photo: nrcs, western oklahoma, june 2011 big picture: drought early warning and the national...
TRANSCRIPT
Photo: NRCS, Western Oklahoma, June 2011
Big Picture: Drought Early Warningand the National Integrated Drought
Information System (NIDIS)
Michael Hayes, DirectorNational Drought Mitigation CenterSchool of Natural ResourcesUniversity of Nebraska-Lincoln
2011 Billion Dollar Disasters
Groundhog Day Blizzard, 1/29 – 2/3Tornadoes, 4/4-5Tornadoes, 4/8-11Tornadoes, 4/14-16Tornadoes, 4/25-30Tornadoes, 5/22-27Drought, fires, heatwave, spring, summer, fallMississippi River flooding, spring and summerUpper Midwest flooding, summer and fallHurricane Irene, 8/27-2989 Presidential Disaster Declarations
Billion Dollar DisastersNCDC, 1980-2010
Disaster Events Damage$ $/Event
Hurricanes 27 367 13.6
Tornadoes 23 45 2.0
Droughts 15 185 12.3
Floods 12 68 5.7
Fires 10 19 1.9
Winter-related 12 41 3.4
Total 99 725 7.3
Drought Impacts
Drought is one of the most costly U.S. natural disasters
Texas: $5.2 billion in agricultural losses through July
• Livestock $2.1 billion, Crop losses $3.1 billion
$13.1 billion in agricultural losses since 1998
$250 million wildfire damage in Bastrop County
$4.5 million for dead tree removal in Houston
Oklahoma: more than $2 billion in agricultural losses
Kansas: more that $1.7 billion in agricultural losses
North Carolina (2010): $8.6 billion loss due to landscapers, nurseries, well drillers, irrigation companies, Christmas tree farmers
PlanningM onitoring and P rediction
Im pactAssessm ent
R ecovery
M itigation
Protection
R ecovery
R econstruction
R esponse
D isaster
risk management
crisis management
The Cycle of Disaster Management
N • I • D • I • S
Report of the NDPCGuiding Principles of a National Drought Policy
1. Favor “preparedness” over insurance, insurance over relief, and incentives over regulation.
2. Set research priorities based on the potential of the research results to reduce drought impacts.
3. Coordinate the delivery of federal services through cooperation and collaboration with nonfederal entities.
Evolution of NIDIS
2007
2004
National Integrated Drought Information System
Public Law 109-430 (The NIDIS Act 2006)
““Enable the Nation to move from a Enable the Nation to move from a reactive to a more proactive approach reactive to a more proactive approach
to managing drought risks and impacts”to managing drought risks and impacts”
“…better informed and more timely drought-related decisions leading to
reduced impacts and costs.”
www.drought.govwww.drought.gov
Creating a drought early warning information system:
Coordinating national drought monitoring and forecasting systems
Providing an interactive drought information clearinghouse and delivery system for products and services—including an internet portal and standardized products (databases, forecasts, Geographic Information Systems (GIS), maps, etc.)
Designing mechanisms for improving and incorporating information to support coordinated preparedness and planning
Drought and Water Resources:Federal Partnerships (States, Tribes, Urban, other)
Monitoring & ForecastingDrought and Flood Impacts
Assessments and Scenarios
Communication and Outreach Engaging Preparedness & Adaptation
Early Warning Information
NIDIS Knowledge AssessmentsRemote Sensing Contributions to Drought Monitoring
Boulder, CO, February 2008
National Status of Drought Early Warning Systems
Kansas City, MO, June 2008
Drought, Climate Change, and Early Warning on Western Lands
Jackson, WY, June 2009
WGA/WSWC Workshops-NIDIS Constituencies
Washingon, DC, October 2009, April 2010, Sept. 2010
Building a Network of Sustainable Communities
Chicago, IL, June 2011
–
The NIDIS U.S. Drought Portal
http://drought.gov
Managing Drought Risk on the Ranch
–Drought planning process and web-based educational resource for
forage and rangeland producers
–Initiated with RMA funding in 2006
–Collaborators include SDSU, TX A&M, UNL, and ranchers and
advisors from SD, NE, KS, CO, TX
–www.drought.unl.edu/ranchplan
Writing a Ranch Drought Plan
–Drought planning process developed with input from rancher and advisor stakeholders
–Interviews and participatory workshop resulted in a recommended process involving 7 planning steps
–Website includes links to resources to help with drought planning, as well as sample drought plans by producers across the Great Plains
Risk Management Education for Ranchers: Drought Planning, Range
Management, and FCIC Options including Pasture, Rangeland, and Forage Insurance
RMA Risk Management Education Project 10/11- 9/12
Project Leader: Dr. Cody Knutson, NDMC
Goal: increasing ranchers’ capacity to manage drought risk, through improved understanding of:
risk management tools such as Pasture, Rangeland, and Forage Insurance, range and forage best management practices, and web-based financial and risk management tools;
the types of risk addressed by these risk management tools; and
how to make sound risk management decisions using a drought planning methodology developed by the NDMC in conjunction with Great Plains ranchers.
Risk Management Education for Ranchers
Products: Workshops in KS, CO, NE; workbook based on Managing Drought Risk on the Ranch website; archived
materials available online
First workshop scheduled for January 21st, Emporia, KS