opportunities in infrastructure investment

35
People. Ideas. Success. Guggenheim Partners Opportunities In Infrastructure Investment Scott Minerd Global Chief Investment Officer January 2014 CONFIDENTIAL Guggenheim Investments (“Guggenheim”) represents the following affiliated investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC: GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Aviation, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners India Management, Guggenheim Real Estate, LLC, Security Investors, LLC and Transparent Value Advisors, LLC. This material is intended to inform you of services available through Guggenheim Investments’ affiliate businesses.

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Page 1: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

People. Ideas. Success.

Guggenheim PartnersOpportunities In Infrastructure Investment

Scott Minerd

Global Chief Investment Officer

January 2014

CONFIDENTIALGuggenheim Investments (“Guggenheim”) represents the following affiliated investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC: GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Aviation, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners India Management, Guggenheim Real Estate, LLC, Security Investors, LLC and Transparent Value Advisors, LLC. This material is intended to inform you of services available through Guggenheim Investments’ affiliate businesses.

Page 2: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 2

Infrastructure Investment In Today’s Macroeconomic Environment

Page 3: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 3

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 201310%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Global Major Central Banks Combined Balance Sheet Assets as % of GDP*

Global Debasement Will Erode Purchasing Power

Source: Bloomberg, Guggenheim Investments. Data updated as of 12/31/2013.*Note: Major central banks include ECB, BoJ, BoE, and Fed. Data is combined after converting to U.S. dollars.

27.5%

Page 4: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 4

Real 10-Year Government Bond Yields*

Debtors Have Gained An Advantage Over Creditors

Source: Bloomberg, Guggenheim Investments. Data updated as of 12/31/2013.*Note: Real 10-year government bond yields are nominal yields subtracted by CPI YoY rate.

1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013-400%

-200%

0%

200%

400%

600%

800%

1000%

1200%

U.S. Germany France U.K.

Page 5: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 5

Defined Benefit Pension Funds Asset and Liability Growth – Global Basis* (Normalized Levels at the End of 1998 = 100)

Growing Divide In Asset-liability Matching For Pension Funds

Source: Global Pension Assets Study 2013 , Tower Watson, January 2013. *Note: Global basis includes Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Ireland, Japan, Netherlands, Switzerland, U.K., U.S.

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120

50

100

150

200

250

Liabilities

Assets

Page 6: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 6

Why Infrastructure?

GLOBAL MACROECONOMIC DRIVERS OF

INFRASTRUCTURE

The Infrastructure asset class has an attractive risk-return profile and provides compelling investment opportunity for private capital.

INFRASTRUCTURE PROFILE• Real assets

• Essential service to the economy or community

• Regulated or monopoly-like environment– High barriers to entry– Assets difficult to replicate– Low bypass risk

• Stable, predictable returns characterized by high cash yields and inflation protection

• Low business model and operating risk

• Inelastic demand and resilience to economic downturns

INFRASTRUCTURE OPPORTUNITIES• Economic infrastructure

– Transport: bridges, toll roads, tunnels, airports, seaports, freight rail

– Utilities: gas and electricity networks, power generation, water and sewage

– Other: car parks, storage facilities, renewable energy, communication infrastructure

• Social infrastructure– Education– Healthcare

Populationgrowth

Ageing infrastructure

Fiscal pressures requiring private

participation

De-leveraging and refinancing

Sustainability and natural resources

scarcity

Regulatory processes

Diversificationof risk

Page 7: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 7

Global Pension Asset Allocation

Increasing Pension Fund Allocations To Alternative Investments

1995 1999 2003 2007 20120%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

49%

61%

51%55%

47%

40%

30%

36% 28%

33%

5%6% 12%

15% 19%

6% 3% 1% 2% 1%

Cash

Alternative

Bonds

Equities

Infrastructure: 6% of Total Alternative

Source: Global Pension Assets Study 2013 , Tower Watson, January 2013.

Page 8: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 8

Characteristics of Infrastructure Investment

Page 9: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 9

Infrastructure Investment Can Offer Protection Against Inflation

Source: Infrastructure Investing: A Portfolio Diversifier with Stable Cash Yields, J.P. Morgan Asset Management, FactSet, FAA, FHWA, ZMARAD, Eurostat, OECD, IMF, and company websites. *Note: Equally weighted infrastructure portfolio includes 256 mature infrastructure assets in the U.S. and EU-15 countries during 1986 – 2006. The data is not adjusted for exchange rates.

