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Single CMO Management Committee
23 June 2011
EU SHEEP and GOAT Meat Market Situation
DG AGRI, Man Com Sheep & Goat Meat – 23 June 2011 3
Heavy Lamb: >13 kg cwt, average of 10 Member States Light Lamb: <13 kg cwt, average of 6 Member States
Development of the Community average market price for Heavy and Light Lamb carcases
200
300
400
500
600
700
| 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 |
€u
ro / 1
00kg
Light lamb
Heavy Lamb
Heavy lamb excl. RO
DG AGRI, Man Com Sheep & Goat Meat – 23 June 2011 4
Heavy Lamb prices in the EU-272008 - 2011
350
400
450
500
550
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53
€u
ro/1
00
kg
2011
2010
2009
2008
DG AGRI, Man Com Sheep & Goat Meat – 23 June 2011 5
Light Lamb prices in the EU
450
500
550
600
650
700
750
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
€u
ro/1
00kg
2011
2010
2009
2008
DG AGRI, Man Com Sheep & Goat Meat – 23 June 2011 6
Spanish light lamb prices
250
350
450
550
650
750
850
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53
€u
ro/
10
0k
g
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
DG AGRI, Man Com Sheep & Goat Meat – 23 June 2011 7
Development of the Community average market price for Heavy Lamb carcases
250
350
450
550
| 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 |
€u
ro /
100kg
UK
Heavy lamb excl. RO
DG AGRI, Man Com Sheep & Goat Meat – 23 June 2011 9
Estimated number of Sheep and Goats in EU-27
Sheep Goats Total
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
102,242
99,320
98,964
96,616
98,359
96,388
95,252
95,803
90,907
88,729
87,286
13,236
13,984
14,084
13,826
13,601
13,218
13,257
13,212
11,435
12,839
12,961
115,478
113,304
113,048
110,442
111,960
109,606
108,509
109,015
102,342
101,568
100,247
DG AGRI, Man Com Sheep & Goat Meat – 23 June 2011 10
Evolution of the Sheep herdNov/ Dec Survey (20 MSs )
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
BE BG CZ DK DE EE IE ELL ESP FR IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL ÖST PL PT RO SI SK SF SE UK
Nr:
of
10
00
an
ima
ls
2007 2008
2009 2010
DG AGRI, Man Com Sheep & Goat Meat – 23 June 2011 11
Evolution of the Sheep herdShare of Dairy sheep in the total flock
Nov/ Dec Survey 2010 (14MSs)
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
BE BG CZ DK DE EE IE ELLESP FR IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL ÖST PL PT RO SI SK SF SE UK
Nr:
of
1000 a
nim
als
Sheep total Milk ewes and milk ewe-lambs put to the ram
DG AGRI, Man Com Sheep & Goat Meat – 23 June 2011 12
Evolution of the Goats herdNov/ Dec Survey (20MSs)
0
2 000
4 000
BE BG CZ DK DE EE IE ELL ESP FR IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL ÖST PL PT RO SI SK SF SE UK
Nr:
of
1000 a
nim
als
2007 2008
2009 2010
DG AGRI, Man Com Sheep & Goat Meat – 23 June 2011 13
Sheep and Goat slaughterings in the EU2003 = EU 15 2004 = EU 25 2007 = EU 27
1 0
46
94
3
96
4
94
6
98
5
98
5
97
1
1 0
21
94
9
74
8
71
7
71
2
162163 163
77
74 74 6975 73 68
72
7860
59 58
26
6
23
2
23
0
23
3 22
4
24
0
24
4 23
5
23
2
23
0
20
1
20
1
0
250
500
750
1 000
1 250
