pseudoscience in the new millennium
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Pseudoscience in the New Millennium. Michael De Robertis CASCA Meeting 26 May 2000. Pseudoscience in the New Millennium. Outline. 1. What is a Skeptic ? 2. What are Pseudoscience and the Paranormal ? 3. What’s it like in the real world? 4. Why do people believe? - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Pseudoscience inthe New Millennium
Michael De Robertis
CASCA Meeting
26 May 2000
Pseudoscience in the New Millennium
1. What is a Skeptic?
2. What are Pseudoscience and the Paranormal?
3. What’s it like in the real world?
4. Why do people believe?
5. Why should we care?
6. Conclusions
Outline
Pseudoscience in the New Millennium
1. A Skeptic:
• adheres to Clifford’s dictim:
It is wrong always and everywhere for anyone to believe anything on insufficient evidence
• has an open mind and a hard nose
• is committed to the adoption of such standards of evidence throughout society by means of education
• investigates pseudoscientific and paranormal claims
Pseudoscience in the New Millennium
Scientists are skeptics as scientists… but not necessarily outside their own field!
eg., Sir Oliver Lodge, William Crookes, Thomas Edison, Sir Arthur Conan Doyle, J. Allen Hynek, John Mack, ...
Cottingley Glen “Fairies”
Pseudoscience in the New Millennium
2. Pseudoscience: a doctrine/belief masquerading as a science
• non-falsifiable hypotheses• uncritical invetigation of data• failure to update theories
Paranormal: a subset whose explanations fall outside scientific canons
• evaluate using scientific method
• scientific, not magical worldview
• analogy of criminal trial
• burden of proof on challenger
• extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence
Pseudoscience in the New Millennium
3. The REAL World
Astrology: horoscopic, biorhythms, lunar correlations
UFOs: sightings, abductions, hybrids, crop circles, cattle mutilations, ancient astronauts...
PSI: ESP, parapsychology, precognition, psychokinesis, clairvoyance, remote viewing, telepathy, ganzfeld…
Occult: numerology, tarot, ouija, pyramids, palmistry, crystal ball, Bermuda Triangle, Nostradamus,…
Pseudoscience in the New Millennium
New Age: auras, Kirlian photography, crystals, channeling, Atlantis, feng shui,…
“Bogus” Spirituality: angelology, ghosts, near-death & out-of-body experiences, levitation, (some) apparitions & faith-healing, reincarnation,…
Alternative Medicine: aromatherapy, iridology, reflexology, homeopathy, applied kinesiology, meridian therapy, touch therapy, magnetotherapy, some naturopathy & chiropractic, …
Sundry: cryptozoology, dowsing, graphology, creationism, conspiracy theories, chain letters, psychic surgery
Pseudoscience in the New Millennium
Astrology
UFOs
PSI
Pseudoscience in the New Millennium
Occult
New Age
“Bogus” Sprituality
Pseudoscience in the New Millennium
AlternativeMedicine
Sundry
Pseudoscience in the New Millennium
4. Why do so many people believe?
• reliance on anecdotal evidence
• correlation does not imply causation
• importance of a control sample
• role of randomness & coincidence
• placebo effect
• wide-spread science illiteracy
• basic mistrust of science
• unwillingness to subject important beliefs to proper scrutiny
Pseudoscience in the New Millennium
5. Why should we be concerned?
• Uncritical acceptance of some claims
can harm society (eg., witch craze of
13th-16th C.; threats to certain species
from altmed ingredients).
• Scientists have a responsibility to inform the public, permitting people to make an informed choice.
• Economic implications
• Truth does matter.
Pseudoscience in the New Millennium
6. Conclusions
I. Symptoms
• > 50% of adults believe in astrology
• 2-4x more astrologers than astronomers
• millions have been abducted by aliens
• >$300 million/yr on psychic hotlines
• >$30 billion/yr on alternative medicines
• >60% Americans believe dinosaurs and humans lived at the same time
• 50th anniversary of Roswell drew far more people than any scientific meeting in history
Pseudoscience in the New Millennium
6. Conclusions
II. Remedy
The question is not, Should anything be done, but rather, What should be done?
• Start small; every little bit helps
• Become informed about pseudosciences
• Challenge the media (politicians) when they pander to pseudoscience/paranormal
• Always be accurate; never overstate a scientific claim
• Challenge students/friends constructively; explain the scientific method