EBITDA for an Equally Weighted Infrastructure Portfolio Compared to U.S. and EU-15 CPI Average* (1986-2006)

Economic Slowdown

Economic Slowdown

250

200

150

100

CPI Average

Infrastructure Portfolio

1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Page 10: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 10

Annualized Volatility Comparison - Infrastructure Usage, U.S. Non-Discretionary Spending, and Equity Returns* (2000 – Present)

Infrastructure Investment Provides Stable Cash Flows

Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management, Bloomberg, Economy.com, U.S. Energy Information Administration, U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Eurostat, Guggenheim Investments. Data updated as of 12/31/2013 for equity returns and as of 12/31/2012 for others. *Note: Equity returns are total return basis.

0%

4%

8%

12%

16%

20%

Highly correlated with weather

S&P 500

MSCI World

FTSE100

MSCI Europe

Groceries(U.S.)

Clothing(U.S.)

Drugs(U.S.)

Electricity(U.S. and E.U-15)

Water(U.S.)

Miles Driven

(U.S. and U.K.)

Enplane-ments

(U.S. and E.U-15)

Natural Gas Consumption

(U.S. and E.U-15)

Equities Infrastructure Usage (units)

Non-discretionary Consumption (USD)

Page 11: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 11

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%0%

3%

6%

9%

12%

15%

18%

Dow Jones Brookfield Global Infrastructure Total Return

Index

MSCI World Total Return Index

Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Total Return Index

Barclays US Agg Total Re-turn Index

Dow Jones Credit Suisse Hedge Fund Index

S&P500 Total Return Index

Credit Suisse US High Yield Total Return Index

Annualized Volatility

An

nu

aliz

ed R

etu

rn

Historical Return and Volatility (January 2003 – Present)

Infrastructure Investment Has Outperformed Over The Past Decade

Source: Bloomberg, MSCI, UBS, Credit Suisse, Barclays, Guggenheim Investments. Data updated as of 12/31/2013.

Page 12: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 12

Global Infrastructure Opportunities

Page 13: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 13

Global Infrastructure Investment Needs, 2013-2030

Global Infrastructure Investment Needs, 2013-2030

Source: Infrastructure Productivity: How to Save $1 Trillion a Year, McKinsey Global Institute, January 2013.

Roads Rail Ports Airports Power Water Telecom Total$0 Trn

$10 Trn

$20 Trn

$30 Trn

$40 Trn

$50 Trn

$60 Trn

$70 Trn

$16.6 Trn

$4.5 Trn$0.7 Trn $2.0 Trn

$12.2 Trn

$11.7 Trn

$9.5 Trn $57.3 Trn

Page 14: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 14

ASIA PACIFICAsia• Combination of emerging and mature markets

• Immature regulation

• Significant demand for infrastructure

• Political risk

Australia• Extremely mature market

• Privatization in some states

• Domestic funds have significant exposure

• Market history has been both good and bad

EUROPE• Clarity over regulation

• Financial crisis

• Sovereign crisis

• Significant buying opportunity

AMERICAS• Evolving regulation

• Highly localized, political and complicated

• Fiscal stimulus

• Significant underinvestment in public infrastructure and

future investment gap in public infrastructure spending

• Limited privatization opportunities

• Predominately energy assets available for purchase

– Partial deregulation; failed market solutions for pricing

energy and capacity

– Environmental regulations driving investment

– Continued portfolio rationalization by strategic

corporations

• South American opportunities are a developing focus

Global Infrastructure Opportunity

GLOBAL – $57 TRILLION (2013 – 2030)

• Global GDP could double by 2030• Current gateway and inland transport infrastructure cannot meet 2030 demand

• Quality infrastructure is key pillar of international competitiveness• Private sector financing continues to deliver equity and debt capital needed to make infrastructure projects operational

Source: Infrastructure Productivity: How to Save $1 Trillion a Year, McKinsey Global Institute, January 2013.