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
in 1
000 T
on
nes
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
Sh
eep
Carc
ase w
eig
ht
in K
G
Sheep Non official 2009 GoatImp - Exp (Pw) Carc W. Heavy Carc W. Light
DG AGRI, Man Com Sheep & Goat Meat – 23 June 2011 14
Annual Sheep meat production in 1000 Tonnes
0
300
600
900
Non Off 161.999 162.691
Oth 437.048 429.048 413.316 489.461 462.470 321.217 310.979
ES 231.463 224.126 214.180 196.190 156.986 124.424 124.827
UK 314.287 331.451 330.069 324.704 325.617 302.583 280.861
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
DG AGRI, Man Com Sheep & Goat Meat – 23 June 2011 15
Sheep slaughter in the EU 27monthly
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
! 07 ! 08 ! 09 ! 10 ! 11
nu
mb
er
in 1
00
0 h
ea
ds
DG AGRI, Man Com Sheep & Goat Meat – 23 June 2011 17
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes %
New Zealand 243 186 85.4% 242 424 85.1% 240 921 83.5% 211 334 82.9% 82 577 85.4%
Australia 21 398 7.5% 22 398 7.9% 23 359 8.1% 22 047 8.6% 6 938 7.2%
For.JRep.Mac 2 605 0.9% 2 346 0.8% 2 598 0.9% 2 173 0.9% 1 886 1.9%
Uruguay 6 054 2.1% 5 934 2.1% 5 722 2.0% 4 513 1.8% 1 577 1.6%
Argentina 5 525 1.9% 5 708 2.0% 7 610 2.6% 5 982 2.3% 1 431 1.5%
Chile 4 618 1.6% 3 844 1.3% 5 727 2.0% 5 856 2.3% 1 164 1.2%
Iceland 730 0.3% 1 434 0.5% 2 047 0.7% 2 381 0.9% 741 0.8%
Falkland Is. 502 0.2% 480 0.2% 479 0.2% 532 0.2% 269 0.3%EXTRA EU15-25-27 284 927 284 778 288 621 255 076 96 724
% change - 0.1% + 1.3% - 11.6% - 12.9%
2007 2008 2009 Jan-Apr 112010
EU imports of sheep & goat and live animals (1):Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes cwe)
OriginsOrigins
DG AGRI, Man Com Sheep & Goat Meat – 23 June 2011 18
EU imports of sheep & goat and live animals (2):Trade figures (COMEXT)
IMPORTS of Sheet & Goat into EU (Tonnes cwe)
106 900 97 86782 577
7 261
5 410
6 938
122 993110 990
96 724
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
140 000
Jan-Apr 09 Jan-Apr 10 Jan-Apr 11
Tonn
es c
we
New Zealand Australia Argentina
Uruguay Chile Other destinations
IMPORTS of Sheep & Goat into EU (1000 EUR)
366 059 373 605 399 679
25 664 20 44434 504
468 273
420 918 422 513
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
350 000
400 000
450 000
500 000
Jan-Apr 09 Jan-Apr 10 Jan-Apr 11
1,00
0 E
UR
New Zealand Australia Argentina
Uruguay Chile Other destinations
DG AGRI, Man Com Sheep & Goat Meat – 23 June 2011 19
Imports of Sheep & Goat products
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
45 000
|Jan 06
2006 |Jan 07
2007 |Jan 08
2008 |Jan 09
2009 |Jan 10
2010 |Jan 11
in T
on
ne
s c
we
FRESH FROZEN OTHERS
DG AGRI, Man Com Sheep & Goat Meat – 23 June 2011 20
Community average and international market prices for Heavy Lamb carcases
150
250
350
450
550
| 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 |
€u
ro /
10
0k
g
Heavy Lamb Heavy lamb excl. RO Uruguay N. Zealand (avg N&S island)
DG AGRI, Man Com Sheep & Goat Meat – 23 June 2011 21
Exchange rate New Zealand $ - Euroquotation: 1st day of the month
1.6
1.85
2.1
2.35
I 2004 I 2005 I 2006 I 2007 I 2008 I 2009 I 2010 I 2011 I
1 E
uro
= ...
