAYOUT RATIO 36% 39% 37% 31% 23% 18% 17% 13% 21%

    YIELD 2.9% 2.7% 2.3% 1.7% 1.2% 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 1.2%

    * As of January 28 2010