Page 15: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 15

Brazil

United Kingdom

Canada

India

United States

Germany

Spain

China

Poland

Italy

South Africa

Japan

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200

Infrastructure Stock Value as Percent of GDP

More Infrastructure Spending Is Needed In Developed Countries

Source: Infrastructure Productivity: How to Save $1 Trillion a Year, McKinsey Global Institute, January 2013.

Infrastructure Spending as Percent of GDP

Average excluding Brazil and Japan = 71% Japan United

StatesEU Other

DevelopedDeveloping World

0%

100%

200%

300%

400%

500%

600%

Actual spend during 1992 - 2011

Estimated need during 2013 - 2030

The world will need to spend more than it has over the past twenty years in order to maintain the infrastructure stock value to 70% of GDP. Developed countries include U.S. and EU are particularly underfunded.

Page 16: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 16

Breakdown of Global Urban Population 1950 - 2015

Rising Demand Of Infrastructure Investment From Rapid Urbanization In Emerging Markets

Source: United Nations, The Infrastructure Opportunity: Repair, Build and Stimulate, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, February 2009

1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 20150%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Emerging Developed

Page 17: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 17

I. North America Energy Infrastructure Opportunity

Page 18: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 18

Infrastructure Investment Criteria

• Assets typically have high capital costs representing a significant barrier to entry• Assets frequently operate in a regulated or contracted environment providing high cash flow visibility• The need for energy is relatively inelastic• Long life assets (30 – 40 years) and high replacement costs provide a hedge against inflation

Compelling Investment Opportunity• North America requires over $6.4 trillion* in energy infrastructure development• Private capital is crucial to satisfying the investment requirements of the energy industry

Attractive Sector Fundamentals

• Strong economic, environmental and policy trends driving coal plant retirements• Abundant and low cost gas supply driving fuel mix and demand for investment in related facilities• Policy driven demand for renewable energy in select locations• Historic underinvestment in critical energy infrastructure assets, including electricity transmission and pipelines• Evolving E&P technologies stimulating natural gas and oil midstream infrastructure investment in new shale regions• Attractive asset valuations below cost of new build• Portfolio rationalization by corporate and financial owners driving divestitures

Asset Management Potential

• Opportunities to increase asset value through:– Modernization, expansion, rehabilitation– Revenue optimization, including contract renegotiation, ancillary / value-added services– Cost rationalization– Leveraging services across multiple assets

Why North America Energy Infrastructure?

Significant capital requirements in robust and diversified market

Source: Guggenheim Investment, International Energy Agency, World Energy Outlook 2012. *Note: Figure represents projected cumulative investment in energy-supply infrastructure from 2012 to 2035.

Page 19: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 19

U.S. Crude Oil Production

Expected Growth Of Oil And Natural Gas Production In The U.S.

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Data updated as of 12/31/2013.

U.S. Dry Natural Gas Production

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 20400

2

4

6

8

10

12

Million Barrels per Day

Projection

% of Production

  2012 2040

Lower 48 Onshore (ex Tight Oil) 36.1% 27.2%

Tight Oil 34.7% 42.7%

Lower 48 Offshore 21.0% 26.6%

Alaska 8.2% 3.5%

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 20400

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Million Cubic Feet

Projection

% of Production

  2012 2040

Lower 48 Onshore Conventional 24.6% 9.3%

Tight Gas 20.2% 22.4%

Shale Gas 40.4% 52.8%

Coalbed Methane 6.6% 4.5%

Lower 48 Offshore 6.9% 7.9%

Alaska 1.4% 3.1%

Page 20: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 20

Oil and Gas Import Dependency in Selected Countries – 2010 vs. 2035

The U.S. Will Be An Energy Exporter By 2035

Source: IEA World Energy Outlook 2012, Guggenheim Investments. Data updated as of 12/31/2013.

Gas Imports

Gas Exports

100%

80%

60%

40%

20%

0%

(20%)

Less Import Dependency

More Import Dependency

United States

China India

European Union

Japan 2010

2035

20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Oil Imports

Page 21: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 21

15

20

25

30

35

40

Tri

llio

n C

ub

ic F

eet

Development Of U.S. Natural Gas Presents Promising Investment Opportunities

Source: EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2014 Early Release, KPMG Shale Gas: Global M&A Trends, 2011. Data updated as of 12/31/2013.

