procter & gamble company at barclays capital back-to-school consumer conference
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TRANSCRIPT
Barclay’s Back-to-School Conference September 10, 2009
2. Sources of Financial Flexibility
1. Strategy Renewal
Agenda
3. Rx Divestiture & Guidance
We will provide branded products and services of superior quality and value that improve the lives of the world’s consumers, now and for generations to come.
As a result, consumers will reward us with leadership sales, profit and value creation, allowing our people, our shareholders, and the communities in which we live and work to prosper.
P&G Growth StrategyBegan Year Ago with Focus on Purpose
P&G Objectives
•Win the Consumer Value Equation at the First and Second Moments of Truth with Purpose-Inspired, Benefit-Driven Brands
•Build Shareholder Value
In-Touch with RealityP&G Growth Has Trailed Competitive Averages
P&G vs. Peer GroupP&G
Competitive Average
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
JFM
04
AM
J 04
JAS
04
ON
D 0
4
JFM
05
AM
J 05
JAS
05
ON
D 0
5
JFM
06
AM
J 06
JAS
06
ON
D 0
6
JFM
07
AM
J 07
JAS
07
ON
D 0
7
JFM
08
AM
J 08
JAS
08
ON
D 0
8
JFM
09
AM
J 09
Focus on Long-Term GrowthMaintaining Sense of UrgencyFY 10 Objectives • Grow value share--profitably • Deliver better consumer value• Accelerate productivity and drive simplification• Manage cost & cash with discipline
FY ‘10
Strategy RenewalPreserve and Strengthen What is Working
•Growth strategies and core strengths•Billion-dollar and half-billion-dollar brands• Innovation•Emerging markets•Productivity and simplification•Cash and cost discipline•P&G people and partners
Strategy RenewalLead Change Where We Can Create Greater Capability and Competitive Advantage
•Focus even more on winning with consumers in emerging markets
•Become a better, more integrated brand-building company
•Become even more networked inside and outside the company
•Become a flatter, faster and simpler organization
Grow leading, global brands and core categories1
3
2 Build our business with underserved and un-served consumers
Continue to develop faster growing, structurally attractive businesses with global leadership potential
Where to Play How to Win
1
3
2
Drive Core P&G Strengths
Lead Change
Simplify, Scale and Execute
Strategy RenewalContinuity with Change
More ConsumersGlobal Population Growth
Bill
ions
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
2014/155 billionconsumers2009/10
4 billionconsumers
Improving Consumer ValueReaching More Consumers At Multiple Price Points
Super Premium & Premium
Tiers
Value Tier
More ConsumersVertical Portfolio – Premium
More ConsumersVertical Portfolio – Value Tier
~50%
Company Source: Top 17 category, Top 15 country combinations.
FY’09 FY’10 FY’11
Value Tier Key Brand / Country Combinations
More value tier products in core categories in top markets
14
More ConsumersVertical Portfolio
Always
Naturella
AlwaysInfinity
+100%
Base
+25%
• >$200MMAnnual Sales in 5 years
• Sold in 30 Countries
More Consumers Vertical Portfolio
UnitedKingdom
FranceSwitzerland
Austria
Greece
>60%Market Share
Pampers Germany
More ConsumersVertical Portfolio
Low
Mid
Premium
SuperPremium
Pric
e In
dex
HerbalEssences
China HairBefore
More ConsumersVertical Portfolio
Low
Mid
Premium
SuperPremium
HerbalEssences
Pric
e In
dex
China HairAfter
More Parts of the WorldWhite Space Expansion
+17%2-year growth
Company Source: Top 17 category, Top 15 country combinations.
