provisional end of key stage outcomes v4 this includes provisional indications of performance by...
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Provisional End of Key Stage Outcomes v4
This includes provisional indications of performance by vulnerable groups at Early
Years and at Key Stage 2
As at 07 September 2015
1
Early Years Foundation Stage Provisional results for 2015 show that performance has
improved in Cambridgeshire and nationally.
Cambridgeshire performance is broadly in-line with the provisional national level.
Vulnerable groups have improved but only three groups have improved at a faster rate than their peers: Those speaking languages ‘Other than English’ Those speaking Central/Eastern European languages And boys
2
Year 1 Phonics Cambridgeshire’s performance has provisionally improved by
around 1ppt.
Nationally performance has provisionally improved by around 3ppt.
Performance in Cambridgeshire is around 2ppt below the national level.
3
Key Stage 1 Cambridgeshire’s performance has provisionally improved by
around 1ppt.
Nationally performance also improved slightly and performance in Cambridgeshire is broadly in-line with the national level in both Writing and Maths but marginally (1ppt) below in Reading.
Note that in 2013, this cohort was just below the national level in the EYFSP %GLD.
4
Key Stage 2 Cambridgeshire performance has provisionally improved by 1ppt in both
Writing (to 86%) and Maths (to 85%) and by 2ppt in Reading, Writing and Maths combined (to 78%) but declined by 1ppt in Reading (to 88%).
Nationally, performance improved by 1ppt in Writing (to 80%), in Maths (to 87%) and in Reading, Writing and Maths combined (to 80%). Nationally, performance in Reading was unchanged (89%).
Cambridgeshire performance is still below the level seen nationally in each subject and in all three combined but has closed the gap by 1ppt in Reading, Writing & Maths combined.
Although performance across our statistical neighbours was unchanged in all three subjects and in Reading, Writing and Maths combined, it remains above that of Cambridgeshire for all four benchmarks.
5
KS2 Reading L4+ recent trends
KS2 Writing TA L4+ recent trends
KS2 Maths L4+ recent trends
86
89
87
8485
8685
8988
76
78
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Cambridgeshire
Statistical Neighbours
England
6971
67
71
76
81 81
84 85
64666870727476788082848688
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Cambridgeshire
Statistical Neighbours
England
80 8079 79
80
8482
8485
7072747678808284868890
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Cambridgeshire
Statistical Neighbours
England
Source: DFE SFR but note that 2015 figures are provisional 6
66
74
72
76
78
64
66
68
70
72
74
76
78
80
82
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
% a
ttai
ning
L4
or a
bove
Cambridgeshire
England
Statistical Neighbours
%L4+ in Key Stage 2 Reading, in Writing and in Maths (144 LAs)
DFE (SFR) 2012 2013 2014 2015 Direction of Travel
Cambridgeshire 74 72 76 78 +2ppt
England 75 75 79 80 +1ppt
Revised Statistical Neighbours
76 77 80 80 In-line
7Source: DFE SFR but note that 2015 figures are provisional
Key Stage 1 to Key Stage 2 Progress
The proportion of Cambridgeshire pupils making expected progress between Key Stage 1 and key Stage 2 improved by 2ppt in Writing (to 93%) and was unchanged in Maths (87%) but declined by 1ppt in Reading (to 89%).
Nationally, performance improved by 1ppt in Writing (to 94%) and was unchanged in Maths (90%) and in Reading (91%).
Performance across our statistical neighbours was unchanged in Reading (91%) and Writing (93%) but declined by 1ppt in Maths (to 88%)
Cambridgeshire’s performance is below the national level in all three subjects and below that seen across our statistical neighbours in Reading and Maths but now in-line with our statistical neighbours in Writing.
8
Making Expected progress: KS1 to KS2 Reading recent trends
Making Expected progress: KS1 to KS2 Writing recent trends
Making Expected progress: KS1 to KS2 Maths recent trends
89
86
9089
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
2012 2013 2014 2015
Cambridgeshire
Statistical Neighbours
England
89 8991
93
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
2012 2013 2014 2015
Cambridgeshire
Statistical Neighbours
England
86
84
87 87
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
2012 2013 2014 2015
Cambridgeshire
Statistical Neighbours
England
9Source: DFE SFR but note that 2015 figures are provisional
Percentage Achieving L4+ R, W & M2013 2014 2015
Direction of Travel
13/14
Direction of Travel 14/15
Change since 2013
All Pupils (6240 pupils) (An increase of 93 pupils) 71.9 75.9 77.8 4 2 6
Boys (3195 pupils) (+17) 68.2 74.1 74.2 6 - 6
Girls (3045 pupils) (+76) 75.8 77.9 81.6 2 4 6
FSM (Jan Census) (687 pupils) (+29) 46.7 51.2 53.1 5 2 6
Non-FSM (Jan Census) (5452 pupils) (-37) 75.2 78.9 81.4 4 3 6
FSM-6 (1277 pupils) (+25) 53.0 56.1 60.5 3 4 8
Non-FSM-6 (4862 pupils) (+102 – there are less unknown pupils) 77.0 81.1 82.9 4 2 6
Any SEN (1144 pupils) (-169 pupils) 27.9 30.4 31.2 3 1 3
Non-SEN (5043 pupils) (+209 pupils) 85.6 88.5 88.7 2 - 3
Home Language: English (5500 pupils) (-76) 73.0 76.1 78.4 3 2 5
Home Language: Central/Eastern European (246) (+43) 47.9 51.7 65.9 4 14 18
Home Language: Other than English (682 pupils) (+111) 63.6 70.2 75.5 7 5 12
Combined FSM Jan & Any SEN (257 pupils) (-60) 15.8 23.5 18.9 8 5 3
Combined Non-FSM Jan & Non-SEN (4569 pupils) (+108) 86.1 89.4 90.4 3 1 4
Note. 2015 figures are Provisional (Nexus). Percentage point changes have been rounded.
See
nex
t sl
ide
Key Stage 4 (GCSE)
11
Note that the Key Stage 4 results for 2014 and 2015 are not comparable with those in previous years.
Early indications are that Cambridgeshire’s end of Key Stage 4 performance has improved:
A 4ppt rise in the proportion of pupils gaining 5+ GCSE grades A*-C, including English and Maths (to 59.6%)
A 2ppt rise in the proportion of pupils making expected progress in English (to 73.7%), and an
8ppt rise in the proportion making expected progress in Maths (to 72.2%).
However, the proportion of disadvantaged pupils achieving 5+ GCSE grades A*-C, including English and Maths has provisionally only improved by 1ppt (to 32.2%) and therefore the gap has widened.
The Percentage of pupils achieving 5+ GCSE grades A*-C including English and Maths (all pupils), ‘First Entry’ only
55.959.6
53.457.2 59.5
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2014 2015
5+
A*-
C in
c E
n &
Ma
(%
)
Cambridgeshire England East of England Statistical Neighbours
12Source: DfE LAIT and Academy data returns
Note that in 2014: 56.6% of pupils at ‘state funded schools’ achieved 5+ GCSE grades A*_C, inc English & Maths
The Percentage of KS4 pupils making expected progress in English
13Source: DfE LAIT and Academy data returns
72 73.771.6 72.6 72.4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2014 2015
% 3
+ L
vls
Pro
g E
ng
lish
Cambridgeshire England East of England Statistical Neighbours
The Percentage of KS4 pupils making expected progress in Maths
14Source: DfE LAIT and Academy data returns
63.8
72.2
65.5 66.9 68.6
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2014 2015
% 3
+ L
vls
Pro
g M
ath
s
Cambridgeshire England East of England Statistical Neighbours