paul roberts – tif technical manager presentation to the tps – 3 june 2009
TRANSCRIPT
Paul Roberts – TIF Technical Manager
Presentation to the TPS – 3 June 2009
Outline of presentation
Growing demand for travel – particularly by car
The impacts of increasing congestion on Traffic conditions Economy Leeds City Centre Buses
Lessons from Manchester
The emerging strategy Schemes Policies Funding
Leeds District employment forecasts(source Yorkshire Forward)
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4202006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
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2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
year
000's
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December 2007 base March 2009 base
Growth
Demand for car travel
Flow AM peak hour2006
AM peak hour 2016
% increase
PM peak hour 2006
PM peak hour 2016
% increase
Total trips 89,700 105,000 17% 89,900 104,400 16%
Trips to city centre 17,600 19,360 10% 8,400 11,500 37%
Trips to city centre from beyond ORR
8,100 9,100 12% 3,300 4,300 30%
Trips from city centre 8,000 11,300 41% 16,400 19,900 21%
Baseline: Growth in peak period
0
2000
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12000
07:00 -07:15
07:15 -07:30
07:30 -07:45
07:45 -08:00
08:00 -08:15
08:15 -08:30
08:30 -08:45
08:45 -09:00
09:00 -09:15
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09:30 -09:45
09:45 -10:00
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1990 2006 2016
Traffic growth
Distribution of congestion
Within city centre To and from the M621 Around inner loop road On and around Inner Ring Road junctions
On most radial approaches to the city centre and at key radial and Orbital junctions
Junctions along ring road
Key:
Dotted line: current 20 minute drive time.
Shaded green: Future reduction in accessibility due to increasing congestion
Contracting catchments
Buses (main mode for attracting car users)
Downward trend in bus use
Growth in congestion leads to Greater unreliability Slower journey times
In combination with other global factors Fares increases Service reductions Reduced patronage
Do Minimum summary
Growth in congestion – scale, time and locations – especially in and around city centre
Traffic impacts Increases in journey times, queues, variability Deteriorating environment and air quality Increased business costs and reduced markets/opportunities
Significant reduction in city centre catchments (and to other key attractors)
Trip suppression/peak spreading
Many planned new jobs not delivered (12,000 less by 2021) A contracting and more expensive bus network (requiring more subsidy) with
contracting patronage
Lessons from Manchester
City wide pricing scheme cannot be the main policy lever
Non-fiscal demand management must be part of solution
Road pricing may be part of the solution if it is targeted, when and where it may be needed
Must demonstrate significant benefits (net cost of a charge less than the impacts of doing nothing about congestion)
Package needs effective messages and marketing
Bus improvements need to be deliverable (and include fares)
Must have a more ‘acceptable’ package with more winners
Need wide ranging set of objectives
Revised objectives
Delivering the Leeds City Centre Vision
Support the economy (within Leeds and the Region)
Narrowing the gap
Reduce congestion
Sustainable city
Quality of Life
Make Leeds an attractive option for post-recession investment
Raise the importance of transport investment/policy with decision makers
Background to a new Transport Strategy for Leeds
1991 Strategy served its purpose
Produce an updated 20 year Transport Strategy for Leeds
Needs to have identified funding streams
Focus on Phased approach to investment/policy Construction schemes Public transport networks Policy Funding
Emerging Strategy
Four main strands Mode transfer aimed at most significant numbers of trips into city centre, but in
particular commuting and shopping trips From outside ORR – rail, park and ride From inside ORR – bus network, ngt, cycle, walk
Mode transfer for commuting/education trips to the edge of city centre (rim/Aire Valley)
Public transport through interchange in city centre Reduce through car traffic in city centre and within ORR
Mode transfer for local short distance trips Accommodate longer distance orbital highway trips on orbital roads – local
additional orbital capacity (at key junctions)
Pricing options
More acceptable to stakeholders and public Targeted scheme Trial and/or phasing Wider range of benefits
economy businesses (small, medium and large) climate health quality of place retail public transport
Pricing in combination with other demand management measures
Reduce CC impact of cars
More bus priority
New bus and rail P&R
Already approved
Eg NGT
Smarter choices, fares and ticketing improvements
Parking policy
Full package
City centre fiscal measures
New NGT routes
Rail package
Area wide fiscal measures
Tipping point for fiscal demand management Orbital highway upgrade
Deliver city centre vision
Support the economy
Reduce congestion
Narrow the gap
Sustainable city
Quality of life
Bus network
Cycle network
New city centre hubs
Emerging transport strategy
Land use policy
Funding Options
Willingness to create a ‘Leeds Transport Fund’ We will be assessing
Regional Funding Allocations – transport and non-transport Highways Agency and Network Rail funding streams Non-transport budgets EU funds TIF - capital Road pricing - revenue Planning Gain Pooling transport income streams Accelerated Development Zones Options for changes to rates
Budget co-ordination, phasing and certainty – A ‘resourced’ Transport Plan
Questions/comments/views?