FY’09 FY’10 FY’11
Core Category / Key Country Combinations
More Parts of the WorldWhite Space Expansion
Value share leader
India
More Parts of the WorldWhite Space Expansion
2X Anti-Aging
6%Share
India
More Parts of the WorldWhite Space Expansion
R$8.00
R$3.50
R$2.90
R$1.99
More Parts of the WorldWhite Space Expansion
Primary Competitor
Oral BToothpaste Launch
March 2009
P&GBrazil ToothbrushValue Share
27.0
28.0
29.0
30.0
31.0
32.0
JA2007 SO2007 ND2007 JF2008 MA2008 MJ2008 JA2008 SO2008 ND2008 JF2009 MA2009 MJ2009
4 point value share
lead
23
More Parts of the WorldWhite Space Expansion – Brand X Today
UKFranceGermany
BelgiumAustriaSwitzerland
U.S.CanadaChile
JapanS. KoreaMalaysiaAustraliaNew Zealand
14 Countries
24
More Parts of the WorldWhite Space Expansion – Brand X FY’12
UKFranceGermanyGreece
JapanS. KoreaMalaysiaAustraliaNew ZealandAsia 1SingaporeChina 1
BelgiumAustriaSwitzerlandItalyIberiaHolland
U.S.CanadaChileBrazilMexico
ArgentinaColumbiaVenezuela
PolandRomaniaCzech RepublicHungaryCroatia
SloveniaRussiaSlovakia
34 Countries
1
2
3
4
5
6
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
# P&G Product Users (Billions)
2014/15~5 billionconsumers
More Parts of the WorldConsumers Served by P&G
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
US Germany ChinaUK IndiaMexico
~$110
~$85
~$45
~$20
~$3 <$0.6
2009/10 2014/15Global Per
CapitaSpending
~$12
Global Per Capita
Spending~$14
More Parts of the WorldPer Capita Spending
$40B
US Germany ChinaUK IndiaMexico
~$110
~$85
~$45
~$20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
More Parts of the WorldPer Capita Spending
More CompletelyHorizontal InnovationFabric Enhancers
More CompletelyHorizontal InnovationNew Product Forms
More CompletelyHorizontal Innovation
North America Western Europe
Laundry Additives
More ConsumersMore Parts of the World
More Completely
P7Y CAGR = 15%#1 mass facial skin care brand in the world
How to Win Choices
1.Drive Core P&G Strengthsin consumer understanding, innovation, branding and go-to-market
Branding Go-to-Market
Innovation
ConsumerUnderstanding
Scale
Consumer UnderstandingA Greater Focus on Value
PrioritizePerformance
PrioritizePrice
PriceSimplicityQualityExperiential
~50% ~50%
Consumer UnderstandingA Greater Focus on Value
Prioritize Performance Prioritize Price
PriceSimplicityQualityExperiential
Consumer UnderstandingA Greater Focus on Value
~45% ~55%
Prioritize Performance Prioritize Price
PriceSimplicityQualityExperiential
We Create Value with Innovation
• Stimulates growth• Reduces costs• Primary driver of value
InnovationStepping Up Investments
+30%
30% more innovation in
core categories in key countries
Company Source: Top 17 category, Top 15 country combinations.
FY’09 FY’10
Communicating Consumer ValuePerformance Based Value Messaging
• >100 Performance Based Value Messages in Market
• 97% of brands have Performance Based Value Messaging
How to Win Choices
2. Simplify, Scale and Execute for competitive advantage
•Elevating simplification, scale and execution to How to Win strategies
•Faster, fewer, bigger initiatives•Collaborate across businesses, functions and regions on plans to win in market
•Cascading priorities from strategy to work plans
SimplificationBrand Agency Leader
Interactive Agency
PRAgency
AdvertisingAgency
FMOT Agency
DesignAgency
Global StrategicComm Planning
InteractiveAgency Digital
Mgr
Global StrategicComm Planning
Media
Design Agency
DesignMgr
ERAgency
ERMgr
FMOT Agency
FMOTMgr
ADVERTISINGAGENCY
P&GBRAND
ADD
Multiple competing messages
Before
Brand Agency Leader
After
Brand Franchise
Leader
Scale
ScaleMarket Rewards Growth, Not Size
Growth&
Cost Advantage
Size
“Official Locker Room Products of the NFL”
Scale Drives GrowthMulti-Brand Commercial Innovation
Lyon
Intermodal Usage:10% 30% by 2015(expect to reach 20% by end of CY 2010)
Scale Lowers CostsIntermodal Freight• Plan to cut total logistic costs by nearly 1 percent of sales
• Few companies have scale necessary to fill an entire train. P&G does.
ExecutionRaising The Bar In Key Areas
123
Qualified Copy
Efficient Assortment
In-Store Fundamentals
4 Centralized Resource Allocation
3. Lead changeto win with consumers and customers and create shareholder value
• Renewed Leadership Team• Renewed Strategies• Investing in People & Technology• Operating with Urgency
How to Win Choices
P&G Objectives
•Win the Consumer Value Equation at the First and Second Moments of Truth with Purpose-Inspired, Benefit-Driven Brands
•Build Shareholder Value
Sources of Financial Flexibility
What’sDifferent?
MediaRates
ForeignExchange
InterestExpense
Commodities
Commodities
$0.5
$1.5
$2.0
$0
$1.0
$2.0
FY’07 FY’08 FY’09
Bill
ions
FY’10
$1.0
-$1.0
FX Impacts
$0
($2B)
($4B)
FY’09 FY’10
Sales Impact
~$4Billion
($1B)
($3B)
FX Sales ImpactVersus Competitors
Peer Group
P&G
-10.0%
-8.0%
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
JAS’08 OND’08 JFM’09 AMJ’09
FX Im
pact
to S
ales
Peer Group P&G
P&G
-10.0%
-8.0%
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
JAS’08 OND’08 JFM’09 AMJ’09
FX Im
pact
to S
ales
P&G
Foreign Multi-
Nationals
Foreign Multi-Nationals
FX Sales ImpactVersus Competitors
Interest Expense
P&G’s AA- credit rating allows refinancing on attractive terms
FY’08 FY’10FY’09
$10.5 Billion of Bonds Coming Due in FY’10
Inte
rest
Exp
ense
53
Media Rates
>10%
FY’09 FY’10
Lower media rates will yield >10% more consumer impressions at roughly the same cost.
