presentation and outlook of the energy business

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1 INVESTOR DAY October 22 nd , 2008

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Page 1: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

1

INVESTOR DAYOctober 22nd, 2008

Page 2: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

2INVESTOR DAY October 2008

Important disclaimer

Veolia Environnement is a corporation listed on the NYSE and Euronext Paris. This document contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from the forward-looking statements as a result of a number of risks and uncertainties, many of which are outside our control, including but not limited to: the risk of suffering reduced profits or losses as a result of intense competition, the risk that changes in energy prices and taxes may reduce Veolia Environnement’s profits, the risk that governmental authorities could terminate or modify some of Veolia Environnement’s contracts, the risk that acquisitions may not provide the benefits that Veolia Environnement hopes to achieve, the risk that Veolia Environnement’s compliance with environmental laws may become more costly in the future, the risk that currency exchange rate fluctuations may negatively affect Veolia Environnement’s financial results and the price of its shares, the risk that Veolia Environnement may incur environmental liability in connection with its past, present and future operations, as well as the risks described in the documents Veolia Environnement has filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Veolia Environnement does not undertake, nor does it have, any obligation to provide updates or to revise any forward-looking statements. Investors and security holders may obtain a free copy of documents filed by Veolia Environnement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission from Veolia Environnement.

Page 3: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

3

Dalkia : Europe’s leading energy services company

Olivier Barbaroux

Page 4: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

4

Europe’s leading energy services company

A strong market position

Page 5: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

5INVESTOR DAY October 2008

Dalkia in the energy chain

GAS/OIL: Exploration, Production

ELECTRICITY: Generation

Transmission

Managing demand

Distribution(heat, gas, electricity)

Local production, cogeneration, biomass

End users: homes, offices, public buildings, hospitals, industrial plants, shopping centres

Wholesalemarket

MAJOR ENERGY COMPANIES

Page 6: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

6INVESTOR DAY October 2008

Energy in the city

CO2

CO2

BUILDINGS: HVAC, lighting, electricity, lifts, safety systems

CO2INDUSTRIAL PLANTSSteam, electricity, compressed air, industrial gases, hot water, chilled water, cooling, vacuum

Central heating systems or cogeneration plants

Public lighting

Hospitals NETWORKSHot or cold waterSteamElectricity

Page 7: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

7INVESTOR DAY October 2008

Overall 2007 energy balance

95 TWh

Fuel Purchases

Coal 25.8 TWh

Renewables 6.9 TWh

Savings Energy Services12.7 TWh

Heat41.9 TWh

Power14 TWh

Energy savings12.9 TWh

Oil 4.2 TWh

Gas 53.0 TWh

Other 4.9 TWh

69 TWh

4.6Mt 20.9 Mt CO2

Transformation Energies & Services

Page 8: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

8INVESTOR DAY October 2008

Market leader in our business segments: local authorities

No. 1 in France (with 45% of the market) and Italy

Serving 21,500 educational, cultural, leisure and sports facilities

Serving 5,641,000 multi-family housing units.

Managing local authorities’ energy needs

Revenue:

€1.6bn* or 20% of total managed revenue for 2007**

• From management reporting ** Excluding district heating and cooling systems

Page 9: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

9INVESTOR DAY October 2008

Market leader in our business segments: district networks

No.1 in Europe with 31% of the outsourced marketLeading private operator in the USA, pioneer in China as operator of the Harbin and Jiamusi district networks Very large facilities: Lodz, Poznan (Poland), Vilnius (Lithuania),Ostrava (Czech Republic) Advanced technologies: network management software, optimized maintenance, ramp-up of biomass-fired plants.

The world leader, managing 700 district networks

Revenue:

€1.9bn or 25% of total managed revenue for 2007*

* From management reporting

Page 10: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

10INVESTOR DAY October 2008

Market leader in its business segments: industry

No. 1 in France (with 27% of the market) and the United Kingdom

Strong positions in Italy, Sweden and Spain

Fast-growing presence in Central and Eastern Europe

Key to entry in potential markets.

3,895 industrial facilities managed worldwide

Revenue:

€1.7bn or 22% of total managed revenue for 2007 *

* From management reporting

Page 11: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

11INVESTOR DAY October 2008

Market leader in its business segments: health

No. 1 in France (with 32% of the market) and Italy (21%)

Strong positions in Sweden, UK, Spain, Latin America

Fast-growing presence in Central and Eastern Europe

Key to entry in emerging markets.

4,967 hospitals managed worldwide

Revenue:

€1.1bn or 14% of total managed revenue for 2007 *

* From management reporting

Page 12: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

12INVESTOR DAY October 2008

Contract description by business

20 to 30 yearsUnlimited in certain

countries> €5,000,0008 to 15%District networks

5 years without investment

10 to 12 years with investment

€500,000 to €5,000,0004 to 8%Industrial utilities

3 to 5 years without investment

8 to 12 years with investment

€100,000 to €5,000,0003 to 10%Building energy

management

Average lengthAverage sizeOperating margin

Page 13: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

13INVESTOR DAY October 2008

17%

3%

20%

33%27%

Dalkia IDEX andequivalents

Powercompanies

Facilitiesmanagementcompanies

Electricalconstruction &

installationcompanies

Dalkia: the leading energy services provider

Estimated total European outstourcing market: €41bn

Specialists Dominant energy producer model

No energy management skills

GDF-Suez, Fortum, Vattenfall, EON, …

Several dozen ISS, Johnson

Controls, FaceoCompass, Eurogen

Jones Lang Lassalle, …

Several dozenBouygues, VinciEiffage, Ferrovial

Cegelec, Siemens Spie, …

Page 14: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

14INVESTOR DAY October 2008

Synergies within Veolia

Business– Diageo– PSA Trnava– Cle (ArcelorMittal in Brazil)