Total U.S. Natural Gas Production, Consumption, and Net Imports (1990 – 2035)

Net imports of 5.7% of total consumption in 2013

Net exports of 15.7% of total production in 2035 The lack of infrastructure in certain

basins for transporting and

processing NGLs is creating a

temporary bottleneck for

development. Remotely located

basins face challenges in getting the

product out of the ground and into

the marketplace. Significant

investment in infrastructure will be

needed over the next 25 years, with

capital requirements expected to

exceed US$200 billion countrywide

during that period.

-- KPMG Shale Gas: Global M&A

Trends, 2011

Page 22: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 22

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

2040

5%

15%

25%

35%

45%

Fuel And Technology Transformation

• Natural gas is replacing coal as the fuel of choice

– Abundant supplies point to lower and more stable prices

– Natural gas emits substantially less air pollutants and greenhouse gases

• Over $80 billion1 of capital estimated to be required to replace the estimated 59 – 77 GW2 of coal-fired generation capacity retirements by 2016

– Environmental regulations and fuel costs are driving the switch from coal to natural gas

US Electrical Generation by Fuel Type (MWh)

Source: EIA 2014 Annual Energy Outlook Early Release. *Note: 1. Based on Guggenheim Infrastructure estimated replacement mix of 80% gas / 20% renewables and estimated construction rates of $1,100/kW for natural gas and $2,500/kW for renewables. 2. Potential Coal Plant Retirements 2012 Update, The Brattle Group, October 2012.

Coal

Nuclear

Renewables

Natural Gas

Page 23: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 23

Geologically Diverse Hydrocarbon Supply

Location of Major U.S. Shale Plays Shale Resource Estimates

Region Shale Play Examples

Gas(Trillion

Cubic feet)

Oil(Billion Barrels)

Northeast Marcellus, Antrim, Devonian 472 --

Gulf Coast Haynesville, Eagle Ford 100 3

Mid-Continent Fayatteville, Woodford 60 --

Southwest Barnett 76 2

Rocky Mountain Mancos, Lewis, Bakken 43 4

West Coast Monterey / Santos -- 15

Total Onshore Lower-48 States: 750 24

• Considerable infrastructure investment required to satisfy infrastructure demands of new shale plays

Source: Review of Emerging Resources: U.S. Shale Gas and Shale Oil Plays, U.S. Energy Information Administration, July 2011.

Page 24: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 24

$98

$30$43

$13

$23

$46

Mainline Gas Pipe Lateral Gas Pipe Gas Gathering PipeCompression & Storage Processing Oil & NGL Pipelines

Related Energy Infrastructure Opportunities

US Historical and Forecast Transmission Investment2

• Historic underinvestment in transmission grid– Cost allocation issues– Permitting and siting difficulties

• As much as $320 billion2 in transmission investment from 2011 – 2030 needed to alleviate bottlenecks and integrate renewable resources to load centers

• In North America, 34,000 circuit miles, of new high-voltage transmission lines are expected to be added from 2012 - 20223

Electricity Transmission

Forecast Midstream Infrastructure Investment 2011 – 20351 ($ Billion)

Natural Gas needs 2011 - 2035:• 50,000 miles of mainline & lateral pipelines • 589 Bcf storage capacity• 32.5 Bcf processing capacity• Total investment required for natural gas is ~$205 billion

Oil and NGL needs 2011 - 2035:• 5 million bpd of transmission mainline capacity for oil• 2 million bpd of transmission mainline capacity for NGLs• Total investment for oil & NGLs is ~$46 billion

Midstream Oil & Gas Infrastructure to Support New Shale Plays1

Source: 1. Interstate Natural Gas Association of America Foundation, 06.18.2011 and 02.15.2012. 2. Transmission Investment Trends and Planning Challenges, The Brattle Group, August 2012. 3. 2012 Long-Term Reliability Assessment, NERC, December 2012.

Page 25: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 25

II. Arctic Infrastructure Opportunity

Page 26: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 26

Average Monthly Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September 1979 to 2013)

The Polar Ice Cap In The Arctic Region Is Melting Rapidly

Source: Goddard Sea Ice Remote Sensing & National Snow and Ice Data Center. Data shown from September 1979 through December 2013.