Con
sum
er Im
pres
sion
s
P&G has Approximately
$1 Billion of incremental
financial flexibility on top of all the other
items previously discussed
Sources of Financial FlexibilityInvestment Year
~1%
~10%
P&
G C
ore
EP
S G
row
th
FY’10 SGM
Several key competitors are
committed to delivering
significantly higher EPS in
FY’10
Sources of Relative FlexibilityDifferential EPS Expectations
~1%
~10%
P&G
Peer Group^
(^) – Estimated composite for Colgate, Clorox, Kimberly & Church & Dwight
P&
G C
ore
EP
S G
row
th
Commodities
Differential EPS Expectation
Fiscal 2010Sources of Incremental Funding
Interest Expense
Media Rates
Simplification
Foreign Exchange
Marketing Support
Innovation
Fiscal 2010Uses of Incremental Funding
Restructuring
White Space Expansion
Portfolio Expansion
Consumer Value Interventions
Restructuring
‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10Fiscal Year
Folg
ers
$400MM AT
$300MM AT
Improving Consumer ValuePricing
FY’09
FY’10$4bn
~10% of Portfolio
Improving Consumer ValueCompetitive Merchandising Levels
• Lowered average shelf prices in May ’09
• Volume has accelerated, share has improved on both brands
Improving Consumer ValueTargeted Pricing Interventions
• Targeted interventions on large size SKUs
• Large size value and volume share is up >10% in July/August vs. May/June
Improving Consumer ValueBrand Repositioning• Cheer price reduction
of approximately 13%
• 2nd highest brand awareness after Tide
• Consumer share of preference is 10%, vs. 3% value share
Russia
Saudi Arabia
Turkey
Improving Consumer ValueDeveloping Markets
Fabric Care
Home Care
Hair Care
Fabric Care
Hair Care
Fabric Care
Baby Care
Feminine Care
Oral Care
Disciplined Portfolio ManagementPharmaceuticals Sale
Disciplined Portfolio ManagementFocus on Consumer Health Care• Branded business• Attractive category• Advantaged by P&G’s core capabilities
Disciplined Portfolio ManagementAcquisitions Divestitures
3. Right Strategies
1. Right Brands
4. Right Choices
2. Right People
Give Us Confidence
Forward Looking StatementAll statements, other than statements of historical fact included in this presentation, are forward-looking statements, as that term is defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements are based on financial data, market assumptions and business plans available only as of the time the statements are made, which may become out of date or incomplete. We assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other factors. Forward-looking statements are inherently uncertain, and investors must recognize that events could differ significantly from our expectations. In addition to the risks and uncertainties noted in this presentation, there are certain factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated by some of the statements made. These include: (1) the ability to achieve business plans, including growing existing sales and volume profitably despite high levels of competitive activity, especially with respect to the product categories and geographical markets (including developing markets) in which the Company has chosen to focus; (2) the ability to successfully manage ongoing acquisition and divestiture activities to achieve the cost and growth synergies in accordance with the stated goals of these transactions without impacting the delivery of base business objectives; (3) the ability to successfully manage ongoing organizational changes designed to support our growth strategies, while successfully identifying, developing and retaining key employees; (4) the ability to manage and maintain key customer relationships; (5) the ability to maintain key manufacturing and supply sources (including sole supplier and plant manufacturingsources); (6) the ability to successfully manage regulatory, tax and legal requirements and matters (including product liability, patent, intellectual property, competition law matters, and tax policy), and to resolve pending matters within current estimates; (7) the ability to successfully implement, achieve and sustain cost improvement plans in manufacturing and overhead areas, includingthe Company's outsourcing projects; (8) the ability to successfully manage currency (including currency issues in certain countries, such as Venezuela, China and India), debt, interest rate and commodity cost exposures and significant credit or liquidity issues; (9) the ability to manage continued global political and/or economic uncertainty and disruptions, especially in the Company's significant geographical markets, as well as any political and/or economic uncertainty and disruptions due to a global or regional credit crisis or terrorist and other hostile activities; (10) the ability to successfully manage competitive factors, including prices, promotional incentives and trade terms for products; (11) the ability to obtain patents and respond to technological advances attained by competitors and patents granted to competitors; (12) the ability to successfully manage increases in the prices of raw materials used to make the Company's products; (13) the ability to stay close to consumers in an era of increased media fragmentation; (14) the ability to stay on the leading edge of innovation and maintain a positive reputation on our brands; and 15) the ability to rely on and maintain key information technology systems. For additional information concerning factors that could cause actual results to materially differ from those projected herein, please refer to our most recent 10-K, 10-Q and 8-K reports.
Regulation G Disclosure
For full reconciliation, visit:www.pg.com/investors