Tools– Shared services centre in Lyon– Shared services centre in Germany– Environmental research centre

(CRPE) in France

Page 15: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

15INVESTOR DAY October 2008

Dalkia’s critical success factors

The unique energy market environment

The global issues raised by greenhouse gas emissions

Strong skills in energy facility engineering and energy trading, backed by powerful R&D capabilities

Page 16: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

16

Europe’s leading energy services company

Adjusting to the financial crisis

Page 17: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

17INVESTOR DAY October 2008

11.7%

3,013

5.6%

388

9.5%

656

6,896

2007

+12%

+19%

+8%

+12%

CAGR

5.2 %EBIT Margin

11 %EBITDA Margin

542EBITDA

255EBIT

1,958Employed capital

10 %ROCE before tax

4,948Turnover

2004€M

Financial performance

Page 18: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

18INVESTOR DAY October 2008

Action plan

Concentrate resources on core activities– Close to core business – Reinforcing existing country positions – Arbitrage in high profitability projects

Reinforce efficiency plan

Reduce working capital

Divest from non core activities

Positive net cash flow (after investments and dividends)

Page 19: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

19INVESTOR DAY October 2008

Trends

12%9.5%EBITDA Margin

7%5.6%EBIT Margin

13 - 14%11.7 %ROCE before tax

+ 5 - 7%6,896Turnover

2011 (target)2007€M

Page 20: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

20

Europe’s leading energy services company

Favourable market trends

Page 21: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

21INVESTOR DAY October 2008

Favourable market background

- 16%

Dalkia’sbusiness

6% Nuclear Power

21% Renewable energies

54% energy efficiency

19% Fossil fuel power generation mix

CO

2em

issi

ons

(Gt C

O2/y

r)

Baseline Emissions 62 Gt

BLUE Map Emissions 14 Gt

Energy efficiency and renewable energiesIEA – CO2 emissions (millions of tons)

Page 22: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

22INVESTOR DAY October 2008

Strategic focus on energy efficiency

Long term practice in energy savings– Energy savings (+24.8% of savings from 2003 to 2007)– Global reduction of CO2 emissions (+28.3% from 2003 to 2007)

Major ambition on global warming mitigation

Isolation

Renewables

IT

High performance hardware:

Global offer for building energystructuringTarget : -38 % in 2020 in France (Grenelle)

Partnering withindustry to modernizeprocessand reduce CO2 emissions

Steam

Wastedenergy use

Wasted energyuse

CO2

Local electricity

generation

Page 23: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

23INVESTOR DAY October 2008

Strategic focus on renewable energies

Biomass: European leader. Aiming for 13 Mt in Europe by 2015

– Priority targets: Europe, USA, Latin American

Concentrated solar power– Targeting mainly Southern Europe, North Africa, Middle East

Page 24: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

24INVESTOR DAY October 2008

Very promising market outlooks

IndustryEurope: €70bnNorth America: equivalentChina and India: very strong potential

Health

Europe: €25bnConsiderable potential throughout the world

Local Authorities

Europe: €30bnPotential outside Europe to be explored

Commercial

Europe: €90bnSimilar opportunities in the Americas Growing opportunities in Asia and India

Heating networks

Europe: €17bnChina and North America: equivalentRussia: 3 x Europe

Page 25: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

25INVESTOR DAY October 2008

Focus on high-value-added projects

Heating or cooling networksBiomass-fired CHP plantsDeployment of photovoltaic, thermal and thermodynamic solar energyStepped up focus on cogenerationBuilding energy refurbishment servicesZero-carbon projects for industryIndustrial park developmentRamp-up of integrated hospital management solutions

Page 26: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

26

Appendices

Page 27: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

27INVESTOR DAY October 2008

Favourable market trends

Climate change

Without a massive reduction in CO2emissions, climate experts warn that the pace of global warming will accelerate.

Page 28: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

28INVESTOR DAY October 2008

Favourable market trends

Soaring energy prices

-

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Pric

e (Ū

)

Coal Ū/t

Oil Ū/bl

Electricity Ū/MWh

Gas Ū/MWh

Page 29: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

29INVESTOR DAY October 2008

Strong growth potential

Energy services market based on two scenarios Europe - €bn in constant euros

2007 2020Scenario 1 Oil at $100/b

2020Scenario 2 Oil at $200/b

€41bn

€69bn

€103bn

Mar

ket s

ize

(in €

bn)

Biomass

Energyservices

Districtnetworks

Page 30: Presentation and outlook of the Energy Business

30INVESTOR DAY October 2008

Investor Relations contact information

Nathalie PINON, Head of Investor Relationsand Financial Communication

38 Avenue Kléber – 75116 Paris - FranceTelephone +33 1 71 75 01 67

Fax +33 1 71 75 10 12e-mail [email protected]

Brian SULLIVAN, Vice President, US Investor Relations200 East Randolph Drive, Suite 7900

Chicago, IL 60601 - USATelephone +1 (630) 371 2847

Fax +1 (630) 282 0423e-mail [email protected]

Web sitehttp://veolia-finance.com