1979

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

3M

4M

5M

6M

7M

8M

9M

sq.

km

Page 27: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 27

Opportunities Abound: Shipping Shortcuts – Up To 50% Faster Through The Arctic

Source: U.S. Geological Survey

Page 28: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 28

2016 2020 20300

20

40

60

80

100

Transit

The Northern Sea Route - East

The Northern Sea Route - West

From Murmansk to Northern Sea Route Starting Point

Mil

lio

n T

on

nes

Projected Transit Freight in Traffic Volume along the Northern Sea Route

The Arctic Expected To Be The Fastest Growing Region In The World

CAGR = 6.5%

Source: The Issues and Prospects of an Expanded Arctic Transportation Network, Alexei Konovalov, 2012.

Page 29: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 29

III. Opportunities in the Infrastructure Investment Vehicles

Page 30: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 30

Comparison Of Infrastructure Investment Vehicles

Source: A Compelling Investment Opportunity: The Case for Global Listed Infrastructure Revisited, RREEF Research, July 2011.

Investment Vehicles Return Composition Size Liquidity Maturity General Annual Return

Unlisted Infrastructure Capital growth in early years, income-dominated at mature stage

> $200 million Illiquid Long-term Mature: 7% to 10%

Infrastructure Equities Mix of growth and income components

Any Amount Established and increasing volumes in most markets

Short toLong-term

Typical historical returns of 10%+

Institutional Bonds Set coupon and low growth rate

Any Amount Deep volumes in most markets

Short toLong-term

5% to 7%

Institutional Direct Real Estate

Mixed income and capital appreciation

> $20 million Moderate to deep volumes in most markets

Medium to Long-term

Core: 7% to 9%Value-added: 11% to 15%Opportunity: 18%+

Public Equities Mix of growth and income components

Any Amount Deep volumes in most markets

Short to Long-term

Large possible range of returns

Page 31: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 31

Investor Survey on Infrastructure Investment – Percent of Responders on Current and Future Implementation Methods

Other Investment Types Expected To Gain On Private Infrastructure Investment

Don't Know

Secondaries

Fund of funds

Directly in underlying assets

Co-investments

Infrastructure debt

Global listed infrastructure

Private (Open end)

Private (Closed end)

0% 1000% 2000% 3000% 4000% 5000% 6000% 7000% 8000%

Current

Future

Source: Russell Investments’ 2012 Global Survey on Alternative Investing, Russell Investments, June 2012.

Page 32: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 32

European Project Finance Volume by Source of Funding

European Bank Lending To The Infrastructure Sector Has Declined Due To Ongoing Crisis And Increased Regulations On Bank Capital Requirements

Source: From Policy to Proof of Concept, and Beyond – Outlook for infrastructure 2012 , Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer LLP, October 2012, Dealogic. *Note: 2012 data is annualized based on data in the first six months.

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012*$0 Bn

$30 Bn

$60 Bn

$90 Bn

$120 Bn

0

100

200

300

400

Bank loan (LHS)

Bond (LHS)

Equity (LHS)

Number of Projects (RHS)

Page 33: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 33

Infrastructure Debt – Opportunities In Junior Debt

Equity

Wrapped Senior Bonds Credit Rating AAA with Underlying Rating of BBB

Unwrapped Senior Bond with Rating of A

Junior Bonds

Equity

Subordinated Bonds and Senior Debt Tranche

Traditional Infrastructure Bond Finance Structure

New Infrastructure Bond Finance Structure

Source: Paving the Way: Maximizing the Value of Private Finance in Infrastructure, World Economic Forum, August 2010

A new model of project financial structures could reduce the risk to the senior debt tranche, increase the overall rating, and hence, improve the risk-reward profile. The amount of senior bonds required could be reduced and the gap could be filled by junior bonds. The junior bonds would be acquired by specialist investors and would attract a higher yield than the senior bonds.

Page 34: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 34

Appendix: Disclosures and Legal Notice

Page 35: Opportunities in Infrastructure Investment

Please see Disclosures and Legal Notice at end of Document 35

Important Notices and Disclosures

Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC: GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Aviation, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners India Management, Guggenheim Real Estate, LLC, Security Investors, LLC and Transparent Value Advisors, LLC.

The information presented herein has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, any security or fund interest or any financial instrument.

Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy or, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.

Although the information presented herein has been obtained from and is based upon sources Guggenheim Investments believes to be reliable, no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to the accuracy or completeness of that information. No representation or warranty is made by Guggenheim Investments or any of their related entities or affiliates as to the sufficiency, relevance, importance, appropriateness, completeness, or comprehensiveness of the market data, information or summaries contained herein for any specific purpose. The views expressed in this presentation are subject to change based on market and other conditions. There is no guarantee that Guggenheim Investments will make the investments as discussed herein.

The illustrations are intended solely as a tool to assist in consideration of various potential asset allocations for a client’s account. Guggenheim Investments makes no warranty that the asset allocations discussed in this presentation will be used to manage your account. Asset allocations may differ between clients based on their investment objectives and financial situations. No assurance can be given that the investment objectives described herein will be achieved and investment results may vary substantially on a quarterly, annual or other periodic basis.

This data is for illustrative purposes only. Past performance of indices of asset classes does not represent actual returns or volatility of actual accounts or investment managers, and should not be viewed as indicative of future results. The information contained in this presentation has been gathered from sources we believe to be reliable, but we do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of such information, and we assume no liability for damages resulting from or arising out of the use of such information.

The views expressed in this presentation are the views of Guggenheim Investments and are subject to change based on market and other conditions. In discussion of any strategy, results and risks are based solely on the hypothetical examples cited; actual results and risks will vary depending on specific circumstances. Investors are urged to consider carefully whether such services in general, as well as the products or strategies discussed in this material, are suitable to their needs.

The opinions, estimates, investment strategies and views expressed in this document constitute the judgment of the author and our investment strategists, and based on current market conditions and are subject to change without notice. The investment strategies and views stated here may differ from those expressed for other purposes or in other contexts by other entities affiliated with Guggenheim Investments that may use different investment philosophies. The investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investors may get back less than they invested. Changes in rates of exchange may have an adverse effect on the value of investments. Numbers may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Past performance is not indicative of comparable future results. Given the inherent volatility of the securities markets, it should not be assumed that investors will experience returns comparable to those shown here. Market and economic conditions may change in the future producing materially different results than those shown here. All investments have inherent risks.

Expected returns are statistical estimates of hypothetical average returns of economic asset classes, derived from statistical models. Actual returns are likely to vary from expected returns. Expected return models apply statistical methods and a series of fixed assumptions to derive estimates of hypothetical average asset class performance. The models have limitations, as the assumptions may not be consensus views, or the model may not be updated to reflect current economic or market conditions. Accordingly, these models should not be relied upon to make predictions of actual future account performance. Guggenheim Investments has no obligation to provide recipients hereof with updates or changes to such data.

Any hypothetical performance results shown: (i) do not represent the results of actual investments but were achieved by retroactively applying a strategy designed with the benefit of hindsight; and (ii) do not reflect material economic and market factors that might have had an impact on Guggenheim Investments’ decision-making when using the strategy to manage actual client accounts.

Simulated results are shown for some methodologies because these are new strategies and, thus, have no performance history. There is no guarantee that an actual client portfolio will have the same return and risk profile as the simulated models. Model portfolios do not represent actual trading. Where model results are portrayed, Guggenheim Investments clients may have had investment results that were materially different from those portrayed herein. Some of the securities or strategies reflected in the model portfolio do not relate or relate only partially to the services currently offered by Guggenheim Investments.

The information presented herein is not intended to be target, projected or estimated returns. Rather, these numbers are based upon historical results derived from calculations using the risk distribution assumptions stated. This information is presented solely to assist you in creating a portfolio structure and forming investment guidelines and sector allocations.

The comparisons herein of the performance of the market indicators, benchmarks or indices may not be meaningful since the constitution and risks associated with each market indicator, benchmark or index may be significantly different. Accordingly, no representation or warranty is made to the sufficiency, relevance, importance, appropriateness, completeness, or comprehensiveness of the market data, information or summaries contained herein for any specific purpose.

The information contained herein is given as of the date hereof and this does not purport to give information as of any other date. Neither the delivery of this document nor any sales made hereunder shall, under any circumstances, create an implication that there has been no change in the matters discussed herein since the date hereof.

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