..…N
w. Z
eala
nd $
http://ec.europa.eu/budget/inforeuro/index.cfm
DG AGRI, Man Com Sheep & Goat Meat – 23 June 2011 22
%
1 Argentina 09.2011 23 000 5 665 23 000 7 382 23 000 5 751 23 000 2 563 11.1%Australia 09.2012 18 786 18 627 18 848 18 361 18 848 18 399 18 786 7 372 39.2%New Zealand 09.2013 227 854 225 987 227 854 223 907 227 854 196 713 227 854 110 002 48.3%Uruguay 09.2014 5 800 5 658 5 800 5 657 5 800 4 466 5 800 2 032 35.0%Chile 09.1922 6 000 3 617 6 200 5 324 6 400 5 720 6 600 3 261 49.4%Norway 09.0781 300 2 300 0 300 0 300 0 0.0%Greenland 09.0693 100 0 100 0 100 0 100 0 0.0%Faeroes 09.0690 20 0 20 0 20 0 20 0 0.0%Turkey 09.0227 200 0 200 0 200 0 200 0 0.0%Others 09.2015 200 8 200 0 200 51 200 9 4.7%
2 Iceland 09.0790 1 850 1 175 1 850 1 683 1 850 1 830 1 850 846 45.8%3 Erga Omnes 09.2019 92 1 92 7 92 0 92 0 0.0%
HS Product Codes 284 202 260 740 284 464 262 321 284 664 232 930 284 802 126 0861 0204 xxxx 91.7% 92.2% 81.8% 44.3%
2 0204 xxxx, 0210 99 21/ 29/ 603 0104 1030/ 1080/ 2090 For 2011 Regulation 1245/2010
2011
UTILISATION OF SHEEPMEAT AND GOATMEAT TARIFF QUOTAS 2008-2011in tonnes of carcasse weight equivalent
QUOTAACTUAL IMPORT
QUOTAACTUAL
IMPORT untill 21.6.2011
QUOTAACTUAL IMPORT
QUOTAACTUAL IMPORT
COUNTRY GROUP No
ORIGINORDER
NUMBER
20102008 2009
DG AGRI, Man Com Sheep & Goat Meat – 23 June 2011 23
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes %
Sw itzerland 1 226 11.3% 1 355 13.6% 1 404 10.0% 2 210 8.2% 1 148 10.2%
Hong Kong 975 9.0% 278 2.8% 616 4.4% 1 331 4.9% 782 6.9%
Lebanon 1 214 11.2% 974 9.8% 1 460 10.4% 2 397 8.9% 634 5.6%
Croatia 2 032 18.8% 2 073 20.8% 2 130 15.2% 1 902 7.0% 209 1.9%
Angola 305 2.8% 550 5.5% 352 2.5% 462 1.7% 161 1.4%
Ivory coast 237 2.2% 292 2.9% 212 1.5% 414 1.5% 104 0.9%EXTRA EU15-25-27 10 824 9 951 14 032 27 042 11 294
% change - 8% + 41% + 93% + 128.4%
2007 2008 2009 Jan-Apr 112010
EU exports of sheep & goat and live animals (1):Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes cwe)
DestinationsDestinations
DG AGRI, Man Com Sheep & Goat Meat – 23 June 2011 24
EU exports of sheep & goat and live animals (2):Trade figures (COMEXT)
EU EXPORTS of Sheep & Goat (Tonnes cwe)
33
4 840
588 856
1 148
279 537
634
2 068
2 198
3 531
3 903
4 944
11 294
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
Jan-Apr 09 Jan-Apr 10 Jan-Apr 11
Tonn
es c
w
Turkey Switzerland Lebanon
Angola Vietnam Other destinations
EU EXPORTS of Sheep & Goat (1000 EUR)
239
23 616
3 865 5 817
9 560
571 983
1 678
5 573
7 318
9 671
11 667
16 316
46 179
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
45 000
50 000
Jan-Apr 09 Jan-Apr 10 Jan-Apr 11
1,00
0 E
UR
Turkey Switzerland Lebanon
Angola Vietnam Other destinations
DG AGRI, Man Com Sheep & Goat Meat – 23 June 2011 25
Exports of Sheep & Goat products
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
4 500
|Jan 06
2006 |Jan 07
2007 |Jan 08
2008 |Jan 09
2009 |Jan 10
2010 |Jan 11
in T
on
ne
s c
we
FRESH FROZEN LIVE OTHERS
Large live exports to Turkey and Jordan
DG AGRI, Man Com Sheep & Goat Meat – 23 June 2011 26
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Pro
du
cti
on
, C
on
su
mp
tio
n, T
rad
e
Production
Consumption
Imports
EU-27
Exports
EU-25
Sheep and goat: continued decline in productionEU production, consumption and trade (mio t c